• 제목/요약/키워드: Prior Probability

검색결과 287건 처리시간 0.028초

A Modified REDP Aggregate Marker for improving TCP Fairness of Assured Services

  • Hur Kyeong;Eom Doo-Seop;Tchah Kyun-Hyon
    • 한국통신학회논문지
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    • 제29권1B호
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    • pp.86-100
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    • 2004
  • To provide the end-to-end service differentiation for assured services, the random early demotion and promotion (REDP) marker in the edge router at each domain boundary monitors the aggregate flow of the incoming in-profile packets and demotes in-profile packets or promotes the previously demoted in-profile packets at the aggregate flow level according to the negotiated interdomain service level agreement (SLA). The REDP marker achieves UDP fairness in demoting and promoting packets through random and early marking decisions on packets. But, TCP fairness of the REDP marker is not obvious as for UDP sources. In this paper, to improve TCP fairness of the REDP marker, we propose a modified REDP marker where we combine a dropper, meters and a token filling rate configuration component with the REDP marker. To make packet transmission rates of TCP flows more fair, at the aggregate flow level the combined dropper drops incoming excessive in-profile packets randomly with a constant probability when the token level in the leaky bucket stays in demotion region without incoming demoted in-profile packets. Considering the case where the token level cannot stay in demotion region without the prior demotion, we propose a token filling rate configuration method using traffic meters. By using the token filling rate configuration method, the modified REDP marker newly configures a token filling rate which is less than the negotiated rate determined by interdomain SLA and larger than the current input aggregate in-profile traffic rate. Then, with the newly configured token filling rate, the token level in the modified REDP marker can stay in demotion region pertinently fir the operation of the dropper to improve TCP fairness. We experiment with the modified REDP marker using ns2 simulator fur TCP sources at the general case where the token level cannot stay in demotion region without the prior demotion at the negotiated rate set as the bottleneck link bandwidth. The simulation results demonstrate that through the combined dropper with the newly configured token filling rate, the modified REDP marker also increases both aggregate in-profile throughput and link utilization in addition to TCP fairness improvement compared to the REDP marker.

Comparative efficacy of three topical anesthetics on 7-11-year-old children: a randomized clinical study

  • Dasarraju, Rupak Kumar;SVSG, Nirmala
    • Journal of Dental Anesthesia and Pain Medicine
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    • 제20권1호
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    • pp.29-37
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    • 2020
  • Background: This study evaluated the efficacy of three intraoral topical anesthetics in reducing the injection needle prick pain from local anesthetic among children aged 7-11 years old. Methods: It is a prospective, Interventional, parallel design, single-blind, randomized clinical trial in which subjects (n=90) aged 7-11 years were included in the study based on an inclusion criteria. Subjects were divided into three groups based on computer-generated randomization with an allocation ratio of 1:1:1. Groups A, B, and C received benzocaine 20% jelly (Mucopain gel, ICPA health products Ltd, Ankleshwar, India), cetacaine anesthetic liquid (Cetylite Industries, Inc, Pennsauken, NJ), and EMLA cream (2% AstraZeneca UK Ltd, Luton, UK), respectively, according to manufacturer's instructions, for 1 minute prior to local anesthetic injection. After application of topical anesthetic agent, for all the groups, baseline pre-operative (prior to topical anesthetic administration) and post-operative scores (after local anesthetic administration) of pulse rate was recorded using Pulse oximeter (Gibson, Fingertip Pulse Oximeter, MD300C29, Beijing Choice Electronic). Peri-operative (i.e., during the administration of local anesthesia) scores were recorded using Face, Legs, Activity, Cry, Consolability (FLACC) Scale, Modified Children hospital of Eastern Ontario Pain Scale (CPS) behavior rating scale, and Faces Pain Scale (FPS-R) - Revised (For self-reported pain). Direct self-reported and physiological measures were ascertained using FPS-R - Revised and Pulse oximeter, respectively, whereas CPS and FLACC scales assessed behavioral measures. To test the mean difference between the three groups, a one way ANOVA with post hoc tests was used. For statistical significance, a two-tailed probability value of P < 0.05 was considered as significant. Results: The Cetacaine group had significantly lower pain scores for self-report (P < 0.001), behavioral, and physiological measures (P < 0.001) than the other two groups. However, there was no significant difference between the Benzocaine group and EMLA group during palatal injection prick. Conclusion: Cetacaine can be considered as an effective topical anesthetic agent compared to benzocaine 20% jelly (Mucopain gel) and EMLA cream.

베이지안 기법에 기반한 수명자료 분석에 관한 문헌 연구: 2000~2016 (A Review on the Analysis of Life Data Based on Bayesian Method: 2000~2016)

  • 원동연;임준형;심현수;성시일;임헌상;김용수
    • 한국신뢰성학회지:신뢰성응용연구
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    • 제17권3호
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    • pp.213-223
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    • 2017
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study is to arrange the life data analysis literatures based on the Bayesian method quantitatively and provide it as tables. Methods: The Bayesian method produces a more accurate estimates of other traditional methods in a small sample size, and it requires specific algorithm and prior information. Based on these three characteristics of the Bayesian method, the criteria for classifying the literature were taken into account. Results: In many studies, there are comparisons of estimation methods for the Bayesian method and maximum likelihood estimation (MLE), and sample size was greater than 10 and not more than 25. In probability distributions, a variety of distributions were found in addition to the distributions of Weibull commonly used in life data analysis, and MCMC and Lindley's Approximation were used evenly. Finally, Gamma, Uniform, Jeffrey and extension of Jeffrey distributions were evenly used as prior information. Conclusion: To verify the characteristics of the Bayesian method which are more superior to other methods in a smaller sample size, studies in less than 10 samples should be carried out. Also, comparative study is required by various distributions, thereby providing guidelines necessary.

베이지안 방식에 의한 지구물리 역산 문제의 접근 (A Bayesian Approach to Geophysical Inverse Problems)

  • 오석훈;정승환;권병두;이희순;정호준;이덕기
    • 지구물리와물리탐사
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    • 제5권4호
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    • pp.262-271
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    • 2002
  • 본 연구에서는 지구물리 자료의 베이지안 역산을 효과적으로 수행하는 방법에 관해 논의하였다. 베이지안 처리에서 가장 문제가 되는 사전확률분포를 구하기 위해 지구통계학적 방법을 적용하였으며, 사후확률분포의 추정을 위해 MCMC(Markov Chain Monte Carlo) 방법을 적용하였다. 쌍극자배열 전기비저항 탐사 자료의 2차원 역산을 위해 슐럼버저배열 전기비저항탐사 자료와 시추공 자료를 사전 정보로 이용하였으며, 이들 사전정보에 대해 지구통계학적 방법을 적용하여 사전확률분포를 작성하였다. 쌍극자배열 전기비저항 탐사 자료를 최대 우도함수로 하는 사후확률분포는 차원이 매우 높은 적분을 요구하므로, 이를 추정하기 위해 MCMC기술을 적용하였으며, 보다 효율적인 접근을 위해 Gibbs샘플링 방법을 이용하였다. 그 결과 비모수적 방식으로 사후확률분포를 분석함으로써 보다 신뢰성 있는 해를 구할 수 있었으며, 주변화(marginalization)된 사후확률분포를 이용하여 다양한 분석을 적용할 수 있었다.

확률론적 기법을 이용한 탄산화 RC 구조물의 내구성 예측 (A Long-term Durability Prediction for RC Structures Exposed to Carbonation Using Probabilistic Approach)

  • 정현준;김규선
    • 한국구조물진단유지관리공학회 논문집
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    • 제14권5호
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    • pp.119-127
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    • 2010
  • 본 논문에서는 탄산화 콘크리트 구조물의 내구성을 예측하기 위한 새로운 접근 방법을 제시하였다. 제시된 예측 방법은, 새로운 계측 데이터가 있을 때 베이스 이론에 근거하여 지속적인 업데이팅이 가능하며 모델 매개변수의 확률론적인 특성이 고려된다. 탄산화 내구성 해석 모델의 절차는 라틴 하이퍼큐브 샘플 추출법(LHS)으로 간단하게 정리되고, 이를 통해 얻는 표본으로 결정된다. 이 방법은 콘크리트 구조물의 설계에 유용하게 사용될 수 있으며, 모니터링을 통한 콘크리트 구조물의 잔존수명을 예측할 수 있다. 본 논문에서 사전예측치는 탄산화에 노출된 국내 콘크리트 구조물 데이터(3700개 시편)를 이용하여 콘크리트 탄산계수의 확률 특성을 고려하여 나타내었으며, 우도함수는 현장 모니터링 데이터를 이용하였으며 사후예측치는 사전예측치와 우도함수를 조합하여 나타내었다. 또한, 몬테 카를로 시뮬레이션(MCS)과 LHS의 비교를 통하여 본 논문에서 수행된 LHS를 이용한 샘플링기법이 보다 효율적인 시뮬레이션 수행이 가능함을 확인하였다.

구상나무와 분비나무분포지의 환경 특성 및 기후변화 민감성 평가 (Environmental features of the distribution areas and climate sensitivity assesment of Korean Fir and Khinghan Fir)

  • 박현철;이정환;이규관;엄기증
    • 환경영향평가
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    • 제24권3호
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    • pp.260-277
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    • 2015
  • 본 연구는 대표적인 아고산식물인 동일속 식물 구상나무와 분비나무의 기후변화 민감성 평가에 목적이 있다. 이를 위해 종 분포 모형을 이용하여 현재 및 미래의 종 분포 확률을 예측하였고 기후변화 민감성 평가를 하였다. MTSS를 기준으로 예측된 잠재 분포지는 분비나무가 구상나무보다 감소율이 많았으며, 스칼라 민감도를 이용한 평가에서는 구상나무의 민감도가 분비나무보다 높았다. 본 연구와 같은 종 분포 모형을 이용한 연구에서는 위치자료 및 환경변수에 따라 종 분포 확률이 달라질 수 있으므로 연구 대상종의 생태 환경에 대한 면밀한 조사가 선결되어야 하며, 본 연구를 기초로 하여 국내에 적용 가능한 기후변화민감성 평가 방법이 개발된다면 기후변화와 생물 다양성 적응 정책의 중요한 의사결정 수단이 될 것으로 기대한다.

Condition Assessment for Wind Turbines with Doubly Fed Induction Generators Based on SCADA Data

  • Sun, Peng;Li, Jian;Wang, Caisheng;Yan, Yonglong
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • 제12권2호
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    • pp.689-700
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    • 2017
  • This paper presents an effective approach for wind turbine (WT) condition assessment based on the data collected from wind farm supervisory control and data acquisition (SCADA) system. Three types of assessment indices are determined based on the monitoring parameters obtained from the SCADA system. Neural Networks (NNs) are used to establish prediction models for the assessment indices that are dependent on environmental conditions such as ambient temperature and wind speed. An abnormal level index (ALI) is defined to quantify the abnormal level of the proposed indices. Prediction errors of the prediction models follow a normal distribution. Thus, the ALIs can be calculated based on the probability density function of normal distribution. For other assessment indices, the ALIs are calculated by the nonparametric estimation based cumulative probability density function. A Back-Propagation NN (BPNN) algorithm is used for the overall WT condition assessment. The inputs to the BPNN are the ALIs of the proposed indices. The network structure and the number of nodes in the hidden layer are carefully chosen when the BPNN model is being trained. The condition assessment method has been used for real 1.5 MW WTs with doubly fed induction generators. Results show that the proposed assessment method could effectively predict the change of operating conditions prior to fault occurrences and provide early alarming of the developing faults of WTs.

Optimal pricing under uncertain product lifetime conditions and simulation study

  • 이훈영;주기인;이시환
    • 한국경영과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국경영과학회 1996년도 추계학술대회발표논문집; 고려대학교, 서울; 26 Oct. 1996
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    • pp.103-112
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    • 1996
  • Optimal pricing research in general has been focused on profit maximizing strategy under the given product life-time T. Here we have tried to study the effect of uncertain product life-time on dynamic optimal pricing strategy. In reality, the life-time of product is more likely to be uncertain and not known as well. In terms of approximating the model to the concerned reality, so-called model validity, it seems to be more desirable to consider the uncertainty of product life-time into the optimal pricing strategy model, For this purpose, we tried two different approaches. One is to consider diverse product life-time probability functions under fixed life-time T. In this case, we might have the same product life-time as the previous study, but the process could be different in the expectation of product's discontinuity. The other is that life-time itself is not determined and thus it is the situation in which we can only decide optimal price on incremental basis. The former is the situation in which although we got some strong guess on life-time of a certain product, the pattern of expected life-time probability could be different. The question is what could be optimal pricing strategies on such different product life-time situations. But since in the latter, we don't assume any idea on the life-time of product. proper optimal pricing could be derived only from the past prices and diffusion information. While the latter seems to be safer in the aspect of model assumption, the former could be more realistic because we might have more or less a prior knowledge on the product life-time itself.

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Performance Analysis of REDP Marker with a combined Dropper for improving TCP Fairness of Assured Services

  • Kyeong Hur;Lee, Yeonwoo;Cho, Choon-Gen;Park, Hyung-Kun;Eom, Doo-Seop;Tchah, Kyun-Hyon
    • 한국통신학회논문지
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    • 제29권7B호
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    • pp.711-721
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    • 2004
  • To provide the end-to-end service differentiation for assured services, the random early demotion and promotion (REDP) marker in the edge router at each domain boundary monitors the aggregate flow of the incoming in-profile packets and demotes in-profile packets or promotes the previously demoted in-profile packets at the aggregate flow level according to the negotiated interdomain service level agreement (SLA). The REDP marker achieves UDP fairness in demoting and promoting packets through random and early marking decisions on packets. But, TCP fairness of the REDP marker is not obvious as fur UDP sources. In this paper, to improve TCP fairness of the REDP marker, we combine a dropper with the REDP marker. To make packet transmission rates of TCP flows more fair, at the aggregate flow level the combined dropper drops incoming excessive in-profile packets randomly with a constant probability when the token level in the leaky bucket stays In demotion region without incoming demoted in-profile packets. It performs a dropping in the demotion at a domain boundary only if there is no prior demotion. The concatenate dropping at multiple domains is avoided to manifest the effect of a dropping at a domain boundary on TCP fairness. We experiment with the REDP marker with the combined dropper using ns2 simulator for TCP sources. The simulation results show that the REDP marker with the combined dropper improves TCP fairness in demoting and promoting packets by generating fair demoted in-profile traffic compared to the REDP marker. The effectiveness of the selected drop probability is also investigated with showing its impact on the performance of the REDP marker with the combined dropper.

무선망에서 개선된 ZMHB 알고리즘의 성능 평가 (Performance Analysis of Improved ZMHB Algorithms for Wireless Networks)

  • 권세동;박현민;이강선
    • 정보처리학회논문지C
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    • 제11C권5호
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    • pp.659-670
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    • 2004
  • 핸드오프는 무선 셀룰러 환경에서 사용자의 이동성(Mobility)을 유지해줄 수 있는 가장 중요한 기술중의 하나이다. 핸드오프 기술은 사용자가 이동할 주변 셀에 대한 대역폭 예약과 관련이 있다. 또한, 대역폭 예약은 사용자가 이동한 새로운 영역에서 이전 영역에서와 같은 레벨의 데이터나 서비스를 받기 위해서 핸드오프 이전에 실시되어야 한다. 이러한 무선 셀룰러 환경에서 효과적으로 대역폭을 사용하기 위하여 사용자의 이동성을 예측하는 기술은 핸드오프 호의 실패율(Dropping Probability)과 핸드오프 지연(Latency)을 줄이는 효과적인 방법이다. 최근에 제시된 ZMHB 알고리즘은 기존의 알고리즘과는 달리 셀 내부의 이동 경로를 저장한 히스토리를 이용하여 사용자가 이동할 셀을 예측하였다. 그러나, 모든 사용자에 대하여 80~85% 정도의 예측 정확도만을 보인다. 본 논문에서는 ZMHB 알고리즘에서 사용하는 존(Zone)을 세분화하여 이동 패턴을 저장하고, 이를 예측에 이용하는 Detailed-ZMHB 예측 알고리즘을 제안하고 성능 평가 결과를 보인다.