• Title/Summary/Keyword: Population Estimation

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Quantile estimation using near optimal unbalanced ranked set sampling

  • Nautiyal, Raman;Tiwari, Neeraj;Chandra, Girish
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.28 no.6
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    • pp.643-653
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    • 2021
  • Few studies are found in literature on estimation of population quantiles using the method of ranked set sampling (RSS). The optimal RSS strategy is to select observations with at most two fixed rank order statistics from different ranked sets. In this paper, a near optimal unbalanced RSS model for estimating pth(0 < p < 1) population quantile is proposed. Main advantage of this model is to use each rank order statistics and is distributionfree. The asymptotic relative efficiency (ARE) for balanced RSS, unbalanced optimal and proposed near-optimal methods are computed for different values of p. We also compared these AREs with respect to simple random sampling. The results show that proposed unbalanced RSS performs uniformly better than balanced RSS for all set sizes and is very close to the optimal RSS for large set sizes. For the practical utility, the near optimal unbalanced RSS is recommended for estimating the quantiles.

Design Flow Velocity Changes According to the Design Flow Determination Methods in the Sanitary Sewer (오수관 설계유량 산정법이 설계유속에 미치는 영향)

  • Hyun, In-hwan;Won, Seung-hyun;Kim, Hyung-jun;Lee, Che-in
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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    • v.19 no.6
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    • pp.749-757
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    • 2005
  • The present study analyzed actual cases of designed flow estimation method and designed flow rate of sewage pipe lines. In order to examine the effects of peak-hour demand factor estimation with given daily highest peak loading, we analyzed its effects on designed flow rate with changing the peak-hour demand factor from 2.0 to 10.0. The results of this study are as follows. When reviewing the recent designs, we found that 59.4% of pipe line with 250mm and 300mm diameter, which fall under minimum allowable pipeline did not meet the minimum velocity which is specified as 0.6m/sec in design standards. The pipe line that have minimal access population or have very low slope did not satisfy the minimum velocity. In estimating the designed sewage flow, the applied daily highest peak loading and hourly highest peaking loading were the load factor for the entire population of the planned area, and for the peak loading of the initial pipes connected to a very small population, we applied the same factor as that applied to the entire area and, as a result, the hourly highest flow was underestimated. Because, in case of the initial pipes, the method of applying the same peak loading to all subject areas is highly possible to produce underestimated design flow, when estimating the designed flow of the initial pipes connected to a small population need to adopt a rational flow factor according to the size of population. For this, it is considered to investigate and analyze raw data on daily and hourly variation of sewage flow.

Age-Specific Thyroid Internal Dose Estimation for Koreans

  • Kwon, Tae-Eun;Yoon, Seokwon;Ha, Wi-Ho;Chung, Yoonsun;Jin, Young Woo
    • Journal of Radiation Protection and Research
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    • v.46 no.4
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    • pp.170-177
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    • 2021
  • Background: The International Commission on Radiological Protection is preparing to provide reference dose coefficients for environmental radioiodine intake based on newly developed age-specific biokinetic models. However, the biokinetics of iodine has been reported to be strongly dependent on the dietary intake of stable iodine; for example, the thyroidal uptake of iodine may be substantially lower in iodine-rich regions than in iodine-deficient regions. Therefore, this study attempted to establish a system of age-specific thyroid dose estimation for South Koreans, whose daily iodine intakes are significantly higher than that of the world population. Materials and Methods: Korean age-specific biokinetic parameters and thyroid masses were derived based on the previously developed Korean adult model and the Korean anatomical reference data for adults, respectively. This study complied with the principles used in the development of age-specific biokinetic models for world population and used the ratios of baseline values for each age group relative to the value for adults to derive age-specific values. Results and Discussion: Biokinetic model predictions based on the Korean age-specific parameters showed significant differences in iodine behaviors in the body compared to those predicted using the model for the world population. In particular, the Korean age-specific thyroid dose coefficients for 129I and 131I were considerably lower than those calculated for the world population (25%-76% of the values for the world population). Conclusion: These differences stress the need for Korean-specific internal dose assessments for infants and children, which can be achieved by using the data calculated in this study.

On Application of Small Area Estimation to the Unemployment Statistics of Si-Gun-Gu (시군구 실업자 추정을 위한 소지역 추정법)

  • 이계오
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.275-286
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    • 2000
  • After commencing the local self~governing system. it has been requested to make statistics about Si-Gun-Gu level. and the necessity of unemployment statistics in Si-GunGu area has also been proposed as the unemployment became a political issue and social problem due to an I:YIF situation Throughout this paper, therefore, we suggest two small area estimations that can produce the unemployment statistics of Si-Gun-Gu based on the Current Population Survey In addition, we estimate the unemployment number of Si-Gun-Gu in ChungBuk area from the real data of the Current Population Survey. Finally, It was also proved that the applicability of small area estimation was valid in comparison with efficiency of small area estimations.

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The model of the weighted proportion estimation for forecasting the number of population (인구추계를 위한 가중비례추정모형)

  • Yoon, Yong Hwa;Kim, Jong Tae
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.311-320
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    • 2013
  • The purpose of this paper is to suggest the methods of forecasting the numbers of students. The generalized weighted proportion estimation models are suggested and used for forecasting the numbers of student until 2029. The results of the Monte Carlo simulation show that the suggested method is powerful for the forecasting. In conclusion, the numbers of the third grade high-school students will be less than the numbers of college admission quota from 2019.

On Simulation for Normalization of Game Satisfaction Density Function (게임만족도 분포의 정규화에 관한 시뮬레이션)

  • Ham, Hyung-Bum
    • Journal of Korea Multimedia Society
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    • v.10 no.9
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    • pp.1185-1196
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    • 2007
  • To enhance competitiveness of game industry and added value, it needs scientific research and bases that suggest satisfaction standard which quantitatively evaluates satisfaction to develop games which have high satisfaction for demanders. Specially, scoring of satisfaction factors and estimation of population distribution are important task. This allows which a game have high or low satisfaction compared to other games. Also we predict improvable factors and technical aspects to promote satisfaction. For it, in this paper we discuss ways to normalization of score distribution for satisfaction factors and estimate its density function using parametric density estimation by simulation.

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Study on Effects of Population Stratification on Haplotype Trend Test in Case-Control Studies (환자-대조군 연구에서 인구집단 층화가 일배체형 경향성 검정에 미치는 영향)

  • Kim, Jin-Heum;Kang, Dae-Ryong;Lim, Hyun-Sun;Nam, Chung-Mo
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.22 no.5
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    • pp.1085-1096
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    • 2009
  • Population stratification can cause spurious associations between genetic markers and disease locus. In order to handle this population stratification in haplotype-based case-control association studies, we added population indicators as covariates to the haplotype trend regression model proposed by Zaykin et al. (2002). We investigated through simulations how both population stratification and measurement error in the estimation of true population of each individual affect type I error probabilities of the association tests based on both Zaykin et al.'s (2002) model and the proposed model. Based on those results, in the situation that there exists population stratification but there is no error in population classification of each individual, our proposed model does satisfy a type I error probability whereas Zaykin et al.'s (2002) model does not. However, as the measurement error increases, a type I error probability of our model correspondingly becomes larger than a nominal significance level. It implies that as long as uncertainty in the estimation of true population of each individual still remains, it is nearly impossible to avoid false positive in case-control association studies based on haplotypes.

Model- Data Based Small Area Estimation

  • Shin, Key-Il;Lee, Sang Eun
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.637-645
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    • 2003
  • Small area estimation had been studied using data-based methods such as Direct, Indirect, Synthetic methods. However recently, model-based such as based on regression or time series estimation methods are applied to the study. In this paper we investigate a model-data based small area estimation which takes into account the spatial relation among the areas. The Economic Active Population Survey in 2001 are used for analysis and the results from the model based and model-data based estimation are compared with using MSE(Mean squared error), MAE(Mean absolute error) and MB(Mean bias).

Small Area Estimation of Unemplyoment Using Kalman Filter Method (KALMAN FILTER기법을 이용한 실업자 수의 소지역 추정)

  • 양영춘;이상은;신민웅
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.239-246
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    • 2003
  • In small area estimation, Best Linear Unbaised Predictor(BLUP) can be directly implicated ,specially, in use of the time series estimation. If there are correlations between observations and error terms over the time, Kalman Filter method can be used. Therefore, using kalman Filtering technique small area estimation of total of unemployments are estimated by BLUP. And for the example of this study, Economic Active Population Survey data were used.