• Title/Summary/Keyword: Probability Item

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Risk management applicable to shield TBM tunnel: I. Risk factor analysis (쉴드 TBM 터널에 적용 가능한 리스크 관리: I. 리스크 요인 분석)

  • Hyun, Ki-Chang;Min, Sang-Yoon;Moon, Joon-Bai;Jeong, Gyeong-Hwan;Lee, In-Mo
    • Journal of Korean Tunnelling and Underground Space Association
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    • v.14 no.6
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    • pp.667-681
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    • 2012
  • In general, risk management consists of a series of processes or steps including risk identification, risk analysis, risk evaluation, risk mitigation measures, and risk re-evaluation. In this paper, potential risk factors that occur in shield TBM tunnels were investigated based on many previous case studies and questionaries to tunnel experts. The risk factors were classified as geological, design or construction management features. Fault Tree was set up by dividing all feasible risks into four groups that associated with: cutter; machine confinement; mucking (driving) and segments. From the Fault Tree Analysis (FTA), 12 risk items were identified and the probability of failure of each chosen risk item was obtained.

Producer's Role of Development Process in Korean Film and Suggested Solutions - Comparison of Regulations in PGA, "Produced By" (한국영화 기획개발과정에서의 프로듀서의 역할과 개선방안 - PGA의 "Produced By" 규정을 기준으로)

  • Kim, Suna
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.13 no.10
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    • pp.214-225
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    • 2013
  • Current production systems have been recognized as having contributed a dramatic growth in the Korean film industry. However, industry voices feel that the role of these production systems should be reorganized as the industry faces further needs for development process. Film development process involves item selection, scenario completion process, and packaging process, which include choosing the right director and actors in order to increase the chances of completion of the film as well as increasing probability of investment funds. Thus, film development is a very creative and practical businesslike activity at the same time. The purpose of this report is to study the producers' role and problems by comparing Korean film development processes to 'Produced By' of the PGA(Producers Guild of America) and suggest a solution for the improvement.

Survival analysis of bank loan repayment rate for customers of Hawassa commercial bank of Ethiopaia

  • Kitabo, Cheru Atsmegiorgis;Kim, Jong Tae
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.25 no.6
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    • pp.1591-1598
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    • 2014
  • The reviews of the balance sheet of commercial banks showed that loan item constitutes the largest portion of bank's assets. Although the sector has highest rate of profit, it possesses the greatest risk. Identifying factors that can contribute in lifting-up the loan repayment rate of customers of Hawassa district commercial bank is the major goal of this study. A sample of 183 customers who took loan from October, 2005 to April, 2012 was taken from the bank record. Kaplan-Meier estimation method and univariate Cox proportional hazard model were applied to identify factors affecting bank loan repayment rate. The result from Kaplan-Meier survival estimation revealed that the loan repayment rate is significantly related with loan type, and previous loan experience, educational level and mode of repayment. The log-rank test indicates that the survival probability of loan customers is not statistically different in repaying the loan among groups classified by sex. Moreover, the univariate Cox proportional hazard model result portrayed that educational level, having previous loan experience, mode of repayment, collateral type and purpose of loan are significantly related with loan repayment rate of customers commercial bank. Hence, banks should design loan strategies giving special emphasis on the significant factors while they are giving loans to their customers.

A Study on the Maintainability Prediction in the Initial Design Phase between Weapon System Development (무기체계 개발간 초기 설계단계에서의 정비도 예측방안 연구)

  • Kim, Yeoungseok;Hur, Jangwok
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.824-831
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    • 2019
  • For effective development in consideration of the maintainability of the weapon system, it is necessary to understand whether the maintainability design requirements are satisfied at the early phase of development. This requires the application of an early design phase maintainability prediction process to provide opportunities for improvement. By defining the ambiguity group definition, fault isolation level, fault isolation probability, and countermeasures for faults, it was possible to predict early phase development. The MTTR of the initial design phase applying Procedure V to the artillery system was 3.46H, which is about 16 % higher than 2.98H, the MTTR using Procedure II. This is a result of system design ambiguity that has not been specified in the early phase of development.

Design of Infrared Camera for Extended Field of View (시야 확장형 적외선카메라 설계)

  • Lee, Yong-chun;Song, Chun-ho;Kim, Sang-woon;Kim, Young-kil
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2017.10a
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    • pp.699-701
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    • 2017
  • Typical operating method for long-range observation cameras are to detect the target at a wide angle of view and to recognize/identify the target with a telephoto angle of view. And the detection/recognition range performance is an important item to evaluate the performance of the defense infrared camera. To increased the detection range performance, the camera's field of view should be narrowed. Due to the narrow field of view, the probability of finding target is relatively low. In this paper, we propose a method to search for target by providing a wide angle view while maintaining detection range performance. M&S and optimized design were used to develop infrared camera with extended field of view and the results of the test summarized.

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The Association between Health-related Quality of Life and Depression on Activity Restriction in Osteoarthritis: A Cross-sectional Study

  • Lee, Do-Youn;Kim, Seong-Gil
    • The Journal of Korean Physical Therapy
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    • v.32 no.6
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    • pp.329-334
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    • 2020
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study is to provide basic evidence on the need to approach osteoarthritis patients through a psychological factors-considering rehabilitation program by understanding how activity restrictions in osteoarthritis affect health-related quality of life and depression. Methods: This study assessed 3,761 osteoarthritis patients from the Korea National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey. The subjects were divided into two categories: with and without activity restriction. Results: The prevalence of osteoarthritis in women was higher than that of men (men: 19.7%; women: 80.3%), and high BMI increased the prevalence of osteoarthritis. The EQ-5D index of subjects with activity restriction was 0.84±0.18 (points), while in those without activity restriction was 0.93±0.12, and the diagnosis of depression was 15.8%, 8.2%. There was a statistically significant difference in the odds ratio for each item in the EQ-5D. Moreover, the odds ratio for depression with activity restriction was 2.098 compared with no activity restriction. Conclusion: Activity restriction of osteoarthritis patients significantly decreases the health-related quality of life and increase the probability of depression. Therefore, early diagnosis of depression symptoms to prevent deterioration of symptoms in patients with osteoarthritis and to increase compliance with rehabilitation treatment, and to provide arbitration, including treatment that can alleviate depression.

모바일 부분 유료화 게임의 천장 시스템이 지속 과금 의도에 미치는 영향

  • Chio, Hun;Kim, Chung-woon;Lee, Yu-bin;Lee, Yons-Seol
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2022.05a
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    • pp.615-617
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    • 2022
  • Currently, the 'Gacha' system is becoming an indispensable profit generation method for online and mobile games. The system, also called "probability randomization," proceeds with cash-based payments, and it is not clear how much money you need to use to obtain the item you want. So, in response to the backlash of users, game companies introduced a "ceiling" system that allows users to get the items they want if they use it for more than a certain amount, and added several profit generation methods using it. We examine the impact of this system on continuous billing induction.

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The Association of Activity Limitation on Health-Related Quality of Life and Depression in Elderly Korean Stroke Patients

  • Do-Youn Lee
    • The Journal of Korean Physical Therapy
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    • v.35 no.6
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    • pp.195-199
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    • 2023
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study was to help the numerous health care workers who participate in the rehabilitation of stroke patients by understanding how limitations on the activities of stroke patients affect the health-related quality of life and depression. Methods: We investigated 527 stroke patients from the Korean's National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (KNHANES, 2013-2018). The subjects were divided into two categories: with and without activity limitation. A medical doctor's diagnosis of depression and the EQ-5D, which measures life satisfaction connected to health, were the study's factors. Based on their level of activity limitation, the individuals' depression and health-related quality of life were compared. The odds ratios relating to activity limitation's relationships with depression and stroke patients' quality of life were computed using logistic regression analysis. Results: The diagnosis of depression in subjects with activity limitation was 16.0%, while in those with no limitation on activity it was 5.6%, and the EQ-5D index was 0.67±0.02, 0.85±0.01. For every item on the EQ-5D, there existed a significant difference in the odds ratio. Furthermore, when comparing depression with activity limitation to non-activity limitation, the odds ratio was 4.09 (2.12-7.788). Conclusion: Limitation of activities of stroke patients significantly reduces the health-related quality of life and increase the probability of depression. Therefore, treatment of stroke patients should be approached taking into consideration their psychological condition. It is also deemed necessary to have a systematic and continuous rehabilitation program.

A study of improved ways of the predicted probability to criminal types (범죄유형별 범죄발생 예측확률을 높일 수 있는 방법에 관한 연구)

  • Chung, Young-Suk;Kim, Jin-Mook;Park, Koo-Rack
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.163-172
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    • 2012
  • Modern society, various great strength crimes are producing. After all crimes happen, it is most important that prevent crime beforehand than that cope. So, many research studied to prevent various crime. However, existing method of studies are to analyze and prevent by society and psychological factors. Therefore we wishes to achieve research to forecast crime by time using Markov chain method. We embody modelling for crime occurrence estimate by crime type time using crime occurrence number of item data that is collected about 5 great strength offender strength, murder, rape, moderation, violence. And examined propriety of crime occurrence estimate modelling by time that propose in treatise that compare crime occurrence type crime occurrence estimate price and actuality occurrence value. Our proposed crime occurrence estimate techniques studied to apply maximum value by critcal value about great strength crime such as strength, murder, rape etc. actually, and heighten crime occurrence estimate probability by using way to apply mean value about remainder crime in this paper. So, we wish to more study about wide crime case and as the crime occurrence estimate rate and actuality value by time are different in crime type hereafter applied examples investigating.

EM Algorithm and Two Stage Model for Incomplete Data (불완전한 자료에 대한 보완기법(EM 알고리듬과 2단계(Two Stage) 모델))

  • 박경숙
    • Korea journal of population studies
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.162-183
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    • 1998
  • This study examines the sampling bias that may have resulted from the large number of missing observations. Despite well-designed and reliable sampling procedures, the observed sample values in DSFH(Demographic Survey on Changes in Family and Household Structure, Japan) included many missing observations. The head administerd survey method of DSFH resulted in a large number of missing observations regarding characteristics of elderly non-head parents and their children. In addition, the response probability of a particular item in DSFH significantly differs by characteristics of elderly parents and their children. Furthermore, missing observations of many items occurred simultaneously. This complex pattern of missing observations critically limits the ability to produce an unbiased analysis. First, the large number of missing observations is likely to cause a misleading estimate of the standard error. Even worse, the possible dependency of missing observations on their latent values is likely to produce biased estimates of covariates. Two models are employed to solve the possible inference biases. First, EM algorithm is used to infer the missing values based on the knowledge of the association between the observed values and other covariates. Second, a selection model was employed given the suspicion that the probability of missing observations of proximity depends on its unobserved outcome.

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