• Title/Summary/Keyword: Predictability

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HESnW: History Encounters-Based Spray-and-Wait Routing Protocol for Delay Tolerant Networks

  • Gan, Shunyi;Zhou, Jipeng;Wei, Kaimin
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.618-629
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    • 2017
  • Mobile nodes can't always connect each other in DTNs (delay tolerant networks). Many DTN routing protocols that favor the "multi-hop forwarding" are proposed to solve these network problems. But they also lead to intolerant delivery cost so that designing a overhead-efficient routing protocol which is able to perform well in delivery ratio with lower delivery cost at the same time is valuable. Therefore, we utilize the small-world property and propose a new delivery metric called multi-probability to design our relay node selection principles that nodes with lower delivery predictability can also be selected to be the relay nodes if one of their history nodes has higher delivery predictability. So, we can find more potential relay nodes to reduce the forwarding overhead of successfully delivered messages through our proposed algorithm called HESnW. We also apply our new messages copies allocation scheme to optimize the routing performance. Comparing to existing routing algorithms, simulation results show that HESnW can reduce the delivery cost while it can also obtain a rather high delivery ratio.

Predictability of Consumer Expectations for Future Changes in Real Growth (소비자 기대심리의 미래 성장 예측력)

  • Kim, Tae-Ho;Lim, La-Hee;Lee, Seung-Eun
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.457-465
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    • 2015
  • The long lasting world-wide recession and low economic progress have made it more important to predict future economic behavior. Accordingly, it is of interest to explore useful leading indicators, correlated with policy targets, to predict future economic growth. This study attempts to develop a model to evaluate the performance of consumer survey results from Statistics Korea to predict future economic activities. A statistical model is formulated and estimated to generate predictions by utilizing consumer expectations. The prediction is found improved in the distant future and consumer expectations appear to be a useful leading indicator to provide information of future real growth.

Data-Mining in Business Performance Database Using Explanation-Based Genetic Algorithms (설명기반 유전자알고리즘을 활용한 경영성과 데이터베이스이 데이터마이닝)

  • 조성훈;정민용
    • Korean Management Science Review
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.135-145
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    • 2001
  • In recent environment of dynamic management, there is growing recognition that information and knowledge management systems are essential for efficient/effective decision making by CEO. To cope with this situation, we suggest the Data-Miming scheme as a key component of integrated information and knowledge management system. The proposed system measures business performance by considering both VA(Value-Added), which represents stakeholder’s point of view and EVA (Economic Value-Added), which represents shareholder’s point of view. To mine the new information & Knowledge discovery, we applied the improved genetic algorithms that consider predictability, understandability (lucidity) and reasonability factors simultaneously, we use a linear combination model for GAs learning structure. Although this model’s predictability will be more decreased than non-linear model, this model can increase the knowledge’s understandability that is meaning of induced values. Moreover, we introduce a random variable scheme based on normal distribution for initial chromosomes in GAs, so we can expect to increase the knowledge’s reasonability that is degree of expert’s acceptability. the random variable scheme based on normal distribution uses statistical correlation/determination coefficient that is calculated with training data. To demonstrate the performance of the system, we conducted a case study using financial data of Korean automobile industry over 16 years from 1981 to 1996, which is taken from database of KISFAS (Korea Investors Services Financial Analysis System).

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METHODOLOGY TO ENHANCE THE PREDICTABILITY OF I/O DATA EXCHANGE BETWEEN DEVICE AND TASKS (장치와 태스크 간 입출력 데이터 교환의 예측성 향상 방안)

  • Koo, Cheol-Hea;Yang, Koon-Ho;Choi, Seong-Bong
    • Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.451-456
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    • 2007
  • Data coming from devices shall be transported to a specific task to be used in a software with the most accurate time and data integrity. During this process, a potential cause for invoking structured hazard and performance degradation is dormant. In this paper, a method which can protect the data integrity from the possible data corruption when collision has happened during I/O data exchange between device and tasks is presented. Also, an example diagram of mechanism according to the method is shown and the effect, merits and demerits of the method is evaluated.

Evaluation of the Intensity Predictability of the Numerical Models for Typhoons in 2013 (2013년 태풍에 대한 수치모델들의 강도 예측성 평가)

  • Kim, Ji-Seon;Lee, Woojeong;Kang, KiRyong;Byun, Kun-Young;Kim, Jiyoung;Yun, Won-Tae
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.419-432
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    • 2014
  • An assessment of typhoon intensity predictability of numerical models was conducted to develop the typhoon intensity forecast guidance comparing with the RSMC-Tokyo best track data. Root mean square error, box plot analysis and time series of wind speed comparison were performed to evaluate the each model error level. One of noticeable fact is that all models have a trend of error increase as typhoon becomes stronger and the Global Forecast System showed the best performance among the models. In the detailed analysis in two typhoon cases [Danas (1324) and Haiyan (1330)], GFS showed good performance in maximum wind speed and intensity trend in the best track, however it could not simulate well the rapid intensity increasing period. On the other hand, ECMWF and Hurricane-WRF overestimated the typhoon intensity but simulated track trend well.

Development of a test of Korean Speech Intelligibility in Noise(KSPIN) using sentence materials with controlled word predictability (소음환경에서 표적단어의 예상도가 조절된 한국어의 문장검사목록개발 시안)

  • Kim, Jin-Sook;Pae, So-Yeong;Lee, Jung-Hak
    • Speech Sciences
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.37-50
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    • 2000
  • This paper describes a test of everyday speech understanding ability, in which a listener's utilization of the context-situational information of speech is assessed, and is compared with the utilization of acoustic-phonetic information. The test items are sentences which are presented in a babble type of noise, and the listener response is the key word in the sentence. The key words are always two-syllabic nouns and the questioning sentences are added to obtain the responding key words. Two types of sentences are used. One is the high-predictable sentences for which the key word is somewhat predictable from the context. The other is the low-predictable sentences for which the key-word cannot be predicted from the context. Both types are included in six 40-item forms of the test, which are balanced for intelligibility, key-word familiarity and predictability, phonetic content, and length. Performance of normally hearing listeners shows significantly different functions for various signal-to-noise ratios. The potential applications of this test, particularly in the assessment of speech understanding ability in the hearing impaired, are discussed.

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Diagnosis of Northeast Asian Summer Precipitation using the Western North Pacific Subtropical High Index (북서태평양 아열대고기압 지수를 이용한 북동아시아 여름철 강수의 진단)

  • Kwon, MinHo
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.34 no.1
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    • pp.102-106
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    • 2013
  • The intensity of the East Asian summer monsoon has a negative correlation with that of the western North Pacific summer monsoon. Based on the relationship, we suggest the potential predictability of Northeast Asian summer precipitation by using the relationship. The western North Pacific subtropical high (WNPSH) properly represents the intensity of the western North Pacific summer monsoon. It also dominates climate anomalies in the western North Pacific-East Asian region in summertime. The estimates of the Northeast Asian summer rainfall anomalies using WNPSH variability have a greater benefit than those using the western North Pacific monsoon index.

LONGITUDINAL CLINICAL STUDY ON THE EFFICACY OF OSSEOINTEGRATED DENTAL IMPLANTS IN PARTIALLY EDENTULOUS KOREAN PATIENTS: AN 8-YEAR PROSPECTIVE STUDY

  • Han Dong-Hoo;Bae Hanna Eun-Kyong
    • The Journal of Korean Academy of Prosthodontics
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    • v.39 no.6
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    • pp.698-708
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    • 2001
  • This study was to evaluate the clinical evidence for the success and the predictability of the osseointegrated dental implants in the partially edentulous Korean patients. 201 patients have received total of 502 Branemark implants, which were restored with either single or multiunit fixed superstructures at the Implants Clinic, Yonsei University Dental Hospital. The clinical and radiographic evaluations carried out on the patients for maximum 8 years were assessed annually for peri-implant inflammation, implant mobility (PTV), Plaque Index (PI), Gingival Index (GI), Bleeding on Probing (BOP), Keratinized Mucosa width and any changes in the surrounding bone level. The radiographs were taken at completion of the restoration, and annually thereafter. On the last recall appointments the patients filled a questionnaire consist of 29 questions in four categories. The cumulative non-failure rate of success was 93.9%. The first year mean bone loss was 0.3mm and less than 0.2mm annually thereafter. The periodontal parameters, keratinized tissue width and periotest values stabilized after initial changes in the first few years. The questionnaire has shown general satisfactory responses in all four aspect of dental implants treatment, including chewing efficacy, comfort, aesthetics and speech. The results support the predictability and success of the long-term rehabilitation of implant supported prostheses in partially edentulous Korean patients.

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Uncertainties In Base Drag Prediction of A Supersonic Missile (초음속 유도탄 기저항력 예측의 불확실성)

  • Ahn H. K.;Hong S. K.;Lee B. J.;Ahn C. S.
    • 한국전산유체공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2004.10a
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    • pp.47-51
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    • 2004
  • Accurate Prediction of a supersonic missile base drag continues to defy even well-rounded CFD codes. In an effort to address the accuracy and predictability of the base drags, the influence of grid system and competitive turbulence models on the base drag is analyzed. Characteristics of some turbulence models is reviewed through incompressible turbulent flow over a flat plate, and performance for the base drag prediction of several turbulence models such as Baldwin-Lomax(B-L), Spalart-Allmaras(S-A), $\kappa-\epsilon$, $\kappa-\omega$ model is assessed. When compressibility correction is injected into the S-A model, prediction accuracy of the base drag is enhanced. The NSWC wind tunnel test data are utilized for comparison of CFD and semi-empirical codes on the accuracy of base drag predictability: they are about equal, but CFD tends to perform better. It is also found that, as angle of attack of a missile with control (ins increases, even the best CFD analysis tool we have lacks the accuracy needed for the base drag prediction.

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Related Factors to Postpartum Care Performance in Postpartum Women (출산여성의 산후관리수행의 관련요인)

  • Kim, Jeung-Im
    • Women's Health Nursing
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.98-104
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    • 2007
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study was to explore the barriers and the enhancing factors and predictors to postpartum care performance. Methods: The Research design in this study was a cross-sectional correlational survey. Subjects were 145 women at 6 to 10 weeks post delivery at an OB & GY clinic. Data was gathered with postpartum care performance, and other related variables including emotional status during pregnancy, fatigue, health recovery status, maternal role and identity. Data was analyzed using the SPSS WIN(version 11.0) program. Results: The mean score of postpartum care performance was 3.08 of 5, it had significant differences in emotional status during pregnancy, coincidence of expected sex, health recovery status, postpartum fatigue and postpartum depression. The maternal role and health recovery status were enhancing factors of postpartum care performance. Also, the barrier factors were fatigue, depression and coincidence of expected sex. Among these factors, the present health recovery status had an predictability of 11.7%, postpartum fatigue 3.2%, and coincidence of expected sex 2.5%, for a total predictability factor of 17.4% on postpartum care performance. Conclusion: Among these related factors to postpartum care performance, present health recovery status was the most predictable factor and then postpartum fatigue, and coincidence of expected sex. We need to establish a strategy to reduce postpartum fatigue and implement nursing interventions for health related consequences in postpartum women.

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