• Title/Summary/Keyword: Population Cliff

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Exploring X-event in the Field of Near-Future Population

  • Sang-Keun Cho;Jun-Woo Kim;Eui-Chul Shin;Myung-Sook Hong;Jun-Chul Song;Sang-Hyuk Park
    • International Journal of Advanced Culture Technology
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.186-190
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    • 2023
  • There are unimaginable possibilities ahead of us. As a result, it is difficult to predict the future, but the prediction itself is not meaningless. This is because it can have the flexibility to cope with contingencies by predicting various possibilities. This study was conducted to explore extreme events (X-event) in the Korean population sector. To this end, in-depth interviews were conducted with experts from the Korea Army Research Center for Future & Innovation and the Army College, and based on this, significant research results were derived that population problems such as population decline and aging can affect various fields such as economy. With this study, we hope that discussions on extreme events (X-event) that can occur in our society will be further activated.

Causal Loop-Based Structural Analyses of Marginal Ageing and Critical Mass Simulations for Demographic Extinction Scenarios in Eup and Myeon Regions (읍·면지역 한계고령화의 인과순환적 구조분석과 인구소멸 임계점에 대한 시뮬레이션)

  • Choi, Nam-Hee
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.107-134
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    • 2016
  • Accelerated ageing with low fertility is one of the most critical problems in Korea. Because of ageing via low fertility, Korea will face a serious demographic cliff. This research primarily focus on the analyzing the dynamics of the marginal ageing state and decreasing population especially in Eup and Myeon region. This study based on the system dynamics approaches for finding causal loop structure of marginal ageing and critical mass of population disappearing. The results of this study are summarized as follows. First, demographic marginalization trends have already begun in the Eups and Myons of Gun. Second, marginal aging speed in Eup/Myeon areas is causing an population disappearing in the near future. Third, critical mass of population disappearing will begin when the rate of marginal aging is exceed 82% after 2023.

Sentiment Analysis of Elderly and Job in the Demographic Cliff (인구절벽사회에서 노인과 일자리 감성분석)

  • Kim, Yang-Woo
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.20 no.11
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    • pp.110-118
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    • 2020
  • Social media data serves as a proxy indicator to understand the problems and the future of public opinion in Korean society. This research used 109,015 news data from 2016 to 2018 to analyze the sensitivity of the elderly and employment in Korean society, and explored the possibility of expanding the labor force in Korean society, which is facing a cliff between the elderly and the population. Topic keywords for employment of the elderly include "elderly*employment", "elderly*employment", and "elderly*wage". As a result of the analysis, positive sensitivity prevails for most of the period, and it is possible to expand the working-age population. Positive feelings about expanding employment opportunities for the elderly and negative feelings about low wages have brought to light the reality of the elderly who are still poor despite their work. In this study, social big data was used to analyze the perceptions and sensibilities of Korean society related to the elderly and employment through hierarchical crowd analysis and related text mining analysis.

The Distribution and Dynamics between Sexes, Conservation of Natural Populations of a Rare Woody Plant, Juniperus chinensis L. (희귀수종 향나무 자연집단의 분포와 성간 동태 및 보존)

  • Shin, Jae-Kwon;Chung, Jae-Min;Kim, Jin-Seok;Yoon, Chung-Won;Shin, Chang-Ho
    • Korean Journal of Plant Resources
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.400-410
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    • 2015
  • Juniperus chinensis (Cupressaceae) is a valuable woody plant resource, but this rare plant is only distributed in restricted regions in Korea. In this study, we surveyed the geographic distribution regions, variation of sex ratio and the dynamics of natural populations of J. chinensis. in order to establish conservation strategies for the sustainable conservation of this important resource tree. The 17 natural populations of J. chinensis are restrictively distributed in the shore cliffs of (1) Ulleungdo island, (2) Gyeongju-si to Gangneung-si of the eastern coast, the riverside cliff along (3) Donggang-river of Jungsun-gun and Pyeongchang-gun and (4) branch of Nakdonggang-river in Uiseong-gun. The populations in Ulleungdo island showed continuous population distribution of over 200 individuals, but populations in other regions had discontinuous population distribution of under 200. The population of J. chinensis surveyed in Korea was estimated in ca. 3,200 individuals. The sex ratio (male/female) among populations of J. chinensis was diverse with variation from 0.46~1.67 range, but showed no significance. The sex ratio of the total individuals by species level was 0.74, and the percentage of female tree was significantly higher than the male. The results of dynamics analysis within population among regions showed that seedlings and saplings of J. chinensis in three regions surveyed were continuously regenerating. The distribution of DBH class showed a stable population structure of inverse J shape graph, but fragmentation and decrease in populations because of invading broad-leaved shrubs and trees from the surroundings were concerned. Further studies, and in situ and ex situ conservation strategies for the sustainable conservation on natural populations of this rare resources woody plant, J. chinensis in Korea are recommended.

Exploration of X-events in the Near Future Population Sector - Based on FGIs with Emegency Planning Officers - (근미래 발생 가능한 인구분야 극단적 사건(X-event) 탐색- 비상계획관 대상 FGI 결과를 중심으로 -)

  • Sang-Keun Cho;Jun-Woo Kim;Ki-Won Kim;Myung-Sook Hong;In-Chan Kim;Jun-Chul Song;Sang-Hyuk Park
    • The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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    • v.9 no.5
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    • pp.391-395
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    • 2023
  • There are countless possibilities lying ahead of us, and while predicting the future may be challenging, it does not render the act of forecasting meaningless. Predicting various possibilities allows us to be flexible in coping with unforeseen circumstances. This study was conducted to explore extreme events (X-events) in the population sector in South Korea. To achieve this, focus group interviews were conducted with 32 emergency planning officers in government and public services. Based on these interviews, significant research findings were derived, indicating that population issues such as population decline and aging could have substantial impacts on various fields, including the economy and national defense. With this study as a catalyst, we anticipate a more active discussion and discourse on X-events that could occur in our society.

New Perspectives on Sunday School of Korean Church for Next Generation (다음 세대와 한국교회 주일학교의 새 전망)

  • Kim, Jeong Joon
    • Journal of Christian Education in Korea
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    • v.67
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    • pp.11-44
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    • 2021
  • In the early 21st century, the global COVID-19 pandemic, which has arisen during the development of the technological science of the Fourth Industrial Revolution, has been a great challenge in all fields including politics, economy, industry, education and religion in Korean society. To prevent the spread of the COVID-19 epidemic, the Korean government announced 'social distancing guidelines,' focused on the 'prohibition of three conditions'(crowd, closeness, airtight) for safety reasons. These quarantine guidelines made it more difficult for Korean churches and Sunday schools to operate. In general, looking at the statistical data of the major denominations of the Korean Church in the second half of the 20th century, shows that the Church has entered a period of stagnant or declining growth. Data also show that the number of students attending Sunday School is decreasing. The researcher identified four causes of the crisis faced by the Korean church and Korean Sunday school entering the 21st century. These trends are influenced by the tendencies of postmodernism, the deconstruction of modern universalism, the certainty and objectivity of knowledge, and the grand narrative and worldview of diffusion. Moreover, it is a phenomenon in which the young population decreases in contrast to the increasing elderly population in the age of population cliff in Korean society. Sunday Schools are also facing a crisis, as the youth population, who will become the future heroes of the Korean church, is declining. Finally, constraints of Church and Sunday school education activities are due to COVID-19 Pandemic. As analysis shows the loss of the Church's educational vision and a decrease in the passion for education. Accordingly, the researcher suggests four new strategies for the next generation of Korean Sunday schools, whose ranges from 200 members or less; this range covers the majority of Sunday School program run by churches in Korea. First, in the age of postmodernism, a time of uncertainty and relativism, Christian Societies requires teachers who are certain of absolute Christian truth and faith. Second, in an era of declining population cliffs for younger generations, a shift to a home-friendly Sunday school paradigm is needed. Third, during the COVID-19 pandemic, educational activities must appropriately utilize face-to-face and non-face-to-face communication. Finally, even in difficult times, Korean Sunday school should nevertheless remember the Lord's great commandment(Matthew 28:18-20) and restore the vision and passion of education to announce and teach the gospel. The researcher hopes that this study will provide small, positive steps in rebuilding Korean Sunday school educational activities for future generations in difficult times.

Ecological Characteristics of the Asparagus cochinchinensis (Lour.) Merr. Population in South Korea (우리나라 천문동 개체군의 생태 특성)

  • Choo, Byung-Kil;Ji, Yun-Ui;Moon, Byeong-Cheol;Yoon, Tae-Sook;Lee, A-Yeong;Chun, Jin-Mi;Kim, Ho-Kyoung
    • Korean Journal of Medicinal Crop Science
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.125-132
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    • 2009
  • This study was carried out to investigate the distribution of native Asparagus cochinchinensis and ecological characteristic in South Korea. Natural vegetative areas were investigated at 5 areas; Taean, Buan, Geoje, Namhae and Jindo. In this study, the $5m{\times}5m$ quadrat was established for recording coverage and appearance species by phytosociological method. The flora of the studied area in native habitats were listed as 130 species. The native habitats was classified into Pinus thunbergii community and typical community. Two communities were located in a coastal cliff and have been destroyed. Therefore Asparagus cochinchinensis native habitats must be protected by regulation. In the studied sites, soil pH, organic matter, nitrogen, available phosphorus, exchangeable K, exchangeable Ca, exchangeable Mg and cation exchange capacity were ranged from $5.1{\sim}5.7%$, $1.77{\sim}3.59%$, $0.19{\sim}0.54%$, $5.4{\sim}18.7$ (mg/kg), $0.24{\sim}0.48$ (cmol+/kg) $0.76{\sim}2.83$ (cmol+/kg), $3.11{\sim}6.22$ (cmol+/kg) and $8.7{\sim}24.5$(cmol+/kg), respectively.

A Study on Improving Records Management of Closed Private Universities (폐교 사립대학 기록물 관리 개선 방안에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Jae-Young;Chung, Yeon-Kyoung
    • Journal of Korean Society of Archives and Records Management
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.35-61
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    • 2019
  • The recent demographic cliff caused the schooling population to steadily decline and the number of college admissions to sharply drop, which led to the prediction of the Ministry of Education wherein 38 universities in Korea will be closed within the next 3 years. As such, the legal, administrative, historical, and informational values of university records shed light on the importance of the follow-up process and management of closed university records. Although closed university records need to be systematically managed according to legal procedures similar to other public records, there is no practical and clear legal standard for the management of such records at present. Moreover, management standards considering the characteristics of (closed) university records and individual universities' situations and specificity have been insufficient. This study, therefore, examines the ambiguous standards for closed university records management and analyzed relevant problems. Furthermore, an integrated management system is suggested as a way to improve the records management of closed universities.

A Study on Improving the Competition Rate for Army Officers - Focusing on the occupational values of the MZ generation - (육군 장교 모집 경쟁률 향상방안 연구 -MZ세대의 직업가치관을 중심으로-)

  • KIM YOUNGKI;SONG BYEONGKEUN
    • The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.207-213
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    • 2023
  • Korea is facing a population cliff and a decline in the fertility rate, and the competition rate for recruiting officers in our military is rapidly decreasing every year. This situation is a serious problem in terms of national security and requires efforts to obtain excellent manpower. To this end, it is necessary to understand their occupational values through consideration of the MZ generation, which is the main recruitment target of the military, and to find diagnosis and solutions for each problem by closely analyzing the military's internal and external environment based on their understanding of soldiers as a job. Therefore, we diagnose the current situation in consideration of military specificity, examine the occupational values of the MZ generation, which is a resource for military officers recruitment. Since the subject of military officer acquisition is the MZ generation, efforts are needed to focus on occupational values of MZ generations.

A Study on Establishing Scientific Guard Systems based on TVWS (TVWS 기반 과학화경계시스템 구축방안 연구)

  • Kyuyong Shin;Yuseok Kim;Seungwon Baik
    • Convergence Security Journal
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.81-92
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    • 2023
  • In recent years, the ROK military is promoting Defense Innovation 4.0 with the goal of fostering strong military based on science and technology equipped with artificial intelligence(AI) to prepare for the upcoming population cliff. In particular, at the present time of increased threats of North Korea, the South Korean military is seeking to deal with a decrease in military service resources through the introduction of a Scientific Guard System using advanced technology. TICN which is a core basic communication system to ensure the integrated combat capability of the ROK military is, however, limited to use as a based network for the emerging Scientific Guard System due to the narrow transmission bandwidth with widely spread poor reception area. To deal with this problem, this paper proposes TVWS-based Scientific Guard Systems with TVWS-based wireless network construction technology that has been available for free in Korea since 2017. The TVWS-based Scientific Guard System proposed in this paper, when compared to the existing wired network-based Scientific Guard Systems, has various advantages in terms of minimizing operational gaps, reducing construction costs, and flexibility in installation and operation.