• Title/Summary/Keyword: Price Rise Rate

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A Study on the Prediction of Stock Return in Korea's Distribution Industry Using the VKOSPI Index

  • Jeong-Hwan LEE;Gun-Hee LEE;Sam-Ho SON
    • Journal of Distribution Science
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    • v.21 no.5
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    • pp.101-111
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    • 2023
  • Purpose: The purpose of this paper is to examine the effect of the VKOSPI index on short-term stock returns after a large-scale stock price shock of individual stocks of firms in the distribution industry in Korea. Research design, data, and methodology: This study investigates the effect of the change of the VKOSPI index or investor mood on abnormal returns after the event date from January 2004 to July 2022. The significance of the abnormal return, which is obtained by subtracting the rate of return estimated by the market model from the rate of actual return on each trading day after the event date, is determined based on T-test and multifactor regression analysis. Results: In Korea's distribution industry, the simultaneous occurrence of a bad investor mood and a large stock price decline, leads to stock price reversals. Conversely, the simultaneous occurrence of a good investor mood and a large-scale stock price rise leads to stock price drifts. We found that the VKOSPI index has strong explanatory power for these reversals and drifts even after considering both company-specific and event-specific factors. Conclusions: In Korea's distribution industry-related stock market, investors show an asymmetrical behavioral characteristic of overreacting to negative moods and underreacting to positive moods.

Study on the Effect of Quantitative and Qualitative Easing(QQE) in Japan (日本の量的·質的金融緩和(QQE)の効果について)

  • Yeom, Dongho
    • Analyses & Alternatives
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.143-162
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    • 2018
  • This paper focuses on the policy framework about "Quantitative and Qualitative Easing (QQE)" of Japan, and analyzes reasons why the policy goal was not reached. The QQE was introduced by the Bank of Japan in 2013 with the purpose of meeting the price stability target of 2% and getting out of deflation that prevents sustained price decline. However, despite the implementation of the bold monetary easing policy unprecedented in the world, the policy goal was not achieved as of June 2018. As a result of analyzing the causes, the following three structural factors were confirmed. 1) The rise in prices by QQE was limited because Japan's consumer price is strongly depending on import price. 2) The effect is high degree of uncertainty and limited because theoretical framework of reflationist which adopted QQE depends on "expectation formation" by "self-fulfilling expectation" and "multiple equilibria". 3) It was confirmed that the expansion of the monetary base did not lead to money stock due to the existence of Japanese liquidity trap, long-term low interest rate policy.

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Analysis of a Stock Price Trend and Investment Value of Information Security related Company (융합보안관련 기업들의 주가동향 및 투자가치 분석)

  • Choi, Jeong-Il;Jang, Ye-Jin
    • Convergence Security Journal
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    • v.15 no.3_2
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    • pp.83-93
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    • 2015
  • In this research, we used KOSPI, KOSDAQ and a stock price of Information Security related Company - S1, Ahnlab, Suprema, Raonscure and Igloosecurity. From August 2010 to July 2014, that is during 208 weeks(4 years), we had grasped index and stock price trend. Also we had attempted various Empirical analysis - Basic statistics of Security related Stock, Analysis of variance, Correlation analysis and Weekly Rate of Rise trends. The first purpose of this research is to see correlation between Security related Company and KOSPI, KOSDAQ. The second purpose of this research is to analyze whether stock items have investment value or not while watching features of flow of stock price per item. We expect possibility and merit of investment when we suppose Security industry's high potential to grow. It seems that Security related Company deserves to be invested. We expect investment for Security related Company that has high possibility of growing will create high yields compared to Market yields.

Forecasting Bunker Price Using System Dynamics (시스템 다이내믹스를 활용한 선박 연료유 가격 예측)

  • Choi, Jung-Suk
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.33 no.1
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    • pp.75-87
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    • 2017
  • The purpose of this study is to utilize the system dynamics to carry out a medium and long-term forecasting analysis of the bunker price. In order to secure accurate bunker price forecast, a quantitative analysis was established based on the casual loop diagram between various variables that affects bunker price. Based on various configuration variables such as crude oil price which affects crude oil consumption & production, GDP and exchange rate which influences economic changes and freight rate which is decided by supply and demand in shipping and logistic market were used in accordance with System Dynamics to forecast bunker price and then objectivity was verified through MAPEs. Based on the result of this study, bunker price is expected to rise until 2029 compared to 2016 but it will not be near the surge sighted in 2012. This study holds value in two ways. First, it supports shipping companies to efficiently manage its fleet, offering comprehensive bunker price risk management by presenting structural relationship between various variables affecting bunker price. Second, rational result derived from bunker price forecast by utilizing dynamic casual loop between various variables.

An Analysis of the Impact of International Soybean Price Changes on Domestic Soybean Market and Soybean Food Self-Sufficiency Rate: A Partial Equilibrium Model Approach (국제 대두가격 변동이 국내 식용 콩 시장과 콩 식량자급률에 미치는 영향 분석: 부분균형모형을 이용한 접근)

  • Kim, Gwon-Hyung;Kim, In-Seck
    • Korean Journal of Organic Agriculture
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    • v.32 no.2
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    • pp.137-159
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    • 2024
  • Major crop prices have been raised significantly in recent years by COVID-19, the war in Ukraine, and weather-induced reductions in South American soybean production by unfavoured weather in 2022. Rising international crop prices are likely to destabilize food security in South Korea, which is highly dependent on foreign crops. This study analyzed the impact of soybean import price changes on the domestic soybean market and soybean food self-sufficiency rate from 2024 to 2029 using a dynamic partial equilibrium model. According to the scenario analysis results, if the import prices rise by 10% compared to the baseline, the soybean food self-sufficiency rate would increase by 1.33% in 2024, but it is expected to decrease to -0.58% in 2029 due to the continuous decrease in production. The results of this study are expected to be used as valuable information for policy authorities in establishing policies related to improving food self-sufficiency.

A Study on Profitability of Power Plant for Landfill Gas (매립가스 자원화를 위한 가스엔진 발전의 수익성에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Oh-Woo;Lee, Jeong-Il
    • Korean Business Review
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.69-94
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    • 2006
  • Landfill gas is a mixture of methane and carbon dioxide produced by the bacterial decomposition of organic wastes, and it is considered to produce bad smells and pollute the environment. Economic trials and the developments of landfill gas, as an alternative energy resource, become known at the recent years. Resource development of landfill gas, which is managed by Korea up to now, is for the most part generation using gas engine. Medium BTU and High BTU are considered for the power generation as well. I\10st income of generation using gas engine is selling charge through a power plant. Expecting to manage the power plant for up to 10 years, the analysis based on revenue and expenditure shows when the unit price is 65.2 Won and the operating rate reaches 90%, it is possible to be into the black in 2012 without considering additional financial expense. It was also analyzed that the profit at a unit price of 85 Won under the anticipated rising unit price by the operating rate of 71% is larger than at the operating rate of 90% under limited unit price of 65.2 Won. It means to manage the power plant at a unit price of 65.2 Won and the operating rate must be higher than 90% for economic logicality. If we assume that the operating rate is 90% and it increases the unit price, the unit price must be higher than 85 Won for the management of a power plant. Analysis of changing a unit price, however, might be expected to have a gradual rise of prices. If there is no price rising and additional income related to CDM(Clean Development Mechanism) and emission trading upon Kyoto protocol, the management of a power plant using gas engine will get financial difficulties because of many operating expenses. However, since landfill gas is considered as a worthy energy resource for the guarantee of sustainable development and for the equity between recent generation and future generation, the development of it must be accomplished by the government's additional supporting and efforts under the interest of all stakeholder who are involved.

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A Study on The consumption Pattern of Urban Salary and Wage Earners' Household in Korean from 1970 to 1978 (전도시 근로자 가계의 소비구조 변동에 관한 연구 -1970년부터 1978년까지를 중심으로-)

  • 김순옥
    • Journal of the Korean Home Economics Association
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.65-73
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    • 1980
  • The purpose of this study is ti find out a desirable way to stability and improvement of household economy by studying the changes of consumption level and consumption pattern of urban salary and wage earners' households during the years from 1970 to 1978. For this study, "Annual Report on the Family Income and Expenditure survey" (Published by the Bureau of Statistics, Economics Planning Board) has been used as basic material, and the methods of analysis used here are the time series analysis. We have gained the results as follows: 1) From 1970 to 198, the total income level increased at the rate of 416.2% in nominal price, but only 74.4% in reql price, while the total expenditure level showed 338.5% increase in nominal price, but its real increased proved only 418.2% in consideration of inflation. APC decreased from 95.1%(in 1970) to 80.7%(in 1978). 2) As for the expenditure pattern for the above mentioned nine years, the rate of food expenditure increased until 1975 under the price influence, but it trended to decease there after on . The rate of housing expenditure showed a gradual increase while that of fuel and light expenditure was on the decrease. The rate of clothing expenditure had been on the decease until 1974 but it began to increase gradually thereafter on. The trend of miscellaneous expenditures was irregularly up and down, educational expences being the first rank among them, Non-living expenditure had been constant until 1974 but it decreased a little after that. From the results it was found that the consumption level of the salary and wage earners' household in all cities from 1970 to 1978 was not practically improved because of rise in prices, nor was the Engel's coefficient and the rate of miscellaneous expenditure changed distinctively. However, as the successive decrease of APC suggests the possibility of economic development, we must try to put stress on economy in consumption and on encouraging. This will help run our household economy in safety and stability.

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The development of engine analyzer (엔진아나라이져의 개발)

  • 이재순;임성식;이용규
    • Journal of the korean Society of Automotive Engineers
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    • v.11 no.6
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    • pp.89-96
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    • 1989
  • Engine analyzer is developed with the aids of personal computer, A/D converter, interfacing signal transducer and data processing computer programs. The objective of this development are that it should firstly be produced at the resonable low price compared with imported one taking advantage of using existing personal computer and printer, and it should also give good quality of performance. For the attainment of this objective, A/D converter should have been developed to meet the price limit of the equipment. The experiment is performed in a 4 cycle 4 cylinder gasoline engine by this analyzer, and all the information which are necessary for the combustion analysis can be obtained through the processing of the pressure data that are stored in the computer. These are pressure-volume curve, pressure-crank angle curve, the rate of pressure rise and heat release versus crank angle curve etc. With this developed experimental system of resonable price, it will be considered that more easy way of engine data pick-up and processing is possible.

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A Study on Profitability of Power Plant for Landfill Gas (매립가스 자원화를 위한 가스엔진 발전의 수익성에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, O-U;Lee, Jeong-Il
    • 한국산학경영학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2006.06a
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    • pp.147-170
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    • 2006
  • Landfill gas is a mixture of methane and carbon dioxide produced by the bacterial decomposition of organic wastes, and it is considered to produce bad smells and pollute the environment. Economic trials and the developments of landfill gas, as an alternative energy resource, become known at the recent years, Resource development of landfill gas, which is managed by Korea up to now, is for the most part generation using gas engine. Medium BTU and High BTU are considered for the power generation as well. Most income of generation using gas engine is selling charge through a power plant. Expecting to manage the power plant for up to 10 years, the analysis based on revenue and expenditure shows when the unit price is 65.2 Won and the operating rate reaches 90%, it is possible to be into the black in 2012 without considering additional financial expense, It was also analyzed that the profit at a unit price of 85 Won under the anticipated rising unit price by the operating rate of 71% is larger than at the operating rate of 90% under limited unit price of 65.2 Won. It means to manage the power plant at a unit price of 65.2 Won and the operating rate must be higher than 90% for economic logicality. If we assume that the operating rate is 90% and it increases the unit price, the unit price must be higher than 85 Won for the management of a power plant. Analysis of changing a unit price, however, might be expected to have a gradual rise of prices. If there is no price rising and additional income related to CDM(Clean Development Mechanism) and emission trading upon Kyoto protocol, the management of a power plant using gas engine will get financial difficulties because of many operating expenses. However, since landfill gas is considered as a worthy energy resource for the guarantee of sustainable development and for the equity between recent generation and future generation, the development of it must be accomplished by the government's additional supporting and efforts under the interest of all stakeholder who are involved.

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The Impact of Housing Price on the Performance of Listed Steel Companies Evidence in China

  • Huang, Shuai;Shin, Seung-Woo;Wang, Run-Dong
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.27-43
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    • 2020
  • Purpose - This study explores the impact of the real estate industry on related industries for the perspective of Chinese steel companies. Design/methodology/approach - The impact of housing prices on the 41 listed steel companies' performance was analyzed by using the panel data model. We used two kinds of housing price indexes that are set in the panel data models to estimate the range of the real estate market, driving the performance growth of steel listed companies. Moreover, the net profit of steel companies is used as the dependent variable. To test the stability of the model, ROA used as a dependent variable for the robustness test. Also, to avoid the time trend of housing prices, this paper selects the growth rate of housing prices as the primary research variable. After Fisher-type testings, there is no unit root problem in both independent and dependent variables. Findings - The results indicated that the rise in the housing price has a positive influence on the steel company performance. When the housing price increases by 1%, the net profit of steel enterprises will increase by 5 to 20 million yuan. Research implications or Originality - In this paper, empirical data at the micro-level and panel model are used to quantify China's real estate industry's driving effect on the iron and steel industry, providing evidence from the microdata level. It helps us to understand further the status and role of China's real estate industry in the economic structure.