• Title/Summary/Keyword: Probabilistic variation

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Evaluation of Pulley Durability Considering the Variation of the Fatigue Strength (피로강도 변동성을 고려한 Pulley의 내구성 평가)

  • Shim, Hee-Jin;Kim, Chul-Su;Oh, Won-Chul;Kim, Jung-Kyu
    • Proceedings of the KSME Conference
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    • 2004.04a
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    • pp.394-399
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    • 2004
  • In order to secure the safety of power steering system, it is necessary to perform the strength and the fatigue analysis of pulley in this paper. The applied stress distribution of the pulley subject to combined loads condition was obtained using finite element analysis. Based on these results, the fatigue life of the pulley with the variation of the fatigue strength was evaluated using durability analysis simulator. The optimal hole size to improved the safety of the pulley was investigated using parametric study. Moreover, the predicted fatigue life cycle with the simulator was verified by experimental tests.

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La Variación de /ɾ/ en Posición Posnuclear en el Español Andino del Perú

  • Kim, Kyoung-Lai
    • Iberoamérica
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.127-158
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    • 2019
  • In this paper, the variation in coda /ɾ/ is analyzed in the Spanish of the Tupe district in Peru. The work was carried out on the corpus of 24 semi-structured interviews. Four variants of /-ɾ/ were distinguished and 1920 tokens were analyzed. Praat was used to recognize and describe the variants and two statistical analysis were carried out: descriptive analysis and probabilistic analysis using the statistical program Goldvarb X. The results obtained from the analysis show that the assibilated variant is favored in the prepausal position and before homorganic consonants. The frequency of occurrence was very low before other consonants. Regarding the social factor that contributes to the assimilated variant, the young and middle-aged men (from 20 to 60), those who did not live more than a year on the Peruvian coast and male speakers favor it.

A Probabilistic Analysis on Logarithmic-Spiral Failure of Slope in Consideration of Load Variance (하중의 분산성을 고려한 대수누선사면 파괴의 확률론적 해석)

  • 정성관;권무남
    • Geotechnical Engineering
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    • v.4 no.4
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    • pp.39-50
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    • 1988
  • Until now, most probabilistic approaches to the slope stability analysis have been accomplished on the arc failure surface without load. In this study, the relationships between the probability of failure and the safety factor are investigated when the shape of failure is logarithmic spiral on the homogeneous slope with ground water level, the probability distributions of the load and the strength parameter of soil being assumed as normal distribution, log-normal distribution and beta distribution. The results obtained are as follows; 1. For the same safety factor, the design of slope is more reasonable by using the probability of failure than by the safety factor because the probability of failure is increased as the coefficient of variation is increased. 2, The safety factor is more reasonably determined by the coefficient of variation of the strength parameter than by the field condition when the safety factor is applied to design of slope.

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Probabilistic analysis of spectral displacement by NSA and NDA

  • Devandiran, P.;Kamatchi, P.;Rao, K. Balaji;Ravisankar, K.;Iyer, Nagesh R.
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • v.5 no.4
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    • pp.439-459
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    • 2013
  • Main objective of the present study is to determine the statistical properties and suitable probability distribution functions of spectral displacements from nonlinear static and nonlinear dynamic analysis within the frame work of Monte Carlo simulation for typical low rise and high rise RC framed buildings located in zone III and zone V and designed as per Indian seismic codes. Probabilistic analysis of spectral displacement is useful for strength assessment and loss estimation. To the author's knowledge, no study is reported in literature on comparison of spectral displacement including the uncertainties in capacity and demand in Indian context. In the present study, uncertainties in capacity of the building is modeled by choosing cross sectional dimensions of beams and columns, density and compressive strength of concrete, yield strength and elastic modulus of steel and, live load as random variables. Uncertainty in demand is modeled by choosing peak ground acceleration (PGA) as a random variable. Nonlinear static analysis (NSA) and nonlinear dynamic analysis (NDA) are carried out for typical low rise and high rise reinforced concrete framed buildings using IDARC 2D computer program with the random sample input parameters. Statistical properties are obtained for spectral displacements corresponding to performance point from NSA and maximum absolute roof displacement from NDA and suitable probability distribution functions viz., normal, Weibull, lognormal are examined for goodness-of-fit. From the hypothesis test for goodness-of-fit, lognormal function is found to be suitable to represent the statistical variation of spectral displacement obtained from NSA and NDA.

Design of Stochastic Movement Model Considering Sensor Node Reliability and Energy Efficiency

  • Cho, Do-Hyeoun;Yeol, Yun Dai;Hwang, Chi-Gon
    • International Journal of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.156-162
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    • 2020
  • Wireless Sensor Network (WSN) field is mainly studied to monitor and characterize large-scale physical environments to track various environmental or physical conditions, such as temperature, pressure, wind speed and humidity. WSN can be used in various applications such as wild surveillance, military target tracking and monitoring, dangerous environmental exploration and natural disaster relief. We design probabilistic mobile models that apply to mobile ad hoc network mobile environments. A probabilistic shift model proposed by dividing the number of moving nodes and the distance of travel into two categories to express node movement characteristics. The proposed model of movement through simulation was compared with the existing random movement model, ensuring that the width and variation rate of the first node node node node (FND) was stable regardless of the node movement rate. In addition, when the proposed mobile model is applied to the routing protocol, the superiority of network life can be verified from measured FND values. We overcame the limitations of the existing random movement model, showing excellent characteristics in terms of energy efficiency and stable in terms of changes in node movement.

Motion-based design of TMD for vibrating footbridges under uncertainty conditions

  • Jimenez-Alonso, Javier F.;Saez, Andres
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • v.21 no.6
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    • pp.727-740
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    • 2018
  • Tuned mass dampers (TMDs) are passive damping devices widely employed to mitigate the pedestrian-induced vibrations on footbridges. The TMD design must ensure an adequate performance during the overall life-cycle of the structure. Although the TMD is initially adjusted to match the natural frequency of the vibration mode which needs to be controlled, its design must further take into account the change of the modal parameters of the footbridge due to the modification of the operational and environmental conditions. For this purpose, a motion-based design optimization method is proposed and implemented herein, aimed at ensuring the adequate behavior of footbridges under uncertainty conditions. The uncertainty associated with the variation of such modal parameters is simulated by a probabilistic approach based on the results of previous research reported in literature. The pedestrian action is modelled according to the recommendations of the Synpex guidelines. A comparison among the TMD parameters obtained considering different design criteria, design requirements and uncertainty levels is performed. To illustrate the proposed approach, a benchmark footbridge is considered. Results show both which is the most adequate design criterion to control the pedestrian-induced vibrations on the footbridge and the influence of the design requirements and the uncertainty level in the final TMD design.

Probabilistic Graph Based Object Category Recognition Using the Context of Object-Action Interaction (물체-행동 컨텍스트를 이용하는 확률 그래프 기반 물체 범주 인식)

  • Yoon, Sung-baek;Bae, Se-ho;Park, Han-je;Yi, June-ho
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.40 no.11
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    • pp.2284-2290
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    • 2015
  • The use of human actions as context for object class recognition is quite effective in enhancing the recognition performance despite the large variation in the appearance of objects. We propose an efficient method that integrates human action information into object class recognition using a Bayesian appraoch based on a simple probabilistic graph model. The experiment shows that by using human actions ac context information we can improve the performance of the object calss recognition from 8% to 28%.

Evaluation of chassis component reliability considering variation of fatigue data (피로 자료 분산을 고려한 자동차 부품의 신뢰도 해석)

  • Nam G.W;Lee B.C.
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Precision Engineering Conference
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    • 2005.06a
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    • pp.690-693
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    • 2005
  • In this paper, probabilistic distribution of fatigue life of chassis component is determined statistically by applying the design of experiments and the Pearson system. To construct $p-\varepsilon-N$ curve, the case that fatigue data are random variables is attempted. Probabilistic density function(p.d.f) for fatigue life is obtained by design of experiment and using this p.d.f fatigue reliability about any aimed fatigue life can be calculated. Lower control arm and rear torsion bar of chassis component are selected as examples for analysis. Component load histories, which are obtained by multi-body dynamic simulation for Belsian load history, are used. Finite element analysis are performed using commercial software MSC Nastran and fatigue analysis are performed using FE Fatigue. When strain-life curve itself is random variable, probability density function of fatigue life has very little difference from log-normal distribution. And the case of fatigue data are random variables, probability density functions are approximated to Beta distribution. Each p.d.f is verified by Monte-Carlo simulation.

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A Study on Probabilistic Reliability Evaluation of Power System Considering Solar Cell Generators (태양광발전원(太陽光發電原)을 고려한 전력계통(電力系統)의 확률논적(確率論的)인 신뢰도(信賴度) 평가(評價)에 관한 연구(硏究))

  • Park, Jeong-Je;Liang, Wu;Choi, Jae-Seok;Cha, Jun-Min
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.58 no.3
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    • pp.486-495
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    • 2009
  • This paper proposes a new methodology on reliability evaluation of a power system including solar cell generators (SCG). The SCGs using renewable energy resource such as solar radiation(SR) should be modeled as multi-state operational model because the uncertainty of the resource supply may occur an effect as same as the forced outage of generator in viewpoint of adequacy reliability of system. While a two-state model is well suited for modeling conventional generators, a multi-state model is needed to model the SCGs due to the random variation of solar radiation. This makes the method of calculating reliability evaluation indices of the SCG different from the conventional generator. After identifying the typical pattern of the SR probability distribution function(pdf) from SR actual data, this paper describes modelling, methodology and details process for reliability evaluation of the solar cell generators integrated with power system. Two test results indicate the viability of the proposed method.

Development of a bridge-specific fragility methodology to improve the seismic resilience of bridges

  • Dukes, Jazalyn;Mangalathu, Sujith;Padgett, Jamie E.;DesRoches, Reginald
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.253-261
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    • 2018
  • This article details a bridge-specific fragility method developed to enhance the seismic design and resilience of bridges. Current seismic design processes provide guidance for the design of a bridge that will not collapse during a design hazard event. However, they do not provide performance information of the bridge at different hazard levels or due to design changes. Therefore, there is a need for a supplement to this design process that will provide statistical information on the performance of a bridge, beyond traditional emphases on collapse prevention. This article proposes a bridge-specific parameterized fragility method to enable efficient estimation of various levels of damage probability for alternative bridge design parameters. A multi-parameter demand model is developed to incorporate bridge design details directly in the fragility estimation. Monte Carlo simulation and Logistic regression are used to determine the fragility of the bridge or bridge component. The resulting parameterized fragility model offers a basis for a bridge-specific design tool to explore the influence of design parameter variation on the expected performance of a bridge. When used as part of the design process, these tools can help to transform a prescriptive approach into a more performance-based approach, efficiently providing probabilistic performance information about a new bridge design. An example of the method and resulting fragility estimation is presented.