• 제목/요약/키워드: Prediction formula

검색결과 449건 처리시간 0.021초

단기 풍관측에 의한 교량현장 기본풍속 추정 (Estimation of Basic Wind Speed at Bridge Construction Site Based on Short-term Measurements)

  • 이성로;김상우
    • 대한토목학회논문집
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    • 제33권4호
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    • pp.1271-1279
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    • 2013
  • 본 논문에서는 단기 관측자료를 활용하여 장대교량 현장의 기본풍속을 추정하는 방법에 대한 연구를 수행하였다. 기상관측소로부터 거리가 먼 장대교량의 내풍설계시 현장의 기본 풍속을 추정하기 위해 현장의 장기 풍속자료를 통계처리하는 것이 필요하다. 현장에 풍관측탑을 설치하고 단기간의 풍관측 자료를 확보하였고 선형회귀분석 및 MCP 방법을 이용하여 인근 기상관측소와의 상관관계를 분석하였다. 기상관측소의 장기풍자료를 지형보정을 한 후 상관관계식에 의해 현장의 장기 풍속자료를 얻었고 풍속자료의 극치 확률분포 분석에 의해 기본풍속 산정을 할 수 있었다. 연구결과에서는 선형회귀분석의 방법이 MCP 방법에 비해 풍속을 낮게 추정하고 있으며, 향후 여러 현장에서 일련의 상관관계 분석을 수행한다면 종합적으로 두 방법에 의한 기본풍속 산정의 차이를 보다 명확히 보여줄 것이다. 또한, 장기자료의 질 관리가 풍속추정에 매우 중요하다는 것을 보여주고 있다.

K_e에 의한 차량 안전벨트 앵커의 점용접 피로수명 예측 (Spot Weld Fatigue Life Prediction of Auto Set Belt Anchors Using $K_e$)

  • 김남호;이형일
    • 대한기계학회논문집A
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    • 제24권3호
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    • pp.701-709
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    • 2000
  • As the welding spot forms a singular geometry of an external crack type, fatigue failure of spot-welded specimens can be evaluated by means of a fracture parameter. Recasting the load vs. fatigue life relationships experimentally obtained, we predicted the fatigue life of spot-weld specimens with a single parameter denoted the equivalent stress intensity factor. This crack driving parameter is demonstrated to successfully describe the effects of specimen geometry and loading type in a comprehensive manner. The suggested fatigue life formula for a single spot weld can play a key role in the design and assessment of spot-welded panel structures, in that the fatigue strength of multi-spots is eventually determined by the fatigue strength of each single spot. We therefore attempt to evaluate the effectiveness and validity of $K_e$ in predicting the fatigue life of auto seat belt anchor panel. We first establish finite element models reflecting the actual mechanical behavior of 3 types of seat belt anchor specimens. Using finite element models elaborately established, we then obtain the effective crack driving parameter $K_e$ composed of its ductility -dependent modal components. It is confirmed that the $K_e$ concept successfully predicts the fatigue life of multi-spot welded panel structures represented by auto seat belt anchors here.

선수파 중 AFRAMAX급 유조선의 부가저항에 대한 실험과 수치계산 (Computational and Experimental Studies on Added Resistance of AFRAMAX-Class Tankers in Head Seas)

  • 오승훈;양진호;박상훈
    • 대한조선학회논문집
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    • 제52권6호
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    • pp.471-477
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    • 2015
  • When a ship sails in a seaway, the resistance on a ship increases due to incident waves and winds. The magnitude of added resistance amounts to about 15–30% of a calm-water resistance. An accurate prediction of added resistance in waves, therefore, is essential to evaluate the performance of a ship in a real sea state and to design an optimum hull form from the viewpoint of the International Maritime Organization (IMO) regulations such as Energy Efficiency Design Index (EEDI) and Energy Efficiency Operational Indicator (EEOI). The present study considers added resistance problem of AFRAMAX-class tankers with the conventional bow and Ax-bow shapes. Added resistance due to waves is successfully calculated using 1) a three-dimensional time-domain seakeeping computations based on a Rankine panel method (three-dimensional panel) and 2) a commercial CFD program (STAR-CCM+). In the hydrodynamic computations of a three-dimensional panel method, geometric nonlinearity is accounted for in Froude-Krylov and restoring forces using simple wave corrections over exact wet hull surface of the tankers. Furthermore, a CFD program is applied by performing fully nonlinear computation without using an analytical formula for added resistance or empirical values for the viscous effect. Numerical computations are validated through four degree-of-freedom model-scale seakeeping experiments in regular head waves at the deep towing tank of Hyundai Heavy Industries.

In vitro SPF 측정법 개선에 관한 연구 (Improvement of in vitro Sun Protection Factor Measurement)

  • 안성연;배지현;이해광;문성준;장이섭
    • 대한화장품학회지
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    • 제30권1호
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    • pp.129-133
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    • 2004
  • In vitro method는 in vivo results를 예측하기 위해 사용되어지는 것이 가장 큰 목적이므로 지급까지 in vitro SPF test는 여러 formulations를 screen 하거나 self-tanners의 activity에 미치는 cosmetic ingredients의 영향을 연구하는 데에 이용되어져 왔다. In vitro SPF test는 신속하고 객관적이며 적은 비용으로 사람에게 in vivo test를 하기에 앞서 protective formulas를 pre-screen 하며, 따라서 in vitro test가 유용하게 원하는 역할을 하기 위해서는 in vitro SPF 평가법의 정확성이 무엇보다 중요하다. 본 연구에서는 건조시간을 15분으로 고정하면서 기존에 사용해온 substrate인 Transpore$^{(R)}$ tape을 이용, 도포 방법을 개선하기 위한 시도를 하였다. 우선 기존 시험법의 분석을 통한 현 수준을 파악하고, 사용되고 있는 Transpore$^{(R)}$ tape의 외측으로부터 일정 부위만 사용하도록 개선하였다. 또한 다양한 시도를 통해 광원의 scan 부위에만 국소적으로 도포하는 방법이 도포시 발생하는 오차를 줄일 수 있음을 확인하였으며, 개선된 시험법을 이용하여 반복성과 선형성이 뛰어난 시험 결과를 얻어낼 수 있었다. 통계 패키지 분석을 통한 시험법의 신뢰성 검토에서도 우수한 결과를 보여 이와 같은 시험법을 통해 in vivo와 in vitro SPF의 보다 정확한 예측 시스템 관계를 구축할 수 있을 것으로 기대한다.

포장 콘크리트의 크기 효과에 따른 휨 강도 특성 분석에 관한 실험적 연구 (An Experimental Study on Size-effect for Characteristic of Flexural Strength of Pavement Concrete)

  • 이현기;오홍섭;심종성;심재원
    • 대한토목학회논문집
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    • 제35권2호
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    • pp.299-306
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    • 2015
  • 국내 포장 콘크리트의 품질관리는 KS 규정에 따라 재령 28일 휨 인장강도를 기준으로 평가되고 있으며, 현재 대부분 사용되고 있는 휨 인장강도 시험체는 상대적으로 큰 $150{\times}150{\times}550mm$ 시험체를 사용하고 있다. 이에 따라 시험체의 취급이 어렵고 양생조의 활용도가 떨어지고 있는 실정이다. 이에 따라 본 연구는 휨 인장강도 시험체를 줄여 이 같은 문제점을 해결하고자 하였다. 이를 위해 KS에서 규정되고 있는 시험체 크기의 내에서 로그 스케일에 따른 압축강도 및 휨 강도 시험을 실시하고, 시험체 크기를 변수로 설정하여 강도 및 표준편차를 분석하였다. 또한 이와 같은 실내 실험을 바탕으로 Bazant가 제안한 크기 효과 법칙(Size effect law, SEL)의 예측식을 사용하여 비교 분석함으로써 시험체 크기간의 상관성을 검토하여 콘크리트 포장의 품질 평가시 시험체 크기 축소를 위한 기초자료로 활용하고자 한다.

Assessment of the unconfined compression strength of unsaturated lateritic soil using the UPV

  • Wang, Chien-Chih;Lin, Horn-Da;Li, An-Jui;Ting, Kai-En
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • 제23권4호
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    • pp.339-349
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    • 2020
  • This study investigates the feasibility of using the results of the UPV (ultrasonic pulse velocity) test to assess the UCS (unconfined compressive strength) of unsaturated soil. A series of laboratory tests was conducted on samples of unsaturated lateritic soils of northern Taiwan. Specifically, the unconfined compressive test was combined with the pressure plate test to obtain the unconfined compressive strength and its matric suction (s) of the samples. Soil samples were first compacted at the designated water content and subsequently subjected to the wetting process for saturation and the following drying process to its target suction using the apparatus developed by the authors. The correlations among the UCS, s and UPV were studied. The test results show that both the UCS and UPV significantly increased with the matric suction regardless of the initial compaction condition, but neither the UCS nor UPV obviously varied when the matric suction was less than the air-entry value. In addition, the UCS approximately linearly increased with increasing UPV. According to the investigation of the test results, simplified methods to estimate the UCS using the UPV or matric suction were established. Furthermore, an empirical formula of the matric suction calculated from the UPV was proposed. From the comparison between the predicted values and the test results, the MAPE values of UCS were 4.52-9.98% and were less than 10%, and the MAPE value of matric suction was 17.3% and in the range of 10-20%. Thus, the established formulas have good forecasting accuracy and may be applied to the stability analysis of the unsaturated soil slope. However, further study is warranted for validation.

Evaluation of Renal Function Using the Level of Neutrophil Gelatinase-Associated Lipocalin is Not Predictive of Nephrotoxicity Associated with Cisplatin-Based Chemotherapy

  • Kos, F. Tugba;Sendur, Mehmet Ali Nahit;Aksoy, Sercan;Celik, Huseyin Tugrul;Sezer, Sevilay;Civelek, Burak;Yaman, Sebnem;Zengin, Nurullah
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제14권2호
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    • pp.1111-1114
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    • 2013
  • Background: For early detection of renal damage during the usage of cisplatin based chemotherapy, changes in renal function should be monitored carefully. In recent years, neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin, a small polypeptide molecule, has shown promise as a marker of acute renal failure. The aim of this present study was to assess possible risk prediction of cisplatin-induced nephrotoxicity using serum NGAL. Materials and Methods: A total of 34 consecutive patients with documented serum creatinine at least 24 hours before every cycle of cisplatin-based chemotherapy were included in the study. Demographic and medical data including age, performance status, tumor characteristics and comorbid diseases were collected from medical charts. Renal function was evaluated at least 48 hours before the treatment and at the end of the treatment based on the Modification of Diet in Renal Disease (MDRD) formula. Before and after cisplatin infusion serum NGAL levels were measured for the first and 3rd cycles of chemotherapy. Results: The median age of the study population was 54 (32-70) years. Fifteen patients (41.1%) were treated on an adjuvant basis, whereas 19 patients (58.9%) were treated for metastatic disease. There was no correlation of serum NGAL levels with serum creatinine (r=0.20, p=0.26) and MDRD (r=-0.12, p=0.50) and creatinine clearance-Cockcroft-Gault (r=-0.22, p=0.22) after cisplatin infusion at the end of the 3rd cycle of chemotherapy. Conclusions: In our study, serum NGAL levels were not correlated with the cisplatin induced nephrotoxicity. Further prospective studies are needed to conclude that serum NGAL level is not a good surrogate marker to predict early cisplatin induced nephrotoxicity.

AISI M2 파우더를 이용한 레이저 메탈 디포지션의 트랙 특성 분석 (The Characteristics Analysis of Track of Laser Metal Deposition Using AISI M2 Powder)

  • 김원혁;송명환;박인덕;강대민
    • 한국자동차공학회논문집
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    • 제24권4호
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    • pp.463-470
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    • 2016
  • In this paper, the characteristics analysis of LMD track, such as including track structure, track wear resistance and track thickness, were analyzed to enhance the deposition efficiency using a diode-pumped disk laser. SKD61 hot work steel plate and Fe based AISI M2 alloy were used as a the substrate and powder for the LMD process, respectively. The laser power, track pitch and powder feed rate among LMD parameters were adopted to estimate the deposition efficiency. As the laser power is increased, heat input and melting pool on the substrate is grown also increases, so resulting in the increased LMD track thickness was increased. Through EPMA mapping analysis of the cross-section in the LMD track, it was observed that all the elements are evenly distributed inside. Therefore, the entire hardness in the LMD track is expected to be almost uniform regardless of location. The characteristics of the LMD specimen were excellent compared to the STD11 specimen in terms of the wear track width and the wear rate as well as the coefficient of friction. Especially the wear rate of LMD specimen has been significantly reduced by 60 % or more. From Based on the experimental results, the prediction formula of LMD thickness was calculated by using laser power, track pitch and powder feed rate.

Lambert W 함수를 이용한 태양전지 모델링 (The solar cell modeling using Lambert W-function)

  • 배종국;강기환;김경수;유권종;안형근;한득영
    • 한국태양에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국태양에너지학회 2011년도 추계학술발표대회 논문집
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    • pp.278-281
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    • 2011
  • This system can predict the maximum output about all illumination levels so that the PV system designer can design the system having the best efficiency. For the output prediction exact about the solar cell, that is the device the basis most in the PV system, the basis has to be in order to try this way. The solution based on Lambert W-function are presented to express the transcendental current-voltage characteristic containing parasitic power consuming parameters like series and shunt resistances. A simple and efficient method for the extraction of a single current-voltage (I-V) curve under the constant illumination level is proposed. With the help of the Lambert W function, the explicit analytic expression for I is obtained. And the explicit analytic expression for V is obtained. This analytic expression is directly used to fit the experimental data and extract the device parameters. The I-V curve of the solar cell was expressed through the modeling using Lambert W-function and the numerical formula where there is the difficulty could be logarithmically expressed This method expresses with the I-V curve through the modeling using Lambert W-function which adds other loss ingredients to the equation2 as to the research afterward. And the solar cell goes as small and this I-V curve can predict the power penalty in the system unit.

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Development of a New Personal Magnetic Field Exposure Estimation Method for Use in Epidemiological EMF Surveys among Children under 17 Years of Age

  • Yang, Kwang-Ho;Ju, Mun-No;Myung, Sung-Ho;Shin, Koo-Yong;Hwang, Gi-Hyun;Park, June-Ho
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • 제7권3호
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    • pp.376-383
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    • 2012
  • A number of scientific researches are currently being conducted on the potential health hazards of power frequency electric and magnetic field (EMF). There exists a non-objective and psychological belief that they are harmful, although no scientific and objective proof of such exists. This possible health risk from ELF magnetic field (MF) exposure, especially for children under 17 years of age, is currently one of Korea's most highly contested social issues. Therefore, to assess the magnetic field exposure levels of those children in their general living environments, the personal MF exposure levels of 436 subjects were measured for about 6 years using government funding. Using the measured database, estimation formulas were developed to predict personal MF exposure levels. These formulas can serve as valuable tools in estimating 24-hour personal MF exposure levels without directly measuring the exposure. Three types of estimation formulas were developed by applying evolutionary computation methods such as genetic algorithm (GA) and genetic programming (GP). After tuning the database, the final three formulas with the smallest estimation error were selected, where the target estimation error was approximately 0.03 ${\mu}T$. The seven parameters of each of these three formulas are gender (G), age (A), house type (H), house size (HS), distance between the subject's residence and a power line (RD), power line voltage class (KV), and the usage conditions of electric appliances (RULE).