• 제목/요약/키워드: Prognostic models

검색결과 82건 처리시간 0.022초

Preoperative Neutrophil to Lymphocyte Ratio as a Prognostic Factor in Patients with Non-metastatic Renal Cell Carcinoma

  • Wen, Ru-Min;Zhang, Yi-Jing;Ma, Sha;Xu, Ying-Li;Chen, Yan-Su;Li, Hai-Long;Bai, Jin;Zheng, Jun-Nian
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제16권9호
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    • pp.3703-3708
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    • 2015
  • Background: The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is a strong predictor of mortality in patients with colorectal, lung, gastric cancer, pancreatic and metastatic renal cell carcinoma. We here evaluated whether preoperative NLR is an independent prognostic factor for non-metastatic renal cell carcinoma (RCC). Materials and Methods: Data from 327 patients who underwent curative or palliative nephrectomy were evaluated retrospectively. In preoperative blood routine examination, neutrophils and lymphocytes were obtained. The predictive value of NLR for non-metastatic RCC was analyzed. Results: The NLR of 327 patients was $2.72{\pm}2.25$. NLR <1.7 and NLR ${\geq}1.7$ were classified as low and high NLR groups, respectively. Chi-square test showed that the preoperative NLR was significantly correlated with the tumor size (P=0.025), but not with the histological subtype (P=0.095)and the pT stage (P=0.283). Overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) were assessed using the Kaplan-Meier method. Effects of NLR on OS (P=0.007) and DFS (P=0.011) were significant. To evaluate the independent prognostic significance of NLR, multivariate COX regression models were applied and identified increased NLR as an independent prognostic factor for OS (P=0.015), and DFS (P=0.019). Conclusions: Regarding patient survival, an increased NLR represented an independent risk factor, which might reflect a higher risk for severe cardiovascular and other comorbidities. An elevated blood NLR may be a biomarker of poor OS and DFS in patients with non-metastatic RCC.

Impact of Preoperative Serum Levels of CA 125 on Epithelial Ovarian Cancer Survival

  • Pradjatmo, Heru
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제17권4호
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    • pp.1881-1886
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    • 2016
  • Background: CA125 is very helpful in treatment monitoring and detection of epithelial ovarian cancer (EOC) recurrence. However there is controversy as to its accuracy and optimal usage. What is the impact of the CA125 levels before primary surgery treatment to the survival of patients? This study aimed to detect any association of preoperative serum levels with prognosis and survival in EOC patients. Materials and Methods: Our cohort comprised EOC patients in Dr. Sardjito Hospital, Yogyakarta, Indonesia, who complied with follow up. To explore the effect of preoperative CA125 levels and other variables on survival Cox's regression models were applied. Results: A total of 90 cases of EOC who had surgery were available for follow up. The level of CA125 proved to be a prognostic factor for overall survival of EOC patients, with an adjusted HR of 4.10 (p = 0.03). Adjuvant chemotherapy was another prognostic factor, 1 - 2 cycles having an adjusted HR of 0.17 (p = 0.04) and 3 - 8 cycles HR 0.39 (p = 0.06). Other factors such as age of patients adjusted HR 1.54 (p = 0.32), moderate differentiation (adjusted HR 1.61, p = 0.51) poor differentiation (adjusted HR 3.41, p = 0.15), and stage of disease (adjusted HR 1.98,p=0.27) were statistically not significant. However, this might have been because the power of the study was low. Conclusions: Preoperative level of CA125 is a prognostic factor for overall survival in EOC patients. The best cut-off for prognostic classification of CA125 serum level is 70 U/ml.

Animal Models for Prostatic Cancer

  • Park, Jae-Hak
    • 한국독성학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국독성학회 2002년도 Molecular and Cellular Response to Toxic Substances
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    • pp.118-130
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    • 2002
  • The frequency of prostate cancer has been increasing (1). Afflicting 10% of men older than the age of 65, it repre-sents the most frequently diagnosed cancer in American men, with an even higher incidence in the African-American population. Many investigators have tried to identify prognostic markers that distinguish indolent versus aggressive forms of prostate cancer, and to understand the genetic factors that evoke prostate cancer initiation and progression (2).(omitted)

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모델 예측변수들을 이용한 집중호우 예측 가능성에 관한 연구 (Studies on the Predictability of Heavy Rainfall Using Prognostic Variables in Numerical Model)

  • 장민;지준범;민재식;이용희;정준석;유철환
    • 대기
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    • 제26권4호
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    • pp.495-508
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    • 2016
  • In order to determine the prediction possibility of heavy rainfall, a variety of analyses was conducted by using three-dimensional data obtained from Korea Local Analysis and Prediction System (KLAPS) re-analysis data. Strong moisture convergence occurring around the time of the heavy rainfall is consistent with the results of previous studies on such continuous production. Heavy rainfall occurred in the cloud system with a thick convective clouds. The moisture convergence, temperature and potential temperature advection showed increase into the heavy rainfall occurrence area. The distribution of integrated liquid water content tended to decrease as rainfall increased and was characterized by accelerated convective instability along with increased buoyant energy. In addition, changes were noted in the various characteristics of instability indices such as K-index (KI), Showalter Stability Index (SSI), and lifted index (LI). The meteorological variables used in the analysis showed clear increases or decreases according to the changes in rainfall amount. These rapid changes as well as the meteorological variables changes are attributed to the surrounding and meteorological conditions. Thus, we verified that heavy rainfall can be predicted according to such increase, decrease, or changes. This study focused on quantitative values and change characteristics of diagnostic variables calculated by using numerical models rather than by focusing on synoptic analysis at the time of the heavy rainfall occurrence, thereby utilizing them as prognostic variables in the study of the predictability of heavy rainfall. These results can contribute to the identification of production and development mechanisms of heavy rainfall and can be used in applied research for prediction of such precipitation. In the analysis of various case studies of heavy rainfall in the future, our study result can be utilized to show the development of the prediction of severe weather.

Prognostic Value of MMP-9 in Ovarian Cancer: A Meta-analysis

  • Li, Li-Na;Zhou, Xin;Gu, Yang;Yan, Jun
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제14권7호
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    • pp.4107-4113
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    • 2013
  • Objective: Matrix metalloproteinase-9(MMP-9) plays an important role in tumor cell invasion. Although it has been studied frequently in ovarian cancer, its prognostic impact is still equivocal. The aim of this study was to more precisely estimate its prognostic significance. Method:We searched Pubmed, Embase, OVID, Sciencedirect and CBM databases to identify eligible studies. Hazard ratios (HRs) or odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) were pooled across studies using fixed-effects or random-effects models. We also performed subgroup analysis. Results: 30 studies (n=2552 patients) focusing on prognosis or expression of MM-9 were included. Increased expression of MMP-9 was associated with poor prognosis in ovarian cancer patients (HR=1.68, 95%CI 1.09-2.59, p=0.02). Besides, MMP-9 expression in ovarian cancer was significantly higher than non-malignant tumors (OR=11.46, 95%CI 8.47-15.50, P<0.00001). Moreover, increased expression of MMP-9 was significantly associated with FIGO stage (OR=4.85, 95%CI 2.60-9.04, P<0.00001), grade of differentiation (OR=3.34, 95%CI 2.46-4.54, P<0.00001), lymph node metastasis (OR=5.75, 95%CI 3.71-8.92, P<0.00001) and there was no association with histological type of ovarian cancer. Conclusions: Increased expression of MMP-9 was associated with poor prognosis in ovarian cancer patients. Down-regulation of MMP-9 is an attractive therapeutic approach which might improve outcome of ovarian cancer.

Analysis on Clinical Characteristics and Influencing Factors of Patients with Locoregionally Advanced Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma

  • Zheng, Wei;Xu, Yuan-Ji;Qiu, Su-Fang;Zong, Jing-Feng;Huang, Ling-Ling;Huang, Chao-Bin;Lin, Shao-Jun;Pan, Jian-Ji
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제16권10호
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    • pp.4393-4399
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    • 2015
  • Background: To explore the independent prognostic factors for the recurrence/metastasis of patients with locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma (LANPC). Materials and Methods: A total of 604 patients initially diagnosed as LANPC by pathohistology in Fujian Provincial Cancer Hospital were selected to analyze the relationship between the clinical pathological patterns, therapeutic protocols and clinical stages with the recurrence/metastasis of LANPC. Results: The 1-, 3- and 5-year locoregionally recurrent rates of LANPC patients were 2.0%, 9.5% and 12.9% respectively, with average recurrent period being 78 months. Univariate analysis results indicated that clinical stages had certain influence on the recurrent period of LANPC patients. However, COX regression models showed that ages, genders and clinical stages were not the independent prognostic factors influencing the recurrence. The 1-, 3- and 5-year metastatic rates of LANPC patients were 6.6%, 17.5% and 18.8% respectively, with average metastatic period of 73 months. Univariate analysis results demonstrated that ages, N stages, clinical stages, locations of lymph node, retropharyngeal lymph node and extracapsular invasion of lymph node had certain influence on the metastatic period of LANPC patients. Additionally, further COX regression analysis results suggested that T stages, reduction protocols and extracapsular invasion of lymph node were the independent prognostic factors influencing the metastasis of patients with LANPC, in which T stages and extracapsular invasion of lymph node were the pestilent factors while reduction protocols the protective factor. Conclusions: Induction chemotherapy is beneficial to LANPC patients with initial treatment, and the metastatic rate decreases greatly after the application of reduction chemotherapy.

Activating Transcription Factor 1 is a Prognostic Marker of Colorectal Cancer

  • Huang, Guo-Liang;Guo, Hong-Qiang;Yang, Feng;Liu, Ou-Fei;Li, Bin-Bin;Liu, Xing-Yan;Lu, Yan;He, Zhi-Wei
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제13권3호
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    • pp.1053-1057
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    • 2012
  • Objective: Identifying cancer-related genes or proteins is critical in preventing and controlling colorectal cancer (CRC). This study was to investigate the clinicopathological and prognostic value of activating transcription factor 1 (ATF1) in CRC. Methods: Protein expression of ATF1 was detected using immunohistochemistry in 66 CRC tissues. Clinicopathological association of ATF1 in CRC was analyzed with chi-square test or Fisher's exact test. The prognostic value of ATF1 in CRC is estimated using the Kaplan-Meier analysis and Cox regression models. Results: The ATF1 protein expression was significantly lower in tumor tissues than corresponding normal tissues (51.5% and 71.1%, respectively, P = 0.038). No correlation was found between ATF1 expression and the investigated clinicopathological parameters, including gender, age, depth of invasion, lymph node status, metastasis, pathological stage, vascular tumoral emboli, peritumoral deposits, chemotherapy and original tumor site (all with P > 0.05). Patients with higher ATF1 expression levels have a significantly higher survival rate than that with lower expression (P = 0.026 for overall survival, P = 0.008 for progress free survival). Multivariate Cox regression model revealed that ATF1 expression and depth of invasion were the predictors of the overall survival (P = 0.008 and P = 0.028) and progress free survival (P = 0.002 and P = 0.005) in CRC. Conclusions: Higher ATF1 expression is a predictor of a favorable outcome for the overall survival and progress free survival in CRC.

High Cytoplasmic Expression of the Orphan Nuclear Receptor NR4A2 Predicts Poor Survival in Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma

  • Wang, Jian;Yang, Jing;Li, Bin-Bin;He, Zhi-Wei
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제14권5호
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    • pp.2805-2809
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    • 2013
  • Objective: This study aimed at investigating whether the orphan nuclear receptor NR4A2 is significantly associated with clinicopathologic features and overall survival of patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC). Methods: Immunohistochemistry was performed to determine NR4A2 protein expression in 84 NPC tissues and 20 non-cancerous nasopharyngeal (NP) tissues. The prognostic significance of NR4A2 protein expression was evaluated using Cox proportional hazards regression models and Kaplan-Meier survival analysis. Results: We did not find a significant association between total NR4A2 expression and clinicopathological variables in 84 patients with NPC. However, we observed that high cytoplasmic expression of NR4A2 was significantly associated with tumor size (T classification) (P = 0.006), lymph node metastasis (N classification) (P = 0.002) and clinical stage (P = 0.017). Patients with higher cytoplasmic NR4A2 expression had a significantly lower survival rate than those with lower cytoplasmic NR4A2 expression (P = 0.004). Multivariate Cox regression analysis analysis suggested that the level of cytoplasmic NR4A2 expression was an independent prognostic indicator for overall survival of patients with NPC (P = 0.033). Conclusions: High cytoplasmic expression of NR4A2 is a potential unfavorable prognostic factor for patients with NPC.

페이지랭크를 이용한 암환자의 이질적인 예후 유전자 식별 및 예후 예측 (Identification of Heterogeneous Prognostic Genes and Prediction of Cancer Outcome using PageRank)

  • 최종환;안재균
    • 정보과학회 논문지
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    • 제45권1호
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    • pp.61-68
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    • 2018
  • 암환자의 예후 예측에 기여하는 유전자를 찾는 것은 환자에게 보다 적합한 치료를 제공하기 위한 도전 과제 중 하나이다. 예후 유전자를 찾기 위해 유전자 발현 데이터를 이용한 분류 모델 개발 연구가 많이 이루어지고 있다. 하지만 암의 이질성으로 인해 예후 예측의 정확도 향상에 한계가 있다는 문제가 있다. 본 논문에서는 유방암을 비롯한 6개의 암에 대한 암환자의 마이크로어레이 데이터와 생물학적 네트워크 데이터를 이용하여 페이지랭크 알고리즘을 통해 예후 유전자들을 식별하고, K-Nearest Neighbor 알고리즘을 사용하여 암 환자의 예후를 예측하는 모델을 제안한다. 그리고 페이지랭크를 사용하기 전에 K-Means 클러스터링으로 유전자 발현 패턴이 비슷한 샘플들을 나누어 이질성을 극복하고자 한다. 본 논문에서 제안한 방법은 기존의 유전자 바이오마커를 찾는 알고리즘보다 높은 예측 정확도를 보여 주었으며, GO 검증을 통해 클러스터에 특이적인 생물학적 기능을 확인하였다.

Treatment Modality Based Survival in Gastric Carcinoma Patients with Stand-Alone Peritoneal Metastasis: a Case-Control Study

  • Jeong, Oh;Jung, Mi Ran;Kang, Ji Hoon
    • Journal of Gastric Cancer
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    • 제21권2호
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    • pp.122-131
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    • 2021
  • Purpose: To date, there are no promising treatments for gastric carcinoma with peritoneal metastasis. Some researchers have suggested a survival benefit of gastrectomy in select patients. This study investigated the survival of gastric carcinoma patients with stand-alone peritoneal metastasis according to the type of treatment modality. Materials and Methods: We reviewed the data of 132 patients with gastric carcinoma and stand-alone peritoneal metastasis. We performed gastrectomy when the primary tumor was deemed resectable and systemic chemotherapy was administered. We analyzed patient survival according to the type of treatment, and the prognostic value of gastrectomy was evaluated in univariate and multivariate models. Results: Among all patients, 70 underwent gastrectomy plus chemotherapy, 20 underwent gastrectomy alone, 36 underwent chemotherapy alone, and 6 received supportive care. The median patient survival was 13 months. Patients who underwent gastrectomy had significantly longer survival than those who did not undergo gastrectomy (14 vs. 8 months, P<0.001). Patients who received chemotherapy showed significantly longer survival than those who did not (13 vs. 7 months, P=0.032). Patients who underwent gastrectomy plus chemotherapy showed better survival than those who underwent other treatments. In multivariate analysis, gastrectomy was found to be an independent prognostic factor (hazard ratio, 0.52; 95% confidence interval, 0.33-0.82) in addition to chemotherapy. Conclusions: Our study showed that patients who underwent gastrectomy plus chemotherapy had the best survival. Although the survival benefit of gastrectomy remains uncertain, it is a favorable prognostic indicator in patients with stand-alone peritoneal metastasis.