• 제목/요약/키워드: Population estimates

검색결과 393건 처리시간 0.019초

여성의 임금수준이 출산율에 미치는 영향 분석 (The Effects of Female Wage on Fertility in Korea)

  • 김정호
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • 제31권1호
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    • pp.105-138
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    • 2009
  • 지난 20여 년간의 지속적인 출산율 감소 현상에 대응한 최근의 정책논의에서 출산율 감소에 대한 이론적 논의는 많이 이루어진데 반해 실증적 연구 결과의 양은 아직 빈약한 수준이다. 본 연구는 출산율 감소의 가장 중요한 원인 중의 하나로 이해되는 여성의 임금수준이 1980년대 이후의 출산율에 미친 영향을 실증적으로 분석한다. 기간모형을 이용하여 출산율의 한 구성요소인 출산 간격을 분석한 결과, 1980년부터 2005년까지의 두 번째 출산확률의 감소 중 여성 임금의 변화가 약 17%를 설명하는 것으로 나타났다. 자료의 한계로 인해 통제되지 못한 변수가 존재하나, 최소한 여성의 임금수준이 출산에 미치는 총체적 효과의 크기를 제시하는 하나의 추정치로서 의미가 있다. 임금으로 표현되는 여성의 노동시장에서의 기회비용 상승이 자녀에 대한 수요를 감소시킨다는 사실은 출산율 저하가 경제발전에 따르는 현상임을 암시한다. 따라서 출산율 제고와 여성의 고용 증진은 동시에 추구해야 할 정책목표로 보이고, 이를 달성하기 위해 정부는 자녀양육에 대한 여성의 노동시장에서의 기회비용을 줄이는 포괄적인 가족친화정책을 고려할 필요가 있다.

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수도 통일품종 육성보급 전후 20년간의 생산성 변이 (Variation of Rice Production for Two Decades before and after Breeding Tongil Variety in Korea)

  • 이은웅
    • 한국작물학회지
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    • 제27권3호
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    • pp.183-192
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    • 1982
  • 1961-1980년의 20개년간 수도 재배면적은 거의 일정하였으나 생산량은 1961년의 3,462.6천t에서 1977년의 6,0056.천t까지 73.4%가 증가되었는데 이는 재배기술의 개선과 더불어 다수성 통일성 품종의 육성 보급에 힘입은 바 크다 할 것이다. 그러나 1978년 통일형 품종의 도열병 신균계에 대한 리병화와 더불어 계속된 이상기상으로 하여 1980년의 생산량은 1960년대 수준으로 떨어지므로서 수도작은 새로운 국면에 처하게 되었다. 한편 통일품종이 육성 보급된 1971년을 전후한 20개년 생산성은 계속 증가되어 왔으나 농가와 시험연구기관간에 수량차이는 1960-1971년의 79kg/10a에서 1972-1980년의 101kg/10a으로 점차로 커져왔고, 또한 동기간중 지역간 차이도 50-60kg/10a과 80kg/10a으로 더 커지고 있는 것으로 나타났다. 따라서 품종의 생산능력을 증대시키므로서 전체 생산성의 상한선은 제고하였지만 절대편차는 변화시키지 못하였음을 입증해주고 있다. 그간의 생산성 증가에 있어서 품종적 요인이 40%이고 기술적 요인을 13%로 추정할 경우 나머지 47%는 품종과 기술외적인 요인으로 볼 수 있을 것인데 이에 대하여는 최근 사회적, 생산기반조성 및 환경개선 등 여러 각도에서 집중적으로 논의되어왔다. 물론 재배환경의 균일화나 재배기술의 평준화는 기대하기 어려운 요인이라 하더라도 농가수량과 시험장수량과의 차이 20%, 지역간 차이 20%를 가능한 줄이는 방향으로 노력해 간다면 현재의 품종 생산능력과 기술수준으로서도 상당한 정도의 증수를 기대할 수 있을 것으로 보인다. 이와 같은 효과를 기대하기 위하여는 다음과 같은 요인들이 착실하게 지속적으로 실천되어져야 할 것이다. 첫째, 품종의 생산능력 증대와 재해 저항성 증진을 위한 육종사업과 재배기술개선을 위한 수도의 생리ㆍ생태적 기초연구의 강화. 둘째, 안정된 생산기반 조성 특히 지력증진과 관배수시설을 위한 지속적 노력. 셋째, 농민들의 생산의욕 고취를 위한 안정된 정책적 뒷받침. 넷째, 장기계획 수립을 위한 정확한 통계조사 등이라 하겠다.

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중년후기 여성의 건강증진행위 모형구축 (A Model for Health Promoting Behaviors in Late-middle Aged Woman)

  • 박재순
    • 여성건강간호학회지
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    • 제2권2호
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    • pp.298-331
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    • 1996
  • Recent improvements in living standard and development in medical care led to an increased interest in life expectancy and personal health, and also led to a more demand for higher quality of life. Thus, the problem of women's health draw a fresh interest nowadays. Since late-middle aged women experience various physical and socio-psychological changes and tend to have chronic illnesses, these women have to take initiatives for their health control by realizing their own responsibility. The basic elements for a healthy life of these women are understanding of their physical and psychological changes and acceptance of these changes. Health promoting behaviors of an individual or a group are actions toward increasing the level of well-being and self-actualization, and are affected by various variables. In Pender's health promoting model, variables are categorized into cognitive factors(individual perceptions), modifying factors, and variables affecting the likelihood for actions, and the model assumes the health promoting behaviors are affected by cognitive factors which are again affected by demographic factors. Since Pender's model was proposed based on a tool broad conceptual frame, many studies done afterwards have included only a limited number of variables of Pender's model. Furthermore, Pender's model did not precisely explain the possibilities of direct and indirect paths effects. The objectives of this study are to evaluate Pender's model and thus propose a model that explains health promoting behaviors among late-middle aged women in order to facilitate nursing intervention for this group of population. The hypothetical model was developed based on the Pender's health promoting model and the findings from past studies on women's health. Data were collected by self-reported questionnaires from 417 women living in Seoul, between July and November 1994. Questionnaires were developed based on instruments of Walker and others' health promotion lifestyle profile, Wallston and others' multidimensional health locus of control, Maoz's menopausal symptom check list and Speake and others' health self-rating scale. IN addition, items measuring self-efficacy were made by the present author based on past studies. In a pretest, the questionnaire items were reliable with Cronbach's alpha ranging from .786 to .934. The models for health promoting behaviors were tested by using structural equation modelling technique with LISREL 7.20. The results were summarized as follows : 1. The overall fit of the hypothetical model to the data was good (chi-square=4.42, df=5, p=.490, GFI=.995, AGFI=.962, RMSR=.024). 2. Paths of the model were modified by considering both its theoretical implication and statistical significance of the parameter estimates. Compared to the hypothetical model, the revised model has become parsimonious and had a better fit to the data (chi-square =4.55, df=6, p=.602, GFI=.995, AGFI=.967, RMSR=.024). 3. The results of statistical testing were as follows : 1) Family function internal health locus of control, self-efficacy, and education level exerted significant effects on health promoting behaviors(${\gamma}_{43}$=.272, T=3.714; ${\beta}_[41}$=.211, T=2.797; ${\beta}_{42}$=.199, T=2.717; ${\gamma}_{41}$=.136, T=1.986). The effect of economic status, physical menopausal symptoms, and perceived health status on health promoting behavior were insignificant(${\gamma}_{42}$=.095, T=1.456; ${\gamma}_{44}$=.101, T=1.143; ${\gamma}_{43}$=.082, T=.967). 2) Family function had a significance direct effect on internal health locus of control (${\gamma}_{13}$=.307, T=3.784). The direct effect of education level on internal health locus of control was insignificant(${\gamma}_{11}$=-.006, T=-.081). 3) The directs effects of family functions & internal health locus of control on self-efficacy were significant(${\gamma}_{23}$=.208, T=2.607; ${\beta}_{21}$=.191, T=2.2693). But education level and economic status did not exert a significant effect on self-efficacy(${\gamma}_{21}$=.137, T=1.814; ${\beta}_{22}$=.137, T=1.814; ${\gamma}_{22}$=.112, T=1.499). 4) Education level had a direct and positive effect on perceived health status, but physical menopausal symptoms had a negative effect on perceived health status and these effects were all significant(${\gamma}_{31}$=.171, T=2.496; ${\gamma}_{34}$=.524, T=-7.120). Internal health locus and self-efficacy had an insignificant direct effect on perceived health status(${\beta}_{31}$=.028, T=.363; ${\beta}_{32}$=.041, T=.557). 5) All predictive variables of health promoting behaviors explained 51.8% of the total variance in the model. The above findings show that health promoting behaviors are explained by personal, environmental and perceptual factors : family function, internal health locus of control, self-efficacy, and education level had stronger effects on health promoting behaviors than predictors in the model. A significant effect of family function on health promoting behaviors reflects an important role of the Korean late-middle aged women in family relationships. Therefore, health professionals first need to have a proper evaluation of family function in order to reflect the family function style into nursing interventions and development of strategies. These interventions and strategies will enhance internal health locus of control and self-efficacy for promoting health behaviors. Possible strategies include management of health promoting programs, use of a health information booklets, and individual health counseling, which will enhance internal health locus of control and self-efficacy of the late-middle aged women by making them aware of health responsibilities and value for oneself. In this study, an insignificant effect of physical menopausal symptoms and perceived health status on health promoting behaviors implies that they are not motive factors for health promoting behaviors. Further analytic researches are required to clarify the influence of physical menopausal symptoms and perceived health status on health promoting behaviors with-middle aged women.

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