• Title/Summary/Keyword: Predictive Variables

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Consumer Satisfaction and Complaint with medical Services : -In ulsan city- (의료서비스에 관한 소비자만족과 소비자불만호소 : 울산시를 중심으로)

  • 서정희
    • Journal of the Korean Home Economics Association
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    • v.33 no.2
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    • pp.29-41
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    • 1995
  • This research paper investigates the overall level of the consumer's satisfaction and complaint with medical services, relationships of them and the relationships of socio-demographic variables to them. Data were collected from 523 clients in Ulsan city. Results show that socio-demographic variables appear to have a little predictive power and consumer satisfaction variables are related to private consumer complaint.

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Short-Term Water Quality Prediction of the Paldang Reservoir Using Recurrent Neural Network Models (순환신경망 모델을 활용한 팔당호의 단기 수질 예측)

  • Jiwoo Han;Yong-Chul Cho;Soyoung Lee;Sanghun Kim;Taegu Kang
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.39 no.1
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    • pp.46-60
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    • 2023
  • Climate change causes fluctuations in water quality in the aquatic environment, which can cause changes in water circulation patterns and severe adverse effects on aquatic ecosystems in the future. Therefore, research is needed to predict and respond to water quality changes caused by climate change in advance. In this study, we tried to predict the dissolved oxygen (DO), chlorophyll-a, and turbidity of the Paldang reservoir for about two weeks using long short-term memory (LSTM) and gated recurrent units (GRU), which are deep learning algorithms based on recurrent neural networks. The model was built based on real-time water quality data and meteorological data. The observation period was set from July to September in the summer of 2021 (Period 1) and from March to May in the spring of 2022 (Period 2). We tried to select an algorithm with optimal predictive power for each water quality parameter. In addition, to improve the predictive power of the model, an important variable extraction technique using random forest was used to select only the important variables as input variables. In both Periods 1 and 2, the predictive power after extracting important variables was further improved. Except for DO in Period 2, GRU was selected as the best model in all water quality parameters. This methodology can be useful for preventive water quality management by identifying the variability of water quality in advance and predicting water quality in a short period.

Predicting Risk Factors for Pressure Sores in Patients Undergoing Operations ; A Prospective Study (수술환자의 욕창예측변수에 관한 연구)

  • Pak Soon-Mi;Jun Seong-Sook
    • Journal of Korean Academy of Fundamentals of Nursing
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.267-276
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    • 1999
  • The purpose of this study was to identify risk factors predictive of alterations in skin integrity during the intraoperative period. The predictive risk factors were studied for intraoperative pressure sores from December 1998 through January 1999. A sample of 220 patients was selected from the operating room schedule of a University Hospital in Pusan. There were two criteria in including patients : the operation lasted longer than 2 hours and the absence of skin break-down according to NPUAP criteria. The data were analized by SPSS/PC, Stepwise multiple logistic regression was used to identify the variables which were predictive of alterations in skin integrity. Of the 220 patients studied, 41 patients (18.6%) developed stage 1 pressure sores in the immediate postoperative period. In relation to skin changes, three independent variables emerged from the stepwise multiple logistic regression as being significant (p<0.05). Factors predictive of pressure sore formation included low serum albumin(p=0.000), prone position while undergoing surgery(p=0.0004), time on the operating table(p=0.0165). Among the intrinsic factors, serum albumin was the most significant causal factor in pressure sores development in the intra-operative period. Pressure and shearing force were the most significant extrinsic factors in pressure sores development. From the results of this study we concluded that the primary nursing goal is the maintenance of the proper patient' position during the intraoperative period. Also imperative for sore prevention is the reduction of surgery time and improving preoperative nutritional status.

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A Study on Predictive Models based on the Machine Learning for Evaluating the Extent of Hazardous Zone of Explosive Gases (기계학습 기반의 가스폭발위험범위 예측모델에 관한 연구)

  • Jung, Yong Jae;Lee, Chang Jun
    • Korean Chemical Engineering Research
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    • v.58 no.2
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    • pp.248-256
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    • 2020
  • In this study, predictive models based on machine learning for evaluating the extent of hazardous zone of explosive gases are developed. They are able to provide important guidelines for installing the explosion proof apparatus. 1,200 research data sets including 12 combustible gases and their extents of hazardous zone are generated to train predictive models. The extent of hazardous zone is set to an output variable and 12 variables affecting an output are set as input variables. Multiple linear regression, principal component regression, and artificial neural network are employed to train predictive models. Mean absolute percentage errors of multiple linear regression, principal component regression, and artificial neural network are 44.2%, 49.3%, and 5.7% and root mean square errors are 1.389m, 1.602m, and 0.203 m respectively. Therefore, it can be concluded that the artificial neural network shows the best performance. This model can be easily used to evaluate the extent of hazardous zone for explosive gases.

Visual Analytics Approach for Performance Improvement of predicting youth physical growth model (청소년 신체 성장 예측 모델의 성능 향상을 위한 시각적 분석 방법)

  • Yeon, Hanbyul;Pi, Mingyu;Seo, Seongbum;Ha, Seoho;Oh, Byungjun;Jang, Yun
    • Journal of the Korea Computer Graphics Society
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.21-29
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    • 2017
  • Previous visual analytics researches has focused on reducing the uncertainty of predicted results using a variety of interactive visual data exploration techniques. The main purpose of the interactive search technique is to reduce the quality difference of the predicted results according to the level of the decision maker by understanding the relationship between the variables and choosing the appropriate model to predict the unknown variables. However, it is difficult to create a predictive model which forecast time series data whose overall trends is unknown such as youth physical growth data. In this paper, we pro pose a novel predictive analysis technique to forecast the physical growth value in small pieces of time series data with un certain trends. This model estimates the distribution of data at a particular point in time. We also propose a visual analytics system that minimizes the possible uncertainties in predictive modeling process.

Statistical Prediction of Used Tablet PC Transaction Price among Consumers (소비자 사이의 중고 태블릿PC 거래 가격의 통계적 예측)

  • Younghee Go;Sohyung Kim;Yujin Chung
    • Journal of Industrial Convergence
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    • v.20 no.12
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    • pp.179-186
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    • 2022
  • This study aims to develop a predictive model to suggest a used sales price to sellers and buyers when trading used tablet PCs. For model development, we analyzed the real used tablet PC transaction data and additionally collected detailed product information. We developed several predictive models and selected the best predictive model among them. Specifically, we considered a multiple linear regression model using the used sales price as a dependent variable and other variables in the integrated data as independent variables, a multiple linear regression model including interactions, and the models from stepwise variable selection in each model. The model with the best predictive performance was finally selected through cross-validation. Through this study, we can predict the sales price of used tablet PCs and suggest appropriate used sales prices to sellers and buyers.

Usefulness of Liver Fibrosis According to Classification of Image Score System In Abdominal Ultrasonography (복부 초음파검사에서 영상 점수 시스템 분류에 따른 간 섬유화 평가의 유용성)

  • An, Hyun;Ji, Tae-jeong;Lee, Hyo-young;Im, In-chul
    • Journal of radiological science and technology
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    • v.42 no.3
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    • pp.187-194
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    • 2019
  • The purpose of this study was to evaluate the pathologic results of hepatic parenchyma parameters such as liver parenchyma, liver surface, liver margin and liver, portal vein, spleen size, And to evaluate the usefulness of fibrosis progression and hepatic ultrasonography. The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and prognostic value according to the stage of fibrosis and grade of inflammation were divided into two groups according to the morphologic variable "A" through ultrasound and "B" We evaluated the predictive value and predicted the variables to evaluate fibrosis in clinical diagnosis and treatment of patients with chronic liver disease. The sensitivity and specificity of hepatic fibrosis in hepatic morphologic variables and other size variables were highest in liver surface and edge. The morphologic parameters used in the evaluation of fibrosis were clinically relevant in distinguishing the fibrosis stage from the results of liver biopsy.

Improving streamflow prediction with assimilating the SMAP soil moisture data in WRF-Hydro

  • Kim, Yeri;Kim, Yeonjoo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2021.06a
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    • pp.205-205
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    • 2021
  • Surface soil moisture, which governs the partitioning of precipitation into infiltration and runoff, plays an important role in the hydrological cycle. The assimilation of satellite soil moisture retrievals into a land surface model or hydrological model has been shown to improve the predictive skill of hydrological variables. This study aims to improve streamflow prediction with Weather Research and Forecasting model-Hydrological modeling system (WRF-Hydro) by assimilating Soil Moisture Active and Passive (SMAP) data at 3 km and analyze its impacts on hydrological components. We applied Cumulative Distribution Function (CDF) technique to remove the bias of SMAP data and assimilate SMAP data (April to July 2015-2019) into WRF-Hydro by using an Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF) with a total 12 ensembles. Daily inflow and soil moisture estimates of major dams (Soyanggang, Chungju, Sumjin dam) of South Korea were evaluated. We investigated how hydrologic variables such as runoff, evaporation and soil moisture were better simulated with the data assimilation than without the data assimilation. The result shows that the correlation coefficient of topsoil moisture can be improved, however a change of dam inflow was not outstanding. It may attribute to the fact that soil moisture memory and the respective memory of runoff play on different time scales. These findings demonstrate that the assimilation of satellite soil moisture retrievals can improve the predictive skill of hydrological variables for a better understanding of the water cycle.

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Cooperative Particle Swarm Optimization-based Model Predictive Control for Multi-Robot Formation (군집 로봇 편대 제어를 위한 협력 입자 군집 최적화 알고리즘 기반 모델 예측 제어 기법)

  • Lee, Seung-Mok;Kim, Hanguen;Myung, Hyun
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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    • v.19 no.5
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    • pp.429-434
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    • 2013
  • This paper proposes a CPSO (Cooperative Particle Swarm Optimization)-based MPC (Model Predictive Control) scheme to deal with formation control problem of multiple nonholonomic mobile robots. In a distributed MPC framework, each robot needs to optimize control input sequence over a finite prediction horizon considering control inputs of the other robots where their cost functions are coupled by the state variables of the neighboring robots. In order to optimize the control input sequence, a CPSO algorithm is adopted and modified to fit into the formation control problem. Experiments are performed on a group of nonholonomic mobile robots to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed CPSO-based MPC for multi-robot formation.

A Study on A Development of Automatic Travel Control System of Crane using Neural Network Predictive Two Degree of Freedom PID Controller (신경회로망 예측 2자유도 PID 제어기를 이용한 크레인의 자동주행 제어 시스템 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Sohn, Dong-Seop;Lee, Chang-Hoon;Lee, Jin-Woo;Lee, Kwon-Soon
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2002.07d
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    • pp.2788-2790
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    • 2002
  • In this paper, we designed neural network predictive two degree of freedom PID controller to control sway of crane Crane's trolley arrive minimum oscillation of transfer body and establishment position in minimum time. When various establishment location and surrounding disturbance were approved based on mathematical modeling of crane, controller designed to become effective control location error and oscillation angle of two control variables that simultaneously can predictive control. We wish to develop automatic travel control system through anti-sway skill of crane.

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