• Title/Summary/Keyword: Prediction accuracy

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A Study on the Improvement of Prediction Accuracy of Collaborative Recommender System under the Effect of Similarity Weight Threshold (협력적 추천시스템에서 유사도 가중치의 임계치 설정에 따른 선호도 예측 정확도 향상에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Seok-Jun
    • Korean Business Review
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.145-168
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    • 2007
  • Recommender system helps customers to find easily items and helps the e-biz companies to set easily their target customer by automated recommending process. Recommender systems are being adopted by several e-biz companies and from these systems, both of customers and companies take some benefits. This study sets several thresholds to the similarity weight, which indicates a degree of similarity of two customers' preference, to improve the performance of prediction accuracy. According to the threshold, the accuracy of prediction is being improved but some threshold setting shows the reduction of the prediction rate, which is the coverage. This coverage reduction has male effect on the prediction accuracy of customers, so more study on the prediction accuracy of recommender system and to maximize the coverage are needed.

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Quality grading of Hanwoo (Korean native cattle breed) sub-images using convolutional neural network

  • Kwon, Kyung-Do;Lee, Ahyeong;Lim, Jongkuk;Cho, Soohyun;Lee, Wanghee;Cho, Byoung-Kwan;Seo, Youngwook
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural Science
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    • v.47 no.4
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    • pp.1109-1122
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    • 2020
  • The aim of this study was to develop a marbling classification and prediction model using small parts of sirloin images based on a deep learning algorithm, namely, a convolutional neural network (CNN). Samples were purchased from a commercial slaughterhouse in Korea, images for each grade were acquired, and the total images (n = 500) were assigned according to their grade number: 1++, 1+, 1, and both 2 & 3. The image acquisition system consists of a DSLR camera with a polarization filter to remove diffusive reflectance and two light sources (55 W). To correct the distorted original images, a radial correction algorithm was implemented. Color images of sirloins of Hanwoo (mixed with feeder cattle, steer, and calf) were divided and sub-images with image sizes of 161 × 161 were made to train the marbling prediction model. In this study, the convolutional neural network (CNN) has four convolution layers and yields prediction results in accordance with marbling grades (1++, 1+, 1, and 2&3). Every single layer uses a rectified linear unit (ReLU) function as an activation function and max-pooling is used for extracting the edge between fat and muscle and reducing the variance of the data. Prediction accuracy was measured using an accuracy and kappa coefficient from a confusion matrix. We summed the prediction of sub-images and determined the total average prediction accuracy. Training accuracy was 100% and the test accuracy was 86%, indicating comparably good performance using the CNN. This study provides classification potential for predicting the marbling grade using color images and a convolutional neural network algorithm.

Accuracy of Accelerometer for the Prediction of Energy Expenditure and Activity Intensity in Athletic Elementary School Children During Selected Activities (초등학교 운동선수를 대상으로 대표 신체활동의 에너지 소비량 및 활동 강도 추정을 위한 가속도계의 정확도 검증)

  • Choi, Su-Ji;An, Hae-Sun;Lee, Mo-Ran;Lee, Jung-Sook;Kim, Eun-Kyung
    • Korean Journal of Community Nutrition
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    • v.22 no.5
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    • pp.413-425
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    • 2017
  • Objectives: Accurate assessment of energy expenditure is important for estimation of energy requirements in athletic children. The objective of this study was to evaluate the accuracy of accelerometer for prediction of selected activities' energy expenditure and intensity in athletic elementary school children. Methods: The present study involved 31 soccer players (16 males and 15 females) from an elementary school (9-12 years). During the measurements, children performed eight selected activities while simultaneously wearing the accelerometer and carrying the portable indirect calorimeter. Five equations (Freedson/Trost, Treuth, Pate, Puyau, Mattocks) were assessed for the prediction of energy expenditure from accelerometer counts, while Evenson equation was added for prediction of activity intensity, making six equations in total. The accuracy of accelerometer for energy prediction was assessed by comparing measured and predicted values, using the paired t-test. The intensity classification accuracy was evaluated with kappa statistics and ROC-Curve. Results: For activities of lying down, television viewing and reading, Freedson/Trost, Treuth were accurate in predicting energy expenditure. Regarding Pate, it was accurate for vacuuming and slow treadmill walking energy prediction. Mattocks was accurate in treadmill running activities. Concerning activity intensity classification accuracy, Pate (kappa=0.72) had the best performance across the four intensities (sedentary, light, moderate, vigorous). In case of the sedentary activities, all equations had a good prediction accuracy, while with light activities and Vigorous activities, Pate had an excellent accuracy (ROC-AUC=0.91, 0.94). For Moderate activities, all equations showed a poor performance. Conclusions: In conclusion, none of the assessed equations was accurate in predicting energy expenditure across all assessed activities in athletic children. For activity intensity classification, Pate had the best prediction accuracy.

Development of Prediction Model for Churn Agents -Comparing Prediction Accuracy Between Pattern Model and Matrix Model- (대리점 이탈예측모델 개발 - 동적모델(Pattern Model)과 정적모델(Matrix Model)의 예측적중률 비교 -)

  • An, Bong-Rak;Lee, Sae-Bom;Roh, In-Sung;Suh, Yung-Ho
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.42 no.2
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    • pp.221-234
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    • 2014
  • Purpose: The Purpose of this study is to develop a model for predicting agent churn group in the cosmetics industry. We develope two models, pattern model and matrix model, which are compared regarding the prediction accuracy of churn agents. Finally, we try to conclude if there is statistically significant difference between two models by empirical study. Methods: We develop two models using the part of RFM(Recency, Frequency, Monetary) method which is one of customer segmentation method in traditional CRM study. In order to ensure which model can predict churn agents more precisely between two models, we used CRM data of cosmetics company A in China. Results: Pattern model and matrix model have been developed. we find out that there is statistically significant differences between two models regarding the prediction accuracy. Conclusion: Pattern model and matrix model predict churn agents. Although pattern model employed the trend of monetary mount for six months, matrix model that used the amount of sales per month and the duration of the employment is better than pattern model in prediction accuracy.

Uncertainties In Base Drag Prediction of A Supersonic Missile (초음속 유도탄 기저항력 예측의 불확실성)

  • Ahn H. K.;Hong S. K.;Lee B. J.;Ahn C. S.
    • 한국전산유체공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2004.10a
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    • pp.47-51
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    • 2004
  • Accurate Prediction of a supersonic missile base drag continues to defy even well-rounded CFD codes. In an effort to address the accuracy and predictability of the base drags, the influence of grid system and competitive turbulence models on the base drag is analyzed. Characteristics of some turbulence models is reviewed through incompressible turbulent flow over a flat plate, and performance for the base drag prediction of several turbulence models such as Baldwin-Lomax(B-L), Spalart-Allmaras(S-A), $\kappa-\epsilon$, $\kappa-\omega$ model is assessed. When compressibility correction is injected into the S-A model, prediction accuracy of the base drag is enhanced. The NSWC wind tunnel test data are utilized for comparison of CFD and semi-empirical codes on the accuracy of base drag predictability: they are about equal, but CFD tends to perform better. It is also found that, as angle of attack of a missile with control (ins increases, even the best CFD analysis tool we have lacks the accuracy needed for the base drag prediction.

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The Effect of Data Sparsity on Prediction Accuracy in Recommender System (추천시스템의 희소성이 예측 정확도에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Sun-Ok;Lee, Seok-Jun
    • Journal of Internet Computing and Services
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    • v.8 no.6
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    • pp.95-102
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    • 2007
  • Recommender System based on the Collaborative Filtering has a problem of trust of the prediction accuracy because of its problem of sparsity. If the sparsity of a preference value is large, it causes a problem on a process of a choice of neighbors and also lowers the prediction accuracy. In this article, a change of MAE based on the sparsity is studied, groups are classified by sparsity and then, the significant difference among MAEs of classified groups is analyzed. To improve the accuracy of prediction among groups by the problem of sparsity, We studied the improvement of an accurate prediction for recommending system through reducing sparsity by sorting sparsity items, and replacing the average preference among them that has a lot of respondents with the preference evaluation value.

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Prediction of concrete pumping based on correlation between slump and rheological properties

  • Lee, Jung Soo;Kim, Eun Sung;Jang, Kyong Pil;Park, Chan Kyu;Kwon, Seung Hee
    • Advances in concrete construction
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    • v.13 no.5
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    • pp.395-410
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    • 2022
  • This study collected the results of material tests and full-scale pumping tests using 127 types of concrete mixtures with compressive strength ranging from 24 to 200 MPa. The results of 242 material tests showed high correlations between the viscosity of the lubricating layer and concrete, between the slump and the yield stress of concrete, between the water-binder ratio and the viscosity of lubricating layer, and between the time required to reach 500 mm of slump flow and concrete viscosity. Based on these correlations, pumpability was predicted using 101 pumping test conditions, and their accuracy was compared to the actual test results. When the rheological properties of concrete and the lubricating layer were directly measured, the prediction result showed the highest accuracy. A high accuracy can be achieved when the measured viscosity of the lubricating layer, a key determinant of concrete pumpability, is reflected in the prediction of pumpability. When measuring rheological properties is difficult, the slump test can be used to quantitatively predict the pumpability despite the lower accuracy than those of other prediction methods.

Simulator of Accuracy Prediction for Developing Machine Structures (기계장비의 구조 특성 예측 시뮬레이터)

  • Lee, Chan-Hong;Ha, Tae-Ho;Lee, Jae-Hak;Kim, Yang-Jin
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Precision Engineering
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.265-274
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    • 2011
  • This paper presents current state of the prediction simulator of structural characteristics of machinery equipment accuracy. Developed accuracy prediction simulator proceeds and estimates the structural analysis between the designer and simulator through the internet for convenience of designer. 3D CAD model which is input to the accuracy prediction simulator would simplified by the process of removing the small hole, fillet and chamfer. And the structural surface joints would be presented as the spring elements and damping elements for the structural analysis. The structural analysis of machinery equipment joints, containing rotary motion unit, linear motion unit, mounting device and bolted joint, are presented using Finite Element Method and their experiment. Finally, a general method is presented to tune the static stiffness at a rotation joint considering the whole machinery equipment system by interactive use of Finite Element Method and static load experiment.

Prediction of Welding Imperfection with Idealization of Welding and Their Accuracy (용접이상화에 의한 용접부정의 예측과 정도)

  • Lee, Jae-Yik;Chang, Kyong-Ho;Kim, You-Chul
    • Journal of Welding and Joining
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    • v.31 no.5
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    • pp.15-19
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    • 2013
  • In order to reduce a grand compute time in prediction of welding distortion and residual stress by 3D thermal elastic plastic analysis, idealization of welding that is methods to heat input simultaneously in all weld metal on the same welding direction is carried out on two weld joints(butt welding and fillet welding). Then, the accuracy of acquired results is investigated through the comparison of the high accuracy prediction results. The thermal conduction analysis results by idealization of welding, the temperature is raised accompany with beginning of heat input because all of weld metal is heated input at the same time. On the other side, the temperature witch predicted with high accuracy is raised at the moment heating source passes the measuring points. So, there is difference of time between idealization of welding and considering of moving heat source faithfully. However, temperature history by idealization of welding is well simulated a high accuracy prediction results.

Non-destructive quality prediction of domestic, commercial red pepper powder using hyperspectral imaging

  • Sang Seop Kim;Ji-Young Choi;Jeong Ho Lim;Jeong-Seok Cho
    • Food Science and Preservation
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.224-234
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    • 2023
  • We analyzed the major quality characteristics of red pepper powders from various regions and predicted these characteristics nondestructively using shortwave infrared hyperspectral imaging (HSI) technology. We conducted partial least squares regression analysis on 70% (n=71) of the acquired hyperspectral data of the red pepper powders to examine the major quality characteristics. Rc2 values of ≥0.8 were obtained for the ASTA color value (0.9263) and capsaicinoid content (0.8310). The developed quality prediction model was validated using the remaining 30% (n=35) of the hyperspectral data; the highest accuracy was achieved for the ASTA color value (Rp2=0.8488), and similar validity levels were achieved for the capsaicinoid and moisture contents. To increase the accuracy of the quality prediction model, we conducted spectrum preprocessing using SNV, MSC, SG-1, and SG-2, and the model's accuracy was verified. The results indicated that the accuracy of the model was most significantly improved by the MSC method, and the prediction accuracy for the ASTA color value was the highest for all the spectrum preprocessing methods. Our findings suggest that the quality characteristics of red pepper powders, even powders that do not conform to specific variables such as particle size and moisture content, can be predicted via HSI.