• 제목/요약/키워드: Production index

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The relationship between carbon dioxide, crop and food production index in Ghana: By estimating the long-run elasticities and variance decomposition

  • Sarkodie, Samuel Asumadu;Owusu, Phebe Asantewaa
    • Environmental Engineering Research
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    • 제22권2호
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    • pp.193-202
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    • 2017
  • The study estimated the relationship between carbon dioxide, crop and livestock production index in Ghana: Estimating the long-run elasticities and variance decomposition by employing a time series data spanning from 1960-2013 using both fit regression and ARDL models. There was evidence of a long-run equilibrium relationship between carbon dioxide emissions, crop production index and livestock production index. Evidence from the study shows that a 1% increase in crop production index will increase carbon dioxide emissions by 0.52%, while a 1% increase in livestock production index will increase carbon dioxide emissions by 0.81% in the long-run. There was evidence of a bidirectional causality between a crop production index and carbon dioxide emissions and a unidirectional causality exists from livestock production index to carbon dioxide emissions. Evidence from the variance decomposition shows that 37% of future fluctuations in carbon dioxide emissions are due to shocks in the crop production index while 18% of future fluctuations in carbon dioxide emissions are due to shocks in the livestock production index. Efforts towards reducing pre-production, production, transportation, processing and post-harvest losses are essential to reducing food wastage which affects Ghana's carbon footprint.

환경서비스업과 물류서비스업의 예측 및 인과성 검정 (Prediction and Causality Examination of the Environment Service Industry and Distribution Service Industry)

  • 선일석;이충효
    • 유통과학연구
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    • 제12권6호
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    • pp.49-57
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    • 2014
  • Purpose - The world now recognizes environmental disruption as a serious issue when regarding growth-oriented strategies; therefore, environmental preservation issues become pertinent. Consequently, green distribution is continuously emphasized. However, studying the prediction and association of distribution and the environment is insufficient. Most existing studies about green distribution are about its necessity, detailed operation methods, and political suggestions; it is necessary to study the distribution service industry and environmental service industry together, for green distribution. Research design, data, and methodology - ARIMA (auto-regressive moving average model) was used to predict the environmental service and distribution service industries, and the Granger Causality Test based on VAR (vector auto regressive) was used to analyze the causal relationship. This study used 48 quarters of time-series data, from the 4th quarter in 2001 to the 3rd quarter in 2013, about each business type's production index, and used an unchangeable index. The production index about the business type is classified into the current index and the unchangeable index. The unchangeable index divides the current index into deflators to remove fluctuation. Therefore, it is easy to analyze the actual production index. This study used the unchangeable index. Results - The production index of the distribution service industry and the production index of the environmental service industry consider the autocorrelation coefficient and partial autocorrelation coefficient; therefore, ARIMA(0,0,2)(0,1,1)4 and ARIMA(3,1,0)(0,1,1)4 were established as final prediction models, resulting in the gradual improvement in every production index of both types of business. Regarding the distribution service industry's production index, it is predicted that the 4th quarter in 2014 is 114.35, and the 4th quarter in 2015 is 123.48. Moreover, regarding the environmental service industry's production index, it is predicted that the 4th quarter in 2014 is 110.95, and the 4th quarter in 2015 is 111.67. In a causal relationship analysis, the environmental service industry impacts the distribution service industry, but the distribution service industry does not impact the environmental service industry. Conclusions - This study predicted the distribution service industry and environmental service industry with the ARIMA model, and examined the causal relationship between them through the Granger causality test based on the VAR Model. Prediction reveals the seasonality and gradual increase in the two industries. Moreover, the environmental service industry impacts the distribution service industry, but the distribution service industry does not impact the environmental service industry. This study contributed academically by offering base line data needed in the establishment of a future style of management and policy directions for the two industries through the prediction of the distribution service industry and the environmental service industry, and tested a causal relationship between them, which is insufficient in existing studies. The limitations of this study are that deeper considerations of advanced studies are deficient, and the effect of causality between the two types of industries on the actual industry was not established.

Dynamic Index for a Versatile and Diverse Pilot Production Fab

  • Wu, I-Hung;Lin, Tzu-Yu;Chang, Chung-Shu;Lin, Chien-Chih
    • 한국정보디스플레이학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국정보디스플레이학회 2005년도 International Meeting on Information Displayvol.I
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    • pp.539-542
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    • 2005
  • We report how to establish the dynamic index for production control in a pilot fabrication over versatile and diverse production environments. We used dynamic index provided by a simulation model to monitor production performance. When production control is abnormal, the information system prompts administrators to classify these abnormal situations. In addition, the trend over the operation index is continuously reviewed in short-term and long-term. This simulation model is handy at setting goal for a versatile and diverse pilot production fab.

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Assessing agricultural competitiveness of cities and counties in Gyeongbuk

  • Jeong, Jaewon;Kim, Hyun Seok
    • 농업과학연구
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    • 제45권4호
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    • pp.871-878
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    • 2018
  • The government of Gyeongbuk in Korea increased the financial input in the agricultural sector by 43% from 2008 through 2012. However, the productivity of the agricultural sector in Gyeongbuk rose only about 3.6% during the same period. This study evaluated the agricultural competitiveness of each city or county in Gyeongbuk using six evaluation indices (scale, productivity, finance input, location quotient, technical education, and total) and investigated the relationship between the indices and total values of agricultural productions. The results show that Sangju, Gyeongju, Andong, Uiseong, and Seongju have high competitiveness for the scale index. For the productivity index, Gimcheon, Mungyeong, Ulleung, Yeongju, and Seongju were highly evaluated. For the location quotient index, Yeongcheon, Uiseong, Cheongdo, Seongju, and Sangju have high competitiveness. Uiseong, Yeongdeok, Cheongsong, Gunwi, and Yeongyang were highly evaluated for the agricultural finance input index. For the agricultural technical education index, Chilgok, Sangju, Mungyeong, Uiseong, and Gyeongju have high competitiveness. Finally, Sangju, Euiseong, Yeongcheon, Gyeongju, and Andong were highly evaluated for the total competitive index, while Yeongdeok, Yeongyang, Goryeong, Uljin, and Cheongsong have a low competitiveness for the total competitive index. This study also found that out of five indices, scale, location quotient, and technical education indices have a positive and statistically significant effect on the total values of agricultural production. However, we did not find any statistically significant effect of the productivity and finance input indices on the total values of agricultural production. Hence, we can conclude that the government should focus their agricultural policy on scale, location quotient and education to improve total agricultural production.

서비스업생산지수와 서비스업도소매지수와의 상호연관성에 관한 연구 (Study on Interrelation between the Service Industrial Production Index and the Service Industrial Wholesale and Retail Index)

  • 김주일
    • 서비스연구
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    • 제6권1호
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    • pp.83-95
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    • 2016
  • 본 논문은 한국은행 경제통계시스템에서 제공한 서비스업생산지수와 서비스업도소매지수를 가지고 상호간의 연관성을 분석하였다. 분석을 위한 통계분석 기간은 2000년 1월부터 2015년 9월까지 15년 9개월간의 월별자료 189개를 사용하였고, 분석도구로는 E-Views 6을 이용하여 VAR 모형을 통한 그랜저 인과관계분석(Granger Causality test)과 충격반응분석(Impulse Response Function) 및 분산분해(Variance Decomposition)를 실시하였다. 주요 분석결과는 다음과 같다. 첫째, 그랜저 인과관계 분석결과(Granger Causality test) 상승률과 변동성에 있어서 서비스업생산지수와 서비스업도소매지수 상호간에 예측력이 있음을 알 수 있었다. 둘째, 충격반응함수(Impulse Response Function)분석결과 서비스업생산지수와 서비스업도도소매지수에 사이에 충격이 존재하여 일정시차까지 영향을 미치다가 사라짐을 알 수 있었다. 이는 다른 산업뿐만 아니라 서비스업산업에 있어서도 생산량은 어느 정도 도소매업체의 판매량을 예측할 수 있다는 것으로 해석할 수 있다. 마지막으로 분산분해(Variance Decomposition) 분석결과 서비스업도소매지수는 일정시차동안 73.65%~65.59%의 서비스업생산지수에 의하여 영향을 받는 것으로 나타났다. 하지만 서비스업생산지수는 일정시차동안 0.97%~1.92%의 서비스업도소매지수에 영향을 받는 것으로 나타나 영향력이 미미함을 알 수 있었다. 본 연구는 다양한 지수를 대상으로한 상호간의 가격발견을 통한 상호연관성을 분석한 기존의 연구방법을 확장하여 서비스업생산지수와 서비스업도소매지수와의 가격발견 기능을 파악하는데 기여하였다고 사료된다. 이와 같은 연구결과는 물가지수를 관리하고 있는 정부에게 물가정책을 수립하는데 의미를 부여하고, 각종 지수를 관리하고 있는 한국은행 및 통계청에게 의미 있는 시사점을 제공할 것으로 판단된다. 본 연구에 대한 한계점으로는 물가지수를 이용한 선행연구가 많지 않아서 좀 더 체계적인 분석이 부족하다는 점과 구조변화 시점을 구분하여 분석하지 못했다는 점이다. 따라서 다양한 물가지수를 활용한 후속연구와 구조변화를 전후를 대상으로 한 추가연구가 필요하다고 사료된다.

전세가격상승이 금융산업 생산지수에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Effect of Chonsei Price Increase on the Index of Financial Industry)

  • 조이운;김보영
    • 한국콘텐츠학회논문지
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    • 제15권10호
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    • pp.457-467
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    • 2015
  • 최근 전세가격 상승과 저금리 저성장 시대에도 불구하고 금융 및 보험업의 산업 생산지수는 전 산업생산지수 대비 지속적으로 상승폭을 유지하면서 일반적인 상식에 반하는 현상이 나타나고 있다. 이에 본 연구에서는 금융업 산업생산지수와 전세가격 상승의 동태적 상관관계를 분석함으로써 전세가격 상승이 금융업 산업생산지수에 미치는 영향에 대해 분석하고자 했다. 이를 위해 전세가격지수와 거시경제 변수인 전 산업생산지수, 금융 및 보험업 생산지수의 변수를 정의하고, 공적분 관계가 없는 벡터자기회귀모형(VAR)을 이용하여 연구를 진행하였다. 2000년 1월부터 2015년 5월말까지 총 183개월의 시계열 데이터 분석결과 전세가격상승이 직접적으로 금융업 생산지수에 인과 관계를 나타내지는 않았으나 금융업 산업생산지수의 상승이 전세가격 상승에 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났다. 이는 곧 전세가격의 구조적 변화와 주택금융의 관계 분석을 통해 실질적인 주택 관련 정책이 금융산업에 직접적인 영향을 줄 수 있음을 시사한다.

생산, 측정 및 교정 프로세스에서 오차 유형화에 의한 확장 공정능력지수의 개발 (Development of Extended Process Capability Index in Terms of Error Classification in the Production, Measurement and Calibration Processes)

  • 최성운
    • 대한안전경영과학회지
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    • 제11권2호
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    • pp.117-126
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    • 2009
  • We develop methods for propagating and analyzing EPCI(Extended Process Capability Index) by using the error type that classifies into accuracy and precision. EPCI developed in this study can be applied to the three combined processes that consist of production, measurement and calibration. Little calibration work discusses while a great deal has been studied about SPC(Statistical Process Contol) and MSA(Measurement System Analysis). EPCI can be decomposed into three indexes such as PPCI(Production Process Capability Index), PPPI(Production Process Performance Index), MPCI(Measurement PCD, and CPCI(Calibration PCI). These indexs based on the type of error classification can be used with various statistical techniques and principles such as SPC control charts, ANOVA(Analysis of Variance), MSA Gage R&R, Additivity-of-Variance, and RSSM(Root Sum of Square Method). As the method proposed is simple, any engineer in charge of SPC. MSA and calibration can use efficientily in industries. Numerical examples are presentsed. We recommed that the indexes can be used in conjunction with evaluation criteria.

건설업 BSI와 산업생산지수 간의 선후행성 (The Lead-Lag Relationship between BSI and Industrial Production Index in Construction Industry)

  • 유한수
    • 토지주택연구
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    • 제11권3호
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    • pp.33-37
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    • 2020
  • The aim of this paper is to scrutinize the relation between Business Survey Index and Industrial Production Index in construction industry, stated in another way, the relation between CEO's expectations of future business status and real business activity in construction industry. Previous papers on this research area have been examined the relation between released BSI and released IPI. However, this paper focuses 'the relation between released BSI and the long-run component of IPI' and 'the relation between released BSI and the short-run component of IPI'. The first step is to decompose released IPI by unobserved component model. The long-run component of IPI is set up as a random walk process. And short-run component is set up as a stationary AR(1) process. The findings are as follows. First, released BSI Granger causes unidirectionally released IPI. Second, there exists one-way Granger causality from released BSI to long-run component of IPI. Third, Granger causality does not exist between released BSI and 'short-run component of IPI'. BSI increases IPI in the second or third month. These findings of this paper mean that CEO's expectations may influence industrial production in construction industry.

인공점등에 의한 조기 산란유도 꿩집단의 산란능력과 난형 (Egg Production and Egg Shape of Early Egg Laying Group Induced by Artificial Light in Korean Ring-Necked Pheasant)

  • 양영훈;김대철
    • 한국가금학회지
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    • 제22권1호
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    • pp.7-13
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    • 1995
  • To investigate the response of egg production to the artificial light to induce early egg laying. and the changes of egg weight and egg shape during the egg laying cycle, 30 Korean ring-necked pullets and their 1,284 eggs layed under artificial light control were used in this study. The first egg was ohserved at the age of 31 wk, after 4 wk of stimulating light(16 hour light: 8 hour dark). Egg production rate during seven 2-wk periods from the begining of the first egg was 43.7% and a clear peak egg production(61.7%) was shown at the 4th 2-wk period. The effects of egg production period and pullet on the egg weight, egg length, egg width and egg shape index(width/length) were significant(P<0.01). In the egg production cycle. egg weight, egg length and egg width increased steadly with time. but the value of egg shape index increased up to the 3rd 2-wk period and then decreased. Repeatabilities from intraclass correlation for the egg weight, egg length. egg width and egg shape index were 0.61. 0.53, 0.49 and 0.48, respectively.

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우선주가격 및 수익률 결정요인에 관한 연구 (Determinants of the Prices and Returns of Preferred Stocks)

  • 김산;원재환;원영웅
    • 아태비즈니스연구
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    • 제11권2호
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    • pp.159-172
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    • 2020
  • Purpose - The purpose of this study is to investigate economic variables which have impact on the prices and returns of preferred stocks and to provide investors, underwriters, and policy makers with information regarding correlations and causal relations between them. Design/methodology/approach - This study collected 98 monthly data from Korea Exchange and Bank of Korea. The Granger causal relation analysis, unit-root test and the multiple regression analysis were hired in order to analyze the data. Findings - First, our study derives the economic variables affecting the prices and returns of preferred stocks and their implications, while previous studies focused mainly on the differential characteristics and related economic factors between common and preferred stocks. Empirical results show that the significant variables influencing the prices and returns of preffered stocks are consumer sentiment index, consumer price index, industrial production index, KOSPI volatility index, and exchange rate between Korean won and US dollar. Second, consumer sentiment index, consumer price index, and industrial production index have significant casual relations with the returns of preferred stocks, providing market participants with important information regarding investment in preferred stocks. Research implications or Originality - This study is different from previous studies in that preferred stocks themselves are investigated rather than the gap between common stocks and preferred stocks. In addition, we derive the major macro variables affecting the prices and returns of preferred stocks and find some useful causal relations between the macro variables and returns of preferred stocks. These findings give important implications to market participants, including stock investors, underwriters, and policy makers.