• 제목/요약/키워드: Performance prediction

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문맥적응적 화면내 예측 모델 학습 및 부호화 성능분석 (Context-Adaptive Intra Prediction Model Training and Its Coding Performance Analysis)

  • 문기화;박도현;김재곤
    • 방송공학회논문지
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    • 제27권3호
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    • pp.332-340
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    • 2022
  • 최근 딥러닝을 적용하는 비디오 압축에 대한 연구가 활발히 진행되고 있다. 특히, 화면내 예측 부호화의 성능 한계를 극복할 수 있는 방안으로 딥러닝 기반의 화면내 예측 부호화 기술이 연구되고 있다. 본 논문은 신경망 기반 문맥적응적 화면내 예측 모델의 학습기법과 그 부호화 성능분석을 제시한다. 즉, 본 논문에서는 주변 참조샘플의 문맥정보를 입력하여 현재블록을 예측하는 기존의 합성곱 신경망(CNN: Convolutional Neural network) 기반의 화면내 예측 모델을 학습한다. 학습된 화면내 예측 모델을 HEVC(High Efficiency Video Coding)의 참조 소프트웨어인 HM16.19에 추가적인 화면내 예측모드로 구현하고 그 부호화 성능을 분석하였다. 실험결과 학습한 예측 모델은 HEVC 대비 AI(All Intra) 모드에서 0.28% BD-rate 부호화 성능 향상을 보였다. 또한 비디오 부호화 블록분할 구조를 고려하여 학습한 경우의 성능도 확인하였다.

주가 경향 예측 모델의 공정한 성능 평가 방법 (Fair Performance Evaluation Method for Stock Trend Prediction Models)

  • 임정수
    • 한국콘텐츠학회논문지
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    • 제20권10호
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    • pp.702-714
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    • 2020
  • 주식 투자는 재테크의 하나로 금리 인하와 비과세 제도의 축소에 따라 주목을 받기 시작했다. 그러나 투자에 전문적인 지식이 필요할 뿐 아니라 위험 부담이 크다는 단점이 있다. 따라서 주가 경향의 정확한 예측은 개인투자자에게나 주식 투자 관련 서비스를 제공하는 회사에 중요한 능력이며, 더욱 정확한 예측을 위한 연구가 활발히 진행 중이다. 그러나 예측 연구들의 공정한 비교와 최고의 예측 모델을 얻기 위한 하이퍼-파라미터의 최적화에는 예측 모델의 성능을 정확하게 평가하는 방법이 필요한데, 지금까지 예측 모델의 성능 평가에 대한 연구는 미진한 상태이며, 기존 방법들을 그대로 답습하고 있는 실정이다. 이에 본 논문에서는 주가 예측 모델 성능 평가를 측정기준과 데이터 구성의 관점에서 분석하고, 예측 불균형 비율을 이용한 주가 경향 예측 모델의 공정한 성능 평가 방법을 제안한다.

Cloud Removal Using Gaussian Process Regression for Optical Image Reconstruction

  • Park, Soyeon;Park, No-Wook
    • 대한원격탐사학회지
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    • 제38권4호
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    • pp.327-341
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    • 2022
  • Cloud removal is often required to construct time-series sets of optical images for environmental monitoring. In regression-based cloud removal, the selection of an appropriate regression model and the impact analysis of the input images significantly affect the prediction performance. This study evaluates the potential of Gaussian process (GP) regression for cloud removal and also analyzes the effects of cloud-free optical images and spectral bands on prediction performance. Unlike other machine learning-based regression models, GP regression provides uncertainty information and automatically optimizes hyperparameters. An experiment using Sentinel-2 multi-spectral images was conducted for cloud removal in the two agricultural regions. The prediction performance of GP regression was compared with that of random forest (RF) regression. Various combinations of input images and multi-spectral bands were considered for quantitative evaluations. The experimental results showed that using multi-temporal images with multi-spectral bands as inputs achieved the best prediction accuracy. Highly correlated adjacent multi-spectral bands and temporally correlated multi-temporal images resulted in an improved prediction accuracy. The prediction performance of GP regression was significantly improved in predicting the near-infrared band compared to that of RF regression. Estimating the distribution function of input data in GP regression could reflect the variations in the considered spectral band with a broader range. In particular, GP regression was superior to RF regression for reproducing structural patterns at both sites in terms of structural similarity. In addition, uncertainty information provided by GP regression showed a reasonable similarity to prediction errors for some sub-areas, indicating that uncertainty estimates may be used to measure the prediction result quality. These findings suggest that GP regression could be beneficial for cloud removal and optical image reconstruction. In addition, the impact analysis results of the input images provide guidelines for selecting optimal images for regression-based cloud removal.

단축적법의 개선에 의한 축류압축기의 효과적인 성능예측 (Effective Performance Prediction of Axial Flow Compressors Using a Modified Stage-Stacking Method)

  • 송태원;김재환;김동섭;노승탁
    • 대한기계학회논문집B
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    • 제24권8호
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    • pp.1077-1084
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    • 2000
  • In this work, a modified stage-stacking method for the performance prediction of multi-stage axial flow compressors is proposed. The method is based on a simultaneous calculation of all interstage variables (temperature, pressure, flow velocity) instead of the conventional sequential stage-by-stage scheme. The method is also very useful in simulating the effect of changing angles of the inlet guide vane and stator vanes on the compressor operating characteristics. Generalized stage performance curves are used in presenting the performance characteristics of each stage. General assumptions enable determination of flow path data and stage design performance. Performance of various real compressors is predicted and comparison between prediction and field data validates the usefulness of the present method.

A Sensitivity Analysis of Centrifugal Compressors Empirical Models

  • Baek, Je-Hyun;Sungho Yoon
    • Journal of Mechanical Science and Technology
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    • 제15권9호
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    • pp.1292-1301
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    • 2001
  • The mean-line method using empirical models is the most practical method of predicting off-design performance. To gain insight into the empirical models, the influence of empirical models on the performance prediction results is investigated. We found that, in the two-zone model, the secondary flow mass fraction has a considerable effect at high mass flow-rates on the performance prediction curves. In the TEIS model, the first element changes the slope of the performance curves as well as the stable operating range. The second element makes the performance curves move up and down as it increases or decreases. It is also discovered that the slip factor affects pressure ratio, but it has little effect on efficiency. Finally, this study reveals that the skin friction coefficient has significant effect on both the pressure ratio curve and the efficiency curve. These results show the limitations of the present empirical models, and more resonable empirical models are reeded.

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축소모형 방음벽 상단장치의 성능예측 및 평가에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Performance Prediction and Evaluation of Scale Down Noise Reducing Device on the Top of Noise Barrier)

  • 윤제원;김영찬;장강석;홍병국
    • 한국철도학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국철도학회 2011년도 정기총회 및 추계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.2844-2851
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    • 2011
  • The purpose of this study is to set up an acoustic prediction technique and to perform the IL test of scale down noise reducing device for the development of the noise reducing device as the development of 400km/h class high speed train. First of all, the IL prediction of noise reducing device was performed with the 2D BEM method. And the noise test of scale down noise reducing device in anechoic chamber was performed for the verification of acoustic prediction technique and IL performance evaluation. As the results, the acoustic prediction technique for the development of noise reducing device was verified because the averaged IL difference between prediction and test is in 2dB(A). And the measured IL value of noise reducing device is less than 2dB(A), and additional IL with polyester absorption material is increased about 0.5dB(A).

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Severity-based Software Quality Prediction using Class Imbalanced Data

  • Hong, Euy-Seok;Park, Mi-Kyeong
    • 한국컴퓨터정보학회논문지
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    • 제21권4호
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    • pp.73-80
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    • 2016
  • Most fault prediction models have class imbalance problems because training data usually contains much more non-fault class modules than fault class ones. This imbalanced distribution makes it difficult for the models to learn the minor class module data. Data imbalance is much higher when severity-based fault prediction is used. This is because high severity fault modules is a smaller subset of the fault modules. In this paper, we propose severity-based models to solve these problems using the three sampling methods, Resample, SpreadSubSample and SMOTE. Empirical results show that Resample method has typical over-fit problems, and SpreadSubSample method cannot enhance the prediction performance of the models. Unlike two methods, SMOTE method shows good performance in terms of AUC and FNR values. Especially J48 decision tree model using SMOTE outperforms other prediction models.

자동결함 검출시스템에서 결함크기 측정오차로 인한 오검률의 통계적 예측 (Statistical Prediction of False Alarm Rates in Automatic Vision Inspection System)

  • 주영복;허경무;박길홈
    • 제어로봇시스템학회논문지
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    • 제15권9호
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    • pp.906-908
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    • 2009
  • AVI (Automatic Vision Inspection) systems automatically detect defect features and measure their sizes via camera vision. It is important to predict the performance of an AVI to meet customer's specification in advance. Also the prediction can indicate the level of current performance of an AVI system. In this paper, we propose a statistical method for prediction of false alarm rate regarding inconsistency of defect size measurement process. For this purpose, only simple experiments are needed to measure the defect sizes for certain number of times. The statistical features from the experiment are utilized in the prediction process. Therefore, the proposed method is swift and easy to implement and use. The experiment shows a close prediction compared to manual inspection results.

Prediction model of service life for tunnel structures in carbonation environments by genetic programming

  • Gao, Wei;Chen, Dongliang
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • 제18권4호
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    • pp.373-389
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    • 2019
  • It is important to study the problem of durability for tunnel structures. As a main influence on the durability of tunnel structures, carbonation-induced corrosion is studied. For the complicated environment of tunnel structures, based on the data samples from real engineering examples, the intelligent method (genetic programming) is used to construct the service life prediction model of tunnel structures. Based on the model, the prediction of service life for tunnel structures in carbonation environments is studied. Using the data samples from some tunnel engineering examples in China under carbonation environment, the proposed method is verified. In addition, the performance of the proposed prediction model is compared with that of the artificial neural network method. Finally, the effect of two main controlling parameters, the population size and sample size, on the performance of the prediction model by genetic programming is analyzed in detail.

Crime amount prediction based on 2D convolution and long short-term memory neural network

  • Dong, Qifen;Ye, Ruihui;Li, Guojun
    • ETRI Journal
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    • 제44권2호
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    • pp.208-219
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    • 2022
  • Crime amount prediction is crucial for optimizing the police patrols' arrangement in each region of a city. First, we analyzed spatiotemporal correlations of the crime data and the relationships between crime and related auxiliary data, including points-of-interest (POI), public service complaints, and demographics. Then, we proposed a crime amount prediction model based on 2D convolution and long short-term memory neural network (2DCONV-LSTM). The proposed model captures the spatiotemporal correlations in the crime data, and the crime-related auxiliary data are used to enhance the regional spatial features. Extensive experiments on real-world datasets are conducted. Results demonstrated that capturing both temporal and spatial correlations in crime data and using auxiliary data to extract regional spatial features improve the prediction performance. In the best case scenario, the proposed model reduces the prediction error by at least 17.8% and 8.2% compared with support vector regression (SVR) and LSTM, respectively. Moreover, excessive auxiliary data reduce model performance because of the presence of redundant information.