• 제목/요약/키워드: Predictability

검색결과 801건 처리시간 0.029초

HESnW: History Encounters-Based Spray-and-Wait Routing Protocol for Delay Tolerant Networks

  • Gan, Shunyi;Zhou, Jipeng;Wei, Kaimin
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • 제13권3호
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    • pp.618-629
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    • 2017
  • Mobile nodes can't always connect each other in DTNs (delay tolerant networks). Many DTN routing protocols that favor the "multi-hop forwarding" are proposed to solve these network problems. But they also lead to intolerant delivery cost so that designing a overhead-efficient routing protocol which is able to perform well in delivery ratio with lower delivery cost at the same time is valuable. Therefore, we utilize the small-world property and propose a new delivery metric called multi-probability to design our relay node selection principles that nodes with lower delivery predictability can also be selected to be the relay nodes if one of their history nodes has higher delivery predictability. So, we can find more potential relay nodes to reduce the forwarding overhead of successfully delivered messages through our proposed algorithm called HESnW. We also apply our new messages copies allocation scheme to optimize the routing performance. Comparing to existing routing algorithms, simulation results show that HESnW can reduce the delivery cost while it can also obtain a rather high delivery ratio.

소비자 기대심리의 미래 성장 예측력 (Predictability of Consumer Expectations for Future Changes in Real Growth)

  • 김태호;임라희;이승은
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제28권3호
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    • pp.457-465
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    • 2015
  • 경기침체가 장기화되고 세계적으로 저성장이 지속되면서 미래의 경기동향에 대한 예측의 중요성이 증폭되었다. 정부의 정책이 계획되면서부터 효과가 나타나기까지에는 시차가 존재하므로, 정책목표와 선행적 상관관계를 가지면서 목표의 미래 상황을 예측할 수 있는 유용한 지표의 개발에 관심이 모아진다. 본 연구에서는 통계청이 실시한 소비자 전망조사 결과가 미래의 실질성장에 유용한 선행적 정보를 제공했는지 평가해 보았다. 소비자들의 기대심리를 나타내는 체감지표를 사용하여 예측을 유발하는 통계모형을 설정한 후 미래의 실질성장에 대해 유의한 예측력을 갖는지 추정하였다. 소비자기대심리의 예측력은 먼 미래로 갈수록 정확도가 높아져 미래의 실질성장에 대해 선행적 정보를 주는 변수로 활용할 수 있는 것으로 판별된다.

설명기반 유전자알고리즘을 활용한 경영성과 데이터베이스이 데이터마이닝 (Data-Mining in Business Performance Database Using Explanation-Based Genetic Algorithms)

  • 조성훈;정민용
    • 경영과학
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    • 제18권1호
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    • pp.135-145
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    • 2001
  • In recent environment of dynamic management, there is growing recognition that information and knowledge management systems are essential for efficient/effective decision making by CEO. To cope with this situation, we suggest the Data-Miming scheme as a key component of integrated information and knowledge management system. The proposed system measures business performance by considering both VA(Value-Added), which represents stakeholder’s point of view and EVA (Economic Value-Added), which represents shareholder’s point of view. To mine the new information & Knowledge discovery, we applied the improved genetic algorithms that consider predictability, understandability (lucidity) and reasonability factors simultaneously, we use a linear combination model for GAs learning structure. Although this model’s predictability will be more decreased than non-linear model, this model can increase the knowledge’s understandability that is meaning of induced values. Moreover, we introduce a random variable scheme based on normal distribution for initial chromosomes in GAs, so we can expect to increase the knowledge’s reasonability that is degree of expert’s acceptability. the random variable scheme based on normal distribution uses statistical correlation/determination coefficient that is calculated with training data. To demonstrate the performance of the system, we conducted a case study using financial data of Korean automobile industry over 16 years from 1981 to 1996, which is taken from database of KISFAS (Korea Investors Services Financial Analysis System).

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장치와 태스크 간 입출력 데이터 교환의 예측성 향상 방안 (METHODOLOGY TO ENHANCE THE PREDICTABILITY OF I/O DATA EXCHANGE BETWEEN DEVICE AND TASKS)

  • 구철회;양군호;최성봉
    • Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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    • 제24권4호
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    • pp.451-456
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    • 2007
  • 장치로부터 발생된 데이터는 소프트웨어에서 사용되기 위해 최대한 정확한 시간에 데이터의 완결성을 가지고 해당 태스크에 전달되어야 한다. 이 과정에서 구조적인 위험성과 성능 저하가 발생할 원인이 잠재되어 있다. 이 논문은 장치와 태스크 사이에서 I/O 데이터 교환이 발생할 시 충돌에 의해서 발생가능한 데이터 손실을 예방할 수 있는 방안을 기술한다. 이 논문에서 기술하는 방안에 대한 메커니즘의 예시도를 제안하고 그 효과 및 장단점을 고찰하였다.

2013년 태풍에 대한 수치모델들의 강도 예측성 평가 (Evaluation of the Intensity Predictability of the Numerical Models for Typhoons in 2013)

  • 김지선;이우정;강기룡;변건영;김지영;윤원태
    • 대기
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    • 제24권3호
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    • pp.419-432
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    • 2014
  • An assessment of typhoon intensity predictability of numerical models was conducted to develop the typhoon intensity forecast guidance comparing with the RSMC-Tokyo best track data. Root mean square error, box plot analysis and time series of wind speed comparison were performed to evaluate the each model error level. One of noticeable fact is that all models have a trend of error increase as typhoon becomes stronger and the Global Forecast System showed the best performance among the models. In the detailed analysis in two typhoon cases [Danas (1324) and Haiyan (1330)], GFS showed good performance in maximum wind speed and intensity trend in the best track, however it could not simulate well the rapid intensity increasing period. On the other hand, ECMWF and Hurricane-WRF overestimated the typhoon intensity but simulated track trend well.

소음환경에서 표적단어의 예상도가 조절된 한국어의 문장검사목록개발 시안 (Development of a test of Korean Speech Intelligibility in Noise(KSPIN) using sentence materials with controlled word predictability)

  • 김진숙;배소영;이정학
    • 음성과학
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    • 제7권2호
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    • pp.37-50
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    • 2000
  • This paper describes a test of everyday speech understanding ability, in which a listener's utilization of the context-situational information of speech is assessed, and is compared with the utilization of acoustic-phonetic information. The test items are sentences which are presented in a babble type of noise, and the listener response is the key word in the sentence. The key words are always two-syllabic nouns and the questioning sentences are added to obtain the responding key words. Two types of sentences are used. One is the high-predictable sentences for which the key word is somewhat predictable from the context. The other is the low-predictable sentences for which the key-word cannot be predicted from the context. Both types are included in six 40-item forms of the test, which are balanced for intelligibility, key-word familiarity and predictability, phonetic content, and length. Performance of normally hearing listeners shows significantly different functions for various signal-to-noise ratios. The potential applications of this test, particularly in the assessment of speech understanding ability in the hearing impaired, are discussed.

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북서태평양 아열대고기압 지수를 이용한 북동아시아 여름철 강수의 진단 (Diagnosis of Northeast Asian Summer Precipitation using the Western North Pacific Subtropical High Index)

  • 권민호
    • 한국지구과학회지
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    • 제34권1호
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    • pp.102-106
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    • 2013
  • 동아시아 여름몬순의 강도와 북서태평양 여름몬순의 강도는 음의 상관을 갖는 것으로 알려져 왔다. 여기서 우리는 이 관계를 이용하여 북동아시아 여름철 강수의 잠재예측성을 조사하였다. 북서태평양 아열대 고기압은 북서태평양 여름몬순을 적절히 나타내며, 북서태평양-동아시아 지역 여름철 기후편차에 주된 성분이다. 그리고 북서태평양 아열대고기압 변동성을 이용한 북동아시아 여름철 강수 편차의 추정값은 북서태평양 여름몬순지수를 이용하는 것보다 더 낫다.

LONGITUDINAL CLINICAL STUDY ON THE EFFICACY OF OSSEOINTEGRATED DENTAL IMPLANTS IN PARTIALLY EDENTULOUS KOREAN PATIENTS: AN 8-YEAR PROSPECTIVE STUDY

  • Han Dong-Hoo;Bae Hanna Eun-Kyong
    • 대한치과보철학회지
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    • 제39권6호
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    • pp.698-708
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    • 2001
  • This study was to evaluate the clinical evidence for the success and the predictability of the osseointegrated dental implants in the partially edentulous Korean patients. 201 patients have received total of 502 Branemark implants, which were restored with either single or multiunit fixed superstructures at the Implants Clinic, Yonsei University Dental Hospital. The clinical and radiographic evaluations carried out on the patients for maximum 8 years were assessed annually for peri-implant inflammation, implant mobility (PTV), Plaque Index (PI), Gingival Index (GI), Bleeding on Probing (BOP), Keratinized Mucosa width and any changes in the surrounding bone level. The radiographs were taken at completion of the restoration, and annually thereafter. On the last recall appointments the patients filled a questionnaire consist of 29 questions in four categories. The cumulative non-failure rate of success was 93.9%. The first year mean bone loss was 0.3mm and less than 0.2mm annually thereafter. The periodontal parameters, keratinized tissue width and periotest values stabilized after initial changes in the first few years. The questionnaire has shown general satisfactory responses in all four aspect of dental implants treatment, including chewing efficacy, comfort, aesthetics and speech. The results support the predictability and success of the long-term rehabilitation of implant supported prostheses in partially edentulous Korean patients.

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초음속 유도탄 기저항력 예측의 불확실성 (Uncertainties In Base Drag Prediction of A Supersonic Missile)

  • 안효근;홍승규;이복직;안창수
    • 한국전산유체공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국전산유체공학회 2004년도 추계 학술대회논문집
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    • pp.47-51
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    • 2004
  • Accurate Prediction of a supersonic missile base drag continues to defy even well-rounded CFD codes. In an effort to address the accuracy and predictability of the base drags, the influence of grid system and competitive turbulence models on the base drag is analyzed. Characteristics of some turbulence models is reviewed through incompressible turbulent flow over a flat plate, and performance for the base drag prediction of several turbulence models such as Baldwin-Lomax(B-L), Spalart-Allmaras(S-A), $\kappa-\epsilon$, $\kappa-\omega$ model is assessed. When compressibility correction is injected into the S-A model, prediction accuracy of the base drag is enhanced. The NSWC wind tunnel test data are utilized for comparison of CFD and semi-empirical codes on the accuracy of base drag predictability: they are about equal, but CFD tends to perform better. It is also found that, as angle of attack of a missile with control (ins increases, even the best CFD analysis tool we have lacks the accuracy needed for the base drag prediction.

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출산여성의 산후관리수행의 관련요인 (Related Factors to Postpartum Care Performance in Postpartum Women)

  • 김증임
    • 여성건강간호학회지
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    • 제13권2호
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    • pp.98-104
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    • 2007
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study was to explore the barriers and the enhancing factors and predictors to postpartum care performance. Methods: The Research design in this study was a cross-sectional correlational survey. Subjects were 145 women at 6 to 10 weeks post delivery at an OB & GY clinic. Data was gathered with postpartum care performance, and other related variables including emotional status during pregnancy, fatigue, health recovery status, maternal role and identity. Data was analyzed using the SPSS WIN(version 11.0) program. Results: The mean score of postpartum care performance was 3.08 of 5, it had significant differences in emotional status during pregnancy, coincidence of expected sex, health recovery status, postpartum fatigue and postpartum depression. The maternal role and health recovery status were enhancing factors of postpartum care performance. Also, the barrier factors were fatigue, depression and coincidence of expected sex. Among these factors, the present health recovery status had an predictability of 11.7%, postpartum fatigue 3.2%, and coincidence of expected sex 2.5%, for a total predictability factor of 17.4% on postpartum care performance. Conclusion: Among these related factors to postpartum care performance, present health recovery status was the most predictable factor and then postpartum fatigue, and coincidence of expected sex. We need to establish a strategy to reduce postpartum fatigue and implement nursing interventions for health related consequences in postpartum women.

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