• 조명전기설비학회논문지
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• 제27권6호
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• pp.17-22
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• 2013

Fuzzy linear regression method has been used for short-term load forecasting of the special day in the previous researches. However, considerable load forecasting errors would be occurring if a special day is located on Saturday or Monday. In this paper, a new load forecasting method for the consecutive holidays is proposed with the consideration of the power demand variation rate. In the proposed method, a exponential smoothing model reflecting temperature is used to short-term load forecasting for Sunday during the consecutive holidays and then the loads of the special day during the consecutive holidays is calculated using the hourly power demand variation rate between the previous similar consecutive holidays. The proposed method is tested with 10 cases of the consecutive holidays from 2009 to 2012. Test results show that the average accuracy of the proposed method is improved about 2.96% by comparison with the fuzzy linear regression method.

• 한국유체기계학회 논문집
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• 제11권3호
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• pp.22-29
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• 2008

Clean and renewable energy technologies using ocean energy give us non-polluting alternatives to fossil and nuclear-fueled power plants to meet establishment of countermeasures against the global warming and growing demand for electrical energy. Among the ocean energy resources, wave power takes a growing interest because of its enormous amount of potential energy in the world. Therefore, various types of wave power conversion system to capture the energy of ocean waves have been developed. However, suitable turbine type is not normalized yet because of relatively low efficiency of the turbine systems. The purpose of this study is to investigate the internal flow and performance characteristics of a cross-flow type hydro turbine, which will be built in a caisson for wave power generation. Numerical simulation using a commercial CFD code is conducted to clarify the effects of the turbine rotation speed and flow rate variation on the turbine characteristics. The results show that the output power of the cross-flow type hydro turbine with symmetric nozzle shape is obtained mainly from Stage 2. Turbine inlet configuration should be designed to obtain large amount of flow rate because the static pressure and absolute tangential velocity are influenced considerably by inlet flow rate.

• Journal of Information Processing Systems
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• 제14권5호
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• pp.1136-1149
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• 2018

With the increasing of urban electricity demand, making the most use of the power cable carrying capacity has become an important task in power grid system. Contrary to the rated ampacity obtained under extremely conservative conditions, this paper presents the various steady value of cable ampacity by using the changing surrounding parameters under operation, which is based on cable ampacity calculation equation under the IEC-60287 standard. To some degree, the cable ampacity analysis of actual surroundings improves the transmission capacity of cables. This paper reveals the factors that influence cable ampacity such as insulating layer thickness, allowable long-term conductor temperature, the ambient temperature, soil thermal resistance coefficient, and so on, then gives the class of the influence of these parameters on the ampacity, which plays a great role in accurately calculating the real-time ampacity and improving the utilization rate of cable in the complex external environment condition. Furthermore, the transient thermal rating of the cable is analyzed in this paper, and temperature variation of the conductor under different overload conditions is discussed, which provides effective information for the operation and control of the system.

• 한국전산유체공학회지
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• 제19권4호
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• pp.86-93
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• 2014

Increased demand of power-transformer's capacity inevitably results in an excessive temperature rise of transformer components, which in turn requires improved radiator design. In this paper, numerical simulation of the cooling performance of an ONAN-type (Oil Natural Air Natural) radiator surrounded by air was performed by using CFX. The natural convection of the air was treated with the full-model. The present parametric study considers variation of important variables that are expected to affect the cooling performance. We changed the pattern and cross-sectional area of flow passages, the fin interval, the flow rate of oil and shape of flow passages. Results show that the area of flow passage, the fin interval, the flow rate of oil and shape of flow passages considerably affect the cooling performance whereas the pattern of flow passages is not so much influential. We also found that for the case of the fin interval smaller than the basic design, the temperature drop decreases while a larger interval gives almost unchanged temperature drop, indicating that the basic design is optimal. Further, as the flow rate of oil increases, the temperature drop slowly decreases as expected. On the other hand, when the shape of flow passages are changed, temperature drop is increased, indicating that the cooling performance is enhanced thereupon.

• Korean Chemical Engineering Research
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• 제56권1호
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• pp.6-13
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• 2018

석탄화력발전소 온배수열 활용하여 발전소 인근지역 시설농업에 난방열을 공급하는 사업의 배관투자비는 설치거리에 비례하여 증가하고 발전소와 떨어진 거리는 경제성 확보에 문제를 낳는다. 또한, 설치거리가 짧은 경우는 난방열 수요 확보가 어려워 경제성 확보의 문제가 있을 수 있다. 본 연구에서는 기준 열배관로 신설길이 1 km에 대한 경제성 평가와 열배관로 신설길이 변동에 따른 민감도를 정부지원금 수준, 난방열 수요량 수준과 정부지원금 증가에 따른 경제성 확보가능 열배관로 신설거리 수준에서 분석하였다. 분석결과 기준 열배관로 신설길이에서는 NPV 131백만원, IRR 15.73%로 경제성을 확보 가능한 것으로 평가되었다. 다만, 민감도 분석결과 열배관로 신설길이가 2.6 km를 초과하는 경우 NPV가 음수로 나타나 경제성을 확보하지 못하는 것으로 분석되었다. 결과적으로 초기투자비의 50%를 정부가 지원하는 경우 5.3 km, 80%를 지원하는 경우 11.4 km 이내에서 경제성을 확보하는 것으로 분석되었다. 기준 열배관로 신설길이에서는 난방열 수요가 기준 열수요 대비 62% 수준 이하로 감소하는 경우 경제성이 없으며, 열배관로 신설길이가 2 km에서는 기준 열수요 대비 14%만 감소하여도 경제성을 확보하지 못하는 것으로 분석되었다. 초기투자비대비 정부지원금 비율이 증가하는 경우 열배관로 신설거리의 탄력성이 증가하여, 열수요 1단위에서 부담하는 시설투자비인 고정비가 감소한다. 이는 단위당 생산원가가 감소하는 효과로 나타나고 시설농업에 더 저렴한 수준으로 열을 공급할 수 있음을 의미한다. 정부지원금은 열배관로 신설거리가 증가하는 효과로 경제성이 확보될 수 있고, 열수요 개발가능 범위 증가에 따라 추가적인 경제성을 확보할 수 있다. 초기투자비 대비 정부지원금 비율이 증가할수록 생산단가 감소로 인한 시설농가의 에너지비용 또한 감소할 것으로 예측된다. 본 연구결과는 발전소 온배수열 활용사업에 대한 정부지원금의 효과성을 경제적 평가측면에서 분석한 점에서 의의를 가지며, 향후 시범적용 또는 Pilot 단계의 실제 적용사례를 기반으로 한 경제성 평가결과에 대한 필요성을 제기할 수 있는 근거가 된다.

• Journal of Mechanical Science and Technology
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• 제18권9호
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• pp.1680-1688
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• 2004

The information indicating device plays an important part in the information times. Recently, the classical CRT (Cathod Ray Tube) display is getting transferred to the LCD (Liquid Crystal Display) one which is a kind of the FPDs (Flat Panel Displays). The OLED (Organic Light Emitting Diodes) display of the FPDs has many advantages for the low power consumption, the luminescence in itself, the light weight, the thin thickness, the wide view angle, the fast response and so on as compared with the LCD one. The OLED has lately attracted considerable attention as the next generation device for the information indicators. And also it has already been applied for the outside panel of a mobile phone, and its demand will be gradually increased in the various fields. It is manufactured by the vapor deposition method in the vacuum state, and the uniformity of thin film on the substrate depends on the temperature distribution in the point-cell source. This paper describes the basic concepts that are obtained to design the point-cell source using the computational temperature analysis. The grids are generated using the module of AUTOHEXA in the ICEM CFD program and the temperature distributions are numerically obtained using the STAR-CD program. The temperature profiles are calculated for four cases, i.e., the charge rate for the source in the crucible, the ratio of diameter to height of the crucible, the ratio of interval to height of the heating bands, and the geometry modification for the basic crucible. As a result, the blowout phenomenon can be shown when the charge rate for the source increases. The temperature variation in the radial direction is decreased as the ratio of diameter to height is decreased and it is suggested that the thin film thickness can be uniformed. In case of using one heating band, the blowout can be shown as the higher temperature distribution in the center part of the source, and the clogging can appear in the top end of the crucible in the lower temperature. The phenomena of both the blowout and the clogging in the modified crucible with the nozzle-diffuser can be prevented because the temperature in the upper part of the crucible is higher than that of other parts and the temperature variation in the radial direction becomes small.