• 컴퓨터교육학회논문지
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• 제16권2호
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• pp.29-37
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• 2013

창의성이 강조되는 교육환경에서 사고의 범위를 넓힐 수 있는 그룹별 토론이나 창의성을 개발하기 위한 컴퓨터활용 수업 모형이 요구되고 있다. 따라서 본 논문에서는 그룹별 컴퓨터활용 교육에서 발생하는 문제점들을 사전 조사한 후 창의성을 고려한 웹 기반 수업 모형을 제안하였다. 수업 모형의 이론적 배경으로는 PBL을 기반으로 하였으며 웹 마인드 맵을 토론과 자료공유를 위한 도구로 활용하여 수업의 효율성과 함께 집단의 창의성도 함께 고려하였다. 제안한 수업 모형을 프레젠테이션 제작 과목을 신청한 학생들에게 적용한 결과 의사소통이나 자료공유, 역할분담, 기여도의 차이, 과다 시간 소요 등에 대한 불만이 줄어드는 확률적으로 유의미한 결과가 나타났다.

• 한국콘텐츠학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국콘텐츠학회 2015년도 춘계 종합학술대회 논문집
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• pp.15-16
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• 2015

Measuring sensor, equipment, ICT facilities and their software have relatively short life time comparing to constructional structure so that we should exchange or fix them continuously in the process of maintenance and management. In this paper, we propose a novel design of integrated maintenance, management, and measuring monitoring system applying the concept of mobile cloud. For the sake of disaster prevention for constructional structures such as bridge, tunnel, and other traditional buildings in the village of local heritage, we analyze status of these structures in the long term or short term period as well as disaster situations. Collecting data based on mobile cloud and analyzing future expectations based on probabilistic and statistical techniques, we implement our integrated monitoring system for constructional structures to solve these existing problems. Final results of this design and implementation are basically applied to the monitoring system for more than 10,000 structures spread over national land in Korea. In addition, we can specifically apply the monitoring system presented here to a bridge of timber structure in Asan Oeam Village and a traditional house in Andong Hahoe Village to watch them from possible disasters. Total procedure of system design and implementation as well as development of the platform LinkSaaS and application services of monitoring functions implemented on the platform. We prove a good performance of our system by fulfilling TTA authentication test, web accommodation test, and operation test using real measuring data.

• 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국수자원학회 2012년도 학술발표회
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• pp.39-39
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• 2012

Data assimilation techniques have received growing attention due to their capability to improve prediction in various areas. Despite of their potentials, applicable software frameworks to probabilistic approaches and data assimilation are still limited because the most of hydrologic modelling software are based on a deterministic approach. In this study, we developed a hydrological modelling framework for sequential data assimilation, namely MPI-OHyMoS. MPI-OHyMoS allows user to develop his/her own element models and to easily build a total simulation system model for hydrological simulations. Unlike process-based modelling framework, this software framework benefits from its object-oriented feature to flexibly represent hydrological processes without any change of the main library. In this software framework, sequential data assimilation based on the particle filters is available for any hydrologic models considering various sources of uncertainty originated from input forcing, parameters and observations. The particle filters are a Bayesian learning process in which the propagation of all uncertainties is carried out by a suitable selection of randomly generated particles without any assumptions about the nature of the distributions. In MPI-OHyMoS, ensemble simulations are parallelized, which can take advantage of high performance computing (HPC) system. We applied this software framework for several catchments in Japan using a distributed hydrologic model. Uncertainty of model parameters and radar rainfall estimates is assessed simultaneously in sequential data assimilation.

• 한국수자원학회논문집
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• 제47권5호
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• pp.435-446
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• 2014

지금까지 많은 연구를 통하여 제안된 다양한 가뭄지수들은 사전에 정의된 등급을 통하여 가뭄을 평가하기 때문에 가뭄현상에 내재된 불확실성을 고려하지 못하고 있다. 본 연구에서는 월 유출량 자료에 내재되어 있는 불확실성을 고려하기 위해 은닉 마코프 모형(HMM) 기반의 가뭄지수(HMDI)를 제안하고, 이를 이용하여 수문학적 가뭄에 대한 확률론적 평가를 수행하였다. WAMIS에서 제공하는 한강유역의 평창강과 남한강상류의 월평균 유출량 자료(1966~2009)를 이용하여 3, 6, 12개월씩 누적시킨 후, HMM에 적용하여 은닉상태의 사후확률을 계산하였다. 연구방법의 검증을 위해 HMM을 이용하여 추정된 각 은닉상태 별 사후확률(HMDI)과 기준값에 의해 가뭄을 평가하는 방법 중 하나인 표준유출지수(SSI)와 비교를 하였다. 분석결과, 기존 가뭄지수(SSI)를 사용하였을 때는 하나의 지수로 특정 시점에서의 가뭄 상태를 판단하였지만, HMDI는 자료에내재된 불확실성을 이용하여 가뭄의 상태를 분류하였고, 이는 특정 시점에서 가뭄 상태들이 나타날 확률로 표현되었다. 또한, 실제 가뭄사례와의 비교를 통해서 HMDI가 SSI에 비하여 가뭄에 대한 재현능력이 우수한 것으로 나타났다.

• 한국콘텐츠학회논문지
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• 제9권7호
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• pp.159-170
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• 2009

온라인 기반의 3차원 얼굴 애니메이션을 위해서 실시간으로 얼굴을 캡처하고 표정 데이터를 추출하는 것은 매우 중요한 작업이다. 최근 동영상 입력을 통해 연기자의 표정을 캡처하고 그것을 그대로 3차원 얼굴 모델에 표현하는 비전 기반(vision-based) 방법들에 대한 연구가 활발히 이루어지고 있다. 본 논문 에서는 실시간으로 입력되는 동영상으로부터 얼굴과 얼굴 특징점들을 자동으로 검출하고 이를 추적하는 시스템을 제안한다. 제안 시스템은 얼굴 검출과 얼굴 특징점 추출 및 추적과정으로 구성된다. 얼굴 검출은 3차원 YCbCr 피부 색상 모델을 이용하여 피부 영역을 분리하고 Harr 기반 검출기를 이용해 얼굴 여부를 판단한다. 얼굴 표정에 영향을 주는 눈과 입 영역의 검출은 밝기 정보와 특정 영역의 고유한 색상 정보를 이용한다. 검출된 눈과 입 영역에서 MPEG-4에서 정의한 FAP를 기준으로 10개의 특징점을 추출하고, 컬러 확률 분포의 추적을 통해 연속 프레임에서 특징점들의 변위를 구한다 실험 결과 제안 시스템 은 약 초당 8 프레임으로 표정 데이터를 추적하였다.

• 한국항공우주학회지
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• 제30권2호
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• pp.75-82
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• 2002

불확실한 측정값 근원의 문제에서는 표적을 최적으로 탐지해내는 것이 유용하다. 본 논문에서는 클러터 환경에서 표적을 추적하는 경우에 탐지확률 및 오경보확률과 동시에 탐지문턱값 처리에 따른 추적오차를 살펴보고, 문턱값과 표적추적 유효화영역의 최적화 알고리즘을 제안한다. 제안한 알고리즘은 시뮬레이션을 통해 상태추정오차공분산의 측면에서 성능을 분석한다.

• 한국군사과학기술학회지
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• 제14권4호
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• pp.676-683
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• 2011

In this paper, we propose a robust method which can detect and track a high-speed small approaching target in a cluttered environment for Korean Active Protection System. The proposed method uses a temporal and spatial filter, tracking filter to detect and track a single target in consecutive order. And it is comprised of a candidate target detection step, a prior target selection step and a target tracking. Field tests on real infrared image sequences show that the proposed method could stably track a high speed and small target in complex background and target occlusion.

• 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한전기학회 2004년도 하계학술대회 논문집 A
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• pp.195-198
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• 2004

In recent, the Importance and necessity of some studies on reliability evaluation of grid comes from the recent black-out accidents occurred in the world. The quantity evaluation of transmission system reliability is very important under competitive electricity environment. Accurate probabilistic reliability evaluation depends on assessment of forced outage rate of elements, generators, transmission lines. This paper describes basic theory of relationship between outage rates and reliability evaluation for assessing FOR(forced outage rate) of elements of power system. In case study, FORs assessed and supplied from Canada Electricity Association is introduced and FORs assessed from using actual historical data from 1997 to 2002 for transmission lines of KEPCO system.

• 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국수자원학회 2015년도 학술발표회
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• pp.225-225
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• 2015

Drought events usually evolve slowly in time and their impacts generally span a long period of time. This indicates that the sequence of drought is not completely random. The Hidden Markov Model (HMM) is a probabilistic model used to represent dependences between invisible hidden states which finally result in observations. Drought characteristics are dependent on the underlying generating mechanism, which can be well modelled by the HMM. This study employed a HMM with Gaussian emissions to fit the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) series and make multi-step prediction to check the drought characteristics in the future. To estimate the parameters of the HMM, we employed a Bayesian model computed via Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC). Since the true number of hidden states is unknown, we fit the model with varying number of hidden states and used reversible jump to allow for transdimensional moves between models with different numbers of states. We applied the HMM to several stations SPI data in South Korea. The monthly SPI data from January 1973 to December 2012 was divided into two parts, the first 30-year SPI data (January 1973 to December 2002) was used for model calibration and the last 10-year SPI data (January 2003 to December 2012) for model validation. All the SPI data was preprocessed through the wavelet denoising and applied as the visible output in the HMM. Different lead time (T= 1, 3, 6, 12 months) forecasting performances were compared with conventional forecasting techniques (e.g., ANN and ARMA). Based on statistical evaluation performance, the HMM exhibited significant preferable results compared to conventional models with much larger forecasting skill score (about 0.3-0.6) and lower Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) values (about 0.5-0.9).

• Water Engineering Research
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• 제6권2호
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• pp.63-71
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• 2005

Nowadays Climate disasters are frequently happening due to occasional occurrences of EI Nino and La Nina events and among them, water shortage is one of the serious problems. To cope with this problem, climate model simulations can give very helpful information. To utilize the climate model for enhancing the water resources planning techniques, probabilistic measures of the effectiveness of global climate model (GCM) simulations of an indicator variable for discriminating high versus low regional observations of a target variable are proposed in this study. The objective of this study is to present the various analysis methods to find the suitable application methods of GCM information for Korean water resources planning. The basic formulation uses the significance probability of the Kolmogorov-Smirnov test for detecting differences between two variables. The various methods for adopting correct association, changing the window size, discrimination condition, and the use of temporally down scaled data were proposed to find out the suitable way for Korean water resources planning.