• 제목/요약/키워드: Predicted Value

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구조물의 동특성 개선을 위한 모드 매개변수의 민감도 해석 (The Sensitivity Analysis for Structure Modification using Partial Differentiation)

  • 이해진;아미누딘;이정윤;오재응
    • 한국소음진동공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국소음진동공학회 2006년도 춘계학술대회논문집
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    • pp.453-457
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    • 2006
  • This study predicts the modified structure of eigenvectors and eigenvalues due to the changes in the mass and the stiffness of the structure. The sensitivity method of natural frequency using partial differential are derived with respect to the physical parameter to calculate the structure modification. The method are applied to the 3 degree of freedom???slumped mass model by modeling the mass and stiffness, and then applies the method to a real crankshaft system. The position, direction of parameter change and modified value were predicted for modification. Finally the predicted value is used to investigate the magnitude of vibration and we found that the effect of modification results to reduce the level of magnitude vibration is satisfactory.

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실규모 하수처리공정에서 동력학적 동특성에 기반한 인공지능 모델링 및 예측기법 (Artificial Neural Network Modeling and Prediction Based on Hydraulic Characteristics in a Full-scale Wastewater Treatment Plant)

  • 김민한;유창규
    • 제어로봇시스템학회논문지
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    • 제15권5호
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    • pp.555-561
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    • 2009
  • The established mathematical modeling methods have limitation to know the hydraulic characteristics at the wastewater treatment plant which are complex and nonlinear systems. So, an artificial neural network (ANN) model based on hydraulic characteristics is applied for modeling wastewater quality of a full-scale wastewater treatment plant using DNR (Daewoo nutrient removal) process. ANN was trained using data which are influents (TSS, BOD, COD, TN, TP) and effluents (COD, TN, TP) components in a year, and predicted the effluent results based on the training. To raise the efficiency of prediction, inputs of ANN are added the influent and effluent information that are in yesterday and the day before yesterday. The results of training data tend to have high accuracy between real value and predicted value, but test data tend to have lower accuracy. However, the more hydraulic characteristics are considered, the results become more accuracy.

퍼지의사결정을 이용한 RC구조물의 건전성평가 (Integrity Assessment for Reinforced Concrete Structures Using Fuzzy Decision Making)

  • 박철수;손용우;이증빈
    • 한국전산구조공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국전산구조공학회 2002년도 봄 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.274-283
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    • 2002
  • This paper presents an efficient models for reinforeced concrete structures using CART-ANFIS(classification and regression tree-adaptive neuro fuzzy inference system). a fuzzy decision tree parttitions the input space of a data set into mutually exclusive regions, each of which is assigned a label, a value, or an action to characterize its data points. Fuzzy decision trees used for classification problems are often called fuzzy classification trees, and each terminal node contains a label that indicates the predicted class of a given feature vector. In the same vein, decision trees used for regression problems are often called fuzzy regression trees, and the terminal node labels may be constants or equations that specify the Predicted output value of a given input vector. Note that CART can select relevant inputs and do tree partitioning of the input space, while ANFIS refines the regression and makes it everywhere continuous and smooth. Thus it can be seen that CART and ANFIS are complementary and their combination constitutes a solid approach to fuzzy modeling.

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Parameter Estimation and Prediction for NHPP Software Reliability Model and Time Series Regression in Software Failure Data

  • Song, Kwang-Yoon;Chang, In-Hong
    • 통합자연과학논문집
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    • 제7권1호
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    • pp.67-73
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    • 2014
  • We consider the mean value function for NHPP software reliability model and time series regression model in software failure data. We estimate parameters for the proposed models from two data sets. The values of SSE and MSE is presented from two data sets. We compare the predicted number of faults with the actual two data sets using the mean value function and regression curve.

3D-QSAR (CoMFA, CoMSIA) study of PPAR-$\gamma$ agonists.

  • Lee, Hye-Sun;Chae, Chong-Hak;Yoo, Sung-Eun;Yi, Kyu-Yang;Park, Kyung-Lae
    • 대한약학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한약학회 2003년도 Proceedings of the Convention of the Pharmaceutical Society of Korea Vol.2-2
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    • pp.181.3-181.3
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    • 2003
  • Comparative molecular field analysis (CoMFA) and comparative molecular similarity indices analysis (CoMSIA) were performed on 60 PPAR-g agonists. Partial Least Squars (PLS) analysis produced good predicted models with $q^2$ value of 0.62 (SDEP=0.33, F value=93.22, $r^2$=0.92) and 0.56 (SDEP=0.47 F value=27.65, $r^2$=0.86), respectivly. The key spatial properties were detected by careful analysis of the isocontour maps.

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순환식 병류형 곡물건조기 개발(II) - 시뮬레이션모델의 검증 - (Development of a Rice Circulating Concurrent-flow Dryer(II) - Validation of Drying Simulation Model -)

  • 한재웅;금동혁;김훈;홍상진
    • Journal of Biosystems Engineering
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    • 제32권5호
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    • pp.309-315
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    • 2007
  • This study was performed to develop a simulation model of circulating concurrent-flow rice dryer. The simulation model consists of drying model, tempering model and crack prediction model. The drying and tempering models were developed based on mathematical analysis, and the crack prediction model was developed by thin layer drying tests. Rice drying tests were done with three replications by use of a pilot scale dryer of holding capacity of 700 kg. Experimental values for moisture content, rice temperature, rice crack, and drying energy were compared with predicted values by simulation model. The RMSEs of predicted moisture contents were ranged from 0.5807% (d.b.) to 1.1951% (d.b.). and the coefficients of determination were 0.9688 to 0.9812. The RMSEs of predicted rice temperatures at the exit of the drying chamber were 1.83 to $3.81^{\circ}C$ and the coefficients of determination were 0.8834 to 0.9482. The results for moisture contents and rice temperatures showed very good relationships between predicted values and experimental values. The RMSEs of predicted value of crack ratio were 0.4082 to 0.7967% and the coefficients of determination were 0.8742 to 0.9547.

Demonstration of EPRI CHECWORKS Code to Predict FAC Wear of Secondary System Pipings of a Nuclear Power Plant

  • Lee, Sung-Ho;Seong Jegarl;Chung, Han-Sub
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제31권4호
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    • pp.375-384
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    • 1999
  • The credibility of CHECWORKS FAC model analysis was evaluated for plant application in a model plant chosen for demonstration. The operation condition at each pipe component was defined before the wear rate analysis by plant data base, water chemistry analysis, and network flow analysis. The predicted wear was compared with the measured wear for 57 sample components selected from 43 susceptible line groups analysed. The inspected 57 locations represent components of highest predicted wear in each line group. Both absolute value and relative ranking comparisons indicated reasonable correlations between the predicted and the measured values. Four components showed much higher measured wear rates than the predicted ones in the feed water train from main feed water pump discharge to steam generator, probably due to high hydrazine concentration operation the effect of which had not been incorporated into the CHECWORKS model. The measured wear was higher than the predicted one consistently for components with least susceptibility to FAC. It is believed that the conservatism maintained during UT data analysis dominated the measurement accuracy. A great deal of enhancement is anticipated over the current plant pipe management program when a comprehensive plant pipe management program is implemented based on the model analysis.

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우유 균질 조건 예측을 위한 반응표면방법론의 활용 (Applying Response Surface Methodology to Predict the Homogenization Efficiency of Milk)

  • 임성수;오세종
    • Journal of Dairy Science and Biotechnology
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    • 제41권1호
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2023
  • Response surface methodology (RSM) is a statistical approach widely used in food processing to optimize the formulation, processing conditions, and quality of food products. The homogenization process is achieved by subjecting milk to high pressure, which breaks down fat globules and disperses fat more evenly throughout milk. This study focuses on an application of RSM including the logit transformation to predict the efficiency of milk homogenization, which can be maximized by minimizing the relative difference in fat percentage between the top part and the remainder of milk. To avoid a negative predicted value of the minimum of this proportion, the logit transformation is used to turn the proportion into the logit, whose possible values are real numbers. Then, the logit values are modeled and optimized. Subsequently, the logistic transformation is used to turn the predicted logit into the predicted proportion. From our model, the optimum condition for the maximized efficiency of milk homogenization was predicted as the combination of a homogenizer pressure of 30 MPa, a storage temperature of 10℃, and a storage period of 10 days. Additionally, with a combination of a homogenizer pressure of 30 MPa, a storage temperature of 10℃, and a storage period of 50 days, the level of milk homogenization was predicted to be acceptable, even with the problem of extrapolation taken into account.

소형챔버법을 이용한 휘발성유기화합물(VOCs) 방출특성 및 예측에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Emission Characteristics and Prediction of VOCs (Volatile Organic Compounds) using Small Chamber Method)

  • 방승기;손장열;이광호
    • KIEAE Journal
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    • 제4권4호
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    • pp.11-18
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    • 2004
  • In this study, the measurement system was developed for the measurement of pollutants from building materials, and specimens were made with concrete, gypsum board, mortar and wall paper. Characteristics of VOCs and TVOC concentration and Emission Factor as a function of time were assessed, and the conclusion was drawn as follows. (1) From predicting TVOC concentration decrease of specimen 7 with the wall paper attached to the concrete, the graph may become linear by converting the value of y-axis into the log function, and the prediction equation can be expressed as $y=34906{\ast}e^{-0.0093{\ast}time}$. Moreover, chi-square value was 0.83 which is relatively high value, indicating that TVOC concentration can be properly predicted if the same materials are used indoors. (2) From predicting VOCs Emission Factor decrease of specimen 7, the prediction equation can be expressed as $EF=15111{\ast}e^{-0.0093{\ast}time}$, and chi-square value was 0.83. (3) From predicting TVOC concentration decrease of specimen 7, prediction equation can be considered to be $y=254323{\ast}(1-e^{-0.1046{\ast}time})$, and chi-square was 0.994 which is significantly high value, indicating that indoor TVOC concentration can be properly predicted if the same materials are used indoors. Furthermore, the prediction of concentration decrease using cumulative value of hourly measured concentration is considered to be more accurate than that using just hourly measured value directly. (4) From predicting Emission Factor decrease with cumulative hourly data of Emission Factor, chi-square appeared to be higher than that by just using hourly data of Emission Factor directly. Therefore, the prediction of Emission Factor with cumulative hourly data can provide more reliable prediction equation than the case by using just hourly concentration directly.

중부지방 평야지역의 연약지반에 대한 압밀침하특성 분석 연구 (A Study on the Characteristics of Consolidation Settlement of Soft Ground in the Plains of the Central Region)

  • 김준석
    • 한국재난정보학회 논문집
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    • 제18권4호
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    • pp.706-712
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    • 2022
  • 연구목적: 본 연구에서는 우리나라 중부 내륙지역의 연약지반 침하특성을 분석하여 실무에 활용할 수 있도록 하기 위하여 현장실험연구를 실시하였다. 연구방법: 현장실험에서 실측한 10개의 침하계측 자료를 이용하여 설계예측값과 비교분석을 실시하였다. 설계예측값은 Terzaghi의 일차원 압밀침하량분석을 사용하였다. 실험에서 현장계측은 지표침하판을 이용하였다. 연구결과: 예측값과 실제값의 침하거동은 대체로 유사하였으나 침하량 값에서는 실제 침하량 값이 예측 침하량 값에 비하여 30%이하의 침하거동을 보였다. 본 연구지역의 압밀침하율은 9.6%~27.0% 범위를 나타내었으며 평균값은 18.21% 로서 우리나라 중부지역 내륙의 평야지대에 분포된 실트질 연약지반의 침하량 예측은 비교적 매우 과다하게 예측될 수 있는 것으로 분석되었다. 결론: 우리나라 중부지역 내륙의 평야지대에 분포된 실트질 연약지반의 침하량 예측 설계에서는 과다설계 가능성이 있으므로 정밀한 지반조사와 세밀한 예측이 필요한 것으로 판단된다.