• Title/Summary/Keyword: Performance parameter and evaluation

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A Zero-Inated Model for Insurance Data (제로팽창 모형을 이용한 보험데이터 분석)

  • Choi, Jong-Hoo;Ko, In-Mi;Cheon, Soo-Young
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.485-494
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    • 2011
  • When the observations can take only the non-negative integer values, it is called the count data such as the numbers of car accidents, earthquakes, or insurance coverage. In general, the Poisson regression model has been used to model these count data; however, this model has a weakness in that it is restricted by the equality of the mean and the variance. On the other hand, the count data often tend to be too dispersed to allow the use of the Poisson model in practice because the variance of data is significantly larger than its mean due to heterogeneity within groups. When overdispersion is not taken into account, it is expected that the resulting parameter estimates or standard errors will be inefficient. Since coverage is the main issue for insurance, some accidents may not be covered by insurance, and the number covered by insurance may be zero. This paper considers the zero-inflated model for the count data including many zeros. The performance of this model has been investigated by using of real data with overdispersion and many zeros. The results indicate that the Zero-Inflated Negative Binomial Regression Model performs the best for model evaluation.

Evaluation of Seismic Strengthening Approach at the Boundary Elements of RC Walls using Prestressed Wire Rope Units (프리스트레스트 와이어로프를 사용한 RC 벽체의 단부 경계요소 내진보강 평가)

  • Kwon, Hyuck-Jin;Yang, Keun-Hyeok;Byun, Hang-Yong
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.56-63
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    • 2018
  • The present study examined the reversal cyclic flexural behavior of walls with jacket section approach for seismic strengthening through forming the boundary elements at both ends of the wall. The prestressed wire ropes were used for the lateral reinforcement to confine the boundary element of the wall. The main parameter investigated was the height of the jacket section for strengthening. The limit height of the strengthening jacket section was determined by comparing the moment distributions between the existing and strengthened walls. Test results showed that the examined jacket section approach was significantly effective in enhancing the flexural resistance of walls, indicating 46% higher stiffness at peak strength and 210% greater work damage indicator, compared with the flexural performance of the unstrengthened wall. The ductility of the strengthened walls was insignificantly affected by the height of the jacket section when the height is greater than twice the wall length. The flexural capacity of the strengthened walls was 22% higher than the predictions obtained using the equivalent stress block specified in ACI 318-14.

Seismic Fragility Analysis for Probabilistic Performance Evaluation of PSC Box Girder Bridges (확률론적 내진성능평가를 위한 PSC Box 거더교의 지진취약도 해석)

  • Song, Jong-Keol;Jin, He-Shou;Lee, Tae-Hyung
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.29 no.2A
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    • pp.119-130
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    • 2009
  • Seismic fragility curves of a structure represent the probability of exceeding the prescribed structural damage state for a given various levels of ground motion intensity such as peak ground acceleration (PGA), spectral acceleration ($S_a$) and spectral displacement ($S_d$). So those are very essential to evaluate the structural seismic performance and seismic risk. The purpose of this paper is to develop seismic fragility curves for PSC box girder bridges. In order to construct numerical fragility curve of bridge structure using nonlinear time history analysis, a set of ground motions corresponding to design spectrum are artificially generated. Assuming a lognormal distribution, the fragility curve is estimated by using the methodology proposed by Shinozuka et al. PGA is simple and generally used parameter in fragility curve as ground motion intensity. However, the PGA has not good relationship with the inelastic structural behavior. So, $S_a$ and $S_d$ with more direct relationship for structural damage are used in fragility analysis as more useful intensity measures instead of PGA. The numerical fragility curves based on nonlinear time history analysis are compared with those obtained from simple method suggested in HAZUS program.

Production Increase of Milk in Dairy Cow by Metabolic Profile Test (대사판정시험을 이용한 젖소의 우유증산)

  • Lee Chang-Woo;Kim Bonn-Won;Ra Jeong-Chan;Shin Sang-Tae;Kim Doo;Kim Jong-Taik;Hong Soon-Il
    • Journal of Veterinary Clinics
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.65-94
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    • 1993
  • This study examined metabolic profiles of 1349 Holstein cows from 91 commercial herds. Thirteen parameters which are consisted of twelve blood components and body condition score were examined and their mean values. standard deviations and standard limits, which are 80% confidential limits, in each lactational stage were reported. The variations of each parameter affected by season, individual milk yield, adjusted corrected milk yield of herd. and lactation number were also reported. A model of metabolic profile test applicable to this country where the average number of cows in a herd is small as to be fifteen is designed. Metabolic profiles as reflected in each parameter were discussed in relation to adequacy of dietary intake for production, milk production, reproductive performance, and diseases, and the possible measure to improve productivity of dairy cows were proposed. Much of the variation in parameters was due to differences between herds, and less to differences between seasons, differences between individual milk yield, and differences between lactational stages. As the average herd size in this country is small, it is believed that all the cows in a herd must be sampled, and the individual result of each parameter was compared with the standard limit for each lactational stage, and the percentage of cows which are outside the standard limits in a herd was calculated to use as a criteria for evaluation of the herd. Data outside the 99% confidential limits were to be deleted at first, but when the trends of the data outside the 99% confidential limits are same as the trends of the data within 99% confidential limits, the deleted data must be reviewed again, otherwise some important informations would be missed. The mean concentration of blood urea nitrogen in this study was much higher than that was reported in England, U.S.A. and Japan, and it was similar to the upper limits reported in England, U.S.A. and Japan. So it was thought that the concentration of blood urea nitrogen is improper as a criteria for protein intake. The increase of serum total protein cocentration beyond standard limits was due to increase of serum globulin concentration in most of the cows. The correlation coefficient between serum and protein and serum globulin concentration was 0.83. Serum globulin concentration was negatively related to adjusted corrected milk of herd. Serum albumin, calcium and magnessium concentrations were negatively related to adjusted corrected milk of herd, which indicate that high-producing individual or high-producing herd have not taken sufficient protein/amino acids, calcium and magnessium. Packed cell volume was negatively related to adjusted corrected milk of the herd, and the trend was same In each lactational stage. The correlation coefficient between serum and packed cell volume was 0.16 and the correlation was very weak. Blood glucose concentration was lowest in early lactational stage, which indicates negative energy balance in early lactational stage. Blood glucose concentration was negatively related to adjusted corrected milk of herd from peak to late lactational stage, which indicates negative energy balance during the period in high-producing individuals or high-producing herds. Correlation coefficient between serum aspartate aminotransferase activity and serum ${\gamma}$-glutamyltransferase activity was 0.41, and this indicates that serum ${\gamma}$-glutamyltransferase should be included as a parameter of metabolic profile test to evaluate liver function. Body condition score of dairy cows in this country was lower than that of Japan in every lactational stages, and the magnitude of increase in body condition score during middle and late lactational stages was small. Metabolic profile can not be evaluated with solely nutritional intake. When an individual or large percentage of cows in a herd have adnormal values In parameters of metabolic profile test, veterinary clinician and nutritionist should cooperate so as to diagnose diseases and to calculate the e of no운ents simultaneously.

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An Evaluation of Skid Resistance Properties of Asphalt Concrete Pavement (아스팔트콘크리트 포장의 노면 미끄럼 저항성 평가)

  • Kim, Nakseok;Jeong, Haesoo
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.87-95
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    • 2011
  • The skid resistant of pavement surface is an important parameter since it is directly related to the traffic safety under moving vehicular loads. In particular, it should be considered as a major factor in pavement performance evaluations to reduce the traffic accident from vehicular sliding. In this study, a portable and an automatic skid resistance tests were used to evaluate the skid resistances of the in-situ pavements. The test results showed that the skid resistance of the conventional dense graded pavement was more noticeable than the other pavement types such as the drainage pavement and the stone mastic asphalt(SMA) pavement as the service life of pavement was increased.

Evaluation of Nonlinear Seismic Response of RC Shear Wall in Nuclear Reactor Containment Building (원자로건물의 철근콘크리트 전단벽 비선형 지진응답 평가)

  • Kim, Dae Hee;Lee, Kyung Koo;Koo, Ji Mo
    • Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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    • v.34 no.6
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    • pp.385-392
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    • 2021
  • Interest in the seismic performance of nuclear facilities under strong earthquakes has increased because their nonlinear response is important. In this paper, we proposed appropriate parameters for the nonlinear finite element analysis of a concrete material model, for a reinforced concrete (RC) shear wall in nuclear facilities: maximum tensile strength, dilation angle, and damage parameter. The study of the effects of the important parameters, on the nonlinear behavior and shear failure mode of the RC shear wall having low aspect ratio, was conducted using ABAQUS finite element analysis program. Based on the study results the nonlinear response of a nuclear reactor containment building (RCB) subjected to a strong earthquake was evaluated using nonlinear time-history analysis.

The Study of Influence on Reducing Exposure Dose According to the Applied Flat-panel CT in Extremity Bone SPECT/CT (상·하지 뼈 SEPCT/CT 검사에서 평판형 CT의 피폭저감 영향에 관한 고찰)

  • Kim, Ji-Hyeon;Park, Hoon-Hee;Lee, Juyoung;Nam-Kung, Sik;Son, Hyeon-Soo;Park, Sang-Ryoon
    • The Korean Journal of Nuclear Medicine Technology
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.15-24
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    • 2013
  • Purpose: With the demand of SPECT/CT increasing, the interest in complex diagnostic information of CT is rising along with the expansion of various studies on potential performance value. But the study on reduction of exposure dose generated by CT is not being conducted enough. Therefore, in this study, the goal is to identify how much dose reduction exists when performing the extremity bone SPECT/CT using the flat-panel CT. Materials and Methods: The extremity bone SPECT/CT was performed with two equipments -BrightView XCT (Philips Healthcare, Cleveland, USA) and Brilliance 16 CT (Philips Healthcare, Cleveland, USA)-to identify the exposed dose and image quality resulted by changing scan parameter (mAs) applying for both equipment respectively. The noise value of image and spatial resolution were measured with AAPM CT phantom. Tube voltage (kVp) was fixed to 120 kVp, tube current (mAs) calculated at different mA (20, 30, 40, 50, 60, 70, 80) was applied to both equipments respectively. DLP (dose length product) were calculated at the same distance at respective mAs. Also, we acquired images and % contrast with NEMA IEC body phantom to confirm the effect on image. The output of statistics was analyzed by SPSS ver.18. Results: Regarding AAPM phantom, the noise decreased as the tube current (mAs) increased and flat-panel had less noise than Helical CT. This difference increased at lower dose exposure. As to the evaluation of spatial resolution, we can differentiate the space up to 0.75 mm with both equipments. With scan parameter (mA) growing, the value of DLP increased up to 54-216 mGy cm at flat-panel CT and up to 177-709 mGy cm at Helical CT. Regarding NEMA IEC body phantom, same sphere with varied parameter (mA) shows that similar results. Conclusion: There is no significant differences of image quality in both flat-panel and Helical CT when the scan parameter (mA) is changed respectively. Moreover, we can identify the reduction of exposure dose and confirm %contrast analysis value with maintaining image quality. Therefore, at the extremity bone SPECT/CT requiring high spital resolution without the wide ROI, the flat-panel CT is considered to be more useful and it expected to result in the similar image quality with lower exposure dose compared to Helical CT. Additionally, through this study, we expect to help the reduction of the unnecessary exposure dose.

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Seismic structural demands and inelastic deformation ratios: Sensitivity analysis and simplified models

  • Chikh, Benazouz;Laouami, Nacer;Mebarki, Ahmed;Leblouba, Moussa;Mehani, Youcef;Kibboua, Abderrahmane;Hadid, Mohamed;Benouar, Djillali
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.59-66
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    • 2017
  • Modern seismic codes rely on performance-based seismic design methodology which requires that the structures withstand inelastic deformation. Many studies have focused on the inelastic deformation ratio evaluation (ratio between the inelastic and elastic maximum lateral displacement demands) for various inelastic spectra. This paper investigates the inelastic response spectra through the ductility demand ${\mu}$, the yield strength reduction factor $R_y$, and the inelastic deformation ratio. They depend on the vibration period T, the post-to-preyield stiffness ratio ${\alpha}$, the peak ground acceleration (PGA), and the normalized yield strength coefficient ${\eta}$ (ratio of yield strength coefficient divided by the PGA). A new inelastic deformation ratio $C_{\eta}$ is defined; it is related to the capacity curve (pushover curve) through the coefficient (${\eta}$) and the ratio (${\alpha}$) that are used as control parameters. A set of 140 real ground motions is selected. The structures are bilinear inelastic single degree of freedom systems (SDOF). The sensitivity of the resulting inelastic deformation ratio mean values is discussed for different levels of normalized yield strength coefficient. The influence of vibration period T, post-to-preyield stiffness ratio ${\alpha}$, normalized yield strength coefficient ${\eta}$, earthquake magnitude, ruptures distance (i.e., to fault rupture) and site conditions is also investigated. A regression analysis leads to simplified expressions of this inelastic deformation ratio. These simplified equations estimate the inelastic deformation ratio for structures, which is a key parameter for design or evaluation. The results show that, for a given level of normalized yield strength coefficient, these inelastic displacement ratios become non sensitive to none of the rupture distance, the earthquake magnitude or the site class. Furthermore, they show that the post-to-preyield stiffness has a negligible effect on the inelastic deformation ratio if the normalized yield strength coefficient is greater than unity.

Evaluation of the Stress Corrosion Cracking Behavior of Inconel G00 Alloy by Acoustic Emission (음향 방출에 의한 인코넬 600 합금의 응력 부식 균열 거동 평가)

  • Sung, Key-Yong;Kim, In-Sup;Yoon, Young-Ku
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Nondestructive Testing
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.174-183
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    • 1996
  • Acoustic emission(AE) response during stress corrosion cracking(SCC) of Inconel 600 alloy has been monitored to study the AE detectability of crack generation and growth by comparing the crack behavior with AE parameters processed, and to evaluate the applicability as a nondestructive evaluation(AE) by measuring the minimum crack size detectable with AE. Variously heat-treated specimens were tensioned by constant extension rate test(CERT) in various extension rate to give rise to the different SCC behavior of specimens. The AE amplitude level generated from intergranular stress-corrosion cracking(IGSCC) is higher than those from ductile fracture and mechanical deformation, which means the AE amplitude can be a significant parameter for distinguishing the An source. AE can also provide the effective means to identify the transition from the small crack initiation and formation of dominant cracks to the dominant crack growth. Minimum crack size detectable with AE is supposed to be approximately 200 to $400{\mu}m$ in length and below $100{\mu}m$ in depth. The test results show that AE technique has a capability for detecting the early stage of IGSCC growth and the potential for practical application as a NDE.

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ROC Analysis of Visual Assessments Made in Gated Blood Pool Scans of Patients with Coronary Artery Disease (관상동맥질환에서 심장풀 스캔의 육안적 평가에 대한 ROC 분석)

  • Lee, Kyun-Han;Choi, Yoon-Ho;Lee, Bum-Woo;Moon, Dae-Hyuk;Koong, Sung-Soo;Chung, June-Key;Lee, Myung-Chul;Koh, Chang-Soon
    • The Korean Journal of Nuclear Medicine
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.175-181
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    • 1989
  • Visual assessment of regional wall motion abnormality (RWMA) by gated blood pol scan (GBPS) serves as an useful parameter in the diagnosis, functional evaluation, and follow up in various clinical settings, but are still subject to some inherent limitations. On important problem may be the interobserver as well as intraobsever variation that may well be present due to the subjective nature of the interpretations. This study was carried out to determine the reliability and reproducibility of visual assessments made in GBPSs, and to observe the degree to which the results would be influenced by observer variation. Fifty two patients with coronary heart disease had resting GBPS and contrast ventriculography within 4 days appall. Contrast ventriculography-showed normal wall motion in 6 patients and the remaining 46 had RWMA in one or more segments. The anterior and left anterolateral views of all 52 GBPSs were analyzed by three independent observers, who selected from 5 scales, their level of confidence that there was RWMA in that segment. Reciever operating characteristic (ROC) curves for each analysis was plotted and the area under the curve $(\theta)$ was used as a parameter representing each observer's performance in his interpretations. The findings of contrast ventriculographies were used as the standard for RWMA. The apical and inferoapical segments showed the best correlation with contrast ventriculography ($\theta=0.90-0.94$, 0.81-0.94, respectively), and the inferior wall showed the poorest correlation $(\theta=0.70-0.74)$. The interpretations of the inferior, septal, apical, and posteroinferior, segments showed no difference between the observers, but there was significantly better performance in assessment by observer A compared to that by B or C for the anterolateral segments ($\theta=0.87$, 0.78, 0.76, respectively. p<0.01 for A vs B, p<0.05 for A vs C), as well as when all segments were considered altogether ($\theta=0.88$, 0.83, 0.82, respectively. both p<0.05). This was also true for the infero-apical segment between A and C ($\theta=0.09$, 0.81, p<0.05). The intraobserver variation, however, did not appear significant, with only the inferior segment for observer B showing any significant difference when observer A and B repeated the analysis 10 days latter. There was no difference in assessing dyskinesia, with all observers showing a high performance ($\theta=0.98$, 0.87, 0.97, respectively). The visual assessment of left ventricular ejection fraction by all three observers correlated well with the calculated value from a semiautomated method (Spearman's r = 0.91, 0.83, 0.83. p<0.01, p<0.05, p < 0.05). The assessment of LV and RV size also correlated well between the three observers (Kendall's w = 0.80, 0.51, p<0.01 for both left and right ventricles). The above findings suggest that RWMA visually assessed by GBPS correlates well with that done by contrast ventriculography. And although the observer's experience or skill may influence the results in certain segments, visual analysis of GBPS may serve as a reliable and reproducible means for evaluating ventricular function.

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