• 제목/요약/키워드: Price Response Function

검색결과 75건 처리시간 0.022초

아밍턴 탄성치를 활용한 수입 수산물의 가격과 선호도 분석 (Price and Preference of Fisheries Imports : Utilization of Armington Elasticity)

  • 임병호
    • 무역학회지
    • /
    • 제46권4호
    • /
    • pp.219-234
    • /
    • 2021
  • Armington elasticity has been a methodology for analyzing how much imports could increase in response to importing price cuts, assuming the possibility of incomplete substitution of domestic and imported products. This study calculates Armington elasticity values in Korean fisheries sector and presents an analysis method for classifying items based on price and preference differences. The model is modified reflecting the characteristics of the fisheries market along with the typical OLS, PAM, and ECM models. The result's implication is that products with a high import growth rate do not necessarily show a high Armington value, but it could be seen that price is not the only factor facilitating fisheries imports increase. Considering the items of which demand increases due to importing price cuts have an indiscriminate demand between domestic and imported products, the results could be interpreted that the Korean fisheries importing market has been easily affected by the changes in import prices. Fisheries grouping by price and preference demonstrates that explanatory variables other than price should be considered when estimating import demand.

국제원유 가격변동이 상품수지에 미치는 영향 분석 (A Study on the Impact of Price Change of International Crude Oil on Merchandise Balance)

  • 손용정
    • 통상정보연구
    • /
    • 제10권3호
    • /
    • pp.459-474
    • /
    • 2008
  • Under violent competition to secure international raw materials, safe supply and demand of crude oil that only relies on import among main raw materials is an important task for Korean economic development. Therefore, this study aims to analyze the impact of price change of international crude oil on merchandise balance. It also presents political suggestions in preparation for national economic development and safety and develops an organized and long-term overseas resources development program. As the time-series data which had the 1st difference contribute to dismissal of the null hypothesis successfully, we carry out a multivariate cointegration test developed by Johansen (1988) and find that at least one cointegration vector exists. And, when Impulse Response Function is introduced, as the crude oil import price shows a negative impact from Step 2, then an extreme change, a positive impact since Step 13, is maintained and a safe result appears.

  • PDF

스마트그리드 실시간요금과 연동되는 수요반응을 유도하기 위한 HEMS 설계에 관한 연구 (A Study on Design of Home Energy Management System to Induce Price Responsive Demand Response to Real Time Pricing of Smart Grid)

  • 강동주;박선주;최수정;한승재
    • 조명전기설비학회논문지
    • /
    • 제25권11호
    • /
    • pp.39-49
    • /
    • 2011
  • Smart Grid has two main objectives on both supply and demand aspects which are to distribute the renewable energy sources on supply side and to develop realtime price responses on demand side. Renewable energy does not consume fossil fuels, therefore it improves the eco-friendliness and saves the cost of power system operation at the same time. Demand response increases the flexibility of the power system by mitigating the fluctuation from renewable energies, and reduces the capacity investment cost by shedding the peak load to off-peak periods. Currently Smart Grid technologies mainly focus on energy monitoring and display services but it has been proved that enabling technologies can induce the higher demand responses through many pilot projects in USA. On this context, this paper provides a price responsive algorithm for HEMS (home energy management system) on the real time pricing environment. This paper identifies the demand response as a core function of HEMS and classifies the demand into 3 categories of fixed, transferable, and realtime responsive loads which are coordinated and operated for the utility maximization or cost minimization with the optimal usage combination of three kinds of demand.

전력시장에서의 쿠르노 수요함수 추정 (A Proposed Method for Estimating Demand function of Cournot Model in Electricity Market)

  • 강동주;허진;오태규;정구형;김발호
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 대한전기학회 2005년도 추계학술대회 논문집 전력기술부문
    • /
    • pp.168-170
    • /
    • 2005
  • At present Cournot model is one of the most commonly used theories to analyze the gaming situation in oligopoly market. But there exist several problems to apply this model to electricity market. The representative one is to obtain the inverse demand curve able to be induced from the relationship between market price and demand response. In Cournot model, each player offers their generation quantity to accomplish maximum profit, which is accomplished by reducing their quantity compared with available total capacity. As stated above, to obtain the probable Cournot equilibrium to reflect real market situation, we have to induce the correct demand function first of all. Usually the correlation between price and demand appears on the long-term basis through the statistical data analysis (for example, regression analysis) or by investigating consumer utility functions of several consumer groups classified as residential, industrial, and commercial. However, the elasticity has a tendency to change continuously according to the total market demand size or the level of market price. Therefore it should be updated as trading period passes by. In this paper we propose a method for inducing and updating this price elasticity of demand function for more realistic market equilibrium

  • PDF

A Mathematical Analysis on Daily Inventory Clearance Pricing with Consumer's Reference Price

  • Koide, Takeshi;Sandoh, Hiroaki
    • Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
    • /
    • 제11권1호
    • /
    • pp.30-38
    • /
    • 2012
  • This paper discusses a clearance pricing on daily perishable products considering a reference price of consumers. The daily perishable products are sometimes sold at a discount price before closing time to stimulate demand when the number of unsold products is more than initially envisioned. The discount pricing results both in an increase of the revenue of the day and in a decrease of the disposal cost. The discounting, however, also declines a reference price of consumers which is a mental price and serves as an anchor price to judge if a current sales price is loss or gain for the consumers. An excess discounting decreases the demand for the products sold at a regular price in the future and diminishes long-term profit. This study conducts a mathematical analysis on the clearance pricing problem for a single period with stochastic variations both on demand and on the inventory level at clearance time. The expected profit function especially depends on the response of consumers to the clearing price against their reference prices. A procedure is proposed to derive an optimal clearance price when consumers are loss-neutral. A sufficient condition is shown to obtain an optimal price for loss-averse and loss-seeking consumers by an analogous procedure.

전력시장 적용을 위한 쿠르노 모델에서의 역수요함수 추정 방법 제안 (The Method for Estimating the Inverse Demand Curve of Cournot Model in Electricity Market)

  • 강동주;허진;김태현;문영환;이근대;정구형;김발호
    • 대한전기학회논문지:전력기술부문A
    • /
    • 제54권2호
    • /
    • pp.79-87
    • /
    • 2005
  • At present Cournot model is one of the most commonly used theories to analyze the gaming situation in oligopoly market. But there exist several problems to apply this model to electricity market. The representative one is to obtain the inverse demand curve able to be induced from the relationship between market price and demand response. In Cournot model, each player offers their generation quantity to accomplish maximum profit, which is accomplished by reducing their quantity compared with available total capacity. As stated above, to obtain the probable Cournot equilibrium to reflect real market situation, we have to induce the correct demand function first of all. Usually the correlation between price and demand appears on the long-term basis through the statistical data analysis (for example, regression analysis) or by investigating consumer utility functions of several consumer groups classified as residential, industrial, and commercial. However, the elasticity has a tendency to change continuously according to the total market demand size or the level of market price. Therefore it should be updated as trading period passes by. In this paper we propose a method for inducing and updating this price elasticity of demand function for more realistic market equilibrium.

A Proposal for Inverse Demand Curve Production of Cournot Model for Application to the Electricity Market

  • Kang Dong-Joo;Oh Tae-Kyoo;Chung Koohyung;Kim Balho H.
    • KIEE International Transactions on Power Engineering
    • /
    • 제5A권4호
    • /
    • pp.403-411
    • /
    • 2005
  • At present, the Cournot model is one of the most commonly used theories to analyze the gaming situation in an oligopoly type market. However, several problems exist in the successful application of this model to the electricity market. The representative one is obtaining the inverse demand curve able to be induced from the relationship between market price and demand response. In the Cournot model, each player offers their generation quantity to obtain maximum profit, which is accomplished by reducing their quantity compared with available total capacity. As stated above, to obtain the probable Cournot equilibrium to reflect the real market situation, we have to induce the correct demand function first of all. Usually the correlation between price and demand appears over the long-term through statistical data analysis (for example, regression analysis) or by investigating consumer utility functions of several consumer groups classified as residential, industrial, and commercial. However, the elasticity has a tendency to change continuously according to the total market demand size or the level of market price. Therefore it should be updated as the trading period passes by. In this paper we propose a method for inducing and updating this price elasticity of demand function for more realistic market equilibrium.

제품별 지향성과 가격수준에 따른 전형성이 심미적 반응에 미치는 효과에 관한 연구 (Effects on Aesthetic Response of Typicality According to Product Orientation and Price Levels)

  • 이진렬;김진아;홍정표
    • 디자인학연구
    • /
    • 제14권1호
    • /
    • pp.103-110
    • /
    • 2001
  • 본 연구는 제품지향성과 지각된 가격수준에 따라 심미적 반응에 대한 전형성효과가 어떻게 달라지는지를 검증하고자 하기 위한 것이다. 본 연구를 통하여 기존연구가 전형성과 선호도간의 관계에 대한 의견의 일치를 보이지 못하는 것과 관련하여 제품지향성과 지각된 가격수준으로 세분화하여 분석함으로써 그러한 한계점을 극복하고 결과적으로 심미적 반응에 대한 전형성의 효과를 검증하였다. 본 연구의 결과를 통하여 디자인지향적 제품의 경우에는 전형성과 선호도간의 역U자형 관계를 나타내고 있을 것으로 파악되었으나 상대적으로 기능지향적 제품의 경우에는 전형성과 선호도와의 관계는 나타나지 않았다.

  • PDF

VAR 모형을 이용한 주가, 금리, 물가, 주택가격의 관계에 대한 실증연구 (An Empirical Analysis on the Relationship between Stock Price, Interest Rate, Price Index and Housing Price using VAR Model)

  • 김재경
    • 유통과학연구
    • /
    • 제11권10호
    • /
    • pp.63-72
    • /
    • 2013
  • Purpose - This study analyzes the relationship and dynamic interactions between stock price index, interest rate, price index, and housing price indices using Korean monthly data from 2000 to 2013, based on a VAR model. This study also examines Granger causal relationships among these variables in order to determine whether the time series of one is useful in forecasting another, or to infer certain types of causal dependency between stochastic variables. Research design, data, and methodology - We used Korean monthly data for all variables from 2000: M1 to 2013: M3. First, we checked the correlations among different variables. Second, we conducted the Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) test and the co-integration test using the VAR model. Third, we employed Granger Causality tests to quantify the causal effect from time series observations. Fourth, we used the impulse response function and variance decomposition based on the VAR model to examine the dynamic relationships among the variables. Results - First, stock price Granger affects interest rate and all housing price indices. Price index Granger, in turn, affects the stock price and six metropolitan housing price indices. However, none of the Granger variables affect the price index. Therefore, it is the stock markets (and not the housing market) that affects the housing prices. Second, the impulse response tests show that maximum influence on stock price is its own, and though it is influenced a little by interest rate, price index affects it negatively. One standard deviation (S.D.) shock to stock price increases the housing price by 0.08 units after two months, whereas an impulse shock to the interest rate negatively impacts the housing price. Third, the variance decomposition results report that the shock to the stock price accounts for 96% of the variation in the stock price, and the shock to the price index accounts for 2.8% after two periods. In contrast, the shock to the interest rate accounts for 80% of the variation in the interest rate after ten periods; the shock to the stock price accounts for 19% of the variation; however, shock to the price index does not affect the interest rate. The housing price index in 10 periods is explained up to 96.7% by itself, 2.62% by stock price, 0.68% by price index, and 0.04% by interest rate. Therefore, the housing market is explained most by its own variation, whereas the interest rate has little impact on housing price. Conclusions - The results of the study elucidate the relationship and dynamic interactions among stock price index, interest rate, price index, and housing price indices using VAR model. This study could help form the basis for more appropriate economic policies in the future. As the housing market is very important in Korean economy, any changes in house price affect the other markets, thereby resulting in a shock to the entire economy. Therefore, the analysis on the dynamic relationships between the housing market and economic variables will help with the decision making regarding the housing market policy.

소비자의 가격탄력성을 고려한 최적조류계산 (Optimal Power Flow Considering Price Elasticity of Customer)

  • 정상현;신영균;김발호
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 대한전기학회 2002년도 추계학술대회 논문집 전력기술부문
    • /
    • pp.372-374
    • /
    • 2002
  • The Optimal Power Flow(OPF) is the optimization model that has different constraints and the specified objective function, which is very useful tool for efficient system and market operation in the competitive electricity market. The existed OPF models focus on the minimization of generation fuel cost under informed demand values at each bus Recently, the studies of OPF model with demand function considering the response behavior of customers in the deregulated electricity market have been executed. This paper implements the OPF model using demand function with specified price elasticity, and provides the analysis of related results.

  • PDF