• Title/Summary/Keyword: Performance Trend

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Analysis of Drought Risk in the Upper River Basins based on Trend Analysis Results (갈수기 경향성 분석을 활용한 상류 유역의 가뭄위험 변동성 분석)

  • Jung, Il Won;Kim, Dong Yeong;Park, Jiyeon
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.61 no.1
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    • pp.21-29
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    • 2019
  • This study analyzed the variability of drought risk based on trend analysis of dry-seasonal dam inflow located in upper river basins. To this, we used areal averaged precipitation and dam inflow of three upper river dams such as Soyang dam, Chungju dam, and Andong dam. We employed Mann-Kendall trend analysis and change point detection method to identify the significant trends and changing point in time series. Our results showed that significant decreasing trends (95% confidence interval) in dry-seasonal runoff rates (= dam inflow/precipitation) in three-dam basins. We investigated potential causes of decreasing runoff rates trends using changes in potential evapotranspiration (PET) and precipitation indices. However, there were no clear relation among changes in runoff rates, PET, and precipitation indices. Runoff rate reduction in the three dams may increase the risk of dam operational management and long-term water resource planning. Therefore, it will be necessary to perform a multilateral analysis to better understand decreasing runoff rates.

Assessing the Impacts of Errors in Coarse Scale Data on the Performance of Spatial Downscaling: An Experiment with Synthetic Satellite Precipitation Products

  • Kim, Yeseul;Park, No-Wook
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.33 no.4
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    • pp.445-454
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    • 2017
  • The performance of spatial downscaling models depends on the quality of input coarse scale products. Thus, the impact of intrinsic errors contained in coarse scale satellite products on predictive performance should be properly assessed in parallel with the development of advanced downscaling models. Such an assessment is the main objective of this paper. Based on a synthetic satellite precipitation product at a coarse scale generated from rain gauge data, two synthetic precipitation products with different amounts of error were generated and used as inputs for spatial downscaling. Geographically weighted regression, which typically has very high explanatory power, was selected as the trend component estimation model, and area-to-point kriging was applied for residual correction in the spatial downscaling experiment. When errors in the coarse scale product were greater, the trend component estimates were much more susceptible to errors. But residual correction could reduce the impact of the erroneous trend component estimates, which improved the predictive performance. However, residual correction could not improve predictive performance significantly when substantial errors were contained in the input coarse scale data. Therefore, the development of advanced spatial downscaling models should be focused on correction of intrinsic errors in the coarse scale satellite product if a priori error information could be available, rather than on the application of advanced regression models with high explanatory power.

A Study on Fuzzy Trend Monitoring Method for Fault Detection of Gas Turbine Engine (가스터빈 엔진의 손상 진단을 위한 퍼지 경향감시 방법에 관한 연구)

  • Kong, Chang-Duk;Kho, Seong-Hee;Ki, Ja-Young;Oh, Sung-Hwan;Kim, Ji-Hyun;Ko, Han-Young
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Propulsion Engineers
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    • v.12 no.6
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    • pp.1-6
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    • 2008
  • This work proposes a fuzzy trend monitoring method for the fault detection of a gas turbine engine through analyzing measured performance data trend. The proposed trend monitoring technique can diagnose the engine status by monitoring major engine measured parameters such as fuel flow rate, exhaust gas temperature, rotor rotational speed and vibration, and then analyzing their time deppendent changes. In order to perform this, firstly the measured engine performance data variation is formulated using Linear Regression, and then faults are isolated and identified using fuzzy logic.

The effect of convergence research (government support, entrepreneurship, trend) of start-ups (startup companies) on business performance. (스타트업(창업기업)의 융복합적 연구(정부지원,기업가정신,트랜드)가 경영성과에 미치는 영향.)

  • Joo, Bok-Kee;Hyun, Byung-Hwan
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.275-281
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    • 2022
  • This paper intends to provide a more effective understanding of the management performance (survival and growth) of startups and to suggest methods that can be applied to empirical research related to startups in the future. Therefore, in this study, the effect of entrepreneurship, trend analysis, and government support on business performance (non-financial and financial) is studied. A total of 220 questionnaires were received, and 215 were adopted except for 5 insincere questionnaires. Therefore, it was evaluated based on statistical data of 215 companies surveyed by startup officials. The questionnaire was analyzed using the SPSS 28.0 statistical program. The results of the study confirmed that all three items of the hypothesis, government support, entrepreneurship, and trend analysis of start-ups all play a positive role regardless of the difference in financial and non-financial management performance.

A Study on Reliability Prediction of System with Degrading Performance Parameter (열화되는 성능 파라메터를 가지는 시스템의 신뢰성 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Yon Soo;Chung, Young-Bae
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.38 no.4
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    • pp.142-148
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    • 2015
  • Due to advancements in technology and manufacturing capability, it is not uncommon that life tests yield no or few failures at low stress levels. In these situations it is difficult to analyse lifetime data and make meaningful inferences about product or system reliability. For some products or systems whose performance characteristics degrade over time, a failure is said to have occurred when a performance characteristic crosses a critical threshold. The measurements of the degradation characteristic contain much useful and credible information about product or system reliability. Degradation measurements of the performance characteristics of an unfailed unit at different times can directly relate reliability measures to physical characteristics. Reliability prediction based on physical performance measures can be an efficient and alternative method to estimate for some highly reliable parts or systems. If the degradation process and the distance between the last measurement and a specified threshold can be established, the remaining useful life is predicted in advance. In turn, this prediction leads to just in time maintenance decision to protect systems. In this paper, we describe techniques for mapping product or system which has degrading performance parameter to the associated classical reliability measures in the performance domain. This paper described a general modeling and analysis procedure for reliability prediction based on one dominant degradation performance characteristic considering pseudo degradation performance life trend model. This pseudo degradation trend model is based on probability modeling of a failure mechanism degradation trend and comparison of a projected distribution to pre-defined critical soft failure point in time or cycle.

Semantic Network Analysis on the Research Trends in The Society of Korean Performance Art and Culture (우리나라 공연문화 연구동향의 의미연결망 분석)

  • Hwang, Dong-Ryul;Kwon, Yae-Ji
    • (The) Research of the performance art and culture
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    • no.37
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    • pp.437-464
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    • 2018
  • This study used semantic network analysis to understand the academic identity and characteristics of the society of korean performance art and culture and to grasp the trend of the research. For this purpose, this study analyze the research trend of korean performance art and culture related papers based on 455 whole articles in the Journal of The Society of Korean Performance Art and Culture by the Korean Performance Art and Culture Association from 2000 to 2017. Through this research, the trends of The Society of Korean Performance Art and Culture in the period of time were identified, and the phenomenon of the performance culture field and the future development direction were suggested.

Capital Structure and Financial Performance: A Case of Saudi Petrochemical Industry

  • ALI, Anis;FAISAL, Shaha
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.7 no.7
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    • pp.105-112
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    • 2020
  • The study investigates and measures the impact of capital structure, profitability and financial performance on the success of the business organization. Capital structure of the business organization refers to the proportion of external funds and internal funds, i.e., debt and equity. In Saudi Arabia, petrochemicals companies are working on equity, but financial performance reflects negative trend for the period 2004 to 2016. The research is based upon secondary data available on the websites of petrochemicals companies of Saudi Arabia. Financial Ratio variability analysis and Trend Indices of financial ratios (TICBI) measure and compare the financial variability and sensitivity of financial ratios of the business organization. Correlation between Trend Indices (TICBI) of independent variable and dependent variables are to be calculated to know the impact of changes in debt equity on other dependent variables. The results reveal the unexpected performance of petrochemicals companies due to under-utilization of the resources caused by low demand and lower prices of the products governed by some internal and external factors. The study finds that size, demand, cost of production, profitable streams of products, and low cost capital in external funds are the factors responsible for overall growth development of the petrochemicals industry of Saudi Arabia.

The Dynamics of Organizational Reputation and Performance (조직 평판의 역동적 특성이 성과에 미치는 영향)

  • Kim, Eunjung;Kim, Tohyun;Kim, Minji;Yu, Hye Kyung
    • Korean small business review
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    • v.40 no.1
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    • pp.67-83
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    • 2018
  • This study investigates the effects of the dynamics of the firm's reputation on performance. Particularly, we argued that not only the level of reputation but also the trend and volatility of reputation plays an important role in formulating the stakeholders' perception about the firm. From our empirical analysis of the U.S. venture capital firms between 1990 and 2010, we found that the level and trend of reputation are positively related to performance and that these relationships are weakened when the volatility of reputation increases. This paper discusses the theoretical contributions and practical implications of these findings.

Development of High Performance & Remote controlled UPS (원격 통제형 UPS 개발)

  • 이왕하;박가우;이진희;김덕규
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of IIIuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers Conference
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    • 2002.11a
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    • pp.369-374
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    • 2002
  • This paper presented the development trend of UPS and SPS system has focused on large scale system and more convenient system to maintenance and management. In this paper, we proposed low price and high performance SPSs which can de voltage regulation, harmonic reduction, and capable capacity extension in power. These SPSs are composed by two SPSs in their functional structure, one is power control part including voltage regulation and instant voltage compensaton. The others part is web based monitoring and trend management part for more convenient to SPS operator.

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Performance Index Analysis of Schedule Introducing EVMS (EVMS를 도입한 공정의 성과지수 분석)

  • Kim Young;Lee Young-Dae;Kim Sung-Hwan;Kim Jung-ki
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • autumn
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    • pp.456-459
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    • 2002
  • It is lately issued studies on EVMS(Earned Value Management System) throughout construction industry, which is management system integrating cost and schedule effectively. So identifying importance and circumstance of introducing EVMS, CPI(Cost Performance Index) and SPI(Schedule Performance Index), which are critical components on schedule introducing EVMS, calculate and it intends to analyze the trend and problem of cost and time throughout project management, applying various statistical data analysis method.

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