• Title/Summary/Keyword: Population dynamics model

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Prediction of greenhouse gas emission from municipal solid waste for South Korea

  • Popli, Kanchan;Lim, Jeejae;Kim, Hyeon Kyeong;Kim, Young Min;Tuu, Nguyen Thanh;Kim, Seungdo
    • Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.462-469
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    • 2020
  • This study is proposing a System Dynamics Model for estimating Greenhouse Gas (GHG) emission from treating Municipal Solid Waste (MSW) in South Korea for years 2000 to 2030. The government of country decided to decrease the total GHG emission from waste sector in 2030 as per Business-as-usual level. In context, four scenarios are generated to predict GHG emission from treating the MSW with three processes i.e., landfill, incineration and recycling. For prior step, MSW generation rate is projected for present and future case using population and waste generation per capita data. It is found that population and total MSW are directly correlated. The total population will increase to 56.27 million and total MSW will be 21.59 million tons in 2030. The methods for estimating GHG emission from landfill, incineration and recycling are adopted from IPCC, 2006 guidelines. The study indicates that Scenario 2 is best to adopt for decreasing the total GHG emission in future where recycling waste is increased to 75% and landfill waste is decreased to 7.6%. Lastly, it is concluded that choosing proper method for treating the MSW in country can result into savings of GHG emission.

Femtosecond Photoelectron Imaging of N2 at 410 nm

  • Guo, Wei;Wei, Shanshan;Lu, Xingqiang;Wang, Li
    • Bulletin of the Korean Chemical Society
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    • v.31 no.12
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    • pp.3693-3696
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    • 2010
  • We experimentally measure the kinetic energy and angular distributions of photoelectrons of $N_2$ as a function of 410 nm femtosecond laser intensity by using velocity map imaging technique. The strong-field multiphoton ionization of molecules shares many of the characteristics with those of atoms. Electron kinetic energies are nearly independent of laser intensities. The independence suggests that the electron peaks in the photoelectron spectrum actually result from a two-step process, indicative of the occurrence of real population in the intermediate states. The relative amplitudes of electron peaks indicate that in the two-step process, nonresonant population transfer dominates for low intensities, while resonant population transfer dominates for higher intensities.

The Regional Homogeneity in the Presence of Heteroskedasticity

  • Chung, Kyoun-Sup;Lee, Sang-Yup
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.25-49
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    • 2007
  • An important assumption of the classical linear regression model is that the disturbances appearing in the population regression function are homoskedastic; that is, they all have the same variance. If we persist in using the usual testing procedures despite heteroskedasticity, what ever conclusions we draw or inferences we make be very misleading. The contribution of this paper will be to the concrete procedure of the proper estimation when the heteroskedasticity does exist in the data, because the quality of dependent variable predictions, i.e., the estimated variance of the dependent variable, can be improved by giving consideration to the issues of regional homogeneity and/or heteroskedasticity across the research area. With respect to estimation, specific attention should be paid to the selection of the appropriate strategy in terms of the auxiliary regression model. The paper shows that by testing for heteroskedasticity, and by using robust methods in the presence of with and without heteroskedasticity, more efficient statistical inferences are provided.

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Population Dynamics of Korean Chub(Zacco koreanus, Cyprinidae) in the Upstream and Downstream of Lake Hoengseong (횡성호 상.하류에 분포하는 참갈겨니(Zacco koreanus, Cyprinidae)의 개체군 동태)

  • Choi, Jae-Seok;Park, Seung-Chul;Jang, Young-Su;Lee, Kwang-Yeol;Choi, Jun-Kil
    • Korean Journal of Environment and Ecology
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.391-399
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    • 2006
  • The population dynamics of Zacco koreanus in the upstream and downstream of Hoengseong Lake, Korea were investigated from April to October 2005. As the result of a comparison of variations regarding the time of I koreanus populations, it was confirmed that downstream was a place to remain compared to upstream Also the b value, assessed by Length-weight relationship in upstream and downstream, were $3.21{\sim}3.35,\;and\;2.94{\sim}3.37$, respectively indicating the fish in downstream had better than upstream. Additionaly condition factor(K) of each population in upstream and downstream were $0.0292{\sim}0.0693\;and\;-0.0165{\sim}0.0499$, respectively, K value in upstream lower than downstream. On the other hand, the maximum-growth value$(L_{\infty})$ calculated by von Bertalanffy's growth model in upstream and downstream were 279.7mm and 303.9mm, respectively, indicating that the potential-growth ability of population in downstream was higher than population in upstream. Therefore, Z. koreanus population in upstream became worse based on matters of age structure, Length-weight relationship, and von Bertalanffy's growth model. These results are considered to show the change of the physical environment by the constructing of Hoengseong Dam.

Modeling and Validation of Population Dynamics of the American Serpentine Leafminer (Liriomyza trifolii) Using Leaf Surface Temperatures of Greenhouses Cherry Tomatoes (방울토마토에서 잎 표면온도를 적용한 아메리카잎굴파리(Liriomyza trifolii) 개체군 밀도변동 모형작성 및 평가)

  • Park, Jung-Joon;Mo, Hyoung-Ho;Lee, Doo-Hyung;Shin, Key-Il;Cho, Ki-Jong
    • Korean journal of applied entomology
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    • v.51 no.3
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    • pp.235-243
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    • 2012
  • Population dynamics of the American serpentine leafminer, Liriomyza trifolii (Burgess), were observed and modeled in order to compare the effects of air and tomato leaf temperatures inside a greenhouse using DYMEX model builder and simulator (pre-programed module based simulation programs developed by CSIRO, Australia). The DYMEX model simulator consisted of a series of modules with the parameters of temperature dependent development and oviposition models of L. trifolii were incorporated from pre-published data. Leaf surface temperatures of cherry tomato leaves (cv. 'Koko') were monitored according to three tomato plant positions (top, > 1.8 m above the ground level; middle, 0.9 - 1.2 m; bottom, 0.3 - 0.5 m) using an infrared temperature gun. Air temperature was monitored at the same three positions using a self-contained temperature logger. Data sets for the observed air temperature and average leaf surface temperatures were collected (top and bottom surfaces), and incorporated into the DYMEX simulator in order to compare the effects of air and leaf surface temperature on the population dynamics of L. trifolii. The initial population consisted of 50 eggs, which were laid by five female L. trifolii in early June. The number of L. trifolii larvae was counted by visual inspection of the tomato plants in order to verify the performance of DYMEX simulation. The egg, pupa, and adult stage of L. trifolii could not be counted due to its infeasible of visual inspection. A significant positive correlation between the observed and the predicted numbers of larvae was found when the leaf surface temperatures were incorporated into the DYMEX simulation (r = 0.97, p < 0.01), but no significant positive correlation was observed with air temperatures(r = 0.40, p = 0.18). This study demonstrated that the population dynamics of L. trifolii was affected greatly by the leaf temperatures, though to little discernible degree by the air temperatures, and thus the leaf surface temperature should be for a consideration in the management of L. trifolii within cherry tomato greenhouses.

IMPLEMENTATION OF LAPLACE ADOMIAN DECOMPOSITION AND DIFFERENTIAL TRANSFORM METHODS FOR SARS-COV-2 MODEL

  • N. JEEVA;K.M. DHARMALINGAM;S.E. FADUGBA;M.C. KEKANA;A.A. ADENIJI
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • v.42 no.4
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    • pp.945-968
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    • 2024
  • This study focuses on SIR model for SARS-CoV-2. The SIR model classifies a population into three compartments: susceptible S(t), infected I(t), and recovered R(t) individuals. The SARS-CoV-2 model considers various factors, such as immigration, birth rate, death rate, contact rate, recovery rate, and interactions between infected and healthy individuals to explore their impact on population dynamics during the pandemic. To analyze this model, we employed two powerful semi-analytical methods: the Laplace Adomian decomposition method (LADM) and the differential transform method (DTM). Both techniques demonstrated their efficacy by providing highly accurate approximate solutions with minimal iterations. Furthermore, to gain a comprehensive understanding of the system behavior, we conducted a comparison with the numerical simulations. This comparative analysis enabled us to validate the results and to gain valuable understanding of the responses of SARS-CoV-2 model across different scenarios.

GA-SVM Ensemble 모델에서의 accuracy와 diversity를 고려한 feature subset population 선택

  • Seong, Gi-Seok;Jo, Seong-Jun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 2005.05a
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    • pp.614-620
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    • 2005
  • Ensemble에서 feature selection은 각 classifier의 학습할 데이터의 변수를 다르게 하여 diversity를 높이며, 이것은 일반적인 성능향상을 가져온다. Feature selection을 할 때 쓰는 방법 중의 하나가 Genetic Algorithm (GA)이며, GA-SVM은 GA를 기본으로 한 wrapper based feature selection mechanism으로 response model과 keystroke dynamics identity verification model을 만들 때 좋은 성능을 보였다. 하지만 population 안의 후보들간의 diversity를 보장해주지 못한다는 단점 때문에 classifier들의 accuracy와 diversity의 균형을 맞추기 위한 heuristic parameter setting이 존재하며 이를 조정해야만 하였다. 우리는 GA-SVM 알고리즘을 바탕으로, population안 후보들의 fitness를 측정할 때 accuracy와 diversity 둘 다 고려하는 fitness function을 도입하여 추가적인 classifier 선택 작업을 제거하면서 성능을 유지시키는 방안을 연구하였으며 결과적으로 알고리즘의 복잡성을 줄이면서도 모델의 성능을 유지시켰다.

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Estimation of mortality coefficients and survivorship curves for minke whales (Balaenoptera acutorostrata) in Korean waters

  • Zhang, Chang-Ik;Song, Kyung-Jun;Na, Jong-Hun
    • Animal cells and systems
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.291-296
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    • 2010
  • Population ecological characteristics of growth and mortality play an important role in understanding the population dynamics of marine mammals. The instantaneous coefficients of natural and bycatch mortality were estimated for minke whales (Balaenoptera acutorostrata) in Korean waters using a population assessment model composed of bycatch and abundance data. The survivorship curve of this population was fitted to the data, and then the curve was revised using age-specific relative bycatchability coefficients ($q_t$). Instantaneous coefficients of natural and bycatch mortality of minke whales were estimated as 0.024/year and 0.076/year, respectively, and from this the survival rate was estimated as 0.905. This estimated survival rate was comparable to other cetaceans in other regions. The $q_t$ for this population ranged from 0.020 to 0.193. The revised survival rates were higher when the $q_t$ was taken into account. The mortality coefficient, survival rate, $q_t$ and survivorship curves had not previously been determined for minke whale in this area. This estimate could serve as fundamental information to assess the status of this population and for conservation and rational management.

Evaluation and Comparison of Effects of Air and Tomato Leaf Temperatures on the Population Dynamics of Greenhouse Whitefly (Trialeurodes vaporariorum) in Cherry Tomato Grown in Greenhouses (시설내 대기 온도와 방울토마토 잎 온도가 온실가루이(Trialeurodes vaporariorum)개체군 발달에 미치는 영향 비교)

  • Park, Jung-Joon;Park, Kuen-Woo;Shin, Key-Il;Cho, Ki-Jong
    • Horticultural Science & Technology
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    • v.29 no.5
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    • pp.420-432
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    • 2011
  • Population dynamics of greenhouse whitefly, Trialeurodes vaporariorum (Westwood), were modeled and simulated to compare the temperature effects of air and tomato leaf inside greenhouse using DYMEX model simulator (pre-programed module based simulation program developed by CSIRO, Australia). The DYMEX model simulator consisted of temperature dependent development and oviposition modules. The normalized cumulative frequency distributions of the developmental period for immature and oviposition frequency rate and survival rate for adult of greenhouse whitefly were fitted to two-parameter Weibull function. Leaf temperature on reversed side of cherry tomato leafs (Lycopersicon esculentum cv. Koko) was monitored according to three tomato plant positions (top, > 1.6 m above the ground level; middle, 0.9 - 1.2 m; bottom, 0.3 - 0.5 m) using an infrared temperature gun. Air temperature was monitored at same three positions using a Hobo self-contained temperature logger. The leaf temperatures from three plant positions were described as a function of the air temperatures with 3-parameter exponential and sigmoidal models. Data sets of observed air temperature and predicted leaf temperatures were prepared, and incorporated into the DYMEX simulator to compare the effects of air and leaf temperature on population dynamics of greenhouse whitefly. The number of greenhouse whitefly immatures was counted by visual inspection in three tomato plant positions to verify the performance of DYMEX simulation in cherry tomato greenhouse where air and leaf temperatures were monitored. The egg stage of greenhouse whitefly was not counted due to its small size. A significant positive correlation between the observed and the predicted numbers of immature and adults were found when the leaf temperatures were incorporated into DYMEX simulation, but no significant correlation was observed with the air temperatures. This study demonstrated that the population dynamics of greenhouse whitefly was affected greatly by the leaf temperatures, rather than air temperatures, and thus the leaf surface temperature should be considered for management of greenhouse whitefly in cherry tomato grown in greenhouses.

Interrelationship Between Regional Population Migration, Crop Area, and Foreign Workers (지역 간 인구이동, 경지면적, 외국인 근로자의 관계 분석)

  • Seojin Cho;Heeyeun Yoon
    • Journal of the Korean Regional Science Association
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    • v.40 no.2
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    • pp.21-38
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    • 2024
  • Understanding the interrelationship between regional population dynamics and cultivated land is crucial for promoting regional economic vitality and enhancing food security. While prior research often addressed population migration and changes in crop area separately, this study employs a Panel Vector Auto Regression Model to examine the dynamic interaction between regional population shifts, changes in crop area, and the influx of foreign workers in agriculture. The results reveal a reciprocal relationship between population influx and crop area, indicating a negative impact on each other. Moreover, the analysis demonstrates that an expansion in crop area, particularly in field cultivation, significantly correlates with an increase in foreign workers. These findings underscore the mutual influence of labor shortages and diminished land availability in agriculture, with the influx of foreign workers potentially offering a positive impact on addressing structural challenges in rural areas.