• Title/Summary/Keyword: Proactive Model

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Development of the Drop-outs Prediction Model for Intelligent Drop-outs Prevention System

  • Song, Mi-Young
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.22 no.10
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    • pp.9-17
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    • 2017
  • The student dropout prediction is an indispensable for many intelligent systems to measure the educational system and success rate of all university. Therefore, in this paper, we propose an intelligent dropout prediction system that minimizes the situation by adopting the proactive process through an effective model that predicts the students who are at risk of dropout. In this paper, the main data sets for students dropout predictions was used as questionnaires and university information. The questionnaire was constructed based on theoretical and empirical grounds about factor affecting student's performance and causes of dropout. University Information included student grade, interviews, attendance in university life. Through these data sets, the proposed dropout prediction model techniques was classified into the risk group and the normal group using statistical methods and Naive Bays algorithm. And the intelligence dropout prediction system was constructed by applying the proposed dropout prediction model. We expect the proposed study would be used effectively to reduce the students dropout in university.

PREDICTION OF FAULT TREND IN A LNG PLANT USING WAVELET TRANSFORM AND ARIMA MODEL

  • Yeonjong Ju;Changyoon Kim;Hyoungkwan Kim
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.388-392
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    • 2009
  • Operation of LNG (Liquefied Natural Gas) plants requires an effective maintenance strategy. To this end, the long-term and short-term trend of faults, such as mechanical and electrical troubles, should be identified so as to take proactive approach for ensuring the smooth and productive operation. However, it is not an easy task to predict the fault trend in LNG plants. Many variables and unexpected conditions make it quite difficult for the facility manager to be well prepared for future faulty conditions. This paper presents a model to predict the fault trend in a LNG plant. ARIMA (Auto-Regressive Integrated Moving Average) model is combined with Wavelet Transform to enhance the prediction capability of the proposed model. Test results show the potential of the proposed model for the preventive maintenance strategy.

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Sequence-to-Sequence based Mobile Trajectory Prediction Model in Wireless Network (무선 네트워크에서 시퀀스-투-시퀀스 기반 모바일 궤적 예측 모델)

  • Bang, Sammy Yap Xiang;Yang, Huigyu;Raza, Syed M.;Choo, Hyunseung
    • Proceedings of the Korea Information Processing Society Conference
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    • 2022.05a
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    • pp.517-519
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    • 2022
  • In 5G network environment, proactive mobility management is essential as 5G mobile networks provide new services with ultra-low latency through dense deployment of small cells. The importance of a system that actively controls device handover is emerging and it is essential to predict mobile trajectory during handover. Sequence-to-sequence model is a kind of deep learning model where it converts sequences from one domain to sequences in another domain, and mainly used in natural language processing. In this paper, we developed a system for predicting mobile trajectory in a wireless network environment using sequence-to-sequence model. Handover speed can be increased by utilize our sequence-to-sequence model in actual mobile network environment.

Traffic Forecast Assisted Adaptive VNF Dynamic Scaling

  • Qiu, Hang;Tang, Hongbo;Zhao, Yu;You, Wei;Ji, Xinsheng
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.16 no.11
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    • pp.3584-3602
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    • 2022
  • NFV realizes flexible and rapid software deployment and management of network functions in the cloud network, and provides network services in the form of chained virtual network functions (VNFs). However, using VNFs to provide quality guaranteed services is still a challenge because of the inherent difficulty in intelligently scaling VNFs to handle traffic fluctuations. Most existing works scale VNFs with fixed-capacity instances, that is they take instances of the same size and determine a suitable deployment location without considering the cloud network resource distribution. This paper proposes a traffic forecasted assisted proactive VNF scaling approach, and it adopts the instance capacity adaptive to the node resource. We first model the VNF scaling as integer quadratic programming and then propose a proactive adaptive VNF scaling (PAVS) approach. The approach employs an efficient traffic forecasting method based on LSTM to predict the upcoming traffic demands. With the obtained traffic demands, we design a resource-aware new VNF instance deployment algorithm to scale out under-provisioning VNFs and a redundant VNF instance management mechanism to scale in over-provisioning VNFs. Trace-driven simulation demonstrates that our proposed approach can respond to traffic fluctuation in advance and reduce the total cost significantly.

Proactive Longitudinal Motion Planning for Improving Safety of Automated Bus using Chance-constrained MPC with V2V Communication (자율주행 버스의 주행 안전을 위한 차량 간 통신 및 모델 예측 제어 기반 종 방향 거동 계획)

  • Ara Jo;Michael Jinsoo Yoo;Jisub Kwak;Woojin Kwon;Kyongsu Yi
    • Journal of Auto-vehicle Safety Association
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.16-22
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    • 2023
  • This paper presents a proactive longitudinal motion planning algorithm for improving the safety of an automated bus. Since the field of view (FOV) of the autonomous vehicle was limited depending on onboard sensors' performance and surrounding environments, it was necessary to implement vehicle-to-vehicle (V2V) communication for overcoming the limitation. After a virtual V2V-equipped target was constructed considering information obtained from V2V communication, the reference motion of the ego vehicle was determined by considering the state of both the V2V-equipped target and the sensor-detected target. Model predictive control (MPC) was implemented to calculate the optimal motion considering the reference motion and the chance constraint, which was deduced from manual driving data. The improvement in driving safety was confirmed through vehicle tests along actual urban roads.

Failure Prediction Reliability Model based on the Condition-based Maintenance (CBM기반의 고장 예측 신뢰성 모델)

  • 김연수;정영배
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.22 no.52
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    • pp.171-180
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    • 1999
  • Industrial equipment reliability improvement and maintenance is gaining attention as the next great opportunity for manufacturing productivity improvement. Reactive maintenance is expensive because of extensive unplanned downtime and damage to machinery. To avoid such an unplanned machine downtime, it is needed to use proactive maintenance approach by either using historical maintenance data or by sensing machine conditions. This paper discusses failure diagonosis and prediction based on the condition-based maintenance and reliability technique. Thus, by enabling such a framework, it can bring us more efficient planning and execution of maintenance to reduce costs and/or increase profits.

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Study Factors for Student Performance Applying Data Mining Regression Model Approach

  • Khan, Shakir
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.188-192
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    • 2021
  • In this paper, we apply data mining techniques and machine learning algorithms using R software, which is used to predict, here we applied a regression model to test some factor on the dataset for which we assumed that it effects student performance. Model was built on an existing dataset which contains many factors and the final grades. The factors tested are the attention to higher education, absences, study time, parent's education level, parent's jobs, and the number of failures in the past. The result shows that only study time and absences can affect the students' performance. Prediction of student academic performance helps instructors develop a good understanding of how well or how poorly the students in their classes will perform, so instructors can take proactive measures to improve student learning. This paper also focuses on how the prediction algorithm can be used to identify the most important attributes in a student's data.

A MapReduce-based Artificial Neural Network Churn Prediction for Music Streaming Service

  • Chen, Min
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.55-60
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    • 2022
  • Churn prediction is a critical long-term problem for many business like music, games, magazines etc. The churn probability can be used to study many aspects of a business including proactive customer marketing, sales prediction, and churn-sensitive pricing models. It is quite challenging to design machine learning model to predict the customer churn accurately due to the large volume of the time-series data and the temporal issues of the data. In this paper, a parallel artificial neural network is proposed to create a highly-accurate customer churn model on a large customer dataset. The proposed model has achieved significant improvement in the accuracy of churn prediction. The scalability and effectiveness of the proposed algorithm is also studied.

A Context Model Comparison Methodology for Developing Generic Context Model used in Ubiquitous Multi-Services (유비쿼터스 멀티 서비스 개발에서의 일반적 상황모형 구축을 위한 상황모형 비교 평가방법론)

  • Park, Tae-Hwan;Kwon, Oh-Hyung
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.29-47
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    • 2007
  • Acquiring context data in a timely and correct way is now regarded as one of the crucial characteristics of the proactive service which runs on ubiquitous computing environment. Moreover, context model should be well designed to provide a solid context-aware system. Since the ubiquitous computing systems aim to provide context-aware services everywhere with any available devices, legacy services which uses context models assuming single or limited domain should be extended enough to be useful even for multi-domain muli-services. This leads us to a motivation to build a generic context model with an appropriate type of model. Hence, the purpose of this paper is to propose a generic context model by assessing a variety of model types with a sort of evaluation measures.

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Importance of Clusters in Industry Development: A Case of Singapore's Petrochemical Industry

  • Pillai Jayarethanam
    • Journal of Technology Innovation
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.1-27
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    • 2006
  • This paper rejuvenates the existing discussion on the importance of cluster approach to industry development strategies. Current evidences suggest that the shape of economic policy and practice is changing significantly around the world. Governments continually search for new tools and policy formulas to improve economic performance and create economic prosperity for all citizens. In this context a more proactive and strategic role for government in support of the cluster-based economic development model has emerged. This paper uses Singapore's petrochemical industry as an example to study the cluster approach to industry development. In doing so, there is much optimism to the importance of state and its institutions to play a significant role on industry development. Nevertheless, the study also raises doubts on whether the cluster-based strategy is due to the concept itself or due to other important factors.

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