• 제목/요약/키워드: Pearson residual

검색결과 17건 처리시간 0.026초

비정규 오차를 고려한 자기회귀모형의 추정법 및 예측성능에 관한 연구 (A Study of Estimation Method for Auto-Regressive Model with Non-Normal Error and Its Prediction Accuracy)

  • 임보미;박정술;김준석;김성식;백준걸
    • 대한산업공학회지
    • /
    • 제39권2호
    • /
    • pp.109-118
    • /
    • 2013
  • We propose a method for estimating coefficients of AR (autoregressive) model which named MLPAR (Maximum Likelihood of Pearson system for Auto-Regressive model). In the present method for estimating coefficients of AR model, there is an assumption that residual or error term of the model follows the normal distribution. In common cases, we can observe that the error of AR model does not follow the normal distribution. So the normal assumption will cause decreasing prediction accuracy of AR model. In the paper, we propose the MLPAR which does not assume the normal distribution of error term. The MLPAR estimates coefficients of auto-regressive model and distribution moments of residual by using pearson distribution system and maximum likelihood estimation. Comparing proposed method to auto-regressive model, results are shown to verify improved performance of the MLPAR in terms of prediction accuracy.

질문지법과 초음파 방광용적진단기를 이용한 여성노인의 배뇨장애연구 -빈뇨, 잔뇨를 중심으로 (Study on Bladder Dysfunction in Elderly Women by the BFLUT Questionnaire and Bladder Scanner: Frequency and Residual Urine)

  • 김증임
    • 여성건강간호학회지
    • /
    • 제17권3호
    • /
    • pp.294-303
    • /
    • 2011
  • Purpose: This study aimed to describe bladder dysfunction in elderly women such as frequency, nocturia, and residual urine. Methods: One hundred elderly women aged 60 and over. The Bristol Female Lower Urinary Symptoms (BFLUT) was used to evaluate the bladder function and to measure the residual urine amount by using a bladder scanner. Data was analyzed with the differences between voiding dysfunction by age group and life habits by t-test, ANOVA and correlation by Pearson correlation coefficient. Results: the mean daytime frequency was 6.8 times and night-time frequency 2.7 times. Sixty three percent of subjects had urgency and 41% had urgent incontinence. Over half of subjects had problem in voiding function. There were significant differences in frequency by age groups and constipation, but not in daytime frequency and residual urine. Lastly, there were significant positive relations between daytime frequency and night-time frequency. Also results indicate that more frequency in daytime equaled to a less residual urine amount. Conclusion: We know many elderly women have lower urinary tract symptoms. Specially women over 75 years have more daytime frequency and night-time frequency. This suggests further research needed in order to understand the relation of voiding patterns and life habits and its influence on quality of life.

아파트단지에서 국립환경과학원 도로교통소음 예측식('99)에 대한 통계학적 평가 및 검증 (Assessment and Verification of Prediction Model(NIER('99)) for Road Traffic Noise in the Apartment Complex)

  • 조일형;선우영;이내현
    • 대한환경공학회지
    • /
    • 제28권11호
    • /
    • pp.1198-1206
    • /
    • 2006
  • 본 연구는 국내 도시개발 및 택지개발에서 많이 사용되고 있는 국립환경과학원식('99)에 대한 평가 및 검증을 수행하였다. 국립환경과학원식(NIER('99))은 두 변수 사이의 일차적인 관계가 얼마나 강한 정도를 제시하기 위해 결정계수($R^2$)와 표본 Pearson 상관계수(r)를 실측치와 예측치를 토대로 층별로 평가한 결과 1층 92.4%(r=0.96), 3층 38.7%(r=0.66), 5층 42$(r=0.65), 7층 7.5%(r=0.27), 10층 28.4%(r=0.53), 13층 35.6%(r=0.60), 15층 52.7%(r=0.73) 등의 결과를 보였다 선형 회귀를 통해 반응 변수(Y)와 예측 변수(X) 사이의 선형 관계를 조사하여 모형화하고 검증하기 위한 결과 1층을 제외한 모든 층에서 종속변수를 설명할 수 있는 기여율이 60% 이하로 회귀모형의 설명력이 상당히 떨어지는 것이 1.5 m 이상 높이에서 예측식 수립이 필요할 것으로 판단된다. 또한 등분산성을 토대로 잔차(residual) 대 적합지(fitted value)를 선택하여 예측식을 검증한 결과 1층의 경우 이상적 분포로 적합치에서 잔차들이 -5와 5 사이에 분포되어 있지만 1층을 제외한 나머지 층에 대해서는 이분산 혹은 비선형 분포로 잔차들이 -5에서 5사이에 분포되고 있는 것을 확인 할 수 있었다.

가중회귀분석에 의한 지역화왜곡계수의 추정 (Estimation of Regionai Skew Coefficient with Weighted Least Squares Regression)

  • 조국광;권순국
    • 한국농공학회지
    • /
    • 제32권1호
    • /
    • pp.103-109
    • /
    • 1990
  • The application of the Log-Pearson Type m distribution recommended by Water Resources Council, U. S. A. for flood frequency analysis requires the estimation of the regionalized skew coefficient. In this study, regionalized skew coefficients are estimated using a weighted regression model which relates at-site skews based on logarithms of observed annual flood peak series to both basin characteristics and precipitation data in the Han river and the Nakdong river basin. The model is developed with weighted least squares method in which the weights are determined by separating residual variance into that due to model error and due to sampling error. As the result of analysis, regionalized skews are estimated as - 0.732 and - 0.575 in the Han river and the Nakdong river basin, respectively.

  • PDF

Analysis of Quasi-Likelihood Models using SAS/IML

  • Ha, Il-Do
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
    • /
    • 제8권2호
    • /
    • pp.247-260
    • /
    • 1997
  • The quasi-likelihood models which greatly widened the scope of generalized linear models are widely used in data analysis where a likelihood is not available. Since a quasi-likelihood may not appear to be an ordinary likelihood for any known distribution in the natural exponential family, to fit the quasi-likelihood models the standard statistical packages such as GLIM, GENSTAT, S-PLUS and so on may not directly applied. SAS/IML is very useful for fitting of such models. In this paper, we present simple SAS/IML(version 6.11) program which helps to fit and analyze the quasi-likelihood models applied to the leaf-blotch data introduced by Wedderburn(1974), and the problem with deviance useful generally to model checking is pointed out, and then its solution method is mention through the data analysis based on this quasi-likelihood models checking.

  • PDF

전립선비대증 환자의 하부요로증상의 중증도에 따른 생리학적 지수 및 불안, 우울 (A Study on Physiological Index, Anxiety and Depression by the Severity of Lower Urinary Tract Symptoms in Patients with Benign Prostatic Hyperplasia)

  • 김중경;김진범;송민선
    • Journal of Korean Biological Nursing Science
    • /
    • 제18권3호
    • /
    • pp.127-134
    • /
    • 2016
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study was to investigate the physiological index, anxiety and depression by the severity of lower urinary tract symptoms in patients with benign prostatic hyperplasia. Methods: This research was conducted from the 4th to the 27th of May in 2016 on112 patients with benign prostatic hyperplasia. The data were analyzed using a chi-square test, ANOVA, and Pearson Correlation Coefficients. Results: The results demonstrated a difference depending on the dysuria period of each lower urinary tract symptom, marital status, occupation and perceived health state of the patient. The physiological index by lower urinary tract symptoms showed a difference in the maximum flow rate, amount of post-void residual urine and Prostate-Specific Antigen (PSA), and anxiety and depression factors also revealed a difference. Lower urinary tract symptoms showed a positive correlation to the amount of post voided residual urine and PSA, a negative correlation to the maximum flow rate and also indicated a positive correlation to depression. Conclusion: The results of the study belonging to the moderate and severe categories were high when the result was based on the categorization of subjects with benign prostatic hyperplasia with lower urinary tract symptoms. Considering that depression levels increase as the symptom intensifies and the anxiety score is also high with mild symptoms, psychological support intervention is needed when a pattern of benign prostatic hyperplasia appears.

간호조직내의 팔로워십[Followership]이 조직유효성에 미치는 영향 (The Impact of the Followership Style on the Organizational Effectiveness in Nursing Organization)

  • 한지영;김미예
    • 간호행정학회지
    • /
    • 제15권2호
    • /
    • pp.233-243
    • /
    • 2009
  • Purpose: The purposes of the study were to examine whether nurses' followership style influence organizational effectiveness and to test the model of organizational effectiveness including the factors of nursing organizational culture, leadership style, and followership style. Methods: Data were collected from July 10th to september 20th in 2006 from 451 nurses working in four acute care hospitals. Data analysis were performed by Chi-square test, ANOVA, Duncan test, Pearson Correlation, and maximum likelihood estimation, using the SAS and LISREL 8.30 program. Results: The findings showed that the types of nurses' followership were classified as passive (21.1%), alienated (8.2%), conformist (16.4%), pragmatist (35.9%), and effective style (18.4%). There was significant difference in the organizational effectiveness among the nurses with different followership styles. In testing the path model, transformational, transactional leadership directly influenced followership style. Followership directly influenced organizational effectiveness. Conclusion: The overall fitness of the model was good, evidenced by general fitness index (GFI)=.94, adjusted goodness of fitness index (AGFI)=.82, and root mean square residual (RMSEA)=.06. Based on the findings, it is recommended to develop a program for enhancing effective followership in nursing organization.

  • PDF

팔당호와 팔당호 상류의 난분해성 유기물질 유출 특성 분석 및 상관성 분석 (Analysis of Non-Biodegradable Organic Matter Leakage Characteristics and Correlation Analysis in Paldang Lake and its Upper Reaches)

  • 강채원;길경익
    • 한국습지학회지
    • /
    • 제25권4호
    • /
    • pp.221-229
    • /
    • 2023
  • 수도권에 일 약 8백만톤의 물을 취수하여 공급하는 팔당호는 수질보전정책 시행으로 BOD(Biochemical Oxygen Demand)1.1mg/L를 달성하였으나 난분해성 물질을 포함하는 COD(Chemical Oxygen Demand) 항목은 점점 증가하는 양상을 보였다. 난분해성 유기물질의 상수원 유입은 잠재적인 BOD의 증가, 수돗물의 냄새와 맛 유발, THM(Trihalomethane) 발생 증가, 조류 증식을 일으키며 유해 난분해성 미량오염물질이 잔류할 경우 수생 환경에서 내분비 교란과 항생제 내성과 같은 현상을 유발한다. 본 연구에서는 팔당호의 난분해성 유기물질 관리를 위해 팔당호와 팔당호 상류의 점 오염원과 비점오염원의 난분해성 유기물질 유출 농도를 파악하기 위한 모니터링을 실시하였다. 지역별 난분해성 유기물질 유출 농도를 비교하고 하수처리장에서의 제거율을 파악하였다. 또한 피어슨 상관성 분석 기법을 사용해 유기물질 지표와 선행건기일수, 선·선행건기일수간 상관성 분석을 실시하였다. 하천과 팔당호의 난분해성 유기물질 농도는 유사한 양상을 보였다. 하수처리장 유출수는 하천과 팔당호보다는 높은 농도를 보였으며, 유입수와 유출수 농도의 비교 결과 하수처리장에서 난분해성 유기물질 제거율은 65.73%였다. 난분해성 유기물질 유출 농도와 선행건기일수, 선·선행건기일수 사이에서는 유의미한 상관성이 나타나지 않았다. 이는 데이터 부족으로 판단되며 장기적인 모니터링으로 데이터 축적이 필요하다 사료된다.

Influence of Job Embeddedness and Resilience on Turnover Intention in Dental Hygienists

  • Hwang, Ji-Min;Han, Ji-Hyoung
    • 치위생과학회지
    • /
    • 제20권3호
    • /
    • pp.171-177
    • /
    • 2020
  • Background: Maintaining a skilled workforce by minimizing the turnover of competent dental hygienists is very important for securing dental competitiveness. Therefore, it is necessary to find a predictor of turnover and lower turnover intention. To understand dental hygienist turnover, it is necessary to study the resilience, a positive factor of personal characteristics and job embeddedness that induces residual tissue. The purpose of this study was to investigate the effect of dental hygienists' job embeddedness and resilience on turnover intention. Methods: A survey was conducted on licensed dental hygienists nationwide, from March 19 to July 19, 2020. T-test and one way ANOVA analysis were performed to compare the job embeddedness, resilience, and turnover intention according to the general characteristics. Pearson's correlation analysis was performed to identify the correlation between job embeddedness, resilience, and turnover intention. Multiple regression analysis was performed to determine the effect on the turnover intention. Results: Job embeddedness was the highest with link and resilience scoring 3.57 and 4.16, respectively. The turnover intention scored 3.53. Among the general characteristics, age, marriage, total dental clinic career, education degree, and position showed statistically significant differences in job embeddedness, resilience, and turnover intention. Suitability, link, and sacrifice of job embeddedness were shown to affect the degree of turnover intention, with an explanatory power of 26.2%. Conclusion: In order to reduce the dental hygienists' turnover intention, job embeddedness and resilience should be increased. Thus, measures should be undertaken for professional and systematic program development and human resources management.