• Title/Summary/Keyword: Predicting Patterns

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초등학교 5학년 수학과 수행평가 과제 개발에 관한 연구 (A Study on Development of Mathematics Performance Assessment Tasks for the Fifth Graders in the Primary School)

  • 유현주;정영옥;류순선
    • 대한수학교육학회지:학교수학
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    • 제2권1호
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    • pp.203-241
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    • 2000
  • This study aims to suggest a model of task development for mathematics performance assessment and to develop performance tasks for the fifth graders in the primary school on the basis of this model. In order to achieve these aims, the following inquiry questions were set up: (1) to develop open-ended tasks and projects for the fifth graders, (2) to develop checklists for measuring the abilities of mathematical reasoning, problem solving, connection, communication of the fifth graders more deeply when performance assessment tasks are implemented and (3) to examine the appropriateness of performance tasks and checklists and to modify them when is needed through applying these tasks to pupils. The consequences of applying some tasks and analysing some work samples of pupils are as follows. Firstly, pupils need more diverse thinking ability. Secondly, pupils want in the ability of analysing the meaning of mathematical concepts in relation to real world. Thirdly, pupils can calculate precisely but they want in the ability of explaining their ideas and strategies. Fourthly, pupils can find patterns in sequences of numbers or figures but they have difficulty in generalizing these patterns, predicting and demonstrating. Fifthly, pupils are familiar with procedural knowledge more than conceptual knowledge. From these analyses, it is concluded that performance tasks and checklists developed in this study are improved assessment tools for measuring mathematical abilities of pupils, and that we should improve mathematics instruction for pupils to understand mathematical concepts deeply, solve problems, reason mathematically, connect mathematics to real world and other disciplines, and communicate about mathematics.

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Prognostic Significance of Sirtuins Expression in Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma

  • Kang, Yea Eun;Shong, Minho;Kim, Jin Man;Koo, Bon Seok
    • International journal of thyroidology
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    • 제11권2호
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    • pp.143-151
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    • 2018
  • Background and Objectives: Sirtuins (SIRTs) play important roles in cellular and organismal homeostasis. They have distinct gene expression patterns in various cancers; however, the relationship between SIRT expression and the progression of thyroid cancer is unclear. We investigated the expression of SIRTs in patients with papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) and their role as biomarkers for predicting the aggressiveness of this disease. Materials and Methods: We used immunohistochemical staining to evaluate the expression of SIRT1 and SIRT3 in tumor specimens from 270 patients with PTC. We also evaluated the potential association between SIRT expression and diverse clinicopathological features. Results: High SIRT1 expression was negatively correlated with lymphovascular invasion, central lymph node metastasis, and lateral lymph node metastasis. Multivariate analyses revealed that high SIRT1 expression was a negative independent risk factor for lateral lymph node metastasis. By contrast, high SIRT3 expression was positively correlated with locoregional recurrence. Interestingly, when patients were grouped by tumor SIRT expression patterns, the group with low SIRT1 expression and high SIRT3 expression was correlated with more aggressive cancer phenotypes including central lymph node metastasis and lateral lymph node metastasis. Conclusion: Our results suggest that SIRTs play dual roles in tumor progression, and the combination of decreased SIRT1 expression and increased SIRT3 expression is significantly associated with a poor prognosis in patients with PTC.

A Review of Machine Learning Algorithms for Fraud Detection in Credit Card Transaction

  • Lim, Kha Shing;Lee, Lam Hong;Sim, Yee-Wai
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • 제21권9호
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    • pp.31-40
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    • 2021
  • The increasing number of credit card fraud cases has become a considerable problem since the past decades. This phenomenon is due to the expansion of new technologies, including the increased popularity and volume of online banking transactions and e-commerce. In order to address the problem of credit card fraud detection, a rule-based approach has been widely utilized to detect and guard against fraudulent activities. However, it requires huge computational power and high complexity in defining and building the rule base for pattern matching, in order to precisely identifying the fraud patterns. In addition, it does not come with intelligence and ability in predicting or analysing transaction data in looking for new fraud patterns and strategies. As such, Data Mining and Machine Learning algorithms are proposed to overcome the shortcomings in this paper. The aim of this paper is to highlight the important techniques and methodologies that are employed in fraud detection, while at the same time focusing on the existing literature. Methods such as Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs), Support Vector Machines (SVMs), naïve Bayesian, k-Nearest Neighbour (k-NN), Decision Tree and Frequent Pattern Mining algorithms are reviewed and evaluated for their performance in detecting fraudulent transaction.

Image-based characterization of internal erosion around pipe in earth dam

  • Dong-Ju Kim;Samuel OIamide Aregbesola;Jong-Sub Lee;Hunhee Cho;Yong-Hoon Byun
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • 제33권5호
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    • pp.481-496
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    • 2024
  • Internal erosion around pipes can lead to the failure of earth dams through various mechanisms. This study investigates the displacement patterns in earth dam models under three different failure modes due to internal erosion, using digital image correlation (DIC) methods. Three failure modes—erosion along a pipe (FM1), pipe leakage leading to soil erosion (FM2), and erosion in a pipe due to defects (FM3)—are analyzed using two- and three-dimensional image- processing techniques. The internal displacement of the cross-sectional area and the surface displacement of the downstream slope in the dam models are monitored using an image acquisition system. Physical model tests reveal that FM1 exhibits significant displacement on the upper surface of the downstream slope, FM2 shows focused displacement around the pipe defect, and FM3 demonstrates increased displacement on the upstream slope. The variations in internal and surface displacements with time depend on the segmented area and failure mode. Analyzing the relationships between internal and surface displacements using Pearson correlation coefficients reveals various displacement patterns for the segmented areas and failure modes. Therefore, the image-based characterization methods presented in this study may be useful for analyzing the displacement distribution and behavior of earth dams around pipes, and further, for understanding and predicting their failure mechanisms.

The Prognosis According to Patterns of Mediastinal Lymph Node Metastasis in Pathologic Stage IIIA/N2 Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer

  • Kim, Do Wan;Yun, Ju Sik;Song, Sang Yun;Na, Kook Joo
    • Journal of Chest Surgery
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    • 제47권1호
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    • pp.13-19
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    • 2014
  • Background: The aim of this study is to evaluate prognostic factors for survival in pathologic stage IIIA/N2 non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC), to identify the prognostic significance of the metastatic patterns of mediastinal lymph nodes (MLNs) relating to survival and to recurrence and metastasis. Methods: A total of 129 patients who underwent radical resection for pathologic stage IIIA-N2 NSCLC from July 1998 to April 2011 were retrospectively reviewed. The end points of this study were rates of loco-regional recurrence and distant metastasis, and survival. Results: The overall 5-year survival rate was 47.4%. A univariate analysis showed that age, pathologic T stage, and adjuvant chemotherapy were significant prognostic factors, while in multivariate analysis, pathologic T stage and adjuvant chemotherapy were significant prognostic factors. The metastasis rate was higher in patients with multi-station N2 involvement and with more than 3 positive MLNs. Further, non-regional MLN metastasis was associated with a higher loco-regional recurrence rate. Conclusion: Pathologic T stage and adjuvant chemotherapy were independent prognostic factors for long-term survival in pathologic stage IIIA/N2 NSCLC. The recurrence and the metastasis rate were affected by the metastatic patterns of MLNs. These results may be helpful for planning postoperative therapeutic strategies and predicting outcomes.

빈발도와 가중치를 적용한 엣지 디바이스의 최적 이동패턴 추출 (Extraction of Optimal Moving Patterns of Edge Devices Using Frequencies and Weights)

  • 이연식;장민석
    • 한국정보통신학회논문지
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    • 제26권5호
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    • pp.786-792
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    • 2022
  • 최근 클라우드 환경의 서비스 지연문제 해결을 위하여 응용서비스의 사용자 근접성 확보 및 계산 오프로딩을 위한 FEC (Fog/Edge Computing) 패러다임에 대한 연구가 활발하다. 엣지 디바이스 (이동객체)들의 동적 위치변화 패턴 예측방법은 FEC 환경에서 컴퓨팅 리소스의 효율적 분배 및 배치를 위하여 중요한 역할을 한다. 본 논문은 엣지 디바이스들의 이동 빈발패턴에 대한 지지도의 임계값을 적용하여 선택된 경로들을 대상으로 임의의 가중치 (거리, 시간, 혼잡도)를 추가적으로 적용한 최적 이동패턴 추출방법을 제안한다. 실험을 통하여 제안 알고리즘은 빈발도만을 적용한 OPE_freq [8] 알고리즘과 A* 및 Dijkstra 알고리즘 등과 비교한 결과, 수행시간과 노드 접근횟수를 감소시키고 보다 정확한 경로를 추출함을 알 수 있다.

Tumor Location Causes Different Recurrence Patterns in Remnant Gastric Cancer

  • Sun, Bo;Zhang, Haixian;Wang, Jiangli;Cai, Hong;Xuan, Yi;Xu, Dazhi
    • Journal of Gastric Cancer
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    • 제22권4호
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    • pp.369-380
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    • 2022
  • Purpose: Tumor recurrence is the principal cause of poor outcomes in remnant gastric cancer (RGC) after resection. We sought to elucidate the recurrent patterns according to tumor locations in RGC. Materials and Methods: Data were collected from the Shanghai Cancer Center between January 2006 and December 2020. A total of 129 patients with RGC were included in this study, of whom 62 had carcinomas at the anastomotic site (group A) and 67 at the non-anastomotic site (group N). The clinicopathological characteristics, surgical results, recurrent diseases, and survival were investigated according to tumor location. Results: The time interval from the previous gastrectomy to the current diagnosis was 32.0±13.0 and 21.0±13.4 years in groups A and N, respectively. The previous disease was benign in 51/62 cases (82.3%) in group A and 37/67 cases (55.2%) in group N (P=0.002). Thirty-three patients had documented sites of tumor recurrence through imaging or pathological examinations. The median time to recurrence was 11.0 months (range, 1.0-35.1 months). Peritoneal recurrence occurred in 11.3% (7/62) of the patients in group A versus 1.5% (1/67) of the patients in group N (P=0.006). Hepatic recurrence occurred in 3.2% (2/62) of the patients in group A versus 13.4% (9/67) of the patients in group N (P=0.038). Patients in group A had significantly better overall survival than those in group N (P=0.046). Conclusions: The tumor location of RGC is an essential factor for predicting recurrence patterns and overall survival. When selecting an optimal postoperative follow-up program for RGC, physicians should consider recurrent features according to the tumor location.

Large-scale Atmospheric Patterns associated with the 2018 Heatwave Prediction in the Korea-Japan Region using GloSea6

  • Jinhee Kang;Semin Yun;Jieun Wie;Sang-Min Lee;Johan Lee;Baek-Jo Kim;Byung-Kwon Moon
    • 한국지구과학회지
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    • 제45권1호
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    • pp.37-47
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    • 2024
  • In the summer of 2018, the Korea-Japan (KJ) region experienced an extremely severe and prolonged heatwave. This study examines the GloSea6 model's prediction performance for the 2018 KJ heatwave event and investigates how its prediction skill is related to large-scale circulation patterns identified by the k-means clustering method. Cluster 1 pattern is characterized by a KJ high-pressure anomaly, Cluster 2 pattern is distinguished by an Eastern European high-pressure anomaly, and Cluster 3 pattern is associated with a Pacific-Japan pattern-like anomaly. By analyzing the spatial correlation coefficients between these three identified circulation patterns and GloSea6 predictions, we assessed the contribution of each circulation pattern to the heatwave lifecycle. Our results show that the Eastern European high-pressure pattern, in particular, plays a significant role in predicting the evolution of the development and peak phases of the 2018 KJ heatwave approximately two weeks in advance. Furthermore, this study suggests that an accurate representation of large-scale atmospheric circulations in upstream regions is a key factor in seasonal forecast models for improving the predictability of extreme weather events, such as the 2018 KJ heatwave.

Assessing reproductive performance and predictive models for litter size in Landrace sows under tropical conditions

  • Praew Thiengpimol;Skorn Koonawootrittriron;Thanathip Suwanasopee
    • Animal Bioscience
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    • 제37권8호
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    • pp.1333-1344
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    • 2024
  • Objective: Litter size and piglet loss at birth significantly impact piglet production and are closely associated with sow parity. Understanding how these traits vary across different parities is crucial for effective herd management. This study investigates the patterns of the number of born alive piglets (NBA), number of piglet losses (NPL), and the proportion of piglet losses (PPL) at birth in Landrace sows under tropical conditions. Additionally, it aims to identify the most suitable model for describing these patterns. Methods: A dataset comprising 2,322 consecutive reproductive records from 258 Landrace sows, spanning parities from 1 to 9, was analyzed. Modeling approaches including 2nd and 3rd degree polynomial models, the Wood gamma function, and a longitudinal model were applied at the individual level to predict NBA, NPL, and PPL. The choice of the best-fitting model was determined based on the lowest mean and standard deviation of the difference between predicted and actual values, Akaike information criterion (AIC), and Bayesian information criterion (BIC). Results: Sow parity significantly influenced NBA, NPL, and PPL (p<0.0001). NBA increased until the 4th parity and then declined. In contrast, NPL and PPL decreased until the 2nd parity and then steadily increased until the 8th parity. The 2nd and 3rd degree polynomials, and longitudinal models showed no significant differences in predicting NBA, NPL, and PPL (p>0.05). The 3rd degree polynomial model had the lowest prediction standard deviation and yielded the smallest AIC and BIC. Conclusion: The 3rd degree polynomial model offers the most suitable description of NBA, NPL, and PPL patterns. It holds promise for applications in genetic evaluations to enhance litter size and reduce piglet loss at birth in sows. These findings highlight the importance of accounting for sow parity effects in swine breeding programs, particularly in tropical conditions, to optimize piglet production and sow performance.

프로세스 마이닝을 활용한 온라인 교육 오픈 플랫폼 내 학습 패턴 분석 방법 개발 (Toward understanding learning patterns in an open online learning platform using process mining)

  • 김태영;김효민;조민수
    • 지능정보연구
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    • 제29권2호
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    • pp.285-301
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    • 2023
  • 비대면 교육의 중요성 및 필요에 따른 수요가 증가함에 따라 국내외 온라인 교육 오픈 플랫폼이 활성화되고 있다. 본 플랫폼은 대학 등 교육 전문기관과 달리 학습자의 자율성이 높은 특징을 가지며 이에 따라 개인화된 학습 도구를 지원하기 위한 학습 행동 데이터의 분석 연구가 중요시 되고 있다. 실제적인 학습 행동을 이해하고 패턴을 도출하기 위하여 프로세스 마이닝이 다수 활용되었지만 온라인 교육 플랫폼과 같이 자기 관리형(Self-regulated) 환경에서의 학습 로그를 기반한 사례는 부족하다. 또한, 대부분 프로세스 모델 도출 등의 모델 관점에서의 접근이며 분석 결과의 실제적인 적용을 위한 개별 패턴 및 인스턴스 관점에서의 방법 제시는 미흡하다. 본 연구에서는 온라인 교육 오픈 플랫폼 내 학습 패턴을 파악하기 위하여 프로세스 마이닝을 활용한 분석 방법을 제시한다. 학습 패턴을 다각도로 분석하기 위하여 모델, 패턴, 인스턴스 관점에서의 분석 방법을 제시하며, 프로세스 모델 발견, 적합도 검사, 군집화 기법, 예측 알고리즘 등 다양한 기법을 활용한다. 본 방법은 국내 오픈 교육 플랫폼 내 기계학습 관련 강좌의 학습 로그를 추출하여 분석하였다. 분석 결과 온라인 강의의 특성에 맞게 비구조화된 프로세스 모델을 도출할 수 있었으며 구체적으로 한 개의 표준 학습 패턴과 세 개의 이상 학습 패턴으로 세분화할 수 있었다. 또한, 인스턴스별 패턴 분류 예측 모델을 도출한 결과 전체 흐름 중 초기 30%의 흐름을 바탕으로 예측하였을 때 0.86의 분류 정확도를 보였다. 본 연구는 프로세스 마이닝을 활용하여 학습자의 패턴을 체계적으로 분석한다는 점에서 기여점을 가진다.