• Title/Summary/Keyword: Prediction Control

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Smart Control System Using Fuzzy and Neural Network Prediction System

  • Kim, Tae Yeun;Bae, Sang Hyun
    • Journal of Integrative Natural Science
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.105-115
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    • 2019
  • In this paper, a prediction system is proposed to control the brightness of smart street lamps by predicting the moving path through the reduction of consumption power and information of pedestrian's past moving direction while meeting the function of existing smart street lamps. The brightness of smart street lamps is adjusted by utilizing the walk tracking vector and soft hand-off characteristics obtained through the motion sensing sensor of smart street lamps. In addition, the motion vector is used to analyze and predict the pedestrian path, and the GPU is used for high-speed computation. Pedestrians were detected using adaptive Gaussian mixing, weighted difference imaging, and motion vectors, and motions of pedestrians were analyzed using the extracted motion vectors. The preprocessing process using linear interpolation is performed to improve the performance of the proposed prediction system. Fuzzy prediction system and neural network prediction system are designed in parallel to improve efficiency and rough set is used for error correction.

The Effects of Prediction and Reset Control of Outdoor Air Temperature on Energy Consumption for Central Heating System (외기온도 예측 및 보상제어가 난방시스템의 에너지 소비량에 미치는 영향)

  • Ahn, Byung-Cheon;Hong, Sung-Suk
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Geothermal and Hydrothermal Energy
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.8-14
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    • 2016
  • In this study, the effects of prediction and reset control of outdoor air temperature on energy consumption for central heating system are researched by using TRNSYS program package, and the control performances with the suggested methods of prediction and reset control of outdoor air temperature are compared with the existing ones. As a result, the value of coefficient of determination $R^2$ for the predicted outdoor temperatures is improved and the suggested control method shows maximum 21.8% energy saving in comparison with existing control ones.

Compensating time delay in semi-active control of a SDOF structure with MR damper using predictive control

  • Bathaei, Akbar;Zahrai, Seyed Mehdi
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.82 no.4
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    • pp.445-458
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    • 2022
  • Some of the control systems used in engineering structures that use sensors and decision systems have some time delay reducing efficiency of the control system or even might make it unstable. In this research, in addition to considering the effect of the time delay in vibration control process, predictive control is used to compensate the time delay. A semi-active vibration control approach with the help of magneto-rheological dampers is implemented. In addition to using fuzzy inference system to determine the appropriate control voltage for MR damper, structural behavior prediction system and specifying future responses are also used such that the time delays occurring within control process are overcome. For this purpose, determination of prediction horizon is conducted for one, five, and ten steps ahead for single degree of freedom structures with periods ranging from 0.1 to 4 seconds, subjected to twenty earthquake excitations. The amount of time delay applied to the control system is 0.1 seconds. The obtained results indicate that for 0.1 second time delay, average prediction error values compared to the case without time delay is 3.47 percent. Having 0.1 second time delay in a semi-active control system reduces its efficiency by 11.46 percent; while after providing the control system with structure behavior prediction, the difference in the results for the control system without time delay is just 1.35 percent on average; indicating a 10.11 percent performance improvement for the control system.

ABR Traffic Control Using Feedback Information and Algorithm

  • Lee, Kwang-Ok;Son, Young-Su;Kim, Hyeon-ju;Bae, Sang-Hyun
    • Proceedings of the KAIS Fall Conference
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    • 2003.11a
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    • pp.236-242
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    • 2003
  • ATM ABR service controls network traffic using feedback information on the network congestion situation in order to guarantee the demanded service qualities and the available cell rates. In this paper we apply the control method using queue length prediction to the formation of feedback information for more efficient ABR traffic control. If backward node receive the longer delayed feedback information on the impending congestion, the switch can be already congested from the uncontrolled arriving traffic and the fluctuation of queue length can be inefficiently high in the continuing time intervals. The feedback control method proposed in this paper predicts the queue length in the switch using the slope of queue length prediction function and queue length changes in time-series. The predicted congestion information is backward to the node. NLMS and neural network are used as the predictive control functions, and they are compared from performance on the queue length prediction. Simulation results show the efficiency of the proposed method compared to the feedback control method without the prediction. Therefore, we conclude that the efficient congestion and stability of the queue length controls are possible using the prediction scheme that can resolve the problems caused from the longer delays of the feedback information.

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Fuzzy logic for a position prediction and manipulator control (퍼지로직을 이용한 위치 예측과 매니퓰레이터의 제어)

  • 이승환;임종태
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 1991.10a
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    • pp.152-155
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    • 1991
  • A solution to the problem of robot manipulator tracking of a smoothly moving object is given. It is shown that fuzzy prediction rule, fuzzy control can compensate the adverse effects of noise, time delay, unknown object trajectory, and robot modeling uncertainty. Simulations show that the fuzzy logic control results in acceptable precision,

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Real-Time Prediction of Optimal Control Parameters for Mobile Robots based on Estimated Strength of Ground Surface (노면의 강도 추정을 통한 자율 주행 로봇의 실시간 최적 주행 파라미터 예측)

  • Kim, Jayoung;Lee, Jihong
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.58-69
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    • 2014
  • This paper proposes a method for predicting maximum friction coefficients and optimal slip ratios as optimal control parameters for traction control or slip control of autonomous mobile robots on rough terrain. This paper focuses on strength of ground surface which indicates different characteristics depending on material types on surface. Strength of various material types can be estimated by Willoughby sinkage model and by a developed testbed which can measure forces, velocities, and displacements generated by wheel-terrain interaction. Estimated strength is collaborated on building improved Brixius model with friction-slip data from experiments with the testbed over sand and grass material. Improved Brixius model covers widespread material types in outdoor environments on predicting friction-slip characteristics depending on strength of ground surface. Thus, a prediction model for obtaining optimal control parameters is derived by partial differentiation of the improved Brixius model with respect to slip. This prediction model can be applied to autonomous mobile robots and finally gives secure maneuverability on rough terrain. Proposed method is verified by various experiments under similar conditions with the ones for real outdoor robots.

Control of Chaos using M-step ahead prediction (M단계 예측방법을 이용한 혼돈현상 제어)

  • 이철목;권영석;이균경
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 1996.10b
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    • pp.85-88
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    • 1996
  • We develop an efficient technique of controlling chaos using M-step ahead prediction with the OGY method. It has smaller transient time than the OGY method, and prevents burst phenomena that occur in noisy environment. This technique is very simple and needs small memory compared with targeting algorithms. Numerical examples show that the proposed algorithm has good performance, especially in noisy environment.

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A study on power control of nuclear reactor using revised two-level costate prediction method (개선된 two-level costate prediction method를 이용한 원자로 출력 제어)

  • 천희영;박귀태;이희정
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 1986.10a
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    • pp.244-247
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    • 1986
  • A revised two-level costate prediction algorithm is developed for the optimization of nonlinear nuclear power plant. The algorithm is proved to converge very well, and appears to require substantially small computation time and storage than previous nonlinear optimization algorithm. To cope with unknown external disturbances, we construct a closed loop control system. In order to get a smaller sampling time, this paper proposes the two-level Kalman filter.

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MPC based Steering Control using a Probabilistic Prediction of Surrounding Vehicles for Automated Driving (전방향 주변 차량의 확률적 거동 예측을 이용한 모델 예측 제어 기법 기반 자율주행자동차 조향 제어)

  • Lee, Jun-Yung;Yi, Kyong-Su
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.199-209
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    • 2015
  • This paper presents a model predictive control (MPC) approach to control the steering angle in an autonomous vehicle. In designing a highly automated driving control algorithm, one of the research issues is to cope with probable risky situations for enhancement of safety. While human drivers maneuver the vehicle, they determine the appropriate steering angle and acceleration based on the predictable trajectories of surrounding vehicles. Likewise, it is required that the automated driving control algorithm should determine the desired steering angle and acceleration with the consideration of not only the current states of surrounding vehicles but also their predictable behaviors. Then, in order to guarantee safety to the possible change of traffic situation surrounding the subject vehicle during a finite time-horizon, we define a safe driving envelope with the consideration of probable risky behaviors among the predicted probable behaviors of surrounding vehicles over a finite prediction horizon. For the control of the vehicle while satisfying the safe driving envelope and system constraints over a finite prediction horizon, a MPC approach is used in this research. At each time step, MPC based controller computes the desired steering angle to keep the subject vehicle in the safe driving envelope over a finite prediction horizon. Simulation and experimental tests show the effectiveness of the proposed algorithm.

Modeling of Multimedia Internet Transmission Rate Control Factors Using Neural Networks (멀티미디어 인터넷 전송을 위한 전송률 제어 요소의 신경회로망 모델링)

  • Chong Kil-to;Yoo Sung-Goo
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.385-391
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    • 2005
  • As the Internet real-time multimedia applications increases, the bandwidth available to TCP connections is oppressed by the UDP traffic, result in the performance of overall system is extremely deteriorated. Therefore, developing a new transmission protocol is necessary. The TCP-friendly algorithm is an example satisfying this necessity. The TCP-Friendly Rate Control (TFRC) is an UDP-based protocol that controls the transmission rate that is based on the available round trip time (RTT) and the packet loss rate (PLR). In the data transmission processing, transmission rate is determined based on the conditions of the previous transmission period. If the one-step ahead predicted values of the control factors are available, the performance will be improved significantly. This paper proposes a prediction model of transmission rate control factors that will be used in the transmission rate control, which improves the performance of the networks. The model developed through this research is predicting one-step ahead variables of RTT and PLR. A multiplayer perceptron neural network is used as the prediction model and Levenberg-Marquardt algorithm is used for the training. The values of RTT and PLR were collected using TFRC protocol in the real system. The obtained prediction model is validated using new data set and the results show that the obtained model predicts the factors accurately.