• Title/Summary/Keyword: Performance Trend Analysis

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Material as a Key Element of Fashion Trend in 2010~2019 - Text Mining Analysis - (패션 트렌트(2010~2019)의 주요 요소로서 소재 - 텍스트마이닝을 통한 분석 -)

  • Jang, Namkyung;Kim, Min-Jeong
    • Fashion & Textile Research Journal
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    • v.22 no.5
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    • pp.551-560
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    • 2020
  • Due to the nature of fashion design that responds quickly and sensitively to changes, accurate forecasting for upcoming fashion trends is an important factor in the performance of fashion product planning. This study analyzed the major phenomena of fashion trends by introducing text mining and a big data analysis method. The research questions were as follows. What is the key term of the 2010SS~2019FW fashion trend? What are the terms that are highly relevant to the key trend term by year? Which terms relevant to the key trend term has shown high frequency in news articles during the same period? Data were collected through the 2010SS~2019FW Pre-Trend data from the leading trend information company in Korea and 45,038 articles searched by "fashion+material" from the News Big Data System. Frequency, correlation coefficient, coefficient of variation and mapping were performed using R-3.5.1. Results showed that the fashion trend information were reflected in the consumer market. The term with the highest frequency in 2010SS~2019FW fashion trend information was material. In trend information, the terms most relevant to material were comfort, compact, look, casual, blend, functional, cotton, processing, metal and functional by year. In the news article, functional, comfort, sports, leather, casual, eco-friendly, classic, padding, culture, and high-quality showed the high frequency. Functional was the only fashion material term derived every year for 10 years. This study helps expand the scope and methods of fashion design research as well as improves the information analysis and forecasting capabilities of the fashion industry.

Research Trend Analysis in the Performance Measurement and Monitoring of Construction Projects through Keyword Analysis (선행연구 키워드 분석을 통한 건설 프로젝트의 성과측정 및 관리분야의 연구 트렌드 분석)

  • Kim, Chang-Won;Kim, Taehoon;Lim, Hyunsu
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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    • 2018.05a
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    • pp.171-172
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    • 2018
  • Performance measurement and management in the construction industry has traditionally been regarded as the major factor for successful business execution. In addition, there is emphasis on the function of performance measurement and management that can early warn potential risks and poor performance in project execution environment changes. Previous studies have made various attempts to measure the quantitative performance of construction projects, and the research to derive the link between the results and the issue that can meet the future needs is expected to provide valuable information. The purpose of this study is to analyze the research trends based on the keywords presented in previous studies on the performance measurement and management of construction projects. Considering that the results presented in the existing literature can be an indicator of the evolution of the sector before it is applied to industry, the result of this study is expected to be used as a basic data to support the establishment of research direction in the future.

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A Study on Trim Optimization by using CFD Analysis (CFD를 이용한 트림 최적화 연구)

  • Kim, In-Chul;Yoon, Ji-Hyun;Jeong, Young-Jun
    • Special Issue of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • 2015.09a
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    • pp.41-45
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    • 2015
  • In this study reviewed the validity of the estimated optimum trim by the numerical analysis. For this purpose, the numerical analysis of the trim optimization for 6500TEU container carrier and capesize bulk carrier were carried out using Star-CCM+, which results were compared with the results of model tests. The reliability of results of the numerical analysis was confirmed via comparing the resistance determined by the numerical analysis and model test. The performance of self-propulsion at each trim conditions were estimated using the calculated resistance by numerical analysis. The BHP at each trim condition were calculated by estimated performance of self-propulsion, which trend of results were confirmed similar trend of result of model test.

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Comparing Methodology of Building Energy Analysis - Comparative Analysis from steady-state simulation to data-driven Analysis - (건물에너지 분석 방법론 비교 - Steady-state simulation에서부터 Data-driven 방법론의 비교 분석 -)

  • Cho, Sooyoun;Leigh, Seung-Bok
    • KIEAE Journal
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    • v.17 no.5
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    • pp.77-86
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    • 2017
  • Purpose: Because of the growing concern over fossil fuel use and increasing demand for greenhouse gas emission reduction since the 1990s, the building energy analysis field has produced various types of methods, which are being applied more often and broadly than ever. A lot of research products have been actively proposed in the area of the building energy simulation for over 50 years around the world. However, in the last 20 years, there have been only a few research cases where the trend of building energy analysis is examined, estimated or compared. This research aims to investigate a trend of the building energy analysis by focusing on methodology and characteristics of each method. Method: The research papers addressing the building energy analysis are classified into two types of method: engineering analysis and algorithm estimation. Especially, EPG(Energy Performance Gap), which is the limit both for the existing engineering method and the single algorithm-based estimation method, results from comparing data of two different levels- in other words, real time data and simulation data. Result: When one or more ensemble algorithms are used, more accurate estimations of energy consumption and performance are produced, and thereby improving the problem of energy performance gap.

A Study on the Prediction Model of Stock Price Index Trend based on GA-MSVM that Simultaneously Optimizes Feature and Instance Selection (입력변수 및 학습사례 선정을 동시에 최적화하는 GA-MSVM 기반 주가지수 추세 예측 모형에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Jong-sik;Ahn, Hyunchul
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.147-168
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    • 2017
  • There have been many studies on accurate stock market forecasting in academia for a long time, and now there are also various forecasting models using various techniques. Recently, many attempts have been made to predict the stock index using various machine learning methods including Deep Learning. Although the fundamental analysis and the technical analysis method are used for the analysis of the traditional stock investment transaction, the technical analysis method is more useful for the application of the short-term transaction prediction or statistical and mathematical techniques. Most of the studies that have been conducted using these technical indicators have studied the model of predicting stock prices by binary classification - rising or falling - of stock market fluctuations in the future market (usually next trading day). However, it is also true that this binary classification has many unfavorable aspects in predicting trends, identifying trading signals, or signaling portfolio rebalancing. In this study, we try to predict the stock index by expanding the stock index trend (upward trend, boxed, downward trend) to the multiple classification system in the existing binary index method. In order to solve this multi-classification problem, a technique such as Multinomial Logistic Regression Analysis (MLOGIT), Multiple Discriminant Analysis (MDA) or Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) we propose an optimization model using Genetic Algorithm as a wrapper for improving the performance of this model using Multi-classification Support Vector Machines (MSVM), which has proved to be superior in prediction performance. In particular, the proposed model named GA-MSVM is designed to maximize model performance by optimizing not only the kernel function parameters of MSVM, but also the optimal selection of input variables (feature selection) as well as instance selection. In order to verify the performance of the proposed model, we applied the proposed method to the real data. The results show that the proposed method is more effective than the conventional multivariate SVM, which has been known to show the best prediction performance up to now, as well as existing artificial intelligence / data mining techniques such as MDA, MLOGIT, CBR, and it is confirmed that the prediction performance is better than this. Especially, it has been confirmed that the 'instance selection' plays a very important role in predicting the stock index trend, and it is confirmed that the improvement effect of the model is more important than other factors. To verify the usefulness of GA-MSVM, we applied it to Korea's real KOSPI200 stock index trend forecast. Our research is primarily aimed at predicting trend segments to capture signal acquisition or short-term trend transition points. The experimental data set includes technical indicators such as the price and volatility index (2004 ~ 2017) and macroeconomic data (interest rate, exchange rate, S&P 500, etc.) of KOSPI200 stock index in Korea. Using a variety of statistical methods including one-way ANOVA and stepwise MDA, 15 indicators were selected as candidate independent variables. The dependent variable, trend classification, was classified into three states: 1 (upward trend), 0 (boxed), and -1 (downward trend). 70% of the total data for each class was used for training and the remaining 30% was used for verifying. To verify the performance of the proposed model, several comparative model experiments such as MDA, MLOGIT, CBR, ANN and MSVM were conducted. MSVM has adopted the One-Against-One (OAO) approach, which is known as the most accurate approach among the various MSVM approaches. Although there are some limitations, the final experimental results demonstrate that the proposed model, GA-MSVM, performs at a significantly higher level than all comparative models.

Joint Exponential Smoothing and Trend-based Principal Component Analysis for Anomaly Detection in Wireless Sensor Networks (무선 센서 네트워크에서의 이상 징후 감지를 위한 공동 지수 평활법 및 추세 기반 주성분 분석)

  • Dang, Thien-Binh;Yang, Hui-Gyu;Tran, Manh-Hung;Le, Duc-Tai;Kim, Moonseong;Choo, Hyunseung
    • Proceedings of the Korea Information Processing Society Conference
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    • 2019.10a
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    • pp.145-148
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    • 2019
  • Principal Component Analysis (PCA) is a powerful technique in data analysis and widely used to detect anomalies in Wireless Sensor Networks. However, the performance of conventional PCA is not high on time-series data collected by sensors. In this paper, we propose a Joint Exponential Smoothing and Trend-based Principal Component Analysis (JES-TBPCA) for Anomaly Detection which is based on conventional PCA. Experimental results on a real dataset show a remarkably higher performance of JES-TBPCA comparing to conventional PCA model in detection of stuck-at and offset anomalies.

Selecting Ordering Policy and Items Classification Based on Canonical Correlation and Cluster Analysis

  • Nagasawa, Keisuke;Irohara, Takashi;Matoba, Yosuke;Liu, Shuling
    • Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.134-141
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    • 2012
  • It is difficult to find an appropriate ordering policy for a many types of items. One of the reasons for this difficulty is that each item has a different demand trend. We will classify items by shipment trend and then decide the ordering policy for each item category. In this study, we indicate that categorizing items from their statistical characteristics leads to an ordering policy suitable for that category. We analyze the ordering policy and shipment trend and propose a new method for selecting the ordering policy which is based on finding the strongest relation between the classification of the items and the ordering policy. In our numerical experiment, from actual shipment data of about 5,000 items over the past year, we calculated many statistics that represent the trend of each item. Next, we applied the canonical correlation analysis between the evaluations of ordering policies and the various statistics. Furthermore, we applied the cluster analysis on the statistics concerning the performance of ordering policies. Finally, we separate items into several categories and show that the appropriate ordering policies are different for each category.

Configuration and Performance Analyses for Conceptual Design of Small and Mid-Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (중소형 무인항공기 개념설계를 위한 형상 및 성능 분석)

  • Jeon, Byung-Il;Lee, Narae;Chang, Young-Keun
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.42 no.6
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    • pp.478-487
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    • 2014
  • The simplified performance analysis and initial configuration design are required for the successful development of UAV during the conceptual design, in which empirical formulas and trend equations are utilized for the UAV performance analysis. In the conceptual design phase various UAV configurations may be considered, however, it is very inefficient and unnecessary to consider all configurations for the conceptual design. In this study, the database for the fixed wing UAVs whose MTOW is between 50kg and 1,500kg was also constructed for the selection of configuration frequently used. The parametric analyses were performed for major performance parameters, and trend equations were developed through regression analyses for these individual performance parameters.

GaInP/GaAs/Ge Triple Junction Solar Array Power Performance Evaluation on Geostationary Orbit (GaInP/GaAs/Ge 3중 접합 태양전지 배열기의 정지궤도에서 전력 성능 평가)

  • Koo, Ja-Chun;Park, Hee-Sung;Lee, Na-Young;Cheon, Yee-Jin;Cha, Han-Ju;Moon, Gun-Woo;Ra, Sung-Woong
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.42 no.12
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    • pp.1057-1064
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    • 2014
  • The satellite on geostationary orbit accommodates multiple payloads into a single spacecraft platform and launched in June 26, 2010. The electrical power required to the satellite during sunlight is generated by a solar array wing. The solar cells are the GaInP/GaAs/Ge Triple Junction cells named Gaget2 cells from RWE Space, which were based on a Spectrolab epitaxy. This paper evaluates solar array power performance at end of design life based on the trend analysis results for the flight data on geostationary orbit. The estimated solar array power performance at end of design life compares with the power performance provided by solar array manufacturer. The solar cells show nominal behavior without significant degradation through the trend analysis results.

Assessing the Impacts of Errors in Coarse Scale Data on the Performance of Spatial Downscaling: An Experiment with Synthetic Satellite Precipitation Products

  • Kim, Yeseul;Park, No-Wook
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.33 no.4
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    • pp.445-454
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    • 2017
  • The performance of spatial downscaling models depends on the quality of input coarse scale products. Thus, the impact of intrinsic errors contained in coarse scale satellite products on predictive performance should be properly assessed in parallel with the development of advanced downscaling models. Such an assessment is the main objective of this paper. Based on a synthetic satellite precipitation product at a coarse scale generated from rain gauge data, two synthetic precipitation products with different amounts of error were generated and used as inputs for spatial downscaling. Geographically weighted regression, which typically has very high explanatory power, was selected as the trend component estimation model, and area-to-point kriging was applied for residual correction in the spatial downscaling experiment. When errors in the coarse scale product were greater, the trend component estimates were much more susceptible to errors. But residual correction could reduce the impact of the erroneous trend component estimates, which improved the predictive performance. However, residual correction could not improve predictive performance significantly when substantial errors were contained in the input coarse scale data. Therefore, the development of advanced spatial downscaling models should be focused on correction of intrinsic errors in the coarse scale satellite product if a priori error information could be available, rather than on the application of advanced regression models with high explanatory power.