• Title/Summary/Keyword: Photovoltaic Power Prediction

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Big Data Analysis and Processing for Remote Control of PV Facilities (태양광발전설비 원격 관제를 위한 빅데이터 분석 및 처리)

  • Kwon, Jun-A;Kim, Young-Geun;Lee, Jong-Chan;Kim, Won-Jung
    • The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.837-844
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    • 2018
  • In order to increase the generation of renewable energy, it is necessary to increase or decrease the generation amount of existing generators. The generators that respond rapidly to increase / decrease the generation amount generally have high generation cost. Therefore, Cost effectiveness is affected. In this paper, we propose a PV remote control system with big data to minimize the uncertainty of solar power generation prediction.

Feature Vector Extraction for Solar Energy Prediction through Data Visualization and Exploratory Data Analysis (데이터 시각화 및 탐색적 데이터 분석을 통한 태양광 에너지 예측용 특징벡터 추출)

  • Jung, Wonseok;Ham, Kyung-Sun;Park, Moon-Ghu;Jeong, Young-Hwa;Seo, Jeongwook
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2017.10a
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    • pp.514-517
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    • 2017
  • In solar photovoltaic systems, power generation is greatly affected by the weather conditions, so it is essential to predict solar energy for stable load operation. Therefore, data on weather conditions are needed as inputs to machine learning algorithms for solar energy prediction. In this paper, we use 15 kinds of weather data such as the precipitation accumulated during the 3 hours of the surface, upward and downward longwave radiation average, upward and downward shortwave radiation average, the temperature during the past 3 hours at 2 m above from the ground and temperature from the ground surface as input data to the algorithm. We analyzed the statistical characteristics and correlations of weather data and extracted the downward and upward shortwave radiation averages as a major elements of a feature vector with high correlation of 70% or more with solar energy.

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Estimation on Heating and Cooling Loads for a Multi-Span Greenhouse and Performance Analysis of PV System using Building Energy Simulation (BES를 이용한 연동형 온실의 냉·난방 부하 산정 및 PV 시스템 발전 성능 분석)

  • Lee, Minhyung;Lee, In-Bok;Ha, Tae-Hwan;Kim, Rack-Woo;Yeo, Uk-Hyeon;Lee, Sang-Yeon;Park, Gwanyong;Kim, Jun-Gyu
    • Journal of Bio-Environment Control
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.258-267
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    • 2017
  • The price competitiveness of photovoltaic system (PV system) has risen recently due to the growth of industries, however, it is rarely applied to the greenhouse compared to other renewable energy. In order to evaluate the application of PV system in the greenhouse, power generation and optimal installation area of PV panels should be analyzed. For this purpose, the prediction of the heating and cooling loads of the greenhouse is necessary at first. Therefore, periodic and maximum energy loads of a multi-span greenhouse were estimated using Building Energy Simulation(BES) and optimal installation area of PV panels was derived in this study. 5 parameter equivalent circuit model was applied to analyzed power generation of PV system under different installation angle and the optimal installation condition of the PV system was derived. As a result of the energy simulation, the average cooling load and heating load of the greenhouse were 627,516MJ and 1,652,050MJ respectively when the ventilation rate was $60AE{\cdot}hr^{-1}$. The highest electric power production of the PV system was generated when the installation angle was set to $30^{\circ}$. Also, adjustable PV system produced about 6% more electric power than the fixed PV system. Optimal installation area of the PV panels was derived with consideration of the estimated energy loads. As a result, optimal installation area of PV panels for fixed PV system and adjustable PV system were $521m^2$ and $494m^2$ respectively.

Technology Trends and Future Prospects of Satellite-Based Photovoltaic Electricity Potential (위성기반 태양광 발전가능량 산출기술 개발 동향 및 향후 전망)

  • Han, Kyung-Soo;Kim, Jinsoo
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.32 no.6
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    • pp.579-587
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    • 2016
  • To obtain a stable energy supply and manage PhotoVoltaic (PV) systems efficiently, satellite imagery methods are being developed to estimate the solar PV potential. This study analyzed trends in the use of satellite imagery in solar PV and solar irradiation estimation technology. The imaging technology is used to produce solar energy resource maps. The trend analysis showed that the level of solar PV technology in Korea is 30% below that of advanced countries. It is impossible to raise such low-level technologies to the levels of advanced countries quickly. Intensive research and development is the only way to achieve the 80% technology level of advanced countries. The information produced in this process can contribute to the management of solar power plants. A valid technology development strategy would be to obtain effective data that can be used for fieldwork. Such data can be produced by estimating solar irradiation very accurately with several-hundred-meter resolution using Communication, Ocean, and Meteorological Satellites (COMS) and next-generation GEO-KOMPSAT 2A, developing core technologies for short- and medium-term irradiation prediction, and developing technologies for estimating the solar PV potential.

Multiple Linear Regression Analysis of PV Power Forecasting for Evaluation and Selection of Suitable PV Sites (태양광 발전소 건설부지 평가 및 선정을 위한 선형회귀분석 기반 태양광 발전량 추정 모델)

  • Heo, Jae;Park, Bumsoo;Kim, Byungil;Han, SangUk
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.20 no.6
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    • pp.126-131
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    • 2019
  • The estimation of available solar energy at particular locations is critical to find and assess suitable locations of PV sites. The amount of PV power generation is however affected by various geographical factors (e.g., weather), which may make it difficult to identify the complex relationship between affecting factors and power outputs and to apply findings from one study to another in different locations. This study thus undertakes a regression analysis using data collected from 172 PV plants spatially distributed in Korea to identify critical weather conditions and estimate the potential power generation of PV systems. Such data also include solar radiation, precipitation, fine dust, humidity, temperature, cloud amount, sunshine duration, and wind speed. The estimated PV power generation is then compared to the actual PV power generation to evaluate prediction performance. As a result, the proposed model achieves a MAPE of 11.696(%) and an R-squred of 0.979. It is also found that the variables, excluding humidity, are all statistically significant in predicting the efficiency of PV power generation. According, this study may facilitate the understanding of what weather conditions can be considered and the estimation of PV power generation for evaluating and determining suitable locations of PV facilities.