• 제목/요약/키워드: Probability of Lng Leakage

검색결과 2건 처리시간 0.014초

동적 위험 분석을 위한 사고확률 추정 방법에 관한 연구 (Estimation of Accident Probability for Dynamic Risk Assessment)

  • 박병철;임채옥;남인혁;신성철
    • 한국산업융합학회 논문집
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    • 제26권2_2호
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    • pp.315-325
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    • 2023
  • Recently, various dynamic risk analysis methods have been suggested for estimating the risk index by predicting the possibility of accidents and damage. It is necessary to maintain and support the safety system for responding to accidents by continuously updating the probability of accidents and the results of accidents, which are quantitative standards of ship risk. In this study, when a LNG leakage that may occur in the LN G Fuel Gas Supply System (FGSS) room during LN G bunkering operation, a reliability physical model was prepared by the change in monitoring data as physical parameters to estimate the accident probability. The scenario in which LNG leakage occur were configured with FT (Fault Tree), and the coefficient of the covariate model and Weibull distribution was estimated based on the monitoring data. The possibility of an LNG leakage, which is the top event of FT, was confirmed by changes in time and monitoring data. A method for estimating the LNG leakage based on the reliability physical analysis is proposed, which supports fast decision-making by identifying the potential LNG leakage at the accident.

지하복합발전플랜트 내의 가스 누출 및 확산에 의한 위험성 평가 인자 분석 (Analysis of Risk Assessment Factors for Gas leakage and Dispersion in Underground Power Plant)

  • 최진욱;이용남;박재용;성건혁;이성혁;김대중
    • 한국분무공학회지
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    • 제20권2호
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    • pp.101-106
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    • 2015
  • Gas leakage and dispersion in the underground LNG power plant can lead to serious fire and explosion accident. In this study, computational fluid dynamics simulation was applied to model the dynamic process of gas leakage and dispersion phenomena in a closed space. To analyze the risk assessment factor, such as the flammable volume ratio, transient simulations were carried out for different scenarios. The simulation results visualized the gas distribution with time in the closed space. The flammable volume ratio was introduced for quantitative analysis the fire/explosion probability.