• Title/Summary/Keyword: Predicion

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A Study on The Feliability Predication Model of Gyroscope (자이로의 신뢰성 예측모델에 관한 연구)

  • 백순흠;문홍기;김호룡
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Precision Engineering Conference
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    • 1993.10a
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    • pp.475-481
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    • 1993
  • The objective of this study is to develope the reliability prediction model for Float Rated Integrating Gyroscope( :FRIG) at maximum loading. The equation of motion for FRIG is firstly derived to set up the reliability prediction model. To analysis reliability or all parts of the gyro is not easy due to their complicated structure. Therefore the failure parts are chosen by Failure Mode Effective Analysis (:FMEA). F.E.M is utilized to calculate loads for the selseced rotating assembly and pivot / jewel. The technical reliability is calculated by applying reliability design theory with these results and the performance reliability is sought through distribution estimation with error test data. The bulk reliability of gyroscope is sought by applying the two results. The present prediction results are compared with the accumulation time in good agreement.

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Estimation of speech feature vectors and enhancement of speech recognition performance using lip information (입술정보를 이용한 음성 특징 파라미터 추정 및 음성인식 성능향상)

  • Min So-Hee;Kim Jin-Young;Choi Seung-Ho
    • MALSORI
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    • no.44
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    • pp.83-92
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    • 2002
  • Speech recognition performance is severly degraded under noisy envrionments. One approach to cope with this problem is audio-visual speech recognition. In this paper, we discuss the experiment results of bimodal speech recongition based on enhanced speech feature vectors using lip information. We try various kinds of speech features as like linear predicion coefficient, cepstrum, log area ratio and etc for transforming lip information into speech parameters. The experimental results show that the cepstrum parameter is the best feature in the point of reconition rate. Also, we present the desirable weighting values of audio and visual informations depending on signal-to-noiso ratio.

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Thermal Stress Analysis for Life Prediction of Power Plant Turbine Rotor (발전용 터빈 로우터의 수명예측을 위한 열응력 해석)

  • 임종순;허승진;이규봉;유영면
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.276-287
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    • 1990
  • In this paper research result of transient thermal stress analysis of power plant turbine rotors for life prediction under severs operating conditions is presented. Galerkin's recurrence scheme is used for numerical solution of discretized FEM equation of transient heat conduction equation. Boundary conditions for the equation and operating conditions are intensively investigated for accurate life prediction of turbine rotors in operation. A computer program for on-site application is developed and tested. Distribution of thermal stress in turbine rotors during various operating condition is analyzed with the program and it is found that the peak thermal stress appears during cold stage conditions at the first stage of high pressure rotors.

A Study on the Prediction of Durability of Concrete Structures Subjected to Chloride Attack by Chloride Diffusion Model (염소이온의 확산모델에 의한 염해를 받는 콘크리트 구조물의 내구성 예측연구)

  • 오병환;장승엽;차수원;이명규
    • Proceedings of the Korea Concrete Institute Conference
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    • 1997.04a
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    • pp.254-260
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    • 1997
  • Chloride-induced corrosion of reinforcement is one of the main factors which cause the deterioration of concrete structures. Durability and service lives of the concrete sturctures should be predicted in order to minimize the risk of corrosion of reinforcement. The objective of this study is to suggest the basis of analytical methods of predicting the corrosion threhold time of concrete structures. Based on the chemistry and physics of chloride ion transport and corrosion process, chloride intrusion with various exposure conditions, variability of diffusivity and transport of pore water in concrete are taken into consideration in applying finite element formulation to the predicion of corrosion threhold time. The effects of main factors on the prediction of chloride intrusion and corrosion threhold time are examined. In addition, after chloride diffusivities of several mixture proportions with different parameters are measured by chloride diffusion test, the exemplary anayses of corrosion threhold time of those mixture proportions are carried out.

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Flood Predicion of Dorimcheon Stream basin using LSTM (LSTM 기법을 이용한 도림천 유역의 침수 예측)

  • Se Dong Jang;Byunghyun Kim
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.513-513
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    • 2023
  • 최근 이상기후의 영향으로 국지성 및 집중호우로 인한 침수 피해가 증가하고 있다. 도시유역의 홍수는 사회적·경제적으로 큰 손실을 야기할 수 있어 실제 호우에 대한 침수 양상을 신속하게 예측하는것은 매우 중요하다. 이로 인해 침수 해석에 대한 결과를 빨리 제공할 수 있는 기계학습을 기반으로 한 도시 홍수 분석에 대한 연구가 증가하고 있다. 본 연구에서 적용한 LSTM(Long Short-Term Memory) 신경망은 기존 RNN(Recurrent neural network)이 가지고 있는 장기 의존성 문제를 해결하기 위해 고안된 모델으로 시계열 데이터에 대한 예측능력이 뛰어나다는 장점을 가지고있다. LSTM 신경망은 강우에 대한 격자별 침수심을 예측하기 위해 사용되었으며, 입력자료로 2000~2022년도에 걸친 도림천 유역의 침수피해를 야기한 지속시간 6시간 AWS(Automatic Weather System) 관측 강우 자료를 사용하였고 목표값으로 수집된 도림천 유역의 강우자료를 이용하여 SWMM(Storm Water Management Model)의 유출 결과를 바탕으로 수행된 2차원 침수해석 모의 결과를 사용하였다. 연구유역의 SWMM 배수 관망 입력자료의 정확성을 높이기 위해 서울시 하수관로 수위 현황 자료를 활용하여 매개변수 조정을 실시하였으며, 하수관로의 실측 수위와 모의 수위를 일치시켰다. LSTM 신경망을 이용하여 격자별로 예측된 침수심 데이터를 시각화하여 침수흔적도와 비교하였다.

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Construction of Delay Predictine Models on Freeway Ramp Junctions with 70mph Speed Limit (70mph 제한속도를 갖는 고속도로 진출입램프 접속부상의 지체예측모형 구축에 관한 연구)

  • 김정훈;김태곤
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 1999.10a
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    • pp.131-140
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    • 1999
  • Today freeway is experiencing a severe congestion with incoming or outgoing traffic through freeway ramps during the peak periods. Thus, the objectives of this study is to identify the traffic characteristics, analyze the relationships between the traffic characteristics and finally construct the delay predictive models on the ramp junctions of freeway with 70mph speed limit. From the traffic analyses, and model constructions and verifications for delay prediction on the ramp junctions of freeway, the following results were obtained: ⅰ) Traffic flow showed a big difference depending on the time periods. Especially, more traffic flows were concentrated on the freeway junctions in the morning peak period when compared with the afternoon peak period. ⅱ) The occupancy also showed a big difference depending on the time periods, and the downstream occupancy(Od) was especially shown to have a higher explanatory power for the delay predictive model construction on the ramp junction of freeway. ⅲ) The speed-occupancy curve showed a remarkable shift based on the occupancies observed ; Od < 9% and Od$\geq$9%. Especially, volume and occupancy were shown to be highly explanatory for delay prediction on the ramp junctions of freeway under Od$\geq$9%, but lowly for delay predicion on the ramp junctions of freeway under Od<9%. Rather, the driver characteristics or transportation conditions around the freeway were through to be a little higher explanatory for the delay perdiction under Od<9%. ⅳ) Integrated delay predictive models showed a higher explanatory power in the morning peak period, but a lower explanatory power in the non-peak periods.

Genetic Programming based Manufacutring Big Data Analytics (유전 프로그래밍을 활용한 제조 빅데이터 분석 방법 연구)

  • Oh, Sanghoun;Ahn, Chang Wook
    • Smart Media Journal
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.31-40
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    • 2020
  • Currently, black-box-based machine learning algorithms are used to analyze big data in manufacturing. This algorithm has the advantage of having high analytical consistency, but has the disadvantage that it is difficult to interpret the analysis results. However, in the manufacturing industry, it is important to verify the basis of the results and the validity of deriving the analysis algorithms through analysis based on the manufacturing process principle. To overcome the limitation of explanatory power as a result of this machine learning algorithm, we propose a manufacturing big data analysis method using genetic programming. This algorithm is one of well-known evolutionary algorithms, which repeats evolutionary operators such as selection, crossover, mutation that mimic biological evolution to find the optimal solution. Then, the solution is expressed as a relationship between variables using mathematical symbols, and the solution with the highest explanatory power is finally selected. Through this, input and output variable relations are derived to formulate the results, so it is possible to interpret the intuitive manufacturing mechanism, and it is also possible to derive manufacturing principles that cannot be interpreted based on the relationship between variables represented by formulas. The proposed technique showed equal or superior performance as a result of comparing and analyzing performance with a typical machine learning algorithm. In the future, the possibility of using various manufacturing fields was verified through the technique.