• IEIE Transactions on Smart Processing and Computing
• /
• v.5 no.6
• /
• pp.430-439
• /
• 2016

Estimation and analysis of traffic jams plays a vital role in an intelligent transportation system and advances safety in the transportation system as well as mobility and optimization of environmental impact. For these reasons, many researchers currently mainly focus on the brilliant machine learning-based prediction approaches for traffic prediction systems. This paper primarily addresses the analysis and comparison of prediction accuracy between two machine learning algorithms: Naïve Bayes and K-Nearest Neighbor (K-NN). Based on the fact that optimized estimation accuracy of these methods mainly depends on a large amount of recounted data and that they require much time to compute the same function heuristically for each action, we propose an approach that applies multi-threading to these heuristic methods. It is obvious that the greater the amount of historical data, the more processing time is necessary. For a real-time system, operational response time is vital, and the proposed system also focuses on the time complexity cost as well as computational complexity. It is experimentally confirmed that K-NN does much better than Naïve Bayes, not only in prediction accuracy but also in processing time. Multi-threading-based K-NN could compute four times faster than classical K-NN, whereas multi-threading-based Naïve Bayes could process only twice as fast as classical Bayes.

• The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
• /
• v.64 no.1
• /
• pp.107-112
• /
• 2015

This paper introduces an evolutionary nonlinear regression based compensation technique for the short-range prediction of wind speed using AWS(Automatic Weather Station) data. Development of an efficient MOS(Model Output Statistics) is necessary to correct systematic errors of the model, but a linear regression based MOS is hard to manage an irregular nature of weather prediction. In order to solve the problem, a nonlinear and symbolic regression method using GP(Genetic Programming) is suggested for a development of MOS wind forecast guidance. Also FCM(Fuzzy C-Means) clustering is adopted to mitigate bias of wind speed data. The purpose of this study is to evaluate the accuracy of the estimation by a GP based nonlinear MOS for 3 days prediction of wind speed in South Korean regions. This method is then compared to the UM model and has shown superior results. Data for 2007-2009, 2011 is used for training, and 2012 is used for testing.

• Proceedings of the Korea Institute of Convergence Signal Processing
• /
• 2001.06a
• /
• pp.213-216
• /
• 2001

The H.263 Annex I method for the intraframe coding is based on the prediction in DCT domain, unlike JPEG, MPEG-1, and MPEG-2 where the intraframe coding uses block DCT, independent of the neighboring blocks. In this paper, we show the ineffectiveness of H.263 Annex I prediction method by mathematically deriving the spatial domain meaning of H.263 Annex I prediction method. Based on the derivation, we propose a prediction method which is based on the spatial correlation property of image signals. From the experiment and derivation, we verified the proposed method.

• The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
• /
• v.64 no.12
• /
• pp.1748-1755
• /
• 2015

A linear regression is widely used for prediction problem, but it is hard to manage an irregular nature of nonlinear system. Although nonlinear regression methods have been adopted, most of them are only fit to low and limited structure problem with small number of independent variables. However, real-world problem, such as weather prediction required complex nonlinear regression with large number of variables. GP(Genetic Programming) based evolutionary nonlinear regression method is an efficient approach to attach the challenging problem. This paper introduces the improvement of an GP based nonlinear regression method using ADF(Automatically Defined Function). It is believed ADFs allow the evolution of modular solutions and, consequently, improve the performance of the GP technique. The suggested ADF based GP nonlinear regression methods are compared with UM, MLR, and previous GP method for 3 days prediction of wind speed using MOS(Model Output Statistics) for partial South Korean regions. The UM and KLAPS data of 2007-2009, 2011-2013 years are used for experimentation.

• Korean Journal of Materials Research
• /
• v.33 no.7
• /
• pp.273-278
• /
• 2023

In this study, based on the saturation magnetic flux density experimental values (B_s) of 622 Fe-based bulk metallic glasses (BMGs), regression models were applied to predict B_s using artificial neural networks (ANN), and prediction performance was evaluated. Model performance evaluation was investigated by using the F1 score together with the coefficient of determination (R² score), which is mainly used in regression models. The coefficient of determination can be used as a performance indicator, since it shows the predicted results of the saturation magnetic flux density of full material datasets in a balanced way. However, the BMG alloy contains iron and requires a high saturation magnetic flux density to have excellent applicability as a soft magnetic material, and in this study F1 score was used as a performance indicator to better predict B_s above the threshold value of B_s (1.4 T). After obtaining two ANN models optimized for the R² and F1 score conditions, respectively, their prediction performance was compared for the test data. As a case study to evaluate the prediction performance, new Fe-based BMG datasets that were not included in the training and test datasets were predicted using the two ANN models. The results showed that the model with an excellent F1 score achieved a more accurate prediction for a material with a high saturation magnetic flux density.

• Journal of Software Assessment and Valuation
• /
• v.15 no.1
• /
• pp.123-131
• /
• 2019

The Internet of Things (IoT) environment must be able to meet the needs of users by providing access to various services that can be used to develop diverse user applications. However, QoS issues arise due to the characteristics of the IoT environment, such as numerous heterogeneous devices and potential resource constraints. In this paper, we propose a QoS prediction method that reflects trust between users in SOA based IoT. In order to increase the accuracy of QoS prediction, we analyze the trust and distrust relations between users and identify similarities among users and predict QoS based on them. The centrality is calculated to enhance trust relationships. Experimental results show that QoS prediction can be improved.

• KIPS Transactions on Computer and Communication Systems
• /
• v.11 no.2
• /
• pp.67-72
• /
• 2022

Recently, various intelligent application services using artificial intelligence are being actively developed. In particular, research on artificial intelligence-based real-time prediction services is being actively conducted in the manufacturing industry, and the demand for artificial intelligence services that can detect and predict fire and odors is very high. However, most of the existing detection and prediction systems do not predict the occurrence of fires and odors, but rather provide detection services after occurrence. This is because AI-based prediction service technology is not applied in existing systems. In addition, fire prediction, odor detection and odor level prediction services are services with ultra-low delay characteristics. Therefore, in order to provide ultra-low-latency prediction service, edge computing technology is combined with artificial intelligence models, so that faster inference results can be applied to the field faster than the cloud is being developed. Therefore, in this paper, we propose an LSTM algorithm-based learning model that can be used for fire prediction and odor detection/prediction, which are most required in the manufacturing industry. In addition, the proposed learning model is designed to be implemented in edge devices, and it is proposed to receive real-time sensor data from the IoT terminal and apply this data to the inference model to predict fire and odor conditions in real time. The proposed model evaluated the prediction accuracy of the learning model through three performance indicators, and the evaluation result showed an average performance of over 90%.

• Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
• /
• v.25 no.4
• /
• pp.77-84
• /
• 2016

This paper proposes a methodology for creating a function based reliability prediction model. Although, there are various works for reliability prediction, one of the features of their research is that the research is based on hardware-centered reliability prediction. Reliability is often defined as the probability that a device will perform its intended function, under operating condition, for a specified period of time, there is a profound irony about reliability prediction problem. In this paper, we proposed four-phase modeling procedure for function-centered reliability prediction. The proposed modeling procedure consists of four models; 1) structure block model, 2) function block model, 3) device model, and 4) reliability prediction model. We performed function-centered reliability prediction for electronic ballast using the proposed modeling procedure and MIL-HDBK-217F which is the military handbook for reliability prediction of electronic equipment.

• Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
• /
• v.26 no.4
• /
• pp.111-126
• /
• 2020

Most industries have recently become aware of the importance of customer lifetime value as they are exposed to a competitive environment. As a result, preventing customers from churn is becoming a more important business issue than securing new customers. This is because maintaining churn customers is far more economical than securing new customers, and in fact, the acquisition cost of new customers is known to be five to six times higher than the maintenance cost of churn customers. Also, Companies that effectively prevent customer churn and improve customer retention rates are known to have a positive effect on not only increasing the company's profitability but also improving its brand image by improving customer satisfaction. Predicting customer churn, which had been conducted as a sub-research area for CRM, has recently become more important as a big data-based performance marketing theme due to the development of business machine learning technology. Until now, research on customer churn prediction has been carried out actively in such sectors as the mobile telecommunication industry, the financial industry, the distribution industry, and the game industry, which are highly competitive and urgent to manage churn. In addition, These churn prediction studies were focused on improving the performance of the churn prediction model itself, such as simply comparing the performance of various models, exploring features that are effective in forecasting departures, or developing new ensemble techniques, and were limited in terms of practical utilization because most studies considered the entire customer group as a group and developed a predictive model. As such, the main purpose of the existing related research was to improve the performance of the predictive model itself, and there was a relatively lack of research to improve the overall customer churn prediction process. In fact, customers in the business have different behavior characteristics due to heterogeneous transaction patterns, and the resulting churn rate is different, so it is unreasonable to assume the entire customer as a single customer group. Therefore, it is desirable to segment customers according to customer classification criteria, such as loyalty, and to operate an appropriate churn prediction model individually, in order to carry out effective customer churn predictions in heterogeneous industries. Of course, in some studies, there are studies in which customers are subdivided using clustering techniques and applied a churn prediction model for individual customer groups. Although this process of predicting churn can produce better predictions than a single predict model for the entire customer population, there is still room for improvement in that clustering is a mechanical, exploratory grouping technique that calculates distances based on inputs and does not reflect the strategic intent of an entity such as loyalties. This study proposes a segment-based customer departure prediction process (CCP/2DL: Customer Churn Prediction based on Two-Dimensional Loyalty segmentation) based on two-dimensional customer loyalty, assuming that successful customer churn management can be better done through improvements in the overall process than through the performance of the model itself. CCP/2DL is a series of churn prediction processes that segment two-way, quantitative and qualitative loyalty-based customer, conduct secondary grouping of customer segments according to churn patterns, and then independently apply heterogeneous churn prediction models for each churn pattern group. Performance comparisons were performed with the most commonly applied the General churn prediction process and the Clustering-based churn prediction process to assess the relative excellence of the proposed churn prediction process. The General churn prediction process used in this study refers to the process of predicting a single group of customers simply intended to be predicted as a machine learning model, using the most commonly used churn predicting method. And the Clustering-based churn prediction process is a method of first using clustering techniques to segment customers and implement a churn prediction model for each individual group. In cooperation with a global NGO, the proposed CCP/2DL performance showed better performance than other methodologies for predicting churn. This churn prediction process is not only effective in predicting churn, but can also be a strategic basis for obtaining a variety of customer observations and carrying out other related performance marketing activities.

• Journal of Convergence for Information Technology
• /
• v.11 no.11
• /
• pp.44-50
• /
• 2021

Recently, enterprise storage systems that require large-capacity storage devices to accommodate big data have used large-capacity flash memory-based storage devices with high density compared to cost and size. This paper proposes a high-efficiency life prediction method with slope descent to maximize the life of flash memory media that directly affects the reliability and usability of large enterprise storage devices. To this end, this paper proposes the structure of a matrix for storing metadata for learning the frequency of defects and proposes a cost model using metadata. It also proposes a life expectancy prediction policy in exceptional situations when defects outside the learned range occur. Lastly, it was verified through simulation that a method proposed by this paper can maximize its life compared to a life prediction method based on the fixed number of times and the life prediction method based on the remaining ratio of spare blocks, which has been used to predict the life of flash memory.