• 대한전기학회논문지:시스템및제어부문D
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• 제49권2호
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• pp.55-61
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• 2000

In this paper, we proposed a new PID tuning algorithm by the fuzzy set theory to improve the performance of the PID controller. The new tuning algorithm for the PID controller has the initial value of parameter Kc, $\tau$I, $\tau$D by the Ziegler-Nichols formula using the ultimate gain and ultimate period from a relay tuning experiment. We get error and error change of plant output correspond to the initial value and new proportion gain(Kc) and integral time($\tau$I) from fuzzy tunner. This fuzzy tuning algorithm for PID controller considerably reduced overshoot and rise time compare to any other PID controller tuning algorithms. In real parametric uncertainty systems, the PID controller with Fuzzy auto-tuning give appreciable improvement in the performance. The significant properties of this algorithm is shown by simulation In this paper, we proposed a new PID algorithm by the fuzzy set theory to improve the performance of the PID controller.

• International Journal of Ocean System Engineering
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• 제3권2호
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• pp.50-60
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• 2013

This paper presents a novel approach to the design of an adaptive fuzzy sliding mode controller for depth control of an autonomous underwater vehicle (AUV). So far, AUV's dynamics are highly nonlinear and the hydrodynamic coefficients of the vehicles are difficult to estimate, because of the variations of these coefficients with different operating conditions. These kinds of difficulties cause modeling inaccuracies of AUV's dynamics. Hence, we propose an adaptive fuzzy sliding mode control with novel fuzzy adaptation technique for regulating vertical positioning in presence of parametric uncertainty and disturbances. In this approach, two fuzzy approximator are employed in such a way that slope of the linear sliding surface is updated by first fuzzy approximator, to shape tracking error dynamics in the sliding regime, while second fuzzy approximator change the supports of the output fuzzy membership function in the defuzzification inference module of fuzzy sliding mode control (FSMC) algorithm. Simulation results shows that, the reaching time and tracking error in the approaching phase can be significantly reduced with chattering problem can also be eliminated. The effectiveness of proposed control strategy and its advantages are indicated in comparison with conventional sliding mode control FSMC technique.

• 한국안전학회지
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• 제27권6호
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• pp.115-121
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• 2012

This paper, being the second in a two-part series, presents the robust performance of the proposed design method which can enhance a reliability-based design optimization(RBDO) under the uncertainties of probabilistic models. The robust performances of the solutions obtained by the proposed method, described in the Part 1, are investigated through the parametric studies. A 10-bar truss example is considered, and the uncertain parameters include the number of data observed, and the variations of applied loadings and allowable stresses. The numerical results show that the proposed method can produce a consistent result despite of the large variations in the parameters. Especially, even with the relatively small data set, the analysis results show that the exact probabilistic model can be successfully predicted with optimized design sections. This consistency of estimating appropriate probability model is also observed in the case of the variations of other parameters, which verifies the robustness of the proposed method.

• International Journal of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering
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• 제11권1호
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• pp.606-623
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• 2019

The path following problem of a ship sailing in restricted waters under wind effect is investigated based on Robust $H_{\infty}$ Guaranteed Cost Control (RHGCC). To design the controller, the ship maneuvering motion is modeled as a linear uncertain system with norm-bounded time-varying parametric uncertainty. To counteract the bank and wind effects, the integral of path error is augmented to the original system. Based on the extended linear uncertain system, sufficient conditions for existence of the RHGCC are given. To obtain an optimal robust $H_{\infty}$ guaranteed cost control law, a convex optimization problem with Linear Matrix Inequality (LMI) constraints is formulated, which minimizes the guaranteed cost of the close-loop system and mitigates the effect of external disturbance on the performance output. Numerical simulations have confirmed the effectiveness and robustness of the proposed control strategy for the path following goal of a ship sailing in restricted waters under wind effect.

• Wind and Structures
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• 제28권4호
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• pp.225-238
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• 2019

In this paper a novel and efficient computational framework to estimate the stress range versus number of cycles curves experienced by a cable due to external excitations (e.g., seismic excitations, traffic and wind-induced vibrations, among others) is proposed. This study is limited to the wind-cable interaction governed by the Vortex Shedding mechanism which mainly rules cables vibrations at low amplitudes that may lead to their failure due to bending fatigue damage. The algorithm relies on a stochastic approach to account for the uncertainties in the cable properties, initial conditions, damping, and wind excitation which are the variables that govern the wind-induced vibration phenomena in cables. These uncertainties are propagated adopting Monte Carlo simulations and the concept of importance sampling, which is used to reduce significantly the computational costs when new scenarios with different probabilistic models for the uncertainties are evaluated. A high fidelity cable model is also proposed, capturing the effect of its internal wires distribution and helix angles on the cables stress. Simulation results on a 15 mm diameter high-strength steel strand reveal that not accounting for the initial conditions uncertainties or using a coarse wind speed discretization lead to an underestimation of the stress range experienced by the cable. In addition, parametric studies illustrate the computational efficiency of the algorithm at estimating new scenarios with new probabilistic models, running 3000 times faster than the base case.

• Geomechanics and Engineering
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• 제24권2호
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• pp.167-178
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• 2021

Spatial variability is an inherent uncertainty of soil properties. Current reliability analyses generally incorporate random field theory and Monte Carlo simulation (MCS) when dealing with spatial variability, in which the computational efficiency is a significant challenge. This paper proposes a KL-FORM algorithm to improve the computational efficiency. In the proposed KL-FORM, Karhunen-Loeve (KL) expansion is used for discretizing random fields, and first-order reliability method (FORM) is employed for reliability analysis. The KL expansion and FORM can be used in conjunction, through adopting independent standard normal variables in the discretization of KL expansion as the basic variables in the FORM. To illustrate the effectiveness of this KL-FORM, it is applied to a case study of a strip footing in spatially variable unsaturated soil under rainfall, in which the bearing capacity of the footing is computed by numerical simulation. This case study shows that the KL-FORM is accurate and efficient. The parametric analyses suggest that ignoring the spatial variability of the soil may lead to an underestimation of the reliability index of the footing.

• East Asian Economic Review
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• 제27권1호
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• pp.33-60
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• 2023

This paper analyzes the entire distribution of stock market returns/volatility in five emerging markets (ASEAN5) and figures out the conditional distribution of the CHI_EPU index. The aim is to examine the impact of CHI_EPU on the stock returns/volatility density of ASEAN5 markets. It also examined whether changes in CHI_EPU explain returns at higher or lower points (abnormal returns). This paper models the behaviour of stock returns from March 2011 to June 2018 using a non-parametric conditional density estimation approach. The results indicate that CHI_EPU diminishes stock returns and augments volatility in ASEAN5 markets, except for Malaysia, where it affects stock returns positively. The possible reason for this positive impact is that EPU is not the leading factor reducing Malaysian stock returns; but, other forces, such as dependency on other countries' stock markets and global factors, may have a positive impact on stock returns (Bachmann and Bayer, 2013). Thus, the risk of simultaneous investment in Chinese and ASEAN5 stock markets, except Malaysia, is high. Further, the degree of this influence intensifies at extreme high/low intervals (positive/negative tails). The findings of this study have significant implications for investors, policymakers, market agents, and analysts of ASEAN5.

• 국제학술발표논문집
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• The 4th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management Organized by the University of New South Wales
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• pp.534-541
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• 2011

Risk evaluation approaches for bidding on international construction projects are typically partitioned into three stages: country selection, project classification, and bid-cost evaluation. However, previous studies are frequently under attack in that they have several crucial limitations: 1) a dearth of studies about country selection risk tailored for the overseas construction market at a corporate level; 2) no consideration of uncertainties for input variable per se; 3) less probabilistic approaches in estimating a range of cost variance; and 4) less inclusion of covariance impacts. This study thus suggests a three-staged risk evaluation model to resolve these inherent problems. In the first stage, a country portfolio model that maximizes the expected construction market growth rate and profit rate while decreasing market uncertainty is formulated using multi-objective genetic analysis. Following this, probabilistic approaches for screening bad projects are suggested through applying various data mining methods such as discriminant logistic regression, neural network, C5.0, and support vector machine. For the last stage, the cost overrun prediction model is simulated for determining a reasonable bid cost, while considering non-parametric distribution, effects of systematic risks, and the firm's specific capability accrued in a given country. Through the three consecutive models, this study verifies that international construction risk can be allocated, reduced, and projected to some degree, thereby contributing to sustaining stable profits and revenues in both the short-term and the long-term perspective.

• 방사성폐기물학회지
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• 제9권4호
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• pp.237-245
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• 2011

후쿠시마 사고 이후 사용후핵연료 저장시설 안전성 재검증 필요성이 증대되고 있는 가운데, 재검증 결과의 신뢰성 향상을 위해 열부하 평가결과의 정확도 향상이 요구되고 있다. 이를 위한 기초연구로 본 연구에서는 상대적으로 중요성이 저평가되었던, 저장시나리오, 연소조건 관련 인자와 같이 붕괴열 및 열부하 평가 영향인자를 도출하고, 고리 4호기를 대상으로 ORIGEN2 코드를 이용해 그 효과를 평가하였다. 대표 저장시나리오에 대한 열부하 평가 결과, 최후 방출 핵연료의 붕괴열은 시나리오에 따라 전체 열부하의 최대 80.42%를 차지해 저장시설 열부하에 지배적인 영향을 미침이 확인되었다. 또한 연소조건 인자로 선택된 축 방향 연소 효과, 연소이력, 비출력 효과에 대한 민감도 분석 수행 결과, 냉각기간이 짧을수록 각 인자의 붕괴열에 대한 영향이 커지는 것으로 확인되었다. 각 인자별로는 비출력, 연소이력, 축 방향 연소 효과의 순으로 붕괴열에 대한 영향력이 컸으며, 특히 비출력의 경우 방출 직후 평균값의 0.34에서 1.66배, 방출 1년 후에는 평균 대비 0.55에서 1.37배까지 붕괴열 변화를 초래함이 확인되었다. 즉, 저장시설의 열부하 평가와 같이 냉각기간이 짧은 핵연료에 대한 해석 시 비출력, 연소이력과 같은 연소조건인자가 해석결과에 매우 큰 차이를 초래할 수 있으므로, 해석결과의 정확도 향상을 위해 기존 해석자의 공학적 판단에 의거한 임의 인자 대표성 핵연료 선택방식 대신 실제 운전 데이터의 적용 등이 필요할 것으로 보인다. 본 연구 결과는 향후 열부하 해석 결과의 정확도 향상 및 불확실도 평가를 위한 기초자료로 활용될 수 있을 것으로 사료된다.

• 대한토목학회논문집
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• 제38권1호
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• pp.73-80
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• 2018

고속도로 교통류 제어는 기존의 Reactive 방식(실시간 대응)에서 Proactive 방식(사전 대응)으로 발전하고 있다. 첨단 고속도로 교통류 제어의 핵심 입력자료 중 하나는 여러 시간대에 걸치는 장래 교통량 상태이다. 다중 시간대 교통량 예측을 위해서는 장래 상태의 불확실성을 극복해야 한다. 이는 예측 시간대의 확장에 따라 장래 상태의 불확실성은 증가하기 때문이다. 따라서 다중 시간대 교통량 예측을 위해서는 장래 상태의 불확실성을 효과적으로 극복할 수 있는 실행 가능한 방안이 필요하다. 본 연구에서는 대용량 이력자료에 내재된 교통류 상태의 시간적 진화 행태를 이용하여 장래 상태의 불확실성을 효과적으로 극복함으로써 다중 시간대 장래 교통량 상태를 예측하는 모형을 제시하도록 한다. 개발 모형은 현행 교통량의 상태 진화를 기반으로 대용량 자료에 내재된 과거 상태를 추출하고, 이를 이용하여 장래 상태를 예측한다. 추가로, 개발된 모형은 실제 적용을 고려하여 자료관리시스템에 적합하도록 설계되었다. 적용결과, 개발모형은 다중 시간대에 걸치는 불확실성을 효과적으로 극복함으로써 우수한 예측력을 보였으며, 첨단자료관리시스템에 실제 적용이 가능하다고 판단된다.