• Title/Summary/Keyword: Point rainfall process model

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Development of Near Real Time GNSS Precipitable Water Vapor System Using Precise Point Positioning (정밀절대측위를 이용한 준실시간 GNSS 가강수량 시스템 개발)

  • Yoon, Ha Su;Cho, Jung Ho;Park, Han Earl;Yoo, Sung Moon
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.35 no.6
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    • pp.471-484
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    • 2017
  • GNSS PWV (Precipitable Water Vapor) is recognized as an important factor for weather forecasts of typhoons and heavy rainfall. Domestic and foreign research have been published that improve weather forecasts using GNSS PWV as initial input data to NWP (Numerical Weather Prediction) model. For rainfall-related weather forecasts, PWV should be provided in real time or NRT (Near-Real Time) and the accuracy and integrity should be maintained. In this paper, the development process of NRT GNSS PWV system using PPP (Precise Point Positioning). To this end, we optimized the variables related to tropospheric delay estimation of PPP. For the analysis of the PPP NRT PWV system, we compared the PWV precision of RP (Relative Positioning) and PPP. As a result, the accuracy of PPP was lower than that of RP, but good results were obtained in the PWV data integrity. Future research is needed to improve the precision of PWV in the PPP method.

Evaluation of Potential Amount of Groundwater Development in Chungju Basin by Using Watershed Hydrologic Model and Frequency Analysis (유역수문모형과 빈도해석을 이용한 충주댐 상류유역 지하수 개발가능량의 평가)

  • Lee, Jeong-Eun;Kim, Nam-Won;Chung, Il-Moon;Lee, Jeong-Woo
    • Economic and Environmental Geology
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    • v.41 no.4
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    • pp.443-451
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    • 2008
  • Memon(1995) pointed out that the groundwater recharge from the precipitation is affected by various factors such as the occurrence, intensity, duration, and seasonal distribution of rainfall; air temperature, humidity, and wind velocity; the character and thickness of the soil layer above the water table; vegetated cover, soil moisture content, depth to the water table, topography; and land use. To reflect above factors, groundwater recharge in Chungju basin is computed by using the SWAT-K which is a longterm continuous watershed hydrologic model. Frequency analysis is adopted to evaluate the existing values of potential amount of groundwater development which is made by the 10 year drought frequency rainfall multiplied by recharge coefficient. In this work, the recharge rates of 10 year drought frequency in subbains were computed and compared with the existing values of potential amount of groundwater development. This process could point out the problems of existing precesses used for computing potential amount of groundwater development.

Analysis of the suitability of optimization methods for parameter estimation of stochastic rainfall model. (추계학적 강우모형의 모수 추정을 위한 최적화 기법의 적합성 분석)

  • Cho, Hyungon;Kim, Gwangseob
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2018.05a
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    • pp.327-327
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    • 2018
  • 돌발홍수, 집중호우 등 강우가 발생 원인되는 자연재해에 효과적으로 대응하기 위한 연구가 활발히 이루어지고 있으나 강우의 시공간 변동성과 발생과정의 복잡한 물리과정으로 인해 강우 추정에 한계를 가진다. 일반적으로 강우 추정은 물리적, 추계학적 모형을 이용하며 추계학적 모형의 점과정(point process)을 이용하여 강우를 생산한다. 추계학적 강우 모형은 관측 강우의 시간 스케일, 강우발생 빈도, 강우 강도 등 강우 구조의 특성을 반영 할 수 있다는 장점을 가지고 있으나 생산되는 강우의 구조가 추정되는 매개변수에 크게 의존한다는 점에서 실제 강우에 적합한 매개변수 추정이 중요하다. 본 연구에서는 낙동강 유역내에 있는 20개의 강우관측 지점을 대상으로 1973년-2017년까지의 강우 관측자료를 수집하였으며 추계학적 강우생성 모형으로 점과정을 이용하는 추계학적 강우생성 모형인 NSRPM(Neymann-Scott rectangular pulse model)을 선정하였다. NSRPM모형의 매개변수를 추정하기위한 최적기법으로 DFP(Davidon-Fletcher-Powell), GA(genetic algorithm), Nelder-Mead, DE(differential evolution)를 이용하여 추정된 매개변수의 적합성을 분석하고 지역특성을 고려한 매개변수 추정 기법을 제시하였다. 추정된 모형의 매개변수를 분석한 결과 DE와 Nelder-Mead 기법이 높은 적합성을 보였으며 DFP, GA기법이 상대적으로 낮은 적합도를 보였다.

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Selecting Target Sites for Non-point Source Pollution Management Using Analytic Hierarchy Process (계층분석적 의사결정기법을 이용한 비점원오염 관리지역의 선정)

  • Shin, Jung-Bum;Park, Seung-Woo;Kim, Hak-Kwan;Choi, Ra-Young
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.49 no.3
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    • pp.79-88
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    • 2007
  • This paper suggests a hierarchial method to select the target sites for the nonpoint source pollution management considering factors which reflect the interrelationships of significant outflow characteristics of nonpoint source pollution at given sites. The factors consist of land slope, delivery distance to the outlet, effective rainfall, impervious area ratio and soil loss. The weight of each factor was calculated by an analytic hierarchy process(AHP) algorithm and the resulting influencing index was defined from the sum of the product of each factor and its computed weight value. The higher index reflect the proposed target sites for nonpoint source pollution management. The proposed method was applied to the Baran HP#6 watershed, located southwest from Suwon city. The Agricultural Nonpoint Pollution Source(AGNPS) model was also applied to identify sites contributing significantly to the nonpoint source pollution loads from the watershed. The spatial correlation between the two results for sites was analyzed using Moran's I values. The I values were $0.38{\sim}0.45$ for total nitrogen(T-N), and $0.15{\sim}0.22$ for total phosphorus(T-P), respectively. The results showed that two independent estimates for sites within the test water-shed were highly correlated, and that the proposed hierarchial method may be applied to select the target sites for nonpoint source pollution management.

Sewer Decontamination Mechanism and Pipe Network Monitoring and Fault Diagnosis of Water Network System Based on System Analysis (시스템 해석에 기초한 하수관망 오염 매카니즘과 관망 모니터링 및 이상진단)

  • Kang, OnYu;Lee, SeungChul;Kim, MinJeong;Yu, SuMin;Yoo, ChangKyoo
    • Korean Chemical Engineering Research
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    • v.50 no.6
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    • pp.980-987
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    • 2012
  • Nonpoint source pollution causes leaks and overtopping, depending on the state of the sewer network as well as aggravates the pollution load of the aqueous water system as it is introduced into the sewer by wash-off. According, the need for efficient sewer monitoring system which can manage the sewage flowrate, water quality, inflow/infiltration and overflow has increased for sewer maintenance and the prevention of environmental pollution. However, the sewer monitoring is not easy since the sewer network is built in underground with the complex nature of its structure and connections. Sewer decontamination mechanism as well as pipe network monitoring and fault diagnosis of water network system on system analysis proposed in this study. First, the pollution removal pattern and behavior of contaminants in the sewer pipe network is analyzed by using sewer process simulation program, stormwater & wastewater management model for expert (XP-SWMM). Second, the sewer network fault diagnosis was performed using the multivariate statistical monitoring to monitor water quality in the sewer and detect the sewer leakage and burst. Sewer decontamination mechanism analysis with static and dynamic state system results showed that loads of total nitrogen (TN) and total phosphorous (TP) during rainfall are greatly increased than non-rainfall, which will aggravate the pollution load of the water system. Accordingly, the sewer outflow in pipe network is analyzed due to the increased flow and inflow of pollutant concentration caused by rainfall. The proposed sewer network monitoring and fault diagnosis technique can be used effectively for the nonpoint source pollution management of the urban watershed as well as continuous monitoring system.

Development of Information System based on GIS for Analyzing Basin-Wide Pollutant Washoff (유역오염원 수질거동해석을 위한 GIS기반 정보시스템 개발)

  • Park, Dae-Hee;Ha, Sung-Ryong
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.34-44
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    • 2006
  • Simulation models allow researchers to model large hydrological catchment for comprehensive management of the water resources and explication of the diffuse pollution processes, such as land-use changes by development plan of the region. Recently, there have been reported many researches that examine water body quality using Geographic Information System (GIS) and dynamic watershed models such as AGNPS, HSPF, SWAT that necessitate handling large amounts of data. The aim of this study is to develop a watershed based water quality estimation system for the impact assessment on stream water quality. KBASIN-HSPF, proposed in this study, provides easy data compiling for HSPF by facilitating the setup and simulation process. It also assists the spatial interpretation of point and non-point pollutant information and thiessen rainfall creation and pre and post processing for large environmental data An integration methodology of GIS and water quality model for the preprocessing geo-morphologic data was designed by coupling the data model KBASIN-HSPF interface comprises four modules: registration and modification of basic environmental information, watershed delineation generator, watershed geo-morphologic index calculator and model input file processor. KBASIN-HSPF was applied to simulate the water quality impact by variation of subbasin pollution discharge structure.

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A Study of New Modified Neyman-Scott Rectangular Pulse Model Development Using Direct Parameter Estimation (직접적인 매개변수 추정방법을 이용한 새로운 수정된 Neyman-Scott 구형펄스모형 개발 연구)

  • Shin, Ju-Young;Joo, Kyoung-Won;Heo, Jun-Haeng
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.44 no.2
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    • pp.135-144
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    • 2011
  • Direct parameter estimation method is verified with various models based on Neyman-Scott rectangular pulse model (NSRPM). Also, newly modified NSRPM (NMSRPM) that uses normal distribution is developed. Precipitation data observed by Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) for 47 years is applied for parameter estimation. For model performance verification, we used statistics, wet ratio and precipitation accumulate distribution of precipitation generated. The comparison of statistics indicates that absolute relative error (ARE)s of the results from NSRPM and modified NSRPM (MNSRPM) are increasing on July, August, and September and ARE of NMNSRPM shows 10.11% that is the smallest ARE among the three models. NMNSRPM simulates the characteristics of precipitation statistics well. By comparing the wet ratio, MNSRPM shows the smallest ARE that is 16.35% and by using the graphical analysis, we found that these three models underestimate the wet ratio. The three models show about 2% of ARE of precipitation accumulate probability. Those results show that the three models simulate precipitation accumulate probability well. As the results, it is found that the parameters of NSRPM, MNSRPM and NMNSRPM are able to be estimated by the direct parameter estimation method. From the results listed above, we concluded that the direct parameter estimation is able to be applied to various models based on NSRPM. NMNSRPM shows good performance compared with developed model-NSRPM and MNSRPM and the models based on NSRPM can be developed by the direct parameter estimation method.

Assessing the skills of CMIP5 GCMs in reproducing spatial climatology of precipitation over the coastal area in East Asia (CMIP5 GCM의 동아시아 해안지역에 대한 공간적 강우특성 재현성 평가)

  • Hwang, Syewoon;Cho, Jeapil;Yoon, Kwang Sik
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.51 no.8
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    • pp.629-642
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    • 2018
  • Future variability of the spatial patterns of rainfall events is the point of water-related risks and impacts of climate change. Recent related researches are mostly conducted based on the outcomes from General Circulation Models (GCMs), especially Coupled Model Intercomparison Project, phase 5 (CMIP5) GCMs which are the most advanced version of climate modeling system. GCM data have been widely used for various studies as the data utility keep getting improved. Meanwhile the model performances especially for raw GCM outputs are rarely evaluated prior to the applications although the process would essential for reasonable use of model forecasts. This study attempt to quantitatively evaluate the skills of 29 CMIP5 GCMs in reproducing spatial climatologies of precipitation in East Asia. We used 3 different gridded observational data as the references available over the study area and calculated correlation and errors of spatial patterns simulated by GCMs. As a result, the study presented diversity of the GCM evaluation in the performance, rank, or accuracy by different configurations, such as target area, evaluation method, and observation data. Yet, we found that Hadley-centre affiliated models comparatively performs better for the meso-scale area in East Asia and MPI_ESM_MR and CMCC family showed better performance specifically for the korean peninsula. We expect that the results and thoughts of this study would be considered in screening suitable GCMs for specific area, and finally contribute to extensive utilization of the results from climate change related researches.

Study on Analysis of the Proper Ratio and the Effects of Low Impact Development Application to Sewage Treatment District (하수처리구역 내 LID 적용에 대한 적정비율 및 효과분석 연구)

  • Shin, Hyun Suk;Kim, Mi Eun;Kim, Jae Moon;Jang, Jong Kyung
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.46 no.12
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    • pp.1193-1207
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    • 2013
  • Increase of impervious area caused by overdevelopment has led to increase of runoff and then the problem of flooding and NPS were brought up. In addition, as decrease of base flow made groundwater level to decline, a stream that dries up is issued. low impact development (LID) method which is possible to mimic hydrological water cycle, minimize the effect of development, and improve water cycle structure is proposed as an alternative. As introduction of LID in domestic increases, the study on small watershed is in process mainly. Also, analysis of property of hydrological runoff and load on midsize watershed, like sewage treatment district, is required, the study on it is still insufficient. So, area applying LID practices from watershed of Dongrae stream is pinpointed and made the ratio and then expand it to watershed of Oncheon stream. Among low impact development practices, Green Roof, Porous Pavement, and Bio- retention are selected for the application considering domestic situations and simulated with SWMM-LID model of each watershed and improvement of water cycle and reduction of non-point pollution loads was analysed. Improvement of water cycle and reduction of non-point pollution loads were analyzed including the property of rainfall and soil over long term simulation. The model was executed according to scenario based on combination of LID as changing conductivity in accordance with soil type of the watershed. Also, this study evaluated area of LID application that meets the efficiency of conventional management as a criteria for area of LID practices applying to sewer treatment district by comparing the efficiency of LID application with that of conventional method.