• Title/Summary/Keyword: Parametric Estimation

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Probabilistic Estimation of Fully Coupled Blasting Pressure (밀장전 발파압력의 확률론적 예측)

  • Park, Bong-Ki;Lee, In-Mo;Kim, Dong-Hyun;Lee, Sang-Don
    • Proceedings of the Korean Geotechical Society Conference
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    • 2004.03b
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    • pp.391-398
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    • 2004
  • The propagation mechanism of a detonation pressure with fully coupled charge is clarified and the blasting pressure propagated in rock mass is derived from the application of shock wave theory. Probabilistic distribution is obtained by using explosion tests on emulsion and rock property tests on granite in Seoul and then the probabilistic distribution of the blasting pressure is derived from their properties. The probabilistic distributions of explosive properties and rock properties show a normal distribution so that the blasting pressure propagated in rock can be also regarded as a normal distribution. Parametric analysis was performed to pinpoint the most influential parameter that affects the blasting pressure and it was found that the detonation velocity is the most sensitive parameter. Moreover, uncertainty analysis was performed to figure out the effect of each parameter uncertainty on the uncertainty of blasting pressure. Its result showed that uncertainty of natural rock properties constitutes the main portion of blasting pressure uncertainty rather than that of explosive properties.

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Design of Optimized Pattern Classifier for Discrimination of Precipitation and Non-precipitation Event (강수 및 비 강수 사례 판별을 위한 최적화된 패턴 분류기 설계)

  • Song, Chan-Seok;Kim, Hyun-Ki;Oh, Sung-Kwun
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.64 no.9
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    • pp.1337-1346
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    • 2015
  • In this paper, pattern classifier is designed to classify precipitation and non-precipitation events from weather radar data. The proposed classifier is based on Fuzzy Neural Network(FNN) and consists of three FNNs which operate in parallel. In the proposed network, the connection weights of the consequent part of fuzzy rules are expressed as two polynomial types such as constant or linear polynomial function, and their coefficients are learned by using Least Square Estimation(LSE). In addition, parametric as well as structural factors of the proposed classifier are optimized through Differential Evolution(DE) algorithm. After event classification between precipitation and non-precipitation echo, non-precipitation event is to get rid of all echo, while precipitation event including non-precipitation echo is to get rid of non-precipitation echo by classifier that is also based on Fuzzy Neural Network. Weather radar data obtained from meteorological office is to analysis and discuss performance of the proposed event and echo patter classifier, result of echo pattern classifier compare to QC(Quality Control) data obtained from meteorological office.

Experimental Design of Disturbance Compensation Control to Improve Stabilization Performance of Target Aiming System (표적지향 시스템의 안정화 성능 향상을 위한 실험적 외란 보상 제어기 설계)

  • Lim Jae-Keun;Kang Min-Sig;Lyou Joon
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.30 no.8 s.251
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    • pp.897-905
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    • 2006
  • This study considers an experimental design of disturbance compensation control to improve stabilization performance of main battle tanks. An adaptive non-parametric design technique based on the Filtered-x Least Mean Square(FXLMS) algorithm is applied in the consideration of model uncertainties. The optimal compensator is designed by two-step design procedures: determination of frequency response function of the disturbance compensator which can cancel the disturbance of series of single harmonics by using the FXLMS algorithm and determination of the compensator polynomial which can fit the frequency response function obtained in the first step optimally by using a curve fitting technique. The disturbance compensator is applied to a simple experimental gun-torsion bar-motor system which simulates gun driving servo-system. Along with experimental results, the feasibility of the proposed technique is illustrated. Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed control reduces the standard deviation of stabilization error to 47.6% that by feedback control alone. The directional properties of the FXLMS Algorithm such as the direction of convergence and its convergence speed are also verified experimentally.

Significance of seabed interaction on fatigue assessment of steel catenary risers in the touchdown zone

  • Elosta, Hany;Huang, Shan;Incecik, Atilla
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.57 no.3
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    • pp.403-423
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    • 2016
  • The challenges involved with fatigue damage assessment of steel catenary riser (SCR) in the touchdown zone (TDZ) are primarily due to the non-linear behaviour of the SCR-seabed interaction, considerable uncertainty in SCR-seabed interaction modelling and geotechnical parameters. The issue of fatigue damage induced by the cyclic movements of the SCR with the seabed has acquired prominence with the touch down point (TDP) interaction in the TDZ. Therefore, the SCR-seabed response is critical for reliable estimation of fatigue life in the TDZ. Various design approaches pertaining to the lateral pipe-soil resistance model are discussed. These techniques have been applied in the finite element model that can be used to analyse the lateral SCR-seabed interaction under hydrodynamic loading. This study investigates the sensitivity of fatigue performance to geotechnical parameters through a parametric study. In this study, global analyses are performed to assess the influence of vertical linear seabed springs, the lateral seabed model and the non-linear seabed model, including trench evolution into seabed, seabed normalised stiffness, re-penetration offset parameter and soil suction resistance ratio, on the fatigue life of SCRs in the TDZ.

Modeling of unreinforced brick walls under in-plane shear & compression loading

  • Kalali, Arsalan;Kabir, Mohammad Zaman
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.36 no.3
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    • pp.247-278
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    • 2010
  • The study of the seismic vulnerability of masonry buildings requires structural properties of walls such as stiffness, ultimate load capacity, etc. In this article, a method is suggested for modeling the masonry walls under in-plane loading. At the outset, a set of analytical equations was established for determining the elastic properties of an equivalent homogeneous material of masonry. The results for homogenized unreinforced brick walls through detailed modeling were compared in different manners such as solid and perforated walls, in-plane and out-of-plane loading, etc, and it was found that this method provides suitable accuracy in estimation of the wall linear properties. Furthermore, comparison of the results of proposed modeling with experimental out coming indicated that this model considers the non linear properties of the wall such as failure pattern, performance curve and ultimate strength, and would be appropriate to establish a parametric study on those prone factors. The proposed model is complicated; therefore, efforts need to be made in order to overcome the convergency problems which will be included in this study. The nonlinear model is basically semi-macro but through a series of actions, it can be simplified to a macro model.

The Estimation of The Productivities of Institutions under Ministry of Oceans and Fisheries (해양수산부 산하기관의 생산성 추정에 관한 연구)

  • KIM, Tae-Hyun;KIM, Jong-Cheon;PARK, Cheol-Hyung
    • Journal of Fisheries and Marine Sciences Education
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.186-197
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    • 2016
  • This study applied the parametric bootstrapping method to analyze whether there was a change in the production efficiency of institutions under Ministry of Oceans and Fisheries. This study used input and output oriented productivity simultaneously. In particular, the productivity was estimated through 95% confidence interval derived by 2000 times re-sampling process. The results of the study showed us a reduction in overall total factor productivity by 24% between 2009 and 2013, and 7% of decreases in productivity annually. A recent conditions of an external economic shocks brought a 28% downward shift of production function. In this study, public institutions were divided into three types, which were public, quasi-government, and other public institutions. There were approximately 13%, 1%, and 5% decreases in total factor productivity per each. In analyzing the productivity each of 14 institutions, approximately DMU4 and DMU6 had 4%, and 5% increases in productivity per each. While DMU14 showed us no changes in productivity, all of the other 10 DMUs were estimated the decreases in productivities.

Generalized Weighted Linear Models Based on Distribution Functions - A Frequentist Perspective (분포함수를 기초로 일반화가중선형모형)

  • 여인권
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.489-498
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    • 2004
  • In this paper, a new form of linear models referred to as generalized weighted linear models is proposed. The proposed models assume that the relationship between the response variable and explanatory variables can be modelled by a distribution function of the response mean and a weighted linear combination of distribution functions of covariates. This form addresses a structural problem of the link function in the generalized linear models in which the parameter space may not be consistent with the space derived from linear predictors. The maximum likelihood estimation with Lagrange's undetermined multipliers is used to estimate the parameters and resampling method is applied to compute confidence intervals and to test hypotheses.

Design of Two-Dimensional Robust Face Recognition System Realized with the Aid of Facial Symmetry with Illumination Variation (얼굴의 대칭성을 이용하여 조명 변화에 강인한 2차원 얼굴 인식 시스템 설계)

  • Kim, Jong-Bum;Oh, Sung-Kwun
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.64 no.7
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    • pp.1104-1113
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    • 2015
  • In this paper, we propose Two-Dimensional Robust Face Recognition System Realized with the Aid of Facial Symmetry with Illumination Variation. Preprocessing process is carried out to obtain mirror image which means new image rearranged by using difference between light and shade of right and left face based on a vertical axis of original face image. After image preprocessing, high dimensional image data is transformed to low-dimensional feature data through 2-directional and 2-dimensional Principal Component Analysis (2D)2PCA, which is one of dimensional reduction techniques. Polynomial-based Radial Basis Function Neural Network pattern classifier is used for face recognition. While FCM clustering is applied in the hidden layer, connection weights are defined as a linear polynomial function. In addition, the coefficients of linear function are learned through Weighted Least Square Estimation(WLSE). The Structural as well as parametric factors of the proposed classifier are optimized by using Particle Swarm Optimization(PSO). In the experiment, Yale B data is employed in order to confirm the advantage of the proposed methodology designed in the diverse illumination variation

Modeling of stress corrosion crack growth and lifetime of pipe grade high density polyethylene by using crack layer theory (Crack Layer 이론을 이용한 배관용 고밀도 폴리에틸렌의 응력부식균열 진전 및 수명 예측 모델)

  • Wee, Jung-Wook;Choi, Byoung-Ho
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Pressure Vessels and Piping
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.45-50
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    • 2015
  • In many cases, the field fracture mechanism of the thermoplastic pipe is considered as either brittle or environmental fractures. Thus the estimation of the lifetime by modeling slow crack growth considering such fracture mechanisms is required. In comparison of the some conventional and empirical equations to explain the slow crack growth rate such as the Paris' law, the crack layer theory can be used to simulate the crack and process zone growth behaviors precisely, so the lifetime of thermoplastic pipe can also be accurately estimated. In this study, the modified crack layer theory for the stress corrosion cracking (SCC) of high density polyethylene is introduced with detailed algorithm. The oxidation induction time of the HDPE is also considered for the reduction of specific fracture energy during exposed to chemical environments. Furthermore, the parametric study for an important SCC parameter is conducted to understand the slow crack growth behavior of SCC.

Estimation and Sensitivity Analysis on the Effect of Job Training for Non-Regular Employees (비정규직 직업훈련효과 추정과 민감도 분석)

  • Lee, Sang-Jun
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.163-181
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    • 2012
  • This paper studies the effect of job training for non-regular employees in the Korea labor market. Using an economically active population data set of statistics Korea, we apply a non-parametric matching and sensitivity analysis method to measure the effect of the training for non-regular employees and to look for the impact of an unobservable variable or confounding factor in regards to the selection effect and outcome effect. In the our empirical results, we conclude that the effect of the training for non-regular employees has a better employment effect for getting a regular job rather than a wage effect; in addition, the impact of unobservable variables or confounding factors do not exercise a statistically strong influence on the baseline ATT.