• Title/Summary/Keyword: Poisson Regression Analysis

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The Crime-reduction Effects of Open-Street CCTV around Elementary Schools (초등학교 주변 방범용CCTV의 범죄감소효과 연구)

  • Lim, Hyung-Jin
    • Korean Security Journal
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    • no.51
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    • pp.199-219
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    • 2017
  • This research examined the degree to which open-street closed-circuit television (CCTV) systems reduced crime in the vicinity of elementary schools. Information including crime dates, locations, and types around nine elementary schools in the city of Chuncheon in South Korea where the cameras had been installed was gathered and assessed. By employing the Poisson regression with "month" as the unit of analysis and controlling for the days in each month, the average monthly temperatures, and crime trends, the research results show that the CCTV installations had an impact on the reduction of total crime and serious crime. However, the same reduction effect was not observed for disorder crime. Therefore, the results of this study suggest that the employing CCTV is an effective way to control overall crime rates, especially serious crime.

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Determination of the Neutron Effective Multiplication Factor for a PWR Spent Fuel Assembly

  • Heesung Shin;Ro, Seung-Gy;Kim, Gil-Soo;Hwang, Yong-Hwa;Kim, Ho-Dong
    • Proceedings of the Korean Radioactive Waste Society Conference
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    • 2003.11a
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    • pp.590-595
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    • 2003
  • An Exponential experiment system which is composed of a neutron detector, a signal analysis system and a neutron source, Cf-252 has been installed in order to experimentally determine the neutron effective multiplication factor for a PWR spent fuel assembly. The axial background neutron flux is measured in a preliminary performance test. From the results, the spacer grid position is determined to be consistent with the design specifications within a 2.3% relative error. The induced fission neutron for four of the assemblies is also measured by scanning the neutron source, Cf-252 or the neutron detector. The exponential decay constants have been evaluated by the application of the Poisson regression to the net induced fission neutron counts. The measured keffs determined on the basis of the exponential decay constants of Cl5 appeared to be 0.541, 0.540, 0.597 and 0.556, respectively, which are comparable with 0.55195$\pm$0.00232 of the MCNP calculation.

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Compositional and Contextual Factors Related to Area Differentials in Suicide (지역의 자살률 차이와 관련된 구성적 요인과 상황적 요인)

  • Kang, Eunjeong
    • Korean Journal of Health Education and Promotion
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    • v.30 no.1
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    • pp.41-52
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    • 2013
  • Objectives: Rural-urban differences in suicide have been observed in many settings. However, there has been little research addressing what factors can explain these differences. The purpose of this study was to analyze which compositional factors and contextual factors in local areas might be related to local suicide. Methods: The study design was cross-sectional. The data for 251 primary local governments on their age-standardized suicide mortality and their predefined indicators of compositional factors and contextual factors were obtained from Korean Statistical Information Service as of year 2010. Bivariate analysis including one-way ANOVA and chi-square test were used to identify the differences in local features by area type. Seven poisson regression models for each of total, males, and females were used to analyze which compositional and contextual factors were related to suicide. Results: There were differences in suicide between gu and goon in total, male, and female groups. For total, compositional factors including divorce and smoking rate, and contextual factors including financial independency, water and waterwaste coverage, and number of wastewater discharge factories were found to explain the urban-rural differences. Conclusions: This study provided some evidence that contextual factors at the local level as well as compositional factors are useful for predicting local suicide mortality.

Burnout and Long-term Sickness Absence From the Teaching Function: A Cohort Study

  • Salvagioni, Denise A.J.;Mesas, Arthur E.;Melanda, Francine N.;Gonzalez, Alberto D.;de Andrade, Selma M.
    • Safety and Health at Work
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.201-206
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    • 2022
  • Background: The present objective was to verify whether burnout (emotional exhaustion [EE], depersonalization [DP] and low professional efficacy [PE]) is a risk factor for long-term sickness absence (LTSA; 30 consecutive days) from the teaching role. Methods: This was a prospective cohort study with two years of follow-up that investigated 509 elementary and high-school teachers. Burnout was identified by Maslach Burnout Inventory. Poisson regression with robust variance was used to adjust for possible confounders. Results: The incidence of LTSA was 9.4%. High EE levels were associated with LTSA in the crude analysis, but the association lost statistical significance after adjustments (for sex, age, perception of work-life balance, general self-rated health, chronic pain and depression). High DP levels were associated with this outcome, even after all adjustments (relative risk = 1.80; 95% confidence interval: 1.05-3.09). Low PE levels were not related to LTSA. Conclusion: The results reinforce the need to improve teachers' work conditions to reduce burnout, particularly DP, and its consequences.

Analysis of Elderly Drivers' Accident Models Considering Operations and Physical Characteristics (고령운전자 운전 및 신체특성을 반영한 교통사고 분석 연구)

  • Lim, Sam Jin;Park, Jun Tae;Kim, Young Il;Kim, Tae Ho
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.30 no.6
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    • pp.37-46
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    • 2012
  • The number of traffic accidents caused by elderly drivers over the age of 65 has surged over the past ten years from 37,000 to 274,000 cases. The proportion of elderly drivers' accidents has jumped 3.1 times from 1.2% to 3.7% out of all traffic accidents, and traffic safety organizations are pursuing diverse measures to address the situation. Above all, connecting safety measures with an in-depth research on behavioral and physical characteristics of elderly drivers will prove vital. This study conducted an empirical research linking the driving characteristics and traffic accidents by elderly drivers based on the Driving Aptitude Test items and traffic accident data, which enabled the measurement of behavioral characteristics of elderly drivers. In developing the Influence Model, we applied the zero-inflated Poisson (ZIP) regression model and selected an accident prediction model based on the Bayesian Influence in regards to the ZIP regression model and the zero-inflated negative binomial (ZINB) regression model. According to the results of the AAE analysis, the ZIP regression model was more appropriate and it was found that three variables? prediction of velocity, diversion, and cognitive ability? had a relation of influence with traffic accidents caused by elderly drivers.

Ultimate Resisting Capacity of Axially Loaded Circular Concrete-Filled Steel Tube Columns (축력이 재하된 원형 콘크리트 충전강관 기둥의 최대 저항능력)

  • Kwak, Hyo-Gyoung;Kwak, Ji-Hyun
    • Journal of the Korea Concrete Institute
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.423-433
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    • 2012
  • The axial load on the concrete-filled steel tube (CFT) column produces confinement stress, which enhances strength of the core concrete. The amount of strength increase in concrete depends on the magnitude of produced confinement stress. From nonlinear analyses, the ultimate resisting capacity of the CFT columns subjected to axial loads was calculated. Nonlinear material properties such as Poisson's ratio and stress-strain relation were considered in the suggested model, and the maximum confining stress was obtained by multi axial yield criteria of the steel tube. This proposed model was verified by comparing the analytical results with experimental results. Then, regression analyses were conducted to predict the maximum confining stress according to D/t ratio and material properties without rigorous structural analysis. To ensure the validity of the suggested regression formula, various empirical formulas and Eurocode4 design code were compared.

Hospital Visits, Admissions and Hospital Costs among Patients with Respiratory and Cardiovascular Diseases according to Particulate Matter in Seoul (서울지역 미세먼지 농도가 호흡기계 및 심혈관계의 외래 방문 및 입원과 진료비에 미치는 영향)

  • Lee, Hyeong Suk
    • Journal of Environmental Health Sciences
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    • v.42 no.5
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    • pp.324-332
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    • 2016
  • Objectives: The annual average of PM10 in Seoul was $45{\mu}/m^3$, which surpasses the WHO annual guidelines ($20{\mu}/m^3$). Most previous analyses of the effects of PM exposure have been retrospective studies using single hospital data, and fewer studies have attempted to address the relationship of PM10 and hospital costs. This study was conducted to investigate the effects of the concentration of PM10 on hospital visits, admissions and hospital costs in patients with respiratory and cardiovascular diseases. Methods: Medical data from the National Health Insurance Service and the monthly average of PM10 from National Institute of Environmental Research were used to identify the effects of PM10 on hospital visits, admissions and hospital costs. We applied Poisson regression and linear regression to perform the analysis. Results: The relative risks for admissions per $10{\mu}/m^3$ increase in PM10 were 23.11%, 10.2% and 6.9% increases for acute bronchiolitis, asthma and bronchitis, respectively. The relative risk for hospital visits per $10{\mu}/m^3$ increase in PM10 were 10.4%, 6.7% and 5.9% for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, asthma and chronic sinusitis, respectively. For cardiovascular disease, the relative risk for admissions per $10{\mu}/m^3$ increase in PM10 were 2.2% and 2.1% increases in angina and acute myocardial infarction, respectively. A $10{\mu}/m^3$ increase in the monthly average of PM10 corresponded to 170,723,000 won (95% CI: 125,587,000-215,860,000 won), 123,636,000 won (95% CI: 47,784,000-199,487,000 won) and 78,571,000 won (95% CI: 29,062,000-128,081,000 won) increases in hospital costs for asthma, acute tonsillitis and chronic sinusitis, respectively. Conclusion: Hospital admissions for respiratory and cardiovascular disease were associated with PM10 levels. PM10 exposure is also associated with increased costs for respiratory diseases.

Effects of Ambient Air Pollution on Respiratory Health of Workers at Highway Tollgate (간이 폐기능측정기 (mini-Wright)와 비강세척액 (Nasal Lavage)을 이용한 대기오염물질과 호흡기 건강영향 분석)

  • Lee, Jong-Tae;Chung, Yong;Hyun, Youn-Joo;Cho, Hyea-Ryun
    • Environmental Analysis Health and Toxicology
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    • v.14 no.1_2
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    • pp.21-33
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    • 1999
  • A large number of studies have indicated associations between the impairment of respiratory health and exposure to ambient air pollutants such as ozone (O$_3$) , nitrogen dioxide (NO$_2$) , sulfur dioxide(SO$_2$) , particulate matters (PM$\_$10/). To evaluate this associations, we used the pulmonary function tests (peak expiratory flow rate : PEFR) by mini-wright peak flow meter and counting neutrophils in the nasal lavage (NL) as biomarker. From 15 June to 16 July 1998, for the workers in the highway tollgates, PEFR and NL were measured three times daily and twice per week. and association between the level of air pollutants and PEFR and NL were analyzed using the multiple regression model and the poisson regression model respectively. The results indicated that the effects of all measured air pollutants (SO$_2$, NO$_2$, O$_3$, PM$\_$10/) were not significantly associated with the value of PEFR. On the other side, SO$_2$, NO$_2$, PM$\_$10/ were significantly associated with the number of neutrophils in NL. The increase in SO$_2$, NO$_2$of 10ppb and in PM$\_$10/ of 10$\mu\textrm{g}$/m$^3$was associated with 24%, 21%, 35% increases in neutrophil counts. But the ozone exposure was not associated with NL.

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Characteristics and Models of Intersection Accidents by Elderly Drivers in the Case of Cheongju 4-legged Signalized Intersections (고령운전자 교차로 사고의 특성 및 모형 - 청주시 4지 신호교차로를 중심으로 -)

  • Park, Byung-Ho;Han, Sang-Wook;Kim, Kyung-Hwan
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.33-40
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    • 2009
  • This study deals with the traffic accidents of elderly drivers. The objectives are to comparatively analyze the characteristics of accident between the elderly and other drivers, and to develop the models of traffic accidents. In pursuing the above, this paper gives particular attentions to testing the differences between the above two groups, and developing the models(Poisson and negative binomial regression) using the data of Cheongju 4-legged signalized intersections. The main results analyzed are as follows. First, the differences between the elderly and other drivers' accidents were clearly defined by the time of day, accident type, etc. Second, 3 accident models which were all statistically significant were developed. Finally, the differences between elderly and other drivers' models were comparatively analyzed using the common and specific variables.

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Changing incidence and survival of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma based on Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Database (2000-2017)

  • Hassam Ali;Brandon Tedder;Syed Hamza Waqar;Rana Mohamed;Edward Lawson Cate;Eslam Ali
    • Annals of Hepato-Biliary-Pancreatic Surgery
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.235-243
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    • 2022
  • Backgrounds/Aims: Historically, the incidence and prognosis of patients diagnosed with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) have been inadequately understood. Survival analysis in ICC has yet to be investigated in a population-based study. Methods: We conducted a retrospective cohort study using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program (SEER) 18 Registry. Risk ratios were estimated via Poisson regression. Hazard ratios for 5-year survival were estimated using hierarchical Cox regression models. Results: Males show a higher rate of age-adjusted ICC incidence. Blacks carried a decreased risk of ICC diagnosis than Whites, while Asians revealed a higher risk of ICC diagnosis when compared with Whites. The observed survival rates at 12, 36, and 60 months were 36.3%, 12.8%, and 8.1%, respectively. Compared with Whites, Blacks showed an increased risk of death (p < 0.01). Lymph node resection during surgery was associated with a 64.1% reduced risk of mortality (p < 0.01). A higher T stage at diagnosis was associated with poor survival (p < 0.01). Surgery combined with chemoradiotherapy, radiotherapy, or chemotherapy was associated with a reduced risk of mortality compared with nonsurgical interventions (p < 0.01). Conclusions: ICC incidence has been increasing since 2000, especially in White males. The risk of ICC rises with age. Lymph node removal is associated with better survival. In recent years, survival had worsened, and surgical intervention improved survival compared with nonsurgical management.