• Title/Summary/Keyword: Predictioin

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Prediction of Daily Solar Irradiation Based on Chaos Theory (혼돈이론을 이용한 일적산 일사량의 예측)

  • Cho, S. I.;Bae, Y. M.;Yun, J. I.;Park, E. W.;Hwang, H.
    • Journal of Biosystems Engineering
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.123-130
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    • 2000
  • A forcasting scheme for daily solar irradiance on agricultural field sis proposed by application of chaos theory to a long term observation data. It was conducted by reconstruction of phase space, attractor analysis, and Lyapunov analysis. Using the methodology , it was determined whether evolution of the five climatic data such as daily air temperature , water temperature , relative humidity, solar radiation, and wind speed are chaotic or not. The climatic data were collected for three years by an automated weather station at Hwasung-gun, Kyonggi-province. The results showed that the evolution of solar radiation was chaotic , and could be predicted. The prediction of the evolution of the solar radiation data was executed by using ' local optimal linear reconstruction ' algorithm . The RMS value of the predicting for the solar radiation evolution was 4.32 MJ/$m^2$ day. Therefore, it was feasible to predict the daily solar radiation based on the chaos theory.

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Statistical Investigateion of Fatigue Life Predictioin of the Spot Welded Lap Joint(II) ; to verity reliabilty of fatigue strength estimatioin method (Spot 용접이음재의 피로수명 예측에 관한 확률적 검토(II) : 피로강도 평가법의 신뢰성 검증)

  • 손일선;배동호
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Automotive Engineers
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    • v.7 no.7
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    • pp.242-249
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    • 1999
  • Spot welding is very important and useful technology in fabrication of an automobile body structure. Because fatigue strength of the spot welding point is however considerably lower than parent metal due to stress concentration at the nugget edge, accurate stress analysis and fatigue stength evaluation of spot welded lap joint are very important to valuate the reliability and durability of automobile body structure and to establish a criterion of long life fatigue design. Many invetigators have studied so far onsystematic fatigue strength evaluation with various methods. It is however necessary to verify their reliability and abailability for practical application to fatigue design of spot welded structure, Thus,in this study, fatigue strength evaluation methods of spot welded lap joint. which are the maximum principal stress method. the fracture and availability with the Weibull probability distribution. From the results, it was found that reliability and availability withe the Weibull probaility distribution. From the results, it was found that reliability and availability of the suggest fatigue strength estimation methods methods were higher than $\Delta$P-$N_f$ relation. However, among them , reliability of the maximum pricipal stress method was the highest.

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Fatigue Life Prediction for Multiple Surface Cracks in Finite Plates (복수표면균열을 갖는 구조요소의 피로수명 예측)

  • J.D. Kim;J.W. Lee;C.H. Hong
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.33 no.4
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    • pp.75-86
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    • 1996
  • A fatigue life prediction program for multiple planar surface cracks in finite plates and T-fillet joints, based on linear elastic fracture mechanics was developed. This prediction technique include the crack coalescence, mutual interation and the stress intensity concentration effect in welded joints. Total of 44 cases were compared with lida's and Vosikovsky's experimental results and it was found that the present method was a reasonable tool for the predictioin of fatigue life.

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