• Title/Summary/Keyword: Potential scenarios

Search Result 476, Processing Time 0.025 seconds

Prediction of Potential $CO_2$ Reduction through Ground Transportation Modal Shift with Fu7el Type and Scenarios (연료원별 온실가스배출량을 고려한 육상교통수단에서의 Modal Shift 효과)

  • Kim, Cho-Young;Lee, Cheul-Kyu;Kim, Yong-Ki
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
    • /
    • 2011.05a
    • /
    • pp.521-527
    • /
    • 2011
  • Korea announced GHG reduction goal, 30% reduction compare with 2020 BAU and reduction target for each industry sector is planning. Transportation sector also trying to make effective technical and political counterplan of allocated GHG reduction target such as material lightening, energy efficiency improvement and Modal shift technology and so on. Modal Shift is shifting low energy efficiency vehicle to high energy efficiency vehicle which is economically meaningful under current market conditions. We can get not only energy efficiency improvement but also GHG reduction effect through modal shift. Modal Shift is effectively applying and studied in logistics field in Europe and Japan and one of the Indian companies has been registered CDM project activity involving modal shift from roadways to railways for finished goods. In this study, the scenarios are developed with detail modal shift ratio and fuel type base on state of road and rail use and GHG emission factor for each fuel type from MLTM. This result can be used as basic information to improve policies and promote increasing use of train which is more environment friendly transportation vehicle.

  • PDF

Projection of Future Water Supply Sustainability in Agricultural Reservoirs under RCP Climate Change Scenarios (기후변화 시나리오를 고려한 농업용 저수지의 미래 용수공급 지속가능성 전망)

  • Nam, Won-Ho;Hong, Eun-Mi;Kim, Taegon;Choi, Jin-Yong
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
    • /
    • v.56 no.4
    • /
    • pp.59-68
    • /
    • 2014
  • Climate change influences multiple environmental aspects, certain of which are specifically related to agricultural water resources such as water supply, water management, droughts and floods. Understanding the impact of climate change on reservoirs in relation to the passage of time is an important component of water resource management for stable water supply maintenance. Changes on rainfall and hydrologic patterns due to climate change can increases the occurrence of reservoir water shortage and affect the future availability of agricultural water resources. It is a main concern for sustainable development in agricultural water resources management to evaluate adaptation capability of water supply under the future climate conditions. The purpose of this study is to predict the sustainability of agricultural water demand and supply under future climate change by applying an irrigation vulnerability assessment model to investigate evidence of climate change occurrences at a local scale with respect to potential water supply capacity and irrigation water requirement. Thus, it is a recommended practice in the development of water supply management strategies on reservoir operation under climate change.

Electricity Pricing Policy Alternatives to Control Rapid Electrification in Korea

  • Kim, Changseob;Shin, Jungwoo
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
    • /
    • v.11 no.2
    • /
    • pp.285-299
    • /
    • 2016
  • Although South Korea experienced a rolling blackout in 2011, the possibility of a blackout in South Korea continues to increase due to rapid electrification. This study examines the problems of energy taxation and price distortions as possible reasons for the rapid electrification in South Korea, which is occurring at a faster rate than in Japan, Europe, and other developed countries. Further, we suggest new energy taxation and price systems designed to normalize electricity prices. In order to do so, we consider two possible scenarios: the first imposes a tax on bituminous coal for electricity generation and the second levies a tax to provide compensation for the potential damages from a nuclear accident. Based on these scenarios, we analyze the effects of a new energy system on electricity price and demand. The results show that a new energy system could guarantee the power generation costs and balance the relative prices between energy sources, and could also help prevent rapid electrification. Therefore, the suggested new energy system is expected to be utilized as a basis for energy policy to decrease the speed of electrification, thus preventing a blackout, and to induce the rational consumption of energy in South Korea.

A Graphical User Interface Design for Surveillance and Security Robot (감시경계 로봇의 그래픽 사용자 인터페이스 설계)

  • Choi, Duck-Kyu;Lee, Chun-Woo;Lee, Choonjoo
    • The Journal of Korea Robotics Society
    • /
    • v.10 no.1
    • /
    • pp.24-32
    • /
    • 2015
  • This paper introduces a graphical user interface design that is aimed to apply to the surveillance and security robot, which is the pilot program for the army unmanned light combat vehicle. It is essential to consider the activities of robot users under the changing security environment in order to design the efficient graphical user interface between user and robot to accomplish the designated mission. The proposed design approach firstly identifies the user activities to accomplish the mission in the standardized scenarios of military surveillance and security operation and then develops the hierarchy of the interface elements that are required to execute the tasks in the surveillance and security scenarios. The developed graphical user interface includes input control component, navigation component, information display component, and accordion and verified by the potential users from the various skilled levels with the military background. The assessment said that the newly developed user interface includes all the critical elements to execute the mission and is simpler and more intuitive compared to the legacy interface design that was more focused on the technical and functional information and informative to the system developing engineers rather than field users.

Z-Source Inverter with SiC Power Semiconductor Devices for Fuel Cell Vehicle Applications

  • Aghdam, M. Ghasem Hosseini
    • Journal of Power Electronics
    • /
    • v.11 no.4
    • /
    • pp.606-611
    • /
    • 2011
  • Power electronics is a key technology for electric, hybrid, plug-in hybrid, and fuel cell vehicles. Typical power electronics converters used in electric drive vehicles include dc/dc converters, inverters, and battery chargers. New semiconductor materials such as silicon carbide (SiC) and novel topologies such as the Z-source inverter (ZSI) have a great deal of potential to improve the overall performance of these vehicles. In this paper, a Z-source inverter for fuel cell vehicle application is examined under three different scenarios. 1. a ZSI with Si IGBT modules, 2. a ZSI with hybrid modules, Si IGBTs/SiC Schottky diodes, and 3. a ZSI with SiC MOSFETs/SiC Schottky diodes. Then, a comparison of the three scenarios is conducted. Conduction loss, switching loss, reverse recovery loss, and efficiency are considered for comparison. A conclusion is drawn that the SiC devices can improve the inverter and inverter-motor efficiency, and reduce the system size and cost due to the low loss properties of SiC devices. A comparison between a ZSI and traditional PWM inverters with SiC devices is also presented in this paper. Based on this comparison, the Z-source inverter produces the highest efficiency.

Forecasting Demand for the PCS Resale Service with Survey Data in Korea (설문자료를 이용한 국내 PCS 재판매 서비스 수요예측)

  • Jun, Duk-Bin;Park, Myoung-Hwan;Ahn, Jae-Hyeon;Kim, Gye-Hong;Kim, Seon-Kyoung;Park, Dae-Keun;Park, Yoon-Seo;Cha, Kyung-Cheon;Lee, Jung-Jin
    • IE interfaces
    • /
    • v.13 no.4
    • /
    • pp.619-626
    • /
    • 2000
  • In this paper, we place the focus on suggesting a method of forecasting demand for PCS resale service with survey data in Korea. It is important for the service provider to forecast the diffusion process when designing marketing strategies and analyzing the costs and benefits. For the reason, we conduct a survey of three groups composed of non-subscribers, cellular subscribers, and PCS subscribers in order to forecast the demand according to several possible scenarios and business strategies. We consider the survey item that is measured by multiple point scales in response to a question if he would subscribe to the mobile telephone service in the future. We propose a method to forecast the size of market potential by classifying each individual into the two extreme groups, that is, yes or no. Then, by integrating survey data and historical data, we forecast the demand for PCS resale service that varies according to scenarios and strategies. From the results, we can find several implications for the provider of PCS resale service.

  • PDF

Sensitivity assessment for climate change on Daecheong Dam Basin stream flow (기후변화에 따른 대청댐 상류유역의 유출 민감도 분석)

  • Seo, Hyeong-Deok;Jeong, Sang-Man;Han, Kyu-Ha;Shin, Kwang-Seob
    • 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 2008.02a
    • /
    • pp.695-698
    • /
    • 2008
  • The SWAT model was used to assess the impacts of potential future climate change on the hydrology of the Upper Geum River Basin(UGRB). Calibration and validation of SWAT were performed on a monthly basis for 1982-1995 and 1996-2005, respectively. The impact of ten 15-year(1988-2002) scenarios were then analyzed relative to a scenario baseline. Among them, scenario 1-6 were set to show the sensitivity response. A doubling of atmospheric CO2 concentration was predicted to result in an maximum monthly flow increase of 11 percent. Non-linear impacts were predicted among precipitation change scenarios of -42, -17, 17, and 42 percent, which resulted in average annual flow changes in UGRB of -55, -24, 26, and 65 percent.

  • PDF

Uncertainty Analysis in Hydrologic and Climate Change Impact Assessment in Streamflow of Upper Awash River Basin

  • Birhanu, Dereje;Kim, Hyeonjun;Jang, Cheolhee;Park, Sanghyun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2019.05a
    • /
    • pp.327-327
    • /
    • 2019
  • The study will quantify the total uncertainties in streamflow and precipitation projections for Upper Awash River Basin located in central Ethiopia. Three hydrological models (GR4J, CAT, and HBV) will be used to simulate the streamflow considering two emission scenarios, six high-resolution GCMs, and two downscaling methods. The readily available hydrometeorological data will be applied as an input to the three hydrological models and the potential evapotranspiration will be estimated using the Penman-Monteith Method. The SCE-UA algorithm implemented in PEST will be used to calibrate the three hydrological models. The total uncertainty including the incremental uncertainty at each stage (emission scenarios and model) will be presented after assessing a total of 24 (=$2{\times}6{\times}2$) high-resolution precipitation projections and 72 (=$2{\times}6{\times}2{\times}3$) streamflow projections for the study basin. Finally, the primary causes that generate uncertainties in future climate change impact assessments will be identified and a conclusion will be made based on the finding of the study.

  • PDF

Quantitative Assessment of Coastal Groundwater Vulnerability to Seawater Intrusion using Density-dependent Groundwater Flow Model (분산형 해수침투 모델을 이용한 양적 지표 기반의 해안지하수 취약성 평가연구)

  • Chang, Sun Woo
    • Journal of Soil and Groundwater Environment
    • /
    • v.26 no.6
    • /
    • pp.95-105
    • /
    • 2021
  • Extensive groundwater abstraction has been recognized as one of the major challenges in management of coastal groundwater. The purpose of this study was to assess potential changes of groundwater distribution of northeastern Jeju Island over 10-year duration, where brackish water have been actively developed. To quantitatively estimate the coastal groundwater resources, numerical simulations using three-dimensional finite-difference density-dependent flow models were performed to describe spatial distribution of the groundwater in the aquifer under various pumping and recharge scenarios. The simulation results showed different spatial distribution of freshwater, brackish, and saline groundwater at varying seawater concentration from 10 to 90%. Volumetric analysis was also performed using three-dimensional concentration distribution of groundwater to calculate the volume of fresh, brackish, and saline groundwater below sea level. Based on the volumetric analysis, a quantitative analysis of future seawater intrusion vulnerability was performed using the volume-based vulnerability index adopted from the existing analytical approaches. The result showed that decrease in recharge can exacerbate vulnerability of coastal groundwater resources by inducing broader saline area as well as increasing brackish water volume of unconfined aquifers.

Assessment of turbulent heat flux models for URANS simulations of turbulent buoyant flows in ROCOM tests

  • Zonglan Wei;Bojan Niceno ;Riccardo Puragliesi;Ezequiel Fogliatto
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
    • /
    • v.54 no.11
    • /
    • pp.4359-4372
    • /
    • 2022
  • Turbulent mixing in buoyant flows is an essential mechanism involved in many scenarios related to nuclear safety in nuclear power plants. Comprehensive understanding and accurate predictions of turbulent buoyant flows in the reactor are of crucial importance, due to the function of mitigating the potential detrimental consequences during postulated accidents. The present study uses URANS methodology to investigate the buoyancy-influenced flows in the reactor pressure vessel under the main steam line break accident scenarios. With a particular focus on the influence of turbulent heat flux closure models, various combinations of two turbulence models and three turbulent heat flux models are utilized for the numerical simulations of three ROCOM tests which have different characteristic features in terms of the flow rate and fluid density difference between loops. The simulation results are compared with experimental measurements of the so-called mixing scalar in the downcomer and at the core inlet. The study shows that the anisotropic turbulent heat flux models are able to improve the accuracy of the predictions under conditions of strong buoyancy whilst in the weak buoyancy case, a major role is played by the selected turbulence models with essentially a negligible influence of the turbulent heat flux closure models.