• Title/Summary/Keyword: Probability Evaluation

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Complex Leakage Probability Evaluation of Nuclear Pipes by Fatigue and Stress Corrosion Cracking (피로 및 응력부식균열에 의한 원전 배관의 복합누설확률 평가)

  • Kim, Seung Hyun;Goni, Nasimul;Chang, Yoon-Suk;Jang, Changheui
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Pressure Vessels and Piping
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.25-30
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    • 2015
  • In the present study, complex leakage probabilities of nuclear pipes due to fatigue and stress corrosion cracking are evaluated by using the PINTIN(Piping INTegrity INner flaws) that is developed based on the existing PRAISE(Piping Reliability Analysis Including Seismic Events) program. With regard to the aging and crack instability, small leak and big leak probabilities are calculated for several pipes in a reactor coolant system of domestic nuclear plant. Moreover, sensitivity analysis is also performed to find out the effect of parameters for the leakage of pipes, which shows the coolant temperature is the most influencing parameter.

Reliability Evaluation of Ceramic Structures Under Thermal Shocks (열충격이 작용하는 세라믹구조의 신뢰성 평가)

  • 김종태;심확섭;장건익;이치우;이환우
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Precision Engineering Conference
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    • 1996.11a
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    • pp.954-958
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    • 1996
  • An analysis method for the reliability of ceramic structures subjected to thermal shocks is presented, Flaws with the size of given probability distribution function are assumed to be distributed at random with a certain density per unit volume in the structures. Criterions for crack instability are derived for brittle solids under general thermal stresses. A probabilistic failure model is presented to study the probability of crack instability for blittle solids containing cracks with uncertain crack size. The reliabilities of brittle structures are evaluated based on the weakest-link hypothesis, which states that a structure fails when the cracks in any differential volume become unstable. A numerical example is given to demonstrate the application of the proposed method.

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Quantile-based Nonparametric Test for Comparing Two Diagnostic Tests

  • Kim, Young-Min;Song, Hae-Hiang
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.609-621
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    • 2007
  • Diagnostic test results, which are approximately normal with a few number of outliers, but non-normal probability distribution, are frequently observed in practice. In the evaluation of two diagnostic tests, Greenhouse and Mantel (1950) proposed a parametric test under the assumption of normality but this test is inappropriate for the above non-normal case. In this paper, we propose a computationally simple nonparametric test that is based on quantile estimators of mean and standard deviation, instead of the moment-based mean and standard deviation as in some parametric tests. Parametric and nonparametric tests are compared with simulations under the assumption of, respectively, normality and non-normality, and under various combinations of the probability distributions for the normal and diseased groups.

Interference Evaluation between competiting Wideband CDMA systems

  • Kwon, Dong-Seung;Han, Jin-Kyu;Park, Han-Kyu
    • Proceedings of the IEEK Conference
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    • 2000.07a
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    • pp.121-124
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    • 2000
  • In this paper, we evaluate the interference statistics between the competiting wideband CDMA systems, and optimize the frequency coordination between Wideband-CDMA systems by the Monte-Carlo methodology. We develop the simulator to analyze the radio interference between CDMA systems. It can calculate or estimate the probability of interference from adjacent frequency band, which is also power controlled. We simulate the interference effects between two Wideband CDMA systems. We present the required carrier distance and zone for two operators to meet the required coverage efficiency and outage probability of Signal to interference plus noise ration (SINR).

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Partial Relay Selection for Decode and Forward over Rayleigh Fading Channels (레일리페이딩 환경에서 복호 후 재전송방식을 위한 부분적 릴레이 선택방식 연구)

  • Bao, Vo Nguyen Quoc;Kong, Hyung-Yun
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.34 no.7A
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    • pp.523-529
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    • 2009
  • This paper provides closed form expressions for the evaluation of the end-to-end outage probability, symbol error rate, bit error rate and average capacity of the partial-based Decode-and-Forward (DF) relay selection scheme with an arbitrary number of relays. In a comparison with the performance of systems that exploit Amplify-and-Forward (AF), it can be seen that the performance of our proposed protocol converges to that of partial-based AF relay selection in high SNR regime. We also perform Monte-Carlo simulations to validate the analysis.

A Performance Evaluation of Multimedia-on-demand Server Using Simulation Method (시뮬레이션 기법을 이용한 주문형 멀티미디어 서버의 성능 평가)

  • 박기진
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.33-43
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    • 1998
  • To evaluate the server performance and forecast capacity requirements, we carry out simulation of Multimedia-on-demand(MOD) server. In multimedia service environment, especially for on-demand service, one of the key problems is capacity planning, which requires ensuring that adequate computer resources will be available to meet the future workload demands in a cost-effective manner. In this paper, we design and implement a simulation model for MOD server with failures of components (e.g., processors, disks and networks). By acquisition of utilization and queue length parameters, we can estimate desirable capacity of server components with various arrival rates of customers and failure rates of components. For a given failure probability, we also compute packet delay probability and reliability of the server. It is possible to derive some important design information of the MOD server by using the above parameters.

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A Study on Fault Diagnostic Model for Behaviour Appearance of Components (부품의 가동형태에 따른 고장진단 모델 연구)

  • 박주식;하정호;강경식
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.4 no.4
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    • pp.97-108
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    • 2002
  • This study deals with the application of knowledge-based engineering and a methodology for the assessment & measurement of reliability, availability, maintainability, and safety of industrial systems using fault-tree representation. A fuzzy methodology for fault-tree evaluation seems to be an alternative solution to overcome the drawbacks of the conventional approach. To improve the quality of results, the membership functions must be approximated based on heuristic considerations. Conventionally, it is not always easy to obtain a system reliability for components with different individual failure probability density functions(p.d.f.), We utilize fuzzy set theory to solve the adequacy of the conventional probability in accounting and processing of built-in uncertainties in the probabilistic data. The purpose of this study is to propose the framework of knowledge-based engineering through integrating the various sources of knowledge involved in a FTA.

Terminal-Pair Availability Evaluation in Irreducible Structure Communication Networks (비가략(非可略) 구조를 갖는 네트워크의 단점간 가용도 평가)

  • Lee, Jun-Hyuk;Kim, Kyoung-Mok;Oh, Young-Hwan
    • Journal of Applied Reliability
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.181-192
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    • 2008
  • In this paper, we proposed effective algorithm that do Availability of communication network account using total probability formula. Use path tracing method about PSTN linked with MSC in WCDMA considering occasion that do not consider mobility of terminal and Availability did account. First, express minimum path series gathering by structure function after network that do modeling by stochastic graph for communication network saves all minimal path sets between particular two abutments and we gain Availability value in angular variable after express structure function by Boolean operation form and Availability between two abutments did account.

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A Probabilistic Dissimilarity Matching for the DFT-Domain Image Hashing

  • Seo, Jin S.;Jo, Myung-Suk
    • International Journal of Advanced Culture Technology
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.76-82
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    • 2017
  • An image hash, a discriminative and robust summary of an image, should be robust against quality-preserving signal processing steps, while being pairwise independent for perceptually different inputs. In order to improve the hash matching performance, this paper proposes a probabilistic dissimilarity matching. Instead of extracting the binary hash from the query image, we compute the probability that the intermediate hash vector of the query image belongs to each quantization bin, which is referred to as soft quantization binning. The probability is used as a weight in comparing the binary hash of the query with that stored in a database. A performance evaluation over sets of image distortions shows that the proposed probabilistic matching method effectively improves the hash matching performance as compared with the conventional Hamming distance.

Parametric Study on Fragility Curves of Concrete Wall Structures (콘크리트 벽식구조의 취약도 곡선에 대한 변수 연구)

  • Kim, Hyo-Jin;Park, Hong-Gun;Lee, Young-Wook
    • Proceedings of the Korea Concrete Institute Conference
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    • 2006.11a
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    • pp.101-104
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    • 2006
  • In the past study, the fragility curve for the evaluation of earthquake resistance and earthquake-related damage of concrete bearing wall structures were studied. The fragility curve represents the probability of being in or exceeding a given damage state such as Slight, Moderate, Extensive or Complete structural damage state, and is defined as a cumulative lognormal distribution. Each fragility curve is characterized by median and lognormal standard deviation values. We performed parametric pushover analysis for typical 12 and 24 stories apartment buildings. Based on the results, the fragility curves of concrete wall structures were standardized. Using the fragility curve, engineers can directly evaluate the probability of a damage state to a spectral displacement of interest.

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