• Title/Summary/Keyword: Probability Analysis

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Outage Analysis and Power Allocation for Distributed Space-Time Coding-Based Cooperative Systems over Rayleigh Fading Channels

  • Lee, In-Ho
    • Journal of information and communication convergence engineering
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.21-27
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    • 2017
  • In this research, we study the outage probability for distributed space-time coding-based cooperative (DSTC) systems with amplify-and-forward relaying over Rayleigh fading channels with a high temporal correlation where the direct link between the source and the destination is available. In particular, we derive the upper and lower bounds of the outage probability as well as their corresponding asymptotic expressions. In addition, using only the average channel powers for the source-to-relay and relay-to-destination links, we propose an efficient power allocation scheme between the source and the relay to minimize the asymptotic upper bound of the outage probability. Through a numerical investigation, we verify the analytical expressions as well as the effectiveness of the proposed efficient power allocation. The numerical results show that the lower and upper bounds tightly correspond to the exact outage probability, and the proposed efficient power allocation scheme provides an outage probability similar to that of the optimal power allocation scheme that minimizes the exact outage probability.

Comparison and analysis of peak flow by Areal Reduction Factor (면적감소계수에 따른 첨두유량의 비교연구)

  • Baek, Hyo-Sun;Lee, De-Young;Kang, Young-Buk;Choi, Han-Kuy
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2007.05a
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    • pp.1798-1802
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    • 2007
  • The practice of business estimate flood discharge by rainfall-flow relation that is easy collection of observation data. The important factor is rainfall, coefficient of runoff, and drainage area for analysis of runoff-flow relation.The practice of business usually use probability rainfall that use a weighted average value after each observation post estimate probability of non-same time. It has more error than same time probability rainfall, and it can excess of estimation because it can't consider space distribution of rainfall.The study of result showed similar aspect with existing ARF but width of coefficient become smaller. And the comparison of peak flow did not different what used by ARF and same time probability rainfall(A group). But non-same time probability rainfall is bigger 25% more than another(B group). Between A group and B group of the difference increased with the lapse of time.

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Comparison and analysis of peak flow by Areal Reduction Factor (면적감소계수에 따른 첨두유량의 비교 분석)

  • Lee, Dae-Young;Choi, Han-Kuy
    • Journal of Industrial Technology
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    • v.27 no.A
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    • pp.95-102
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    • 2007
  • The practice of business estimate flood discharge by rainfall-flow relation that is easy collection of observation data. The important factor is rainfall, coefficient of runoff, and drainage area for analysis of runoff-flow relation. The practice of business usually use probability rainfall that use a weighted average value after each observation post estimate probability of non-same time. It has more error than same time probability rainfall, and it can excess of estimation because it can't consider space distribution of rainfall. The study of result showed similar aspect with existing ARF but width of coefficient become smaller. And the comparison of peak flow did not different what used by ARF and same time probability rainfall(A group). But non-same time probability rainfall is bigger 25% more than another(B group). Between A group and B group of the difference increased with the lapse of time.

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A Quantitative Collision Probability Analysis in Port Waterway (항만수로의 정량적인 충돌확률 분석)

  • Jeong, Jung-Sik;Kim, Kwang-Il;Park, Gyei-Kark
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.373-378
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    • 2012
  • In terms of the maritime accident prevention, risk analysis at targeted warterways is important for planning safety waterways. This paper analyzes the maritime accidents probability in the Mokpo waterways, South Korea, based on the IWRAP(IALA Waterway Risk Assessment) of the quantitative accident probability tool. Vessel collision probability cate is calculated by vessels meeting direction, using IWRAP. This paper contribute to advance improvement of vessel traffic service by VTS sector providing vessel fairway risk data.

Analysis of structural dynamic reliability based on the probability density evolution method

  • Fang, Yongfeng;Chen, Jianjun;Tee, Kong Fah
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.45 no.2
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    • pp.201-209
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    • 2013
  • A new dynamic reliability analysis of structure under repeated random loads is proposed in this paper. The proposed method is developed based on the idea that the probability density of several times random loads can be derived from the probability density of single-time random load. The reliability prediction models of structure based on time responses under several times random loads with and without strength degradation are obtained by using the stress-strength interference theory and probability density evolution method. The resulting differential equations in the prediction models can be solved by using the forward finite difference method. Then, the probability density functions of strength redundancy of the structures can be obtained. Finally, the structural dynamic reliability can be calculated using integral method. The efficiency of the proposed method is demonstrated numerically through a speed reducer. The results have shown that the proposed method is practicable, feasible and gives reasonably accurate prediction.

A Study on the Optimal Probability Distribution for the Time Interval Between Ships on the Traffic Route of the Busan North Port (부산 북항 통항 선박간의 시간간격 최적 확률분포에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Jong-Kwan
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.43 no.6
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    • pp.413-419
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    • 2019
  • Traffic routes typically have heavy traffic. Especially, the entrance of the route has a high risk of accidents occurring because of ships entering and exiting the port. However, almost of studies have focused on the distribution of traffic on the route. Thus, studies on the distribution between ships for passing through the route are insufficient. The purpose of this study was to analysis the traffic in the Busan north port No.1 route for one week. Based on present traffic conditions, one gate line was settled on the route with an analysis of traffic conditions. Based on the analysis data, each optimal time probability distribution between ships was divided into inbound/outbound and traffic volume. An analysis of the optimal probability distribution, was applied to 31 probability distributions divided into bounded, unbounded, non-negative, and advanced probability distribution. The KS test was applied for identifying three major optimal time probability distributions. According to the KS test results, the Wakeby distribution is the best optimal time probability distribution on the designated route. Although the optimal time probability distribution for other transportation studies such as on vehicles on highways is a non-negative probability distribution, this distribution is an advanced probability distribution. Thus, the application of major probability distribution for using other transportation studies is not applicable to this study Additionally, the distance between ships in actual traffic surveys and the distance estimated by the optimal probability distribution were compared. As a result of the comparison, those distances were fairly similar. However, this study was conducted in only one major port. Thus, it is necessary to investigate the time between ships and calculate a traffic volume on varying routes in future studies.

Naval ship's susceptibility assessment by the probabilistic density function

  • Kim, Kwang Sik;Hwang, Se Yun;Lee, Jang Hyun
    • Journal of Computational Design and Engineering
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    • v.1 no.4
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    • pp.266-271
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    • 2014
  • The survivability of the naval ship is the capability of a warship to avoid or withstand a hostile environment. The survivability of the naval ship assessed by three categories (susceptibility, vulnerability and recoverability). The magnitude of susceptibility of a warship encountering with threat is dependent upon the attributes of detection equipment and weapon system. In this paper, as a part of a naval ship's survivability analysis, an assessment process model for the ship's susceptibility analysis technique is developed. Naval ship's survivability emphasizing the susceptibility is assessed by the probability of detection, and the probability of hit. Considering the radar cross section (RCS), the assessment procedure for the susceptibility is described. It's emphasizing the simplified calculation model based on the probability density function for probability of hit. Assuming the probability of hit given a both single-hit and multiple-hit, the susceptibility is accessed for a RCS and the hit probability for a rectangular target is applied for a given threat.

Probability of performance failure of storm sewer according to accumulation of debris (토사 적체에 따른 우수관의 성능불능확률)

  • Kwon, Hyuk-Jae
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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    • v.24 no.5
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    • pp.509-517
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    • 2010
  • Statistical distribution of annual maximum rainfall intensity of 18 cities in Korea was analyzed and applied to the reliability model which can calculate the probability of performance failure of storm sewer. After the analysis, it was found that distribution of annual maximum rainfall intensity of 18 cities in Korea is well matched with Gumbel distribution. Rational equation was used to estimate the load and Manning's equation was used to estimate the capacity in reliability function to calculate the probability of performance failure of storm sewer. Reliability analysis was performed by developed model applying to the real storm sewer. It was found that probability of performance failure is abruptly increased if the diameter is smaller than certain size. Therefore, cleaning the inside of storm sewer to maintain the original diameter can be one of the best ways to reduce the probability of performance failure. In the present study, probability of performance failure according to accumulation of debris in storm sewer was calculated. It was found that increasing the amount of debris seriously decrease the capacity of storm sewer and significantly increase the probability of performance failure.

An Analysis of the United States Elementary Mathematics Textbooks - Focused on Probability in "Everyday Mathematics" - (미국 초등학교 수학 교과서 "Everyday Mathematics" 의 확률 영역 분석)

  • Park, Sang Uk;Park, Kyo Sik;Kim, Jiwon
    • Journal of Elementary Mathematics Education in Korea
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.475-492
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    • 2014
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the United States Elementary Mathematics textbooks "Everyday Mathematics", focused on area of the probability. The concept of probability as qualitative probability is taught from Kindergarten in EM curricula for progressive mathematising. EM have reflected both perspectives in probability which are a frequency perspective and a classical perspective. And EM includes abundant activities for remedying the misconceptions of probability. On the basis of the results from this analysis, we have five suggestions which are helpful for the revision of the Korean national curriculum.

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Space Analysis of a Traditional Town for Designing Evacuation Routes considering Probability of Building Collapse

  • Hidaka, Yutaro;Mishima, Nobuo;Wakuya, Hiroshi;Hayashida, Yukuo;Okazaki, Yasuhisa;Kitagawa, Keiko;Park, Sun-gyu;Oh, Yong-sun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Contents Association Conference
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    • 2015.05a
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    • pp.7-8
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    • 2015
  • Analysis of evacuation routes for traditional buildings is important. In this study, we considered the evacuation routes using the probability of building collapse and analyzed the open space of traditional town. We considered evacuation routes from traditional houses to designated refuge places, and analysis the relationship of open space and evacuation routes.

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