• Title/Summary/Keyword: Prediction of Damage

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APPLICATION OF 3D TERRAIN MODEL FOR INDUSTRY DISASTER ASSESSMENT

  • Kim, Hyung-Seok;Cho, Hyoung-Ki;Chang, Eun-Mi;Kim, In-Hyun;Kim, In-Won
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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    • 2008.10a
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    • pp.3-5
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    • 2008
  • An increase in oil and gas plants caused by development of process industry have brought into the increase in use of flammable and toxic materials in the complex process under high temperature and pressure. There is always possibility of fire and explosion of dangerous chemicals, which exist as raw materials, intermediates, and finished goods whether used or stored in the industrial plants. Since there is the need of efforts on disaster damage reduction or mitigation process, we have been conducting a research to relate explosion model on the background of real 3D terrain model. By predicting the extent of damage caused by recent disasters, we will be able to improve efficiency of recovery and, sure, to take preventive measure and emergency counterplan in response to unprepared disaster. For disaster damage prediction, it is general to conduct quantitative risk assessment, using engineering model for environmental description of the target area. There are different engineering models, according to type of disaster, to be used for industry disaster such as UVCE (Unconfined Vapour Cloud Explosion), BLEVE (Boiling Liquid Evaporation Vapour Explosion), Fireball and so on, among them, we estimate explosion damage through UVCE model which is used in the event of explosion of high frequency and severe damage. When flammable gas in a tank is released to the air, firing it brings about explosion, then we can assess the effect of explosion. As 3D terrain information data is utilized to predict and estimate the extent of damage for each human and material. 3D terrain data with synthetic environment (SEDRIS) gives us more accurate damage prediction for industrial disaster and this research will show appropriate prediction results.

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3D Terrain Model Application for Explosion Assessment

  • Kim, Hyung-Seok;Chang, Eun-Mi;Kim, In-Won
    • 한국지역지리학회:학술대회
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    • 2009.08a
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    • pp.108-115
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    • 2009
  • An increase in oil and gas plants caused by development of process industry have brought into the increase in use of flammable and toxic materials in the complex process under high temperature and pressure. There is always possibility of fire and explosion of dangerous chemicals, which exist as raw materials, intermediates, and finished goods whether used or stored in the industrial plants. Since there is the need of efforts on disaster damage reduction or mitigation process, we have been conducting a research to relate explosion model on the background of real 3D terrain model. By predicting the extent of damage caused by recent disasters, we will be able to improve efficiency of recovery and, sure, to take preventive measure and emergency counterplan in response to unprepared disaster. For disaster damage prediction, it is general to conduct quantitative risk assessment, using engineering model for environmentaldescription of the target area. There are different engineering models, according to type of disaster, to be used for industry disaster such as UVCE (Unconfined Vapor Cloud Explosion), BLEVE (Boiling Liquid Evaporation Vapor Explosion), Fireball and so on, among them.we estimate explosion damage through UVCE model which is used in the event of explosion of high frequency and severe damage. When flammable gas in a tank is released to the air, firing it brings about explosion, then we can assess the effect of explosion. As 3D terrain information data is utilized to predict and estimate the extent of damage for each human and material. 3D terrain data with synthetic environment (SEDRIS) gives us more accurate damage prediction for industrial disaster and this research will show appropriate prediction results.

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A Study of Damage District Forecast by Combine Topograph Modeling of Insular Areas Using GIS

  • Choi, Byoung Gil;Na, Young Woo;Ahn, Soon Myoung
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.35 no.2
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    • pp.113-122
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    • 2017
  • Natural disasters caused by climate change are increasing globally. There are few studies on the quantitative analysis methods for predicting damages in the island area due to sea level rise. Therefore, it is necessary to study the damage prediction analysis method using the GIS which can quantitatively analyze. In this paper, we analyze the cause and status of sea level rise, quantify the vulnerability index, establish an integrated terrestrial modeling method of the ocean and land, and establish a method of analyzing the damage area and damage scale due to sea level rise using GIS and the method of making the damage prediction figure was studied. In order to extract the other affected areas to sea level rise are apart of the terrain model is generated by one requires a terrain modeling of target areas are offshore and vertical reference system differences in land, found the need for correction by a tidal observations and geoid model there was. Grading of terrain, coastline erosion rate, coastal slope, sea level rise rate, and even average by vulnerable factors due to sea level rise indicates that quantitative damage prediction is possible due to sea level rise in the island area. In the case of vulnerable areas extracted by GIS, residential areas and living areas are concentrated on the coastal area due to the nature of the book area, and field survey shows that coastal changes and erosion are caused by sea level rise or tsunami.

Performance-based drift prediction of reinforced concrete shear wall using bagging ensemble method

  • Bu-Seog Ju;Shinyoung Kwag;Sangwoo Lee
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.55 no.8
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    • pp.2747-2756
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    • 2023
  • Reinforced Concrete (RC) shear walls are one of the civil structures in nuclear power plants to resist lateral loads such as earthquakes and wind loads effectively. Risk-informed and performance-based regulation in the nuclear industry requires considering possible accidents and determining desirable performance on structures. As a result, rather than predicting only the ultimate capacity of structures, the prediction of performances on structures depending on different damage states or various accident scenarios have increasingly needed. This study aims to develop machine-learning models predicting drifts of the RC shear walls according to the damage limit states. The damage limit states are divided into four categories: the onset of cracking, yielding of rebars, crushing of concrete, and structural failure. The data on the drift of shear walls at each damage state are collected from the existing studies, and four regression machine-learning models are used to train the datasets. In addition, the bagging ensemble method is applied to improve the accuracy of the individual machine-learning models. The developed models are to predict the drifts of shear walls consisting of various cross-sections based on designated damage limit states in advance and help to determine the repairing methods according to damage levels to shear walls.

Standard Metadata Design for Linkage and Utilization of Damage Prediction Maps (풍수해 피해예측지도 연계·활용을 위한 표준 메타데이터 설계)

  • SEO, Kang-Hyeon;HWANG, Eui-Ho;BAECK, Seung-Hyub;LIM, So-Mang;CHAE, Hyo-Sok
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.52-66
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    • 2017
  • This study aims at designing standard metadata that can be incorporated for advanced utilization of damage prediction maps, and thereby constructing the standard meta-information management prototype system on the basis of the proposed design. Based on the ISO/TC 211 19115 international standard, which is considered as the most widely used standard (as per the results of a domestic and foreign metadata standard survey), the designing process for the standard metadata was established and the metadata was categorized into nine classes. Additionally, based on the output of the standard metadata design process, a standard meta-information management prototype system, capable of checking and downloading meta-property information, was constructed using the JAVASCRIPT language. By incorporating the obtained results, it is possible to maintain the quality of the constructed damage prediction map by establishing a standardized damage prediction map database. Furthermore, disaster response can be actuated through the provision and management of data for effective operation of the proposed damage prediction system.

Enhancing Red Tides Prediction using Fuzzy Reasoning and Naive Bayes Classifier (나이브베이스 분류자와 퍼지 추론을 이용한 적조 발생 예측의 성능향상)

  • Park, Sun;Lee, Seong-Ro
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.15 no.9
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    • pp.1881-1888
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    • 2011
  • Red tide is a natural phenomenon to bloom harmful algal, which fish and shellfish die en masse. Red tide damage with respect to sea farming has been occurred each year. Red tide damage can be minimized by means of prediction of red tide blooms. Red tide prediction using naive bayes classifier can be achieve good prediction results. The result of naive bayes method only determine red tide blooms, whereas the method can not know how increasing of red tide algae density. In this paper, we proposed the red tide blooms prediction method using fuzzy reasoning and naive bayes classifier. The proposed method can enhance the precision of red tide prediction and forecast the increasing density of red tide algae.

Development of A GIS-based Tunnelling-induced Building/Utility Damage Assessment System (GIS 기반의 터널굴착시 건물/매설관 손상평가 시스템 개발)

  • 유충식;김재훈;박영진;유정훈
    • Proceedings of the Korean Geotechical Society Conference
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    • 2002.10a
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    • pp.311-318
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    • 2002
  • A GIS-based tunnelling risk management system (GIS-TURIMS) has been developed in this study, The developed system uses ArcView 8.2 as a basic platform and the built-in interface (VBA) has been used to perform first-order simplified analyses for prediction of tunnelling-induced ground movements and building damage assessment. The main emphasis in this study was to develop a working framework that can be used in the perspective of tunnelling risk management. The developed system is capable of carrying out computationally intensive analyses for ground movement prediction as well as building/utilities damage assessment with fully taking advantage of the GIS technologies. This paper describes the concept and details of the GIS-TURIMS development and implementation

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GIS-based Tunnelling-induced Building/Utility Damage Assessment System-Development and Application (GIS기반의 터널시공에 따른 주변건물/매설관 손상평가 시스템-개발 및 적용)

  • 유충식;전영우;김재훈;박영진;유정훈
    • Proceedings of the Korean Geotechical Society Conference
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    • 2003.03a
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    • pp.233-240
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    • 2003
  • A GIS-based tunnelling risk management system (GIS-TURIMS) has been developed in this study The developed system uses ArcView 8.2 as a basic platform and the built-in interface(VBA) has been used to perform first-order simplified analyses for prediction of tunnelling-induced ground movements and building damage assessment. The main emphasis in this study was to develop a working framework that can be used in the perspective of tunnelling risk management. The developed system is capable of carrying out computationally intensive first-order analyses for ground movement prediction as well as building/utilities damage assessment with fully taking advantage of the GIS technologies. This paper describes the concept and details of the GIS-TURIMS development and implementation.

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Red Tide Blooms Prediction using Fuzzy Reasoning (퍼지 추론을 이용한 적조 발생 예측)

  • Park, Sun;Lee, Seong-Ro
    • The KIPS Transactions:PartB
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    • v.18B no.5
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    • pp.291-294
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    • 2011
  • Red tide is a temporary natural phenomenon to change sea color by harmful algal blooms, which finfish and shellfish die en masse. There have been many studies on red tide due to increasing of harmful algae damage of fisheries in Korea. Particularly, red tide damage can be minimized by means of prediction of red tide blooms. However, the most of red tide research in Korea has been focused only classification of red tide which it is not enough for predicting red tide blooms. In this paper, we proposed the red tide blooms prediction method using fuzzy reasoning.

The Creep Life Prediction Method by Cavity Area (기공의 면적에 의한 크립 수명예측법)

  • 홍성호
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers
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    • v.15 no.5
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    • pp.1455-1461
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    • 1991
  • 본 연구에서는 Kachanov의 재료손상(material damage)모델을 이용하여 새로운 수명예측식을 만들고, 이 수명예측식의 타당성을 조사하기 위하여, 최근에 발표된 크 립 수명과 기공분포와의 실험결과와 비교하였다.