• Title/Summary/Keyword: Possibility of occurrence

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Analysis of Landslide Hazard Probability for Cultural Heritage Site using Landslide Prediction Map (산사태예측도에 의한 석조문화재 주변의 산사태재해 가능성 분석)

  • Kim, Kyeong-Su;Lee, Choon-Oh;Song, Yeung-Suk;Cho, Yong-Chan;Kim, Man-Il;Chae, Byung-Gon
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.411-418
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    • 2007
  • It is a very difficult thing to estimate an occurrence possibility location and hazard expectation area by landslide. The prediction difficulty of landslide occurrence has relativity in factor of various geological physical factors and contributions. However, estimation of landslide occurrence possibility and classification of hazard area became available correlation mechanism through analysis of landslide occurrence through landslide data analysis and statistical analysis. This study analyzed a damage possibility of a cultual heritage area due to landslide occurrence by a heavy rainfall. We make a landslide prediction map and tried to analysis of landslide occurrence possibility for the cultural heritage site. The study area chooses a temple of Silsang-Sa Baekjang-Am site and made a landslide prediction map. In landslide prediction map, landslide hazard possibility area expressed by occurrence probability and divided by each of probability degrees. This degree used to evaluate occurrence possibility for existence and nonexistence of landslide in the study site. For the prediction and evaluation of landslide hazard for the cultural heritage site, investigation and analysis technique which is introduced in this study may contribute an efficient management and investigation in the cultural heritage site, Korea.

The Evaluation on the Prediction Ratio of Landslide Hazard Area based on Geospatial Information (공간정보 기반 산사태 발생지역 예측비율 평가)

  • Lee, Geun-Sang;Lee, Ho-Jun;Go, Sin-Young;Cho, Gi-Sung
    • Journal of Cadastre & Land InformatiX
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    • v.44 no.2
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    • pp.113-124
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    • 2014
  • Recently landslide occurs frequently by heavy rainfall, therefore there area many studies to analyze the vulnerable district of landslide and forecast the occurrence of landslide. This study analyzed soil characteristics in the occurrence district of landslide and the occurrence possibility of landslide ranked high in well draining soil as the result of frequency ratio according to the characteristics of drainage. Also as the result of frequency ratio of slope derived from DEM data, the occurrence possibility of landslide ranked high in slope range of $20{\sim}40^{\circ}$. And Also as the result of frequency ratio of aspect by geospatial analysis, the occurrence possibility of landslide ranked high in north aspect. Also, it is possible to evaluate the vulnerability of landslide by overlapping frequency ratio of the drainage of soil, slope and aspect. And future prediction ratio of landslide occurrence can be evaluated by performing the analysis and validation process respectively on the subject of the occurrence district of landslide.

The Study on the Status of Landslide Risk Region in Kangwon-Do (강원지역의 산사태 위험지 분포 현황에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Seung-Ho;Lee, Min-Kyu;Jang, Bum-Su;Sim, Jung-Hoon
    • Proceedings of the Korean Geotechical Society Conference
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    • 2005.03a
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    • pp.846-853
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    • 2005
  • The whole death by disaster is totalized to 1,515 person from 1993 to 2004 year in our country. In this section life damages by landslide is totalized 357 people(about 24% of whole life damage). About 36 people are died by landslide(such as cutting area failure every year). Kangwon-do need a lot of interests and prevention because dangerous area that landslide occurrence is more than other area at summer localized downpour or thawing season and there is landslide occurrence possibility area more than other area. Kangwon-do area is higher than other area in natural disaster incidence and damage scale because topography and a lot of rainfalls by summer localized in Kangwon-Do than other area. In this study, dangerous area of landslide occurrence possibility is analyzed and compared Kangwon-Do with other areas in our country. as a result, every year we have experienced landslide occurrence and natural disaster. accordingly, we urgently need to prevent landslide occurrence and natural disaster by analy-zed source about landslide occurrence and condition of disaster in Kangwon-Do and suitable engineering method and construction work.

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A Research on Process of Estimation about Frequency and Loss of Risk by distribution of Probability (확률분포에 의한 리스크 빈도수와 손실규모 추정 프로세스 연구)

  • Lee, Young-Jai;Lee, Seong-Il
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.67-82
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    • 2008
  • Risk that breed large size disaster is happening variously for cause at social. natural a management. Incidence and damage scale are trend that increase rapidly than past. In these circumstance, to keep operational continuity of organization, area, society, risk management action that establish systematic counter measure estimating and analyze occurrence possibility and expectation damage of risk is essential indispensable issue and the best countermeasure. Risk management action does by main purpose establish optimum disaster reduction countermeasure. To deduce various countermeasure, process that estimate and analyze occurrence possibility and expectation damage of risk is essential indispensable issue. Therefore, this paper studies process design that can presume risk occurrence frequency and damage scale through distribution of probability.

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Hydration Heat Analysis of Coping With Ambient and Placing Concrete Temperature (교각 코핑부의 외기온도와 타설온도에 따른 수화열 해석)

  • Yang, Joo-Kyoung
    • Journal of the Korea Computer Industry Society
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.99-104
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    • 2008
  • The thermal stresses due to hydration heat in massive concrete structures are affected by ambient temperature and placing concrete temperature. It is needed to predict the thermal stresses considering ambient temperature and placing concrete temperature. In this study, hydration heat analyses of coping were carried out. After the maximum tensile stress was occurred at 2,75 days the crack index was increased. Therefore the possibility of crack occurrence was rare. The possibility of crack occurrence can be reduced by placing concrete temperature drop. Therefore some method to drop the placing concrete temperature may be effective to reduce the possibility of crack occurrence.

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An Investigation of the Recurrence Possibility of Long Dry Periods shown in the Annual Rainfall Data at Seoul (서울지점 연강수량 자료에 나타난 장기 건주기의 재현 가능성에 관한 고찰)

  • Yu, Cheol-Sang
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.33 no.5
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    • pp.519-526
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    • 2000
  • This study is to investigate the recurrence possibility of consecutive dry years such as the long dry period around 1900 in the annual rainfall data at Seoul station. The truncation levels, as the criterion for the dry years, are decided such as to make the occurrence of dry years follow the Poissonian distribution, which assures independent occurrence of dry years. For the truncation level of mean-0.5stdv, the occurrence of dry years is found to satisfy the Poissonian distribution weakly with 99% significance level, but for those of mean-0.75stdv and mean-stdv with 95% significance level. For these truncation levels, the long dry period around 1900 is divided into several short consecutive dry years. The Poisson process has then been applied to derive the occurrence probability of consecutive dry years. For the truncation level of mean-0.75stdv or below, the Poisson process was found to reproduce similar occurrence probabilities to the observed. Especially for the lowest truncation level used in the study (mean-stdv), we could see that the occurrence probability of consecutive dry years estimated for the data collected before the long dry period around 1900 was higher that those for the data collected after the long dry period, thus, it could be concluded that the possibility of long dry periods is decreasing recently.cently.

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A Study on the Analysis of Damping Loads to Prevent Harmonic Resonance (고조파 공진 억제를 위한 완충부하 투입량 분석에 관한 연구)

  • Lim, Chan-Ho;Lee, Kyeong-Seob;Yu, Won-Kun;Lee, Heung-Jae
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.59 no.2
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    • pp.262-266
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    • 2010
  • During the restoration process of primary restorative transmission system, the over voltage may happen due to nonlinear interaction between the unloaded transformer and the transmission system. This over voltage is caused by harmonic resonance and can be prevented by damping loads that are connected before restoration process of primary restorative transmission system. But it is very difficult to predict the occurrence possibility of the harmonic resonance previously. This paper analyzes the relationship between the harmonic resonance and the amount of damping loads to prevent the harmonic resonance. This paper calculates the minimum amount of damping loads to prevent harmonic resonance while changing the length of primary restorative transmission line. And this paper confirmed that the amount of damping loads is not proportional to length of transmission line. The result of this paper will be used as important experiment data to predict the occurrence possibility of harmonic resonance previously.

Prediction of Positions of Gas Defects Generated from Core (중자에서 발생한 가스 결함 위치 예측)

  • Matsushita, Makoto;Kosaka, Akira;Kanatani, Shigehiro
    • Journal of Korea Foundry Society
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    • v.42 no.1
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    • pp.61-66
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    • 2022
  • Hydraulic units are important components of agricultural and construction machinery, and thus require high-quality castings. However, gas defects occurring inside the sand cores of the castings due to the resin used is a problem. This study therefore aimed to develop a casting simulation method that can clarify the gas defect positions. Gas defects are thought to be caused by gas generated after the molten metal fills up the mold cavity. The gas constant is the most effective factor for simulating this gas generated from sand cores. It is calculated by gas generating temperature and analysis of composition in the inert gas atmosphere modified according to the mold filling conditions of molten metal. It is assumed that gases generated from the inside of castings remain if the following formula is established. [Time of occurrence of gas generation] + [Time of occurrence of gas floating] > [Time of occurrence of casting surface solidification] The possibility of gas defects is evaluated by the time of occurrence of gas generation and gas floating calculated using the gas constant. The residual position of generated gases is decided by the closed loops indicating the final solidification location in the casting simulation. The above procedure enables us to suggest suitable casting designs with zero gas defects, without the need to repeat casting tests.

Possibility of Risk Accidents and Response Strategies for Participants in Agencies in Charge of Employment for the Elderly: Focusing on occupational risk accidents and COVID-19 risk accidents (노인일자리 전담기관 참여자의 위험사고 발생가능성과 대응 전략: 업무상 위험사고와 코로나-19 위험사고를 중심으로)

  • Park, Jae-Young;Youn, Ki-Hyok;Lee, Jin-Yeol
    • Journal of Internet of Things and Convergence
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    • v.8 no.6
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    • pp.65-73
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    • 2022
  • This study identified the level of awareness of dangerous accidents by empirically analyzing the possibility of hazardous accidents at work and the possibility of dangerous accidents due to COVID-19 targeting the participating seniors who are active in the Senior Club, an organization dedicated to job placement for the elderly. The purpose of this study is to provide basic data for preparing measures to improve risk accidents that may occur in organizations in charge of job placement for the elderly and to suggest countermeasures to prevent dangerous accidents. For this purpose, data were collected from the elderly participating in 16 senior clubs in Busan, and 425 of the collected 430 were ultimately used. As a result of this study, first, it was found that the elderly who participated in a job-dedicated institution for the elderly generally perceived the possibility of occupational risk accidents and risk factors due to COVID-19 to be low. Second, it was found that there was a statistically significant difference in the probability of occurrence of hazardous accidents at work according to demographic characteristics during the participation period, and the probability of occurrence of dangerous accidents with COVID-19 was found to have statistically significant differences in the classification and age of the participating elderly. Based on the results of this study, the project manager suggested creating a safety accident management record sheet, preparing a risk management manual, and establishing a risk management system reflecting the individual characteristics of the participants.

THE INFLUENCE OF MANDIBULAR THIRD MOLAR ON MANDIBULAR ANGLE FRACTURE (하악 제3대구치가 하악 우각부 골절에 미치는 영향)

  • Cho, Sung-Pil;Lee, Jae-Hoon;Kim, Chul-Hwan
    • Maxillofacial Plastic and Reconstructive Surgery
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.49-57
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    • 2006
  • Mandibular fractures have higher incidence rate compared to facial bone fractures because of relatively prominent form. Specially, mandibular angle fractures were known as common fracture site because of morphological anatomic structure. The mandibular third molar appears to be the most frequent impacted tooth. The mandibular third molar have influence on mandibular angle fractures according to it's eruption state. Also, the mandibular angle fracture including the third molar may influence on post operative infection whether the third molar is in impacted or extracted state when reduction of fracture site is operated. The presence or absence and degree of impaction of the mandibular third molar were assessed for each patient and were related to the occurrence of the mandibular angle fracture. The extraction or non extraction of the mandibular third molar were related to the occurrence of the post operative infection in the reduction of mandibular angle fractures. In the presence of mandibular third molar, the possibility of mandibular angle fractures were relatively common. When viewing the mandibular third molar at occlusal plane, the possibility of mandibular angle fractures were high in the class C group. The possibility of mandibular angle fractures were high in the mesial angulation and partial impaction. There was a statistically significant difference(P<0.05). In complete erupted mandibular third molar, the possibility of post operative infection occurs quite often, but there was no statistical significant difference(P>0.05). In the extracted or non extracted of mandibular third molar, the post operative infection showed no statistical significant difference(P>0.05). With the results mentioned above, mandibular third molar was significantly more susceptible to mandibular angle fracture. In the reduction of mandibular angle fracture, it was recommended that mandibular third molar should be extracted especially in case of pericoronitis, periodontitis and other infections.