• Title/Summary/Keyword: Probability inequality

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THE UNIFORM CLT FOR MARTINGALE DIFFERENCE ARRAYS UNDER THE UNIFORMLY INTEGRABLE ENTROPY

  • Bae, Jong-Sig;Jun, Doo-Bae;Levental, Shlomo
    • Bulletin of the Korean Mathematical Society
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    • v.47 no.1
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    • pp.39-51
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    • 2010
  • In this paper we consider the uniform central limit theorem for a martingale-difference array of a function-indexed stochastic process under the uniformly integrable entropy condition. We prove a maximal inequality for martingale-difference arrays of process indexed by a class of measurable functions by a method as Ziegler [19] did for triangular arrays of row wise independent process. The main tools are the Freedman inequality for the martingale-difference and a sub-Gaussian inequality based on the restricted chaining. The results of present paper generalizes those of Ziegler [19] and other results of independent problems. The results also generalizes those of Bae and Choi [3] to martingale-difference array of a function-indexed stochastic process. Finally, an application to classes of functions changing with n is given.

On the Conditional Tolerance Probability in Time Series Models

  • Lee, Sang-Yeol
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.407-416
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    • 1997
  • Suppose that { $X_{i}$ } is a stationary AR(1) process and { $Y_{j}$ } is an ARX process with { $X_{i}$ } as exogeneous variables. Let $Y_{j}$ $^{*}$ be the stochastic process which is the sum of $Y_{j}$ and a nonstochastic trend. In this paper we consider the problem of estimating the conditional probability that $Y_{{n+1}}$$^{*}$ is bigger than $X_{{n+1}}$, given $X_{1}$, $Y_{1}$$^{*}$,..., $X_{n}$ , $Y_{n}$ $^{*}$. As an estimator for the tolerance probability, an Mann-Whitney statistic based on least squares residuars is suggested. It is shown that the deviations between the estimator and true probability are stochatically bounded with $n^{{-1}$2}/ order. The result may be applied to the stress-strength reliability theory when the stress and strength variables violate the classical iid assumption.umption.n.

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Balanced Accuracy and Confidence Probability of Interval Estimates

  • Liu, Yi-Hsin;Stan Lipovetsky;Betty L. Hickman
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • v.3 no.1
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    • pp.37-50
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    • 2002
  • Simultaneous estimation of accuracy and probability corresponding to a prediction interval is considered in this study. Traditional application of confidence interval forecasting consists in evaluation of interval limits for a given significance level. The wider is this interval, the higher is probability and the lower is the forecast precision. In this paper a measure of stochastic forecast accuracy is introduced, and a procedure for balanced estimation of both the predicting accuracy and confidence probability is elaborated. Solution can be obtained in an optimizing approach. Suggested method is applied to constructing confidence intervals for parameters estimated by normal and t distributions

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ON H$\grave{a}$JEK-R$\grave{e}$NYI-TYPE INEQUALITY FOR CONDITIONALLY NEGATIVELY ASSOCIATED RANDOM VARIABLES AND ITS APPLICATIONS

  • Seo, Hye-Young;Baek, Jong-Il
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • v.30 no.3_4
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    • pp.623-633
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    • 2012
  • Let {${\Omega}$, $\mathcal{F}$, P} be a probability space and {$X_n|n{\geq}1$} be a sequence of random variables defined on it. A finite sequence of random variables {$X_n|n{\geq}1$} is said to be conditionally negatively associated given $\mathcal{F}$ if for every pair of disjoint subsets A and B of {1, 2, ${\cdots}$, n}, $Cov^{\mathcal{F}}(f_1(X_i,i{\in}A),\;f_2(X_j,j{\in}B)){\leq}0$ a.s. whenever $f_1$ and $f_2$ are coordinatewise nondecreasing functions. We extend the H$\grave{a}$jek-R$\grave{e}$nyi-type inequality from negative association to conditional negative association of random variables. In addition, some corollaries are given.

A M-TYPE RISK MODEL WITH MARKOV-MODULATED PREMIUM RATE

  • Yu, Wen-Guang
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • v.27 no.5_6
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    • pp.1033-1047
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    • 2009
  • In this paper, we consider a m-type risk model with Markov-modulated premium rate. A integral equation for the conditional ruin probability is obtained. A recursive inequality for the ruin probability with the stationary initial distribution and the upper bound for the ruin probability with no initial reserve are given. A system of Laplace transforms of non-ruin probabilities, given the initial environment state, is established from a system of integro-differential equations. In the two-state model, explicit formulas for non-ruin probabilities are obtained when the initial reserve is zero or when both claim size distributions belong to the $K_n$-family, n $\in$ $N^+$ One example is given with claim sizes that have exponential distributions.

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On the Moving Average Models with Multivariate geometric Distributions

  • Baek, Jong-ill
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.6 no.3
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    • pp.677-686
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    • 1999
  • In this paper we introduce a class of moving-average(MA) sequences of multivariate random vectors with geometric marginals. The theory of positive dependence is used to show that in various cases the class of MA sequences consists of associated random variables. We utilize positive dependence properties to obtain weakly probability inequality of the multivariate processes.

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Image Denoising Using Bivariate Gaussian Model In Wavelet Domain (웨이블릿 영역에서 이변수 가우스 모델을 이용한 영상 잡음 제거)

  • Eom, Il-Kyu
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea SP
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    • v.45 no.6
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    • pp.57-63
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    • 2008
  • In this paper, we present an efficient noise reduction method using bivariate Gaussian density function in the wavelet domain. In our method, the probability model for the interstate dependency in the wavelet domain is modeled by bivariate Gaussian function, and then, the noise reduction is performed by Bayesian estimation. The statistical parameter for Bayesian estimation can be approximately obtained by the $H{\ddot{o}}lder$ inequality. The simulation results show that our method outperforms the previous methods using bivariate probability models.

Improvement of the Design Space Feasibility Using the Response Surface and Kriging Method (반응면 기법과 크리깅 기법을 이용한 설계공간의 타당성 향상)

  • Ku, Yo-Cheon;Jeon, Yong-Heu;Kim, Yu-Shin;Lee, Dong-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.33 no.2
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    • pp.32-38
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    • 2005
  • In this research, a procedure to improve the feasibility of design space is proposed by an approximation model. The Chebyshev Inequality is used as the criterion of modification of design space. This procedure is applied to the aero-elastic transonic wing design problem and the feasibility of the design space is greatly improved. Also the optimization results are improved by appling this procedure. That is, the probability to satisfy all imposed constraints is increased and the better design points are included in design space after this procedure. And the use of both a second-order response surface model and the Kriging model is investigated and compared in accuracy, efficiency, and robustness as approximation models in this procedure for different sampling methods. As a result, the second-order response surface model is more appropriate for our application than the Kriging model, because it is linear enough to be fitted well by the response surface model.

Econometric Analysis of the Difference in Medical Use among Income Groups in Korea: 2015 (한국의 소득수준 간 의료이용 차이의 계량적 분석: 2015)

  • Oh, Youngho
    • Health Policy and Management
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.339-351
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    • 2018
  • Background: The purpose of this study is to estimate empirically whether there is a difference in medical use among income groups, and if so, how much. This study applies econometric model to the most recent year of Korean Medical Panel, 2015. The model consists of outpatient service and inpatient service models. Methods: The probit model is applied to the model which indicate whether or not the medical care has been used. Two step estimation method using maximum likelihood estimation is applied to the models of outpatient visits, hospital days, and outpatient and inpatient out-of-pocket cost models, with disconnected selection problems. Results: The results show that there was the inequality favorable to the low income group in medical care use. However, after controlling basic medical needs, there were no inequities among income groups in the outpatient visit model and the model of probability of inpatient service use. However, there were inequities favorable to the upper income groups in the models of probability of outpatient service use and outpatient out-of-pocket cost and the models of the number of length of stay and inpatient out-of-pocket cost. In particular, it shows clearly how the difference in outpatient service and inpatient service utilizations by income groups when basic medical needs are controlled. Conclusion: This means that the income contributes significantly to the degree of inequality in outpatient and inpatient care services. Therefore, the existence of medical care use difference under the same medical needs among income groups is a problem in terms of equity of medical care use, so great efforts should be made to establish policies to improve equity among income groups.