• 제목/요약/키워드: Prognostic models

검색결과 88건 처리시간 0.025초

페이지랭크를 이용한 암환자의 이질적인 예후 유전자 식별 및 예후 예측 (Identification of Heterogeneous Prognostic Genes and Prediction of Cancer Outcome using PageRank)

  • 최종환;안재균
    • 정보과학회 논문지
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    • 제45권1호
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    • pp.61-68
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    • 2018
  • 암환자의 예후 예측에 기여하는 유전자를 찾는 것은 환자에게 보다 적합한 치료를 제공하기 위한 도전 과제 중 하나이다. 예후 유전자를 찾기 위해 유전자 발현 데이터를 이용한 분류 모델 개발 연구가 많이 이루어지고 있다. 하지만 암의 이질성으로 인해 예후 예측의 정확도 향상에 한계가 있다는 문제가 있다. 본 논문에서는 유방암을 비롯한 6개의 암에 대한 암환자의 마이크로어레이 데이터와 생물학적 네트워크 데이터를 이용하여 페이지랭크 알고리즘을 통해 예후 유전자들을 식별하고, K-Nearest Neighbor 알고리즘을 사용하여 암 환자의 예후를 예측하는 모델을 제안한다. 그리고 페이지랭크를 사용하기 전에 K-Means 클러스터링으로 유전자 발현 패턴이 비슷한 샘플들을 나누어 이질성을 극복하고자 한다. 본 논문에서 제안한 방법은 기존의 유전자 바이오마커를 찾는 알고리즘보다 높은 예측 정확도를 보여 주었으며, GO 검증을 통해 클러스터에 특이적인 생물학적 기능을 확인하였다.

Treatment Modality Based Survival in Gastric Carcinoma Patients with Stand-Alone Peritoneal Metastasis: a Case-Control Study

  • Jeong, Oh;Jung, Mi Ran;Kang, Ji Hoon
    • Journal of Gastric Cancer
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    • 제21권2호
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    • pp.122-131
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    • 2021
  • Purpose: To date, there are no promising treatments for gastric carcinoma with peritoneal metastasis. Some researchers have suggested a survival benefit of gastrectomy in select patients. This study investigated the survival of gastric carcinoma patients with stand-alone peritoneal metastasis according to the type of treatment modality. Materials and Methods: We reviewed the data of 132 patients with gastric carcinoma and stand-alone peritoneal metastasis. We performed gastrectomy when the primary tumor was deemed resectable and systemic chemotherapy was administered. We analyzed patient survival according to the type of treatment, and the prognostic value of gastrectomy was evaluated in univariate and multivariate models. Results: Among all patients, 70 underwent gastrectomy plus chemotherapy, 20 underwent gastrectomy alone, 36 underwent chemotherapy alone, and 6 received supportive care. The median patient survival was 13 months. Patients who underwent gastrectomy had significantly longer survival than those who did not undergo gastrectomy (14 vs. 8 months, P<0.001). Patients who received chemotherapy showed significantly longer survival than those who did not (13 vs. 7 months, P=0.032). Patients who underwent gastrectomy plus chemotherapy showed better survival than those who underwent other treatments. In multivariate analysis, gastrectomy was found to be an independent prognostic factor (hazard ratio, 0.52; 95% confidence interval, 0.33-0.82) in addition to chemotherapy. Conclusions: Our study showed that patients who underwent gastrectomy plus chemotherapy had the best survival. Although the survival benefit of gastrectomy remains uncertain, it is a favorable prognostic indicator in patients with stand-alone peritoneal metastasis.

Immunotherapeutic Approach for Better Management of Cancer - Role of IL-18

  • Kuppala, Manohar Babu;Syed, Sunayana Begum;Bandaru, Srinivas;Varre, Sreedevi;Akka, Jyothy;Mundulru, Hema Prasad
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제13권11호
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    • pp.5353-5361
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    • 2012
  • Interleukin-18 (IL-18) is an immune-stimulatory cytokine with antitumor activity in preclinical models. It plays pivotal roles in linking inflammatory immune responses and tumor progression and is a useful candidate in gene therapy of lymphoma or lymphoid leukemia. A phase I study of recombinant human IL-18 (rhIL-18) in patients with advanced cancer concluded that rhIL-18 can be safely given in biologically active doses to patients with advanced cancer. Some viruses can induce the secretion of IL-18 for immune evasion. The individual cytokine activity might be potentiated or inhibited by combinations of cytokines. Here we focus on combinational effects of cytokines with IL-18 in cancer progression. IL-18 is an important non-invasive marker suspected of contributing to metastasis. Serum IL-18 may a useful biological marker as independent prognostic factor of survival. In this review we cover roles of IL-18 in immune evasion, metastasis and angiogenesis, applications for chemotherapy and prognostic or diagnostic significance.

Prognostic Factors of Hemifacial Spasm after Microvascular Decompression

  • Kim, Hong-Rae;Rhee, Deok-Joo;Kong, Doo-Sik;Park, Kwan
    • Journal of Korean Neurosurgical Society
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    • 제45권6호
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    • pp.336-340
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    • 2009
  • Objective : The factors that influence the prognosis of patients with hemifacial spasm (HFS) treated by microvascular decompression (MVD) have not been definitely established. We report a prospective study evaluating the prognostic factors in patients undergoing MVD for HFS. Methods : From January 2004 to September 2006, the authors prospectively studied a series of 293 patients who underwent MVD for HFS. We prospectively analyzed a number of variables in order to evaluate the predictive value of independent variables for the prognosis of patients undergoing MVD. The patients were followed-up at regular intervals and divided into as cured and unsatisfactory groups based on symptom relief. Uni- and multivariate analyses were performed using logistic regression models. Results : A total 273 of 293 (94.2%) patients achieved symptom relief within one year after the operation. Intraoperatively, the indentation of the root exit zone was observed in 259 (88.5%) patients. Uni- and multivariate analyses revealed that the symptoms at postoperative 3 months (p<0.001) and indentation of the root exit zone (p=0.036) were associated with good outcomes. Conclusion : The intraoperative finding of root exit zone indentation will help physicians determine the prognosis in patients with HFS. To predict the prognosis of HFS, a regular follow-up period of at least 3 months following MVD should be required.

알라스카 만의 계절변화에 대한 수치모형 실험 (A Numerical Modeling Study on the Seasonal Variability in the Gulf of Alaska)

  • Bang, In-Kweon;Zygmunt Kowlik
    • 한국해안해양공학회지
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    • 제6권3호
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    • pp.309-325
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    • 1994
  • 알라스카 만의 해수순환은 바람응력의 큰 계절적 변동에도 불구하고 큰 변화를 보이지 않는다. 그 역학적 원인을 알아보기 위해 일련의 수치모델 실험을 행하였다. 먼저, 관측밀도장으로부터 구한 진단모델 결과에 의하면 알라스카 난류의 계절적 변동은 거의 없으며, 여러 종류의 예보모델 결과에 의하면 해저지형과 경압성이 바람의 계절변동에 대한 해양반응에 영향을 미침을 보여준다. 모델 결과의 비교에 의해 경압해양의 바람의 계절변동에 대한 반응은 주로 순압성이며 순압 해수순환은 해저지형의 분만효과에 의해 약해지기 때문에 해수순간의 계절적 변동이 거의 나타나지 않는다.

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Prognostic Model in Patients with Early-stage Squamous Cell Carcinoma of the Uterine Cervix: A Combination of Invasive Margin Pathological Characteristics and Lymphovascular Space Invasion

  • Khunamornpong, Surapan;Lekawanvijit, Suree;Settakorn, Jongkolnee;Sukpan, Kornkanok;Suprasert, Prapaporn;Siriaunkgul, Sumalee
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제14권11호
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    • pp.6935-6940
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    • 2013
  • Background: This study aimed to develop a prognostic model in patients with early-stage cervical squamous cell carcinoma based on clinicopathological features, including invasive margin characteristics. Materials and Methods: Clinicopathological features and outcomes of 190 patients with FIGO stage IB-IIA cervical squamous cell carcinoma treated by surgery were collected and analyzed for factors associated with tumor recurrence. In addition to well-recognized pathological risk factors, the pathological characteristics of invasive margin (type of invasive pattern and degree of stromal desmoplasia and peritumoral inflammatory reaction) were also included in the analysis. Multiple scoring models were made by matching different clinicopathological variables and/or different weighting of the score for each variable. The model with the best performance in the prediction of recurrence and decreased survival was selected. Results: The model with the best performance was composed of a combined score of invasive pattern, lymphovascular space invasion (LVSI), and degree of inflammatory reaction and stromal desmoplasia (total score =10). Compared to those with score ${\leq}8$, the patients with score 9-10 had a significantly higher recurrence rate in the overall group (p<0.001) and the subgroup without adjuvant therapy (p<0.001), while the significance was marginal in the subgroup with adjuvant therapy (p=0.069). In addition, the patients with score 9-10 had a higher rate of tumor recurrence at distant sites (p=0.007). The disease-free survival was significantly lower in the patients with score 9-10 than those with score ${\leq}8$ among the overall patients (p<0.001), in the subgroup without adjuvant therapy (p<0.001), and the subgroup with adjuvant therapy (p=0.047). Conclusions: In this study, a prognostic model based on a combination of pathological characteristics of invasive margin and LVSI proved to be predictive of tumor recurrence and decreased disease-free survival in patients with early-stage cervical squamous cell carcinoma.

Analysis on the Characteristics and Prognosis of Pulmonary Neuroendocrine Tumors

  • Wu, Bai-Shou;Hu, Yi;Sun, Jing;Wang, Jin-Liang;Wang, Peng;Dong, Wei-Wei;Tao, Hai-Tao;Gao, Wen-Juan
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제15권5호
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    • pp.2205-2210
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    • 2014
  • Objective: To retrospectively review the clinical characteristics and analyze the prognostic factors of Chinese patients with pulmonary neuroendocrine tumors. Materials and Methods: The clinical data of 176 patients with pulmonary neuroendocrine tumors in Chinese PLA General Hospital from Mar., 2000 to Oct., 2012 were retrospectively analyzed. The parameters were evaluated by univariate and multivariate analysis, including the gender, age, smoking history, family history, TNM staging, localization (central or peripheral), tumor size, nodal status, histological subtype and treatment (operation or non-operation). Results: There were 23 patients with typical carcinoids (TC) (13.1%), 41 with atypical carcinoids (AC) (23.3%), 10 with large cell neuroendocrine carcinoma (LCNEC) (5.7%) and 102 with small cell lung cancer (SCLC) (57.9%). The median follow-up time was 64.5 months for AC, 38 months for LCNEC and 27 months for SCLC. The typical carcinoid censored data was 18 (more than 50% of the patients), so the median follow-up time was not obtained, and actuarial 5-year survivals for TC, AC, LCNEC and SCLC were 75.1%, 51.7%, 26.7% and 38.8%, respectively. COX univariate analysis revealed that the age (P=0.001), histological subtype (P=0.005), nodal status (P=0.000), treatment (P=0.000) and TNM staging (P=0.000) were the prognostic factors of the patients with pulmonary neuroendocrine tumors, whereas its multivariate analysis showed that only the age(P=0.001), TNM staging (P=0.002) and treatment (P=0.000) were independent prognostic factors. Conclusions: Radical surgery remains the treatment of choice, and is the only curative option. The age, TNM staging and treatment are confirmed to be the independent prognostic factors in multivariable models for pulmonary neuroendocrine tumors.

소아청소년 개방안구손상 환자에서의 시력예후와 안외상 점수와의 연관성 (The Relationship between Visual Outcome and Ocular Trauma Score after Open Globe Injuries in Children)

  • 박수진;손병재
    • 대한안과학회지
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    • 제59권11호
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    • pp.1062-1070
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    • 2018
  • 목적: 소아청소년 환자에서 발생한 개방안구손상의 임상 양상을 분석하여 최종시력을 예측할 수 있는 인자를 알아보고, 최종시력을 예측하는 방법으로 안외상 점수(ocular trauma score, OTS)와 소아 안외상 점수(penetrating ocular trauma score, POTS)를 평가해 보고자 한다. 대상과 방법: 1993년 5월부터 2014년 4월까지 개방안구손상으로 본원에 내원한 18세 이하 소아청소년 환자 77명을 대상으로 의무기록을 후향적으로 분석하였다. 최종시력에 영향을 미칠 수 있는 인자들을 조사하였고, 최종시력을 예측하는 방법으로 OTS와 POTS를 receiver operating characteristic 곡선을 이용하여 평가해 보았다. 결과: 단변량 분석에서 20/200 미만의 초기시력, 안구파열, 7.0 mm 이상의 손상 크기, 망막박리, 수정체이탈, 총 수술 횟수는 불량한 최종시력(<20/200)과 유의한 관련성이 있었다. 반면에 20/32 이상의 좋은 최종시력의 경우 각막중심 침범 유무, 외상백내장 유무, 7.0 mm 미만의 손상 크기, 20/200 이상의 초기시력과 관련성이 있었다. OTS와 POTS 모두 최종시력을 예측하는 방법으로 진단적 가치가 있었으며, 통계적으로 두 점수 체계에 유의한 차이는 없었다. 결론: 소아청소년에게 발생한 개방안구손상에서 초기시력과 안구손상 크기는 최종시력에 영향을 주는 중요한 예측인자이다. 소아청소년 개방안구손상 환자의 최종시력 예측에 있어 기존의 안외상 점수(OTS)뿐만 아니라 소아 안외상 점수(POTS) 또한 좋은 예측도를 보여주어 둘 모두 유용한 평가 방법으로 생각된다.

Development and Validation of a Prognostic Nomogram Based on Clinical and CT Features for Adverse Outcome Prediction in Patients with COVID-19

  • Yingyan Zheng;Anling Xiao;Xiangrong Yu;Yajing Zhao;Yiping Lu;Xuanxuan Li;Nan Mei;Dejun She;Dongdong Wang;Daoying Geng;Bo Yin
    • Korean Journal of Radiology
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    • 제21권8호
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    • pp.1007-1017
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    • 2020
  • Objective: The purpose of our study was to investigate the predictive abilities of clinical and computed tomography (CT) features for outcome prediction in patients with coronavirus disease (COVID-19). Materials and Methods: The clinical and CT data of 238 patients with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 in our two hospitals were retrospectively analyzed. One hundred sixty-six patients (103 males; age 43.8 ± 12.3 years) were allocated in the training cohort and 72 patients (38 males; age 45.1 ± 15.8 years) from another independent hospital were assigned in the validation cohort. The primary composite endpoint was admission to an intensive care unit, use of mechanical ventilation, or death. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazard analyses were performed to identify independent predictors. A nomogram was constructed based on the combination of clinical and CT features, and its prognostic performance was externally tested in the validation group. The predictive value of the combined model was compared with models built on the clinical and radiological attributes alone. Results: Overall, 35 infected patients (21.1%) in the training cohort and 10 patients (13.9%) in the validation cohort experienced adverse outcomes. Underlying comorbidity (hazard ratio [HR], 3.35; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.67-6.71; p < 0.001), lymphocyte count (HR, 0.12; 95% CI, 0.04-0.38; p < 0.001) and crazy-paving sign (HR, 2.15; 95% CI, 1.03-4.48; p = 0.042) were the independent factors. The nomogram displayed a concordance index (C-index) of 0.82 (95% CI, 0.76-0.88), and its prognostic value was confirmed in the validation cohort with a C-index of 0.89 (95% CI, 0.82-0.96). The combined model provided the best performance over the clinical or radiological model (p < 0.050). Conclusion: Underlying comorbidity, lymphocyte count and crazy-paving sign were independent predictors of adverse outcomes. The prognostic nomogram based on the combination of clinical and CT features could be a useful tool for predicting adverse outcomes of patients with COVID-19.

Prognostic Value of Coronary CT Angiography for Predicting Poor Cardiac Outcome in Stroke Patients without Known Cardiac Disease or Chest Pain: The Assessment of Coronary Artery Disease in Stroke Patients Study

  • Sung Hyun Yoon;Eunhee Kim;Yongho Jeon;Sang Yoon Yi;Hee-Joon Bae;Ik-Kyung Jang;Joo Myung Lee;Seung Min Yoo;Charles S. White;Eun Ju Chun
    • Korean Journal of Radiology
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    • 제21권9호
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    • pp.1055-1064
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    • 2020
  • Objective: To assess the incremental prognostic value of coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA) in comparison to a clinical risk model (Framingham risk score, FRS) and coronary artery calcium score (CACS) for future cardiac events in ischemic stroke patients without chest pain. Materials and Methods: This retrospective study included 1418 patients with acute stroke who had no previous cardiac disease and underwent CCTA, including CACS. Stenosis degree and plaque types (high-risk, non-calcified, mixed, or calcified plaques) were assessed as CCTA variables. High-risk plaque was defined when at least two of the following characteristics were observed: low-density plaque, positive remodeling, spotty calcification, or napkin-ring sign. We compared the incremental prognostic value of CCTA for major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) over CACS and FRS. Results: The prevalence of any plaque and obstructive coronary artery disease (CAD) (stenosis ≥ 50%) were 70.7% and 30.2%, respectively. During the median follow-up period of 48 months, 108 patients (7.6%) experienced MACE. Increasing FRS, CACS, and stenosis degree were positively associated with MACE (all p < 0.05). Patients with high-risk plaque type showed the highest incidence of MACE, followed by non-calcified, mixed, and calcified plaque, respectively (log-rank p < 0.001). Among the prediction models for MACE, adding stenosis degree to FRS showed better discrimination and risk reclassification compared to FRS or the FRS + CACS model (all p < 0.05). Furthermore, incorporating plaque type in the prediction model significantly improved reclassification (integrated discrimination improvement, 0.08; p = 0.023) and showed the highest discrimination index (C-statistics, 0.85). However, the addition of CACS on CCTA with FRS did not add to the prediction ability for MACE (p > 0.05). Conclusion: Assessment of stenosis degree and plaque type using CCTA provided additional prognostic value over CACS and FRS to risk stratify stroke patients without prior history of CAD better.