• Title/Summary/Keyword: Prediction Rate Curve

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Partial AUC maximization for essential gene prediction using genetic algorithms

  • Hwang, Kyu-Baek;Ha, Beom-Yong;Ju, Sanghun;Kim, Sangsoo
    • BMB Reports
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    • v.46 no.1
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    • pp.41-46
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    • 2013
  • Identifying genes indispensable for an organism's life and their characteristics is one of the central questions in current biological research, and hence it would be helpful to develop computational approaches towards the prediction of essential genes. The performance of a predictor is usually measured by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). We propose a novel method by implementing genetic algorithms to maximize the partial AUC that is restricted to a specific interval of lower false positive rate (FPR), the region relevant to follow-up experimental validation. Our predictor uses various features based on sequence information, protein-protein interaction network topology, and gene expression profiles. A feature selection wrapper was developed to alleviate the over-fitting problem and to weigh each feature's relevance to prediction. We evaluated our method using the proteome of budding yeast. Our implementation of genetic algorithms maximizing the partial AUC below 0.05 or 0.10 of FPR outperformed other popular classification methods.

Characteristics and Prediction of Lung Cancer Mortality in China from 1991 to 2013

  • Fang, Jia-Ying;Dong, Hong-Li;Wu, Ku-Sheng;Du, Pei-Ling;Xu, Zhen-Xi;Lin, Kun
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • v.16 no.14
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    • pp.5829-5834
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    • 2015
  • Objective: To describe and analyze the epidemiological characteristics of lung cancer mortality in China from 1991 to 2013, forecast the future five-year trend and provide scientific evidence for prevention and management of lung cancer. Materials and Methods: Mortality data for lung cancer in China from 1991 to 2013 were used to describe epidemiological characteristics. Trend surface analysis was applied to analyze the geographical distribution of lung cancer. Four models, curve estimation, time series modeling, gray modeling (GM) and joinpoint regression, were performed to forecast the trend for the future. Results: Since 1991 the mortality rate of lung cancer increased yearly. The rate for males was higher than that for females and rates in urban areas were higher than in rural areas. In addition, our results showed that the trend will continue to increase in the ensuing 5 years. The mortality rate increased from age 45-50 and peaked in the group of 85 years old. Geographical analysis indicated that people living in northeast China provinces and the coastal provinces in eastern China had a higher mortality rate for lung cancer than those living in the centre or western Chinese provinces. Conclusions: The standardized mortality rate of lung cancer has constantly increased from 1991 to 2013, and been predicted to continue in the ensuing 5 years. Further efforts should be concentrated on education of the general public to increase prevention and early detection. Much better prevention and management is needed in high mortality areas (northeastern and eastern parts of China) and high risk populations (45-50-year-olds).

Derivation of Empirical Erosion Equation of the 40 mm Long Hollow Cylinder (40 mm 장축공동실린더의 마모경험식 유도)

  • Chung, Dong-Yoon;Oh, Myoung-Ho;Shin, Nae-Ho
    • Tribology and Lubricants
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.171-175
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    • 2009
  • One of the critical issues associated with the 40mm long hollow cylinder's development and maintenance is the prediction of cylinder erosion. The actual firing test is the most accurate method to measure the cylinder erosion rate. But it costs a great deal and requires a long measurement time. Hence many empirical methods have been proposed to predict the erosion rate and life span of long hollow cylinders. An EFC formula is calculated. An approximate erosion formula for the ammunition type A is derived to interpolate 16 observation values up to 4,000 rounds. A new erosion equation and muzzle velocity formula are also suggested. Several numerical results are presented.

Application of Computer-Aided Diagnosis for the Differential Diagnosis of Fatty Liver in Computed Tomography Image (전산화단층촬영 영상에서 지방간의 감별진단을 위한 컴퓨터보조진단의 응용)

  • Park, Hyong-Hu;Lee, Jin-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Radiology
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    • v.10 no.6
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    • pp.443-450
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    • 2016
  • In this study, we are using a computer tomography image of the abdomen, as an experimental linear research for the image of the fatty liver patients texture features analysis and computer-aided diagnosis system of implementation using the ROC curve analysis, from the computer tomography image. We tried to provide an objective and reliable diagnostic information of fatty liver to the doctor. Experiments are usually a fatty liver, via the wavelet transform of the abdominal computed tomography images are configured with the experimental image section, shows the results of statistical analysis on six parameters indicating a feature value of the texture. As a result, the entropy, average luminance, strain rate is shown a relatively high recognition rate of 90% or more, the control also, flatness, uniformity showed relatively low recognition rate of about 70%. ROC curve analysis of six parameters are all shown to 0.900 (p = 0.0001) or more, showed meaningful results in the recognition of the disease. Also, to determine the cut-off value for the prediction of disease six parameters. These results are applicable from future abdominal computed tomography images as a preliminary diagnostic article of diseases automatic detection and eventual diagnosis.

Cyclical Patterns of Real Wages and the Wage Curve (실질임금의 경기변동상 변화패턴과 임금곡선)

  • Shin, Donggyun;Cheon, Byungyou
    • Journal of Labour Economics
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.1-32
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    • 2002
  • This paper investigates how real wages adjust to regional and cyclical shocks in the Korean labor market. Major findings are as follows. First, like most longitudinal studies in this literature, we find that real wages are strongly procyclical and more procyclical for men than for women. Second, consistent with the theory prediction of efficiency wages, both permanent and transitory components of real wages are negatively correlated with the local unemployment rate. Third, when overall and local unemployment rates compete in a wage equation (our preferred specification), current wages are dominantly affected by the overall rate, and the effect of the local rate is rather small. This rejects the Blanchflower and Oswald's hypothesis that wages are primarily determined by local labor market conditions. Finally, no lagged effects on wages are detected in the overall or local unemployment rate.

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Prediction of the Forming Limit Diagram for AZ31B Sheet at Elevated Temperatures Considering the Strain-rate Effect - II (변형률속도 효과를 고려한 AZ31B 판재의 온간 성형한계도 예측 - II)

  • Choi, S.C.;Kim, H.Y.;Kim, H.J.
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Technology of Plasticity Conference
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    • 2009.10a
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    • pp.285-288
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    • 2009
  • The purpose of this study is to predict the forming limit diagram (FLD) of strain-rate sensitive materials on the basis of the Marciniak and Kuczynski (M-K) theory. The strain-rate effect is taken into consideration in such a way that the stress-strain curves for various strain-rates are inputted into the formulation as point data, not as curve-fitted models such as power function. Tensile tests and R-value tests were carried out at several levels of temperature and strain-rate from $25^{\circ}C$ to $300^{\circ}C$ and 0.16 to 0.00016/s, respectively to obtain the mechanical properties of AZ31B magnesium alloy sheet. The FLD of this material was experimentally obtained by limit dome height tests with the punch velocity of 0.1 and 1.0 mm/s at $250^{\circ}C$. The M-K theory-based FLD predicted using Yld2000-2d yield criterion was compared with the experimental results.

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Numerical Analysis on the Effect of Flow Rate Variation in Double-Suction Centrifugal Pump (양흡입 원심펌프에 있어서 유량변화의 영향에 관한 수치해석적 연구)

  • An, Young-Joon;Shin, Byeong-Rog
    • The KSFM Journal of Fluid Machinery
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    • v.13 no.6
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    • pp.51-56
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    • 2010
  • A numerical simulation is carried out to investigate the effect of flow rate variation and performance characteristics of double-suction centrifugal pump. Two types of pump which have different impeller inlet breadth and curvature of the shroud line consist of six blades impeller and shroud ring. Finite-volume method with structured mesh and $k-\omega$ Shear Stress Transport turbulence model was used to guaranty more accurate prediction of turbulent flow in the pump impeller. Total head, power and overall efficiency were calculated to obtain performance characteristics of two types of pump according to the variation of flow rate. From the results, impeller having smooth curve along the shroud line obtained good performance. The lower flow rate, the more circulation region, flow unsteadiness and complicate flow pattern are observed. Complicated internal flow phenomena through impellers such as flow separation, pressure loss, flow unsteadiness and performance are investigated and discussed.

CT-Based Fagotti Scoring System for Non-Invasive Prediction of Cytoreduction Surgery Outcome in Patients with Advanced Ovarian Cancer

  • Na Young Kim;Dae Chul Jung;Jung Yun Lee;Kyung Hwa Han;Young Taik Oh
    • Korean Journal of Radiology
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    • v.22 no.9
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    • pp.1481-1489
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    • 2021
  • Objective: To construct a CT-based Fagotti scoring system by analyzing the correlations between laparoscopic findings and CT features in patients with advanced ovarian cancer. Materials and Methods: This retrospective cohort study included patients diagnosed with stage III/IV ovarian cancer who underwent diagnostic laparoscopy and debulking surgery between January 2010 and June 2018. Two radiologists independently reviewed preoperative CT scans and assessed ten CT features known as predictors of suboptimal cytoreduction. Correlation analysis between ten CT features and seven laparoscopic parameters based on the Fagotti scoring system was performed using Spearman's correlation. Variable selection and model construction were performed by logistic regression with the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator method using a predictive index value (PIV) ≥ 8 as an indicator of suboptimal cytoreduction. The final CT-based scoring system was internally validated using 5-fold cross-validation. Results: A total of 157 patients (median age, 56 years; range, 27-79 years) were evaluated. Among 120 (76.4%) patients with a PIV ≥ 8, 105 patients received neoadjuvant chemotherapy followed by interval debulking surgery, and the optimal cytoreduction rate was 90.5% (95 of 105). Among 37 (23.6%) patients with PIV < 8, 29 patients underwent primary debulking surgery, and the optimal cytoreduction rate was 93.1% (27 of 29). CT features showing significant correlations with PIV ≥ 8 were mesenteric involvement, gastro-transverse mesocolon-splenic space involvement, diaphragmatic involvement, and para-aortic lymphadenopathy. The area under the receiver operating curve of the final model for prediction of PIV ≥ 8 was 0.72 (95% confidence interval: 0.62-0.82). Conclusion: Central tumor burden and upper abdominal spread features on preoperative CT were identified as distinct predictive factors for high PIV on diagnostic laparoscopy. The CT-based PIV prediction model might be useful for patient stratification before cytoreduction surgery for advanced ovarian cancer.

Development of algorithm for work intensity evaluation using excess overwork index of construction workers with real-time heart rate measurement device

  • Jae-young Park;Jung Hwan Lee;Mo-Yeol Kang;Tae-Won Jang;Hyoung-Ryoul Kim;Se-Yeong Kim;Jongin Lee
    • Annals of Occupational and Environmental Medicine
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    • v.35
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    • pp.24.1-24.15
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    • 2023
  • Background: The construction workers are vulnerable to fatigue due to high physical workload. This study aimed to investigate the relationship between overwork and heart rate in construction workers and propose a scheme to prevent overwork in advance. Methods: We measured the heart rates of construction workers at a construction site of a residential and commercial complex in Seoul from August to October 2021 and develop an index that monitors overwork in real-time. A total of 66 Korean workers participated in the study, wearing real-time heart rate monitoring equipment. The relative heart rate (RHR) was calculated using the minimum and maximum heart rates, and the maximum acceptable working time (MAWT) was estimated using RHR to calculate the workload. The overwork index (OI) was defined as the cumulative workload evaluated with the MAWT. An appropriate scenario line (PSL) was set as an index that can be compared to the OI to evaluate the degree of overwork in real-time. The excess overwork index (EOI) was evaluated in real-time during work performance using the difference between the OI and the PSL. The EOI value was used to perform receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis to find the optimal cut-off value for classification of overwork state. Results: Of the 60 participants analyzed, 28 (46.7%) were classified as the overwork group based on their RHR. ROC curve analysis showed that the EOI was a good predictor of overwork, with an area under the curve of 0.824. The optimal cut-off values ranged from 21.8% to 24.0% depending on the method used to determine the cut-off point. Conclusion: The EOI showed promising results as a predictive tool to assess overwork in real-time using heart rate monitoring and calculation through MAWT. Further research is needed to assess physical workload accurately and determine cut-off values across industries.

A Study for Lifetime Predition of Expansion Joint Using HILS (HILS 기법을 적용한 신축관 이음 수명예측에 관한 연구)

  • Oh, Jung-Soo;Cho, Sueng-Hyun
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.138-142
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    • 2018
  • This study used HILS to test an expansion joint, which is vulnerable to the water hammer effect. The operation data for the HIL simulator was the length rate of the expansion joint by the water hammer, which was used for life prediction based on the vibration durability. For the vibration durability test, the internal pressure of the expansion joint was assumed to be a factor of the durability life, and the lifetime prediction model equation was obtained by curve fitting the lifetime data at each pressure. During the test, the major failure modes of crack and water leakage occurred on the surface of the bellows part. The lifetime prediction model typically follows an inverse power law model. The pressure is a stress factor, and the model is effective in only a specific environment. Therefore, another stress factor such as temperature will be added and considered for a mixed lifetime prediction model in the future.