• 제목/요약/키워드: Population Growth Change

검색결과 342건 처리시간 0.023초

지방자치단체 공공시설의 효율적 관리방안에 관한 연구 - 한국과 일본의 정책을 중심으로 - (The Efficient Management of Public Facilities in Local Governments - Focusing on the policies of Korea and Japan -)

  • 최명진;동재욱;이화룡
    • 교육시설 논문지
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    • 제27권6호
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    • pp.3-12
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    • 2020
  • Like most OECD countries, Korea is experiencing a decline in population and demographic changes, deterioration of public facilities, and limited investment in public facilities maintenance due to low economic growth and increased welfare budgets. In this case, not only the inconvenience of using the public facilities can lead to the occurrence of an accident due to the damage of the facilities. However, as the importance of the management of public facilities has not been recognized yet, new policies are being promoted. Korea is expected to reduce the total population since the late 2020s, and there will be a large difference in population reduction between the cities, towns, and towns within the same administrative districts. Therefore, it is necessary to change the management policy regarding the change in demand of public facilities due to population change such as population decrease and aging. Accordingly, this study analyzes the management policies and actual conditions of public facilities in Korea, and suggests the implications for public facilities management by analyzing Japan's public facilities management policies that faced population change and deterioration of public facilities before Korea. The key change in Japan's public facilities management policy is the transition from new to maintenance, which has managed public facilities in terms of existing safety management and asset management.

한국의 인구변천과 환경변화 (Demographic Transition and Environmental Change in Korea)

  • 김익기
    • 한국인구학
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    • 제18권2호
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    • pp.23-50
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    • 1995
  • 이 글은 한국의 인구변천이 환경변화에 어떻게 영향을 미치고 있는가를 규명하고 있다. 이 관계는 기본적으로 경로모형(path model)의 틀로서 설명되고 있다. 인구증가는 그 자체만으로도 직접적으로 환경을 오염시키는 원인이 되고 있다. 인구증가는 또한 각각 도시화 및 산업화를 유발시킴으로서 환경오염의 간접적인 원인이 되고 있다. 한편, 도시화와 산업화는 서로 상승작용을 통해서 환경오염에 영향을 미치고 있다. 이 글에서는 이와 같은 이론적 틀에 입각하여 한국의 인구성장, 도시화 및 공업화의 추세를 살펴보고 이들 요인들이 환경변화에 어떻게 영향을 미치고 있는가를 분석하고 있다. 또한 환경오염의 변화양태를 대기오염과 수질오염 그리고 폐기물의 변화추세로써 살펴보고 있다. 마지막으로 환경변화의 결과가 한국적인 상황에서 어떻게 나타나고 있는가가 논의되고 있다.

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포식자-피식자 모델을 이용하여 기후변화가 논습지를 이용하는 조류 개체군 동태에 미치는 영향 예측 (Effects of Climate-Changes on Patterns of Seasonal Changes in Bird Population in Rice Fields using a Prey-Predator Model)

  • 이후승
    • 한국환경농학회지
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    • 제32권4호
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    • pp.294-303
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    • 2013
  • 본 연구는 수학적 모델(Lotka-Volterra 방정식)을 이용하여 기후변화가 논습지를 이용하는 조류 개체군의 크기와 구조에 미치는 영향에 대해 분석 및 예측하였다. 특히 논습지를 이용하는 조류 개체군 동태에 영향을 주는 기후변화에 대해, 1) 계절 내 최고 및 최저 기온의 변화와 2) 계절 길이의 변화를 조합하여 11가지 가능한 기후변화시나리오를 모델시뮬레이션에 이용하였다. 본 연구의 수학모델은 기온 변화, 즉 계절이 바뀜에 따라 월동, 이동, 그리고 번식조류가 일정한 시기에 그리고 일정한 분포패턴으로 논습지를 취식 및 서식지로 이용하고 있음을 보였다. 기후변화 시나리오의 결과, 기온변화의 폭이 커질 수록 조류 개체군 동태의 변이는 증가하였으며, 계절의 길이 변화, 특히 계절이 짧아진 경우에 논습지를 이용하는 기간도 크게 짧아져 전체적으로 개체군 동태를 감소시켰다. 전체적으로 한 계절 내의 기온변화가 발생하고, 다른 계절은 평년 기온을 유지할 경우에는, 해당 계절의 조류 개체군 동태만 기온변화에 영향을 받았다. 더욱이 계절의 길이 변화는 계절 내 기온 변화보다 더 뚜렷한 개체군 동태의 변화를 유도하였다.

Korea's Aging Population and Household Saving Rate: Evidence for an Extended Life Cycle Income Hypothesis

  • Kwack, Sung Yeung
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • 제26권1호
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    • pp.105-140
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    • 2004
  • Korea is entering the class of aging population nations. This paper investigates the extent demographic factors and the aging population affect the saving rate, using an extended life-cycle/permanent-income hypothesis on saving. The results of the tests with Korean household survey data from 1977 to 2002 reveal that real saving rates increase when the duration of lifetime and per household real disposable income rise, and decrease when the growth rate of income and net worth-to-GDP ratio rises. The growth rate of per household real disposable income has negative effects, suggesting that households calculate their life cycle income in a forward looking manner. The elasticities with respect to a change in the lifetime horizon and the growth rate of per household income are 0.58 and -0.03, respectively. A one percent rise in the net worth to GDP ratio reduces the saving rate by 0.3 percent. A one percent rise in per household income increases it by 0.33 percent. The younger-age and the elder-age dependency ratios have insignificant effects on the household saving rate behavior. When Korean life expectancy rises, the private saving rate declines modestly and the government saving rate declines substantially. The economy's real net saving rate declines from 33 percent in 2002 to 30 percent by the year 2030.

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청주의 고용 성장과 산업 변화, 1985-2005: 변이할당모형에 의한 분석 (Employment Growth and Industrial Change in Cheongju, 1985-2005: An Analysis Using a Shift-Share Model)

  • 김학훈
    • 한국경제지리학회지
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    • 제14권3호
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    • pp.325-341
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    • 2011
  • 청주시는 1970년대부터 인구와 고용이 급성장하였다. 본 연구는 청주시의 산업별 고용변화를 조사하고 고용성장에 대한 변이 할당 분석을 시행하였다. 본 연구에서 사용한 자료는 주로 1985년, 2000년, 2005년의 인구 및 주택 총조사에서 얻은 청주시의 산업별 고용자료이다. 본 연구는 먼저 청주의 인구 변화와 산업구조를 설명하고, 그 다음은 변이할당모형의 발달을 검토하였다. 본 연구에서 얻은 청주의 산업별 입지계수와 특화계수의 변화를 통해서 도시산업구조의 다양화 추세를 알 수 있었다. 본 연구에 적용한 변이할당모형은 Arcelus의 모형을 수정하여 사용하였으며, 분석 결과를 통해서 산업 부문별 경쟁력을 파악할 수 있었다. 청주는 국가 전체와 비교하면 대체로 유리한 산업구조를 가지고 있다. 일부 서비스 부문을 제외한 모든 산업 부문에서 국가보다 빨리 성장하여 양(+)의 경쟁효과를 보였다. 변이할당분석에서 세분된 산업분류와 짧게 나누어진 분석기간을 사용하면 경쟁력 있는 산업을 더 정확하게 찾을 수 있다.

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Chlorella ellipsoidea를 이용한 $CO_2$ 고정 및 미세조류 증식효과 검토 (The study on the $CO_2$ fixation and algae reproduction by microalgae Chlorella ellipsoidea)

  • 강창민;홍순강
    • 환경위생공학
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    • 제15권1호
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    • pp.39-45
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    • 2000
  • The purpose of this study was conducted to indentified the fixing quality of $CO_2$, the most important greenhouse effect gas, by microalgae Chlorella ellipsoidea in batch test apparatus. The glass flask of $1.4{\ell}$ culture media which was saturated with 99.99% pure $CO_2$ gas was setted water bath of $25^{\circ}C$, 5000Lux, and seeded 100$m\ell$ algae liquid. We checked the change of inorganic carbon concentration and algae population with time in culture media. The result were next: the growth of algae population relied on aquatic IC(inorganic carbon) concentration. And the pH was increased with decrease of IC concentration. The growth of algae population had positive correalation with $CO_2$ concentration, and the coefficient of correlation was 0.982. The specific growth rate($\mu$) of Chlorella ellipsoidea was 1.104/d, the maximum specific growth $rate({\mu}_{max}$) of 9.21/d, and helf velocity constant($K_s$) of $259mg/{\ell}$ by Monod equation.

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Modeling water supply and demand under changing climate and socio-economic growth over Gilgit-Baltistan of Pakistan using WEAP

  • Mehboob, Muhammad Shafqat;Panda, Manas Ranjan;Kim, Yeonjoo
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2020년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.116-116
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    • 2020
  • Gilgit-Baltistan (GB) is a highly mountainous and remote region covering 45% of Upper Indus Basin (UIB) with around 1.8 million population is vulnerable to climate change and socio-economic growth makes water resources management and planning more complex. To understand the water scarcity in the region this study is carried out to project water supply and demand for agricultural and domestic sector under various climate-socio-economic scenarios in five sub catchments of GB i.e., Astore, Gilgit, Hunza, Shigar and Shyok for a period of 2015 to 2050 using Water Evaluation and Planning (WEAP) model. For climate change scenario ensembled mean of three global climate models (GCMs) was used under three different Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) scenarios (RCP2.6, RCP6.0 and RCP8.5). The Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) and agricultural Land Development (LD) scenarios were combined with climate scenarios to develop climate-socio-economic scenario. Our results indicate that the climate change and socio-economic growth would create a gap between supply and demand of water in the region, with socio-economic growth (e.g. agricultural and population) as dominant external factor that would reduce food production and increase poverty level in the region. Among five catchments only Astore and Gilgit will face shortfall of water while Shyoke would face shortfall of water only under agricultural growth scenarios. We also observed that the shortfall of water in response to climate-socio-economic scenarios is totally different over two water deficient catchments due to its demography and geography. Finally, to help policy makers in developing regional water resources and management policies we classified five sub catchments of UIB according to its water deficiency level.

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장기인구성장에 따른 교육개발 (Educational Development Plan for the Future Popultion Growth)

  • 박덕규
    • 한국인구학
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    • 제8권1호
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    • pp.20-46
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    • 1985
  • The increase of the population has an effect on the increase of students. The high birthrate, which means the extension of enrollments in the future, requires preparation of enough facilities and equipment for education. However, the educational conditions of Korea are not yet developed, and in such a situation the increase of enrollments makes the improvement of educational conditions difficult. Besides, the influx of students into the large cities has made complex educational problems such as a decrease of students in the rural area and a change for the worse of the educational conditions in the urban area. For the development of education in such a situation, an emphasis should be put not only on security of a stable educational finance but also on activation of family planning project and curb of population influx into large cities in the realm of population policy. In addition, population education for the youth should be strengthened in order that they can have sound view of family life, married life, children, and sex moral. For the way the young married live has relationship with the number and quality of children in the future of our nation.

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하천 생태계에서 유기탄소 기질 제거에 조류와 세균의 공생작용이 미치는 영향 (Effect of Bacterial and Algal Symbiotic Reaction on the Removal of Organic Carbon in River Ecosystem)

  • 공석기;도시유끼나까지마
    • 환경위생공학
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    • 제16권3호
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    • pp.22-27
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    • 2001
  • It have been investigated how algal and bacterial symbiotic reaction influences on removal of organic carbon in river ecosystem. And artificial experimentation apparatus was made for algae'and bacteia'culture as lab scale. Investigating and researching minutely the change of concentration of organic carbon substrate and the change of population density of algae'and of bacteria'with this artificial experimentation apparatus, the next results could be obtained. 1. Successful decrease of DOC(dissolved organic carbon) could not be expected unless algal and bacterial biomass floe was nut formed effectively and unless biosorption was not proceeded effectively in the very culture system in which artificial synthetic wastewater was supplied continuously at constant rate. 2. In conditions of culture liquid of 1335 glucnse mg/L(type 1) and of 267 glucose mg:L(type 2), the algal dominant species was always Chlorella vulgaris in both types in which artificial synthetic wastewater were supplied continuously at constant rate and algae population density was around maximum 107 cells/mL. 3. It was around 108 ~ 107 cells/mL that the population density of heterotrophic bacterium. In culture medium systems type 1 and type 2 in which artificial wastewater were supplied continuously at constant rate, the same density appeared initially when using the population density of Escherichia coli w 3110 as indirect indicator. And this density decreased rapidly till the culturing date 35 days were passed away, while this density increased with gentle slope after same date and then the trend of change at type 2 was more severe than one at type 1. 4. When seeing such a change of population density of Escherichia coli w 3110, the growth of heterotrophic bacterium appeared as survival instinct pattern of broader requirement of nutrient at condition of low concentration of organic carbon substrate than condition of high concentration of same substrate.

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