• 제목/요약/키워드: Price Stabilization

검색결과 72건 처리시간 0.026초

LNG 가격과 환율 변동을 고려한 복합헤징 효과 분석 (Analysis on the Hedging Effects of Complex Hedging Considering LNG Price and Exchange Rate Risks)

  • 윤원철
    • 자원ㆍ환경경제연구
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    • 제19권4호
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    • pp.753-769
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    • 2010
  • 본 연구에서는 LNG 수입가격과 환율 등 복수의 가격변동 위험이 존재하는 경우 헤징효율성 측면에서 분리헤징과 복합헤징의 비교우위를 실증적으로 분석하였다. 사전적 분석기법을 활용한 실증분석결과에 따르면, 헤징을 하지 않은 경우에 비해 헤징형태에 관계없이 헤징을 통해 조달비용의 평균을 감소시킬 수 있다. 또한 헤징을 통해 표준편차를 감소시킴으로써 보다 안정적인 수익흐름을 확보할 수 있다. 중요한 사실은 분리헤징 형태에 비해 복합헤징 형태로 헤징할 경우 특정 헤징기간에 대해서는 조달비용의 표준편차를 더욱 감소시킬 수 있다는 점이다. 이로써 상품가격과 환율의 위험요소들 사이에 존재하는 분산-공분산 관계를 충분히 활용하는 것이 헤징효과를 향상시키는 데 도움이 될 수 있다는 사실을 확인할 수 있다.

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배출권거래제 가격상하한제가 배출량 및 감축비용에 미치는 영향에 대한 정량적 연구 (A Quantitative Study of the Effects of a Price Collar in the Korea Emissions Trading System on Emissions and Costs)

  • 배경은;유태종;안영환
    • 자원ㆍ환경경제연구
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    • 제31권2호
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    • pp.261-290
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    • 2022
  • 국내 배출권 시장에서는 시장안정화 조치 발동에도 불구하고 배출권 가격의 불확실성 문제가 지속적으로 대두되고 있다. 그리고 2021년 10월 정부가 발표한 2030 감축목표 상향안을 고려해볼 때 배출권 가격의 불확실성 완화를 위한 실질적인 대안 마련의 필요성이 높아지고 있다. 본 연구는 배출권 시장의 가격 불확실성 완화 수단인 가격상하한제가 배출량과 감축비용에 미치는 정량적인 영향을 살펴본다. 분석을 위한 주요 시나리오는 탄소세, 배출권거래제, 가격상하한제하 배출권거래제 3가지로 구분되며, 배출량 불확실성을 반영하기 위해 몬테카를로 시뮬레이션을 기반으로 비교 분석하였다. 연구 결과는 다음과 같다: 1) 상하한제 도입 시에는 다른 시나리오 대비 현저히 낮은 감축비용으로 배출목표를 달성할 수 있다. 상향된 감축목표에서는 0.1%의 초과배출이 발생할 수 있으나 상하한 간격이 넓은 경우 안정적인 목표달성이 가능하다. 2) 이월을 제한할수록 감축비용은 상승한다. 이는 이월 제한 정책이 기간 간 효율성을 저해하여 비용효과적인 감축을 어렵게 만들기 때문이다. 3) 상하한제하에서 정부의 배출권 순구매량이 발생해도 순수입은 양이 될 수 있다. 정부는 배출권을 상한가에서 판매하고 하한가에서 구매하기 때문이다.

건고추 정부수매의 가격안정화효과에 대한 사후영향평가분석 (The Economic Impact of Government Purchases on the Price Volatility of Korean Dried Red Pepper)

  • 박수연;김인석
    • 산경연구논집
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    • 제9권10호
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    • pp.73-82
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    • 2018
  • Purpose - Unstable vegetable prices have been one of the major concerns in Korean agricultural and food marketing system. The Korean government has implemented a number of policy instruments, including government purchasing programs in order to alleviate fluctuations in vegetable prices. The economic impact of policy instruments has been assessed based on the average monthly price change rate before and after the implementation of the policy. However, this approach failed to provide a net impact of policy measures on price stabilization in the vegetable markets, as policy impacts could not be successfully distinguished from other effects on price changes in the vegetable market. The purpose of this study is to evaluate the net impact of the government purchasing program on the price volatility of dried red pepper which is considered one of the major vegetables in Korea. Research design, data, and methodology - This study develops a monthly dynamic partial equilibrium model of Korean dried red pepper market. Behavioral equations in the model were estimated by OLS and synthetic method based on the annual and monthly time series data from 1993 to 2015. The model is first simulated to yield actual dried red pepper market conditions in 2015 as a baseline and then compared it to the scenario assuming that there were no government purchases of dried red pepper in 2015. Results - According to the ex-post scenario analysis using the developed model, without the government procurements in 2015, the average monthly price change rate and the value of coefficient of variation of dried red pepper in 2015 would be respectably 7.9 percent and 0.10. It is relatively higher than the actual average monthly price change rate and the value of coefficient of variation of dried red pepper in 2015 which were respectively 1.7 percent and 0.06. Conclusions - The ex-post simulation results in this study shows that if there were no government purchases of dried red pepper in 2015, the dried red pepper market would have had much higher volatile price movements. The results of this study would provide useful information for future price stabilization policy of vegetable markets in Korea.

High MSE wall design on weak foundations

  • Mahmoud Forghani;Ali Komak Panah;Salaheddin Hamidi
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • 제36권4호
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    • pp.329-341
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    • 2024
  • Retaining structures are one of the most important elements in the stabilization of excavations and slopes in various engineering projects. Mechanically stabilized earth (MSE) walls are widely used as retaining structures due to their flexibility, easy and economical construction. These benefits are especially prominent for projects built on soft and weak foundation soils, which have relatively low resistance and high compressibility. For high retaining walls on weak foundations, conventional design methods are not cost-effective. Therefore, two alternative solutions for different foundation weakness are proposed in this research: optimized multi-tiered MSE walls and single tier wall with foundation improvement. The cost optimization considers both the construction components and the land price. The results show that the optimal solution depends on several factors, including the foundation strength and more importantly, the land price. For low land price, the optimized multi-tiered wall is more economical, while for high land price (urban areas), the foundation improvement is preferable. As the foundation strength decreases, the foundation improvement becomes inevitable.

양식 넙치의 가격변동 및 예측에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Price Fluctuation and Forecasting of Aquacultural Flatfish in Korea)

  • 옥영수;김상태;고봉현
    • 수산경영론집
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    • 제38권2호
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    • pp.41-62
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    • 2007
  • The Fish aquacultural Industry has been developed rapidly since 1990s in Korea. The total production of fish aquaculture was 5,000ton in the beginning of 1990s, but it was an excess of 80,000ton in 2005. In the beginning of 1990s, the percentage of flatfish yield was 80% of the fish aquaculture in the respect of production. And it has been maintained 50% level in 2005. In this point of view, flatfish aquaculture played the role of leader in the development of fish aquaculture. Rapid increasing of production was not only caused to decreasing in price basically, but also it threatened the management of producer into insecure price for aquacultural flatfish. Therefore, it needs the policy for stabilizing in price, but it is difficult to choose the method because the basic study was not accomplished plentifully. This study analyzed about price structure of aquacultural flatfish. A period of analysis was from January 2000 to December 2005, and a data was used monthly data for price. The principal result of this study is substantially as follows. 1) The price of producing and consuming district is closely connected. 2) A gap between producing district price and consuming district price is decreasing recently, It seems to be correlated with outlook business of aquacultural flatfish. 3) Trend line of the price was declining until 2002, but it turned up after that. The other side, circulated fluctuation was being showed typically. 4) The circle of circulated fluctuation was growing longer, so it seems that the producer was doing a sensible productive activity to cope with changing price. As a result, government's policy needs to be turned into price policy from policy of increased production for aquacultural flatfish. It seems that the best policy is price stabilization polices. And also, government needs to invest in outlook business for aquaculture constantly.

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패널 VAR 모형을 이용한 지역별 양식넙치 산지가격의 동태적 인과관계 분석 (A Dynamic Causality Analysis of Oliver Flounder Producer Price by Region using the Panel VAR Model)

  • 전용한;남종오
    • 수산경영론집
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    • 제52권1호
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    • pp.47-63
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    • 2021
  • The purpose of this study is to identify the leading price between Jeju and Wando's oliver flounder producer price and to analyze the dynamic effect of the regional producer price using the panel VAR model. In the process of analysis, it was confirmed that there are unit roots in the monthly data of Jeju and Wando's oliver flounder producer price. So, in order to avoid spurious regression, the rate change of producer price which carries out log difference was used in the analysis. As a result of the analysis, first, the panel Granger causality test showed that the influence of the change rate of producer price in oliver flounder in Jeju was slightly larger than that in Wando, but it was found that each region all leads the change rate of the producer price in oliver flounder. Second, the panel VAR estimation showed that the rate change of producer price in Jeju and Wando a month ago had a statistically significant effect on the change rate of producer price of each region. Third, the impulse response analysis indicated that other regions are affected a little more than the same region in case of the occurrence of the impact on the error terms of the change rate of produce price in Jeju and Wando oliver flounder. Fourth, the variance decomposition analysis showed that the change rate of producer price in the two regions was higher explained by Jeju compared to Wando. In conclusion, it is expected that the above results can not only be useful as basic data for the stabilization of oliver flounder producer price and the establishment of policies for easing volatility but can also help the oliver flounder industry operate its business.

농지실거래가격을 활용한 필지 단위 농지가격 결정요인 분석 (Analysis of Farmland Price Determinants in Parcel-level Using Real Transaction Price of Farmland)

  • 전무경;이향미;김윤식;김태영
    • 농촌계획
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    • 제28권2호
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    • pp.41-50
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    • 2022
  • The primary purpose of this study is to identify various factors that affect farmland prices according to changes in the actual transaction price of farmland over the past decade, and to use this to derive policy implications for price stabilization. To this end, the farmland price model are constructed at the parcel level in the case area (Namwon-si, Jinju-si). The analysis method is based on the Hedonic price function, and the OLS and the quantile regression are used for the parcel level model. As a result of estimating the parcel level farmland price model in the case area, the larger the parcel area, the lower the farmland price, and the higher the farmland price outside the agricultural promotion area. It was found that there was a price difference according to the type of special purpose areas, and the location characteristics showed some differences across the cities. The farmland price models presented in this study are suitable for identifying the factors affecting farmland prices, and are expected to be highly utilized in that it is possible to construct flexible variables suitable for regional characteristics.

VAR분석을 활용한 금융위기 이후 서울 아파트 전세가격 변화 (A Study on the Seoul Apartment Jeonse Price after the Global Financial Crisis in 2008 in the Frame of Vecter Auto Regressive Model(VAR))

  • 김현우;이두헌
    • 한국산학기술학회논문지
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    • 제16권9호
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    • pp.6315-6324
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    • 2015
  • 본 연구에서는 2008년 금융위기 이후 부동산 정책에서 많은 비중을 차지하는 서울의 아파트 전세가격에 가계경제가 어떤 영향을 미치는지 2009년 1월부터 2013년 12월까지 자료를 이용하여 VAR모형을 통해 실증분석하였다. 서울의 전세가격에 미치는 가계경제변수들은 서울 아파트 매매가격, 소비자물가지수, 고용률, 실질GNI, 가계대출금액으로 구성하였다. 분석결과에 따르면, 서울 아파트 전세가격은 단기적으로 가계경제변수들에 영향력을 받는 것으로 나타났다. 또한 가계경제변수들의 구조적 충격에 따른 서울 아파트 전세가격 변동의 상대적 기여도는 단기적으로는 서울 아파트 전세가격 자체 충격에 가장 큰 영향력을 받으며, 시간이 지날수록 가계변수들의 영향력이 커지는 것으로 나타났다. 본 연구결과를 통해 가계경제를 이루는 어떤 요인들이 주택전세가격에 많은 영향을 미치는지 파악할 수 있어 향후 주택가격 안정화를 위한 정책수립에 기여할 것으로 기대된다.

수산물 도매시장 거래제도의 문제점과 개선방안 (A Study on Problems and Solutions for Trading System of Fishery Products Wholesale Market in Korea)

  • 강종호
    • 수산경영론집
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    • 제45권1호
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    • pp.79-93
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    • 2014
  • The Act on Distribution and Price Stabilization of Agricultural and Fisheries Product, which specifies rules and regulations on the trading system of fishery products wholesales markets, has been revised several times, mainly in order to improve the trading system. However, there is still a huge gap between the reality and law when it comes to the trading system of the fishery products wholesale market. This study aims to analyze the problems of the trading system of the fishery products wholesale market and to suggest ways to make improvement. The main problem facing the trading system of the fishery products wholesale market is sales on consignment by intermediate wholesalers, and this paper suggests two alternatives to solve the problem. First, intermediate wholesaler can be converted to market wholesalers, but it also entails other problems. The market wholesaler system has never been successfully adopted in the agricultural and fishery products wholesale market, and it is not clear which system is better between the wholesale market corporation and the market wholesaler system. Second, sales on consignment by intermediate wholesalers can be adopted with a positive view toward it. Negotiation transaction can be carried out for sales on consignment as a transaction method under the current Act on Distribution and Price Stabilization of Agricultural and Fisheries Products. However, since the act cannot provide a solution for listing, it is necessary to introduce Japan's negotiated transaction in advance system as a negotiation transaction method.

경쟁시장내의 수요자원입찰을 고려한 모선별 한계가격의 구성요소산정 기법 (Calculation for Components of Locational Marginal Price considering Demand-Side Bidding in a Competitive Electricity Market)

  • 김현홍;김진호;박종배;신중린
    • 전기학회논문지
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    • 제57권7호
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    • pp.1157-1166
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    • 2008
  • This paper presents a new approach for the evaluation of location marginal prices (LMPs) considering demand-side bidding (DSB) in a competitive electricity market. The stabilization of the electric power supply and demand balance is one of the major important activities in electric power industry. In this paper, we present an analytical method for calculation of LMPs considering DSB, which has opportunity to compete with generating units, as England & Wales Pool's DSB scheme[1]. Also, we propose a new approach that LMP considering DSB is divided into three components. The proposed approach can be used for the evaluation of demand-side bidding into the electricity market and the assessment of the influence of DSB on total production costs and LMPs as well as three components.