• Title/Summary/Keyword: Prediction Control

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Call Admission Control Using Adaptive-MMOSPRED for Resource Prediction in Wireless Networks (무선망의 자원예측을 위한 Adaptive-MMOSPRED 기법을 사용한 호 수락제어)

  • Lee, Jin-Yi
    • Journal of Advanced Navigation Technology
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.22-27
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    • 2008
  • This paper presents adaptive-MMOSPRED method for prediction of resource demands requested by multimedia calls, and shows the performance of the call admission control based on proposed resource prediction method in multimedia wireless networks. The proposed method determines (I-CDP) random variables of the standard normal distribution by using LMS algorithm that minimize errors of prediction in resource demands, while parameters in an existing method are constant all through the prediction time. Our simulation results show that prediction error in adaptive-MMOSPRED method is much smaller than in fixed-MMOSPRED method. Also we can see via simulation the CAC performance based on the proposed method improves the new call blocking performance compared with the existing method under the desired handoff dropping probability.

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A Prediction Algorithm for a Heavy Rain Newsflash using the Evolutionary Symbolic Regression Technique (진화적 기호회귀 분석기법 기반의 호우 특보 예측 알고리즘)

  • Hyeon, Byeongyong;Lee, Yong-Hee;Seo, Kisung
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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    • v.20 no.7
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    • pp.730-735
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    • 2014
  • This paper introduces a GP (Genetic Programming) based robust technique for the prediction of a heavy rain newsflash. The nature of prediction for precipitation is very complex, irregular and highly fluctuating. Especially, the prediction of heavy precipitation is very difficult. Because not only it depends on various elements, such as location, season, time and geographical features, but also the case data is rare. In order to provide a robust model for precipitation prediction, a nonlinear and symbolic regression method using GP is suggested. The remaining part of the study is to evaluate the performance of prediction for a heavy rain newsflash using a GP based nonlinear regression technique in Korean regions. Analysis of the feature selection is executed and various fitness functions are proposed to improve performances. The KLAPS data of 2006-2010 is used for training and the data of 2011 is adopted for verification.

A Transmit Power Control based on Fading Channel Prediction for High-speed Mobile Communication Systems (고속 이동 통신 시스템을 위한 페이딩 예측기반 송신 전력 제어)

  • Hwang, In-Kwan;Lee, Sang-Kook;Ryu, In-Bum
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.34 no.1A
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    • pp.27-33
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    • 2009
  • This paper proposes transmit power control techniques with fading channel prediction scheme based on recurrent neural network for high-speed mobile communication systems. The operation result of recurrent neural network which is derived interpretively solves complexity problems of neural network circuit, and channel gain of multiple transmit antenna is derived with maximum ratio combining(MRC) by using the operation result, and this channel gain control transmit power of each antenna. simulation results show that proposed method has a outstanding performance compared to method that is not to be controlled power based on channel prediction. Most of legacy studies are for robust receive technique of fading signals or channel prediction of fading signals limited low-speed mobility, but in open loop Power control, proposed channel prediction method decrease system complexity with removal of fading effect in transmitter.

Hazard prediction of coal and gas outburst based on fisher discriminant analysis

  • Chen, Liang;Wang, Enyuan;Feng, Junjun;Wang, Xiaoran;Li, Xuelong
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.13 no.5
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    • pp.861-879
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    • 2017
  • Coal and gas outburst is a serious dynamic disaster that occurs during coal mining and threatens the lives of coal miners. Currently, coal and gas outburst is commonly predicted using single indicator and its critical value. However, single indicator is unable to fully reflect all of the factors impacting outburst risk and has poor prediction accuracy. Therefore, a more accurate prediction method is necessary. In this work, we first analyzed on-site impacting factors and precursors of coal and gas outburst; then, we constructed a Fisher discriminant analysis (FDA) index system using the gas adsorption index of drilling cutting ${\Delta}h_2$, the drilling cutting weight S, the initial velocity of gas emission from borehole q, the thickness of soft coal h, and the maximum ratio of post-blasting gas emission peak to pre-blasting gas emission $B_{max}$; finally, we studied an FDA-based multiple indicators discriminant model of coal and gas outburst, and applied the discriminant model to predict coal and gas outburst. The results showed that the discriminant model has 100% prediction accuracy, even when some conventional indexes are lower than the warning criteria. The FDA method has a broad application prospects in coal and gas outburst prediction.

Online Learning Control for Network-induced Time Delay Systems using Reset Control and Probabilistic Prediction Method (네트워크 기반 시간지연 시스템을 위한 리세트 제어 및 확률론적 예측기법을 이용한 온라인 학습제어시스템)

  • Cho, Hyun-Cheol;Sim, Kwang-Yeul;Lee, Kwon-Soon
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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    • v.15 no.9
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    • pp.929-938
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    • 2009
  • This paper presents a novel control methodology for communication network based nonlinear systems with time delay nature. We construct a nominal nonlinear control law for representing a linear model and a reset control system which is aimed for corrective control strategy to compensate system error due to uncertain time delay through wireless communication network. Next, online neural control approach is proposed for overcoming nonstationary statistical nature in the network topology. Additionally, DBN (Dynamic Bayesian Network) technique is accomplished for modeling of its dynamics in terms of casuality, which is then utilized for estimating prediction of system output. We evaluate superiority and reliability of the proposed control approach through numerical simulation example in which a nonlinear inverted pendulum model is employed as a networked control system.

A Novel Utilization Method of the Predicted Current in the High Performance PI Current Controller with a Control time delay (제어 시지연이 있는 고성능 PI 전류제어기에 대한 예측전류의 적용방법)

  • Lee, Jin-Woo
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Power Electronics
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    • v.11 no.5
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    • pp.426-430
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    • 2006
  • This paper deals with a novel utilization method of the predicted current in the high performance PI current controller with a control time delay. The inevitable error of the predicted current in the linear servo drive using a permanent magnet linear synchronous motor is analyzed and a modified cross-coupling decoupling synchronous frame PI current controller is proposed in order to improve the current control response under both the control time delay and the inevitable current prediction error. Simulation and experimental results show that the proposed current controller has an improved current control performance under both the control time delay and the inevitable current prediction error in the servo drive system.

Application of cost-sensitive LSTM in water level prediction for nuclear reactor pressurizer

  • Zhang, Jin;Wang, Xiaolong;Zhao, Cheng;Bai, Wei;Shen, Jun;Li, Yang;Pan, Zhisong;Duan, Yexin
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.52 no.7
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    • pp.1429-1435
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    • 2020
  • Applying an accurate parametric prediction model to identify abnormal or false pressurizer water levels (PWLs) is critical to the safe operation of marine pressurized water reactors (PWRs). Recently, deep-learning-based models have proved to be a powerful feature extractor to perform high-accuracy prediction. However, the effectiveness of models still suffers from two issues in PWL prediction: the correlations shifting over time between PWL and other feature parameters, and the example imbalance between fluctuation examples (minority) and stable examples (majority). To address these problems, we propose a cost-sensitive mechanism to facilitate the model to learn the feature representation of later examples and fluctuation examples. By weighting the standard mean square error loss with a cost-sensitive factor, we develop a Cost-Sensitive Long Short-Term Memory (CSLSTM) model to predict the PWL of PWRs. The overall performance of the CSLSTM is assessed by a variety of evaluation metrics with the experimental data collected from a marine PWR simulator. The comparisons with the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) model and the Support Vector Regression (SVR) model demonstrate the effectiveness of the CSLSTM.

Design of HCBKA-Based TSK Fuzzy Prediction System with Error Compensation (HCBKA 기반 오차 보정형 TSK 퍼지 예측시스템 설계)

  • Bang, Young-Keun;Lee, Chul-Heui
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.59 no.6
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    • pp.1159-1166
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    • 2010
  • To improve prediction quality of a nonlinear prediction system, the system's capability for uncertainty of nonlinear data should be satisfactory. This paper presents a TSK fuzzy prediction system that can consider and deal with the uncertainty of nonlinear data sufficiently. In the design procedures of the proposed system, HCBKA(Hierarchical Correlationship-Based K-means clustering Algorithm) was used to generate the accurate fuzzy rule base that can control output according to input efficiently, and the first-order difference method was applied to reflect various characteristics of the nonlinear data. Also, multiple prediction systems were designed to analyze the prediction tendencies of each difference data generated by the difference method. In addition, to enhance the prediction quality of the proposed system, an error compensation method was proposed and it compensated the prediction error of the systems suitably. Finally, the prediction performance of the proposed system was verified by simulating two typical time series examples.

Parts Stresss Analysis for Reliability Prediction of Control Module in Plant (부품부하분석을 이용한 발전소 제어모듈의 신뢰도 예측)

  • 김대웅;강희정
    • Journal of Energy Engineering
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    • v.4 no.3
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    • pp.338-343
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    • 1995
  • The objective of this study is to predict the reliability of the electronic control module at ROD control system in nuclear power plant. Maintaining of the reliability is important issue in the complext system like nuclear plower plant, military equipment, satelite system, etc., because the failure of reliability brings etravagant economic loss and deteriorates public acceptance. In addition to the prediction of reliability, the fators affect the reliability including operating condition, environment, temperature and quality factors were analyzed and simulated. The result shows that the quality factors are more critical for the higher reliability than other two factors.

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An Input-correlated Neuron Model and Its Learning Characteristics

  • Yamakawa, Takeshi;Aonishi, Toru;Uchino, Eiji;Miki, Tsutomu
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems Conference
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    • 1993.06a
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    • pp.1013-1016
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    • 1993
  • This paper describes a new type of neuron model, the inputs of which are interfered with one another. It has a high mapping ability with only single unit. The learning speed is considerably improved compared with the conventional linear type neural networks. The proposed neuron model was successfully applied to the prediction problem of chaotic time series signal.

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