• Journal of information and communication convergence engineering
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• v.5 no.4
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• pp.339-345
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• 2007

Video transcoding is a technique used to convert a compressed input video stream with an arbitrary format, size, and bitrate into a different attribute video stream different attributes to provide a efficient video streaming service for the customers is dispersed in the heterogeneous networks. Specifically, frames deletion occur in a transcoding scheme that exploits the adjustment of frame rate, and at this time, the loss in temporal relation among frames due to frame deletion is compensated for the prediction of motion estimation by reusing motion vectors in the would-be deleted frames. But the processing time for transcoding don't have an improvement as much as our expectation because transcoding is done only within the transcoder. So in this paper, we propose a new transcoding algorithm based on prediction period to improve transcoding-related processing time. For this, we also modify the existing encoder so as to adjust dynamically frame rate based on the prediction period and deletion period of frames. To check how the proposed algorithm works nicely, we implement a video streaming system with the new transcoder and encoder to which it is applied. The result of the performance test shows that the streaming system with proposed algorithm improve 60% above in processing time and also PSNR have a good performance while the quality of pictures is preserved.

• Asia-Pacific Journal of Atmospheric Sciences
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• v.54 no.4
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• pp.563-573
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• 2018

An Expert Seasonal Prediction System for operational Seasonal Outlook (ESPreSSO) is developed based on the APEC Climate Center (APCC) Multi-Model Ensemble (MME) dynamical prediction and expert-guided statistical downscaling techniques. Dynamical models have improved to provide meaningful seasonal prediction, and their prediction skills are further improved by various ensemble and downscaling techniques. However, experienced scientists and forecasters make subjective correction for the operational seasonal outlook due to limited prediction skills and biases of dynamical models. Here, a hybrid seasonal prediction system that grafts experts' knowledge and understanding onto dynamical MME prediction is developed to guide operational seasonal outlook in Korea. The basis dynamical prediction is based on the APCC MME, which are statistically mapped onto the station-based observations by experienced experts. Their subjective selection undergoes objective screening and quality control to generate final seasonal outlook products after physical ensemble averaging. The prediction system is constructed based on 23-year training period of 1983-2005, and its performance and stability are assessed for the independent 11-year prediction period of 2006-2016. The results show that the ESPreSSO has reliable and stable prediction skill suitable for operational use.

• Journal of Aerospace System Engineering
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• v.14 no.2
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• pp.50-56
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• 2020

In this study, we investigated whether long short-term memory (LSTM) can be used in the future to predict F10.7 index data; the F10.7 index is a space environment factor affecting atomic oxygen erosion. Based on this, we compared the prediction performances of LSTM, the Autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model (which is a traditional statistical prediction model), and the similar pattern searching method used for long-term prediction. The LSTM model yielded superior results compared to the other techniques in the prediction period starting from the max/min points, but presented inferior results in the prediction period including the inflection points. It was found that efficient learning was not achieved, owing to the lack of currently available learning data in the prediction period including the maximum points. To overcome this, we proposed a method to increase the size of the learning samples using the sunspot data and to upgrade the LSTM model.

• Journal of Information Technology Services
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• v.18 no.1
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• pp.187-200
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• 2019

Bankruptcy prediction model is an issue that has consistently interested in various fields. Recently, as technology for dealing with unstructured data has been developed, researches applied to business model prediction through text mining have been activated, and studies using this method are also increasing in bankruptcy prediction. Especially, it is actively trying to improve bankruptcy prediction by analyzing news data dealing with the external environment of the corporation. However, there has been a lack of study on which news is effective in bankruptcy prediction in real-time mass-produced news. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the high impact news on bankruptcy prediction. Therefore, we classify news according to type, collection period, and analyzed the impact on bankruptcy prediction based on sentiment analysis. As a result, artificial neural network was most effective among the algorithms used, and commentary news type was most effective in bankruptcy prediction. Column and straight type news were also significant, but photo type news was not significant. In the news by collection period, news for 4 months before the bankruptcy was most effective in bankruptcy prediction. In this study, we propose a news classification methods for sentiment analysis that is effective for bankruptcy prediction model.

• The Journal of Information Systems
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• v.32 no.1
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• pp.179-199
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• 2023

Purpose This study builds a prediction model to find stocks that can reach intrinsic value among KOSPI and KOSDAQ-listed companies to improve the stability and profitability of the stock investment. And investment simulations are conducted to verify whether stock investment performance is improved by comparing the prediction model, random stock selection, and the market indexes. Design/methodology/approach Value investment theory and machine learning techniques are applied to build the model. Various experiments find conditions such as the algorithm with the best predictive performance, learning period, and intrinsic value-reaching period. This study selects stocks through the prediction model learned with inventive variables, does not limit the holding period after buying to reach the intrinsic value of the stocks, and targets all KOSPI and KOSDAQ companies. The stock and financial data are collected for 21 years (2001-2021). Findings As a result of the experiment, using the random forest technique, the prediction model's performance was the best with one year of learning period and within one year of the intrinsic value reaching period. As a result of the investment simulation, the cumulative return of the prediction model was up to 1.68 times higher than the random stock selection and 17 times higher than the KOSPI index. The usefulness of the prediction model was confirmed in that the number of intrinsic values reaching the predicted stock was up to 70% higher than the random selection.

• Journal of the Korean earth science society
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• v.38 no.1
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• pp.11-23
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• 2017

The short term predictability of wind resources is an important factor in evaluating the economic feasibility of a wind power plant. As a method of improving the predictability, a Bayesian Kalman filter is applied as the model data postprocessing. At this time, a statistical training period is needed to evaluate the correlation between estimated model and observation data for several Kalman training periods. This study was quantitatively analyzes for the prediction characteristics according to different training periods. The prediction of the temperature and wind speed with 3-day short term Bayesian Kalman training at Taebaek area is more reasonable than that in applying the other training periods. In contrast, it may produce a good prediction result in Ieodo when applying the training period for more than six days. The prediction performance of a Bayesian Kalman filter is clearly improved in the case in which the Weather Research Forecast (WRF) model prediction performance is poor. On the other hand, the performance improvement of the WRF prediction is weak at the accurate point.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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• 2014.05a
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• pp.162-163
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• 2014

Operation and maintenance stage consists the largest portion of project life cycle cost. Appropriate management and analysis of such stages have massive effect on the total project cost. The effective prediction of optimized repair period is one of main factors in ㅌ management. However, it has been analyzed that the prediction of appropriate repair period revealed limitations in reliability. Therefore, this study suggests a methodology of repair period prediction by dividing finished projects into similar groups with same properties to be compared with the target project using quantitative variables.

• Proceedings of the KOR-KST Conference
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• 1995.02a
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• pp.84-98
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• 1995

Network-based model were developed to predict short term future traffic volume based on current traffic, historical average, and upstream traffic. It is presumed that upstream traffic volume can be used to predict the downstream traffic in a specific time period. Three models were developed for traffic flow prediction; a combination of historical average and upstream traffic, a combination of current traffic and upstream traffic, and a combination of all three variables. The three models were evaluated using regression analysis. The third model is found to provide the best prediction for the analyzed data. In order to balance the variables appropriately according to the present traffic condition, a heuristic adaptive weighting system is devised based on the relationships between the beginning period of prediction and the previous periods. The developed models were applied to 15-minute freeway data obtained by regular induction loop detectors. The prediction models were shown to be capable of producing reliable and accurate forecasts under congested traffic condition. The prediction systems perform better in the 15-minute range than in the ranges of 30-to 45-minute. It is also found that the combined models usually produce more consistent forecasts than the historical average.

• Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers
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• v.18 no.12
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• pp.3326-3334
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• 1994

To theoretically predict knock occurrence in S. I. engine as a function of engine design and operating parameters, transient local temperature and pressure, mixture density of flame front in combustion period are calculated. We next determined normal combustion period and auto ignition period of end gas using the prediction method on occurrence of spark knock which we suggested. We predict knock occurrence in S. I. engine by comparing consecutively normal combustion period with the auto ignition period of end gas in combustion period. Engine design and operating parameters such as compression ratio, engine speed, spark timing, inlet temperature and pressure are taken into account in this calculations. The predicted result are well matched with the experimental results in turbocharged engine. Therefore, this method will provide the systematic guideline for designing engines in view of knocking limits.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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• 2023.05a
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• pp.361-362
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• 2023

In construction work, there is often a difference between the estimated construction period and the actual construction period. Accordingly, the project may be delayed from the scheduled date, leading to huge losses due to problems such as increased costs during construction. In this way, it is important to calculate the appropriate construction period at the project planning stage in construction work. To solve this problem, we would like to study a model that will increase the accuracy of the scheduled construction period at the project planning stage. This study compared and analyzed linear regression, Lasso regression, Ridge regression among the types of regression analysis to select an appropriate construction period prediction model to secure an appropriate construction period at the project planning stage to reduce problems during construction.