• Title/Summary/Keyword: Pitcher Replacement

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A Study on the Timing of Starting Pitcher Replacement Using Machine Learning (머신러닝을 활용한 선발 투수 교체시기에 관한 연구)

  • Noh, Seongjin;Noh, Mijin;Han, Mumoungcho;Um, Sunhyun;Kim, Yangsok
    • Smart Media Journal
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.9-17
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    • 2022
  • The purpose of this study is to implement a predictive model to support decision-making to replace a starting pitcher before a crisis situation in a baseball game. To this end, using the Major League Statcast data provided by Baseball Savant, we implement a predictive model that preemptively replaces starting pitchers before a crisis situation. To this end, first, the crisis situation that the starting pitcher faces in the game was derived through data exploration. Second, if the starting pitcher was replaced before the end of the inning, learning was carried out by composing a label with a replacement in the previous inning. As a result of comparing the trained models, the model based on the ensemble method showed the highest predictive performance with an F1-Score of 65%. The practical significance of this study is that the proposed model can contribute to increasing the team's winning probability by replacing the starting pitcher before a crisis situation, and the coach will be able to receive data-based strategic decision-making support during the game.

Suggestion of starting pitcher ability index in Korea baseball - Focusing on the sabermetrics statistics WAR (한국프로야구에서 선발투수의 투수능력지수 제안 - 대체선수대비승수 (WAR)을 중심으로)

  • Kim, Hyeon-Gyu;Lee, Jea-Young
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.863-874
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    • 2017
  • Wins above replacement (WAR) is the most commonly used statistics of the many sabermetrics that measure baseball players' abilities. The advantage of a WAR is that it enables to compare performances of players even though they have different roles such as pitcher and hitter. However, WAR is difficult to obtain with common records. Thus, in this paper, we have calculated the sabermetrics variable based on Korean professional baseball records for the past three years (2014-2016). Using these variables, we suggest starting pitcher ability index that can replace WAR. Starting pitcher ability index was calculated by means of arithmetic mean, weighted average and principal component regression. Then, compared to the WAR, the most relevant method was selected, which would be useful to identify for the starting pitcher ability.

Strength properties of concrete permeability blocks using polymer PVA (폴리머 PVA 사용에 따른 콘크리트 투수블록의 강도 특성)

  • Lee, Won-Gyu;Pyeon, Su-Jeong;Yoo, Byeong-Yong;Lee, Sang-Soo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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    • 2018.05a
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    • pp.29-30
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    • 2018
  • Recent impervious pavements on roads and sidewalks cause rainwater to not penetrate into the ground, deplete groundwater, or flood the rivers, causing urban flood damage. In order to solve these problems, the amount of installed pitcher block is increasing, but the existing pitcher block is made with cement base and causes many problems. In the cement permeable block, the efflorescene phenomenon occurs due to the acid component, and the pore of the permeable block is clogged and the permeability is lost. As a result, the service life of the pitcher block is shortened and the replacement period is shortened. The purpose of this study is to analyze the basic properties of polymer concrete by replacing cement with polymer in order to solve the problem of cement - based concrete permeable block.

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Top batter select through the BAI in 2016 KBO -Focusing on the sabermetrics statistics WAR (2016 KBO 최고 타자의 타격능력선수는? - 대체선수대비승수 (WAR)을 중심으로)

  • Kim, Hyeon-Gyu;Lee, Jea-Young;Cho, Gyu-Tae
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.28 no.6
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    • pp.1501-1509
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    • 2017
  • Wins above replacement (WAR) is the most commonly used statistics of the sabermetrics that measure baseball players' abilities. The advantage of a WAR is that it enables to compare performances of players even though they have different roles such as pitcher and hitter. However, WAR is difficult to obtain with common records. Thus, a past studies (Lee and Kim, 2016) suggested the batting ability index to determine the ability of the batter focused on the sabermetrics statistics WAR. In this paper, we selected the best hitter with applying Korea baseball 2016 data based on a proposed model and then observed a total raking of others according to BAI. We are assured that BAI is very excellent statistics through comparing BAI and WAR which is in the spotlight in evaluating performances of players.

A DEA Analysis of the Effect of High Efficient Pitchers on the Team's Advance to the Post Season of the Korean Baseball League (한국프로야구에서 효율성 높은 투수가 팀의 포스트 시즌 진출에 미치는 영향: DEA 활용 분석)

  • Kim, Jae-Hong;Hwang, Seung-June
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.45 no.2
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    • pp.30-36
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    • 2022
  • This study analyzed the relationship between efficient pitchers and teams advancing to the postseason in Korean professional baseball through DEA. A total of 1,133 pitchers who threw more than one inning from the 2014 season to the 2018 season were selected for this study. For DEA analysis, input variables were selected as annual salary and inning output variables as Wins, Saves, and Holds and the number of efficient pitchers for each season was classified using the input-oriented BCC model. After that, it was divided into two groups based on joining the postseason or not, and the number of efficient pitchers was compared through a prop test. As a result of the analysis, the groups that advanced to the postseason in the rest of the season except for the 2014 and 2017 seasons had more efficient pitchers. Considering that the 2014 season recorded the highest WAR (Wins Above Replacement) at 183.56 compared to other seasons, most pitchers threw well, and in the 2017 season, they made more mistakes in pitching than in other seasons, but they performed well in batters. The results of this study have expanded the research field using efficiency analysis in professional baseball and can be used as useful data for practical research.