• 제목/요약/키워드: Panel Dynamic Regression

검색결과 38건 처리시간 0.02초

Empirical Study of Dynamic Chinese Corporate Governance Based on Chinese-listed Firms with A Panel VAR Approach

  • Shao, Lin;Zhang, Li;Yu, Xiaohong
    • 산경연구논집
    • /
    • 제8권1호
    • /
    • pp.5-13
    • /
    • 2017
  • Purpose - In this article, a dynamic model like a VAR is an appropriate choice for estimating the possible interrelationship between ownership structure and firm performance as a dynamic process. Research design, data, and methodology - Data of this work are collected from Chinese stock exchange including 350 Chinese-listed firms during the period of 1999-2012. We hypothesize that this interrelationship dynamically exists between ownership structure and firm performance. To examine the correlation, a panel Vector Auto-regression (PVAR) approach generated by GMM method is utilized to test the possible dynamic relation embedded in corporate governance. Another two dynamic analysis solutions such as orthogonalized impulse-response function and variance decomposition are also used simultaneously. Results - Findings of this study indicate the evidence that dynamically endogenous relationship exists between ownership structure and firm performance. Further, there is a dynamical correlation between investment and performance. Impulse response and variance decomposition illustrate that impact of a shock to variables themselves is the main source for their variability. Conclusions - The conclusion in this study is that there is a bidirectional and inter-temporal effect between proportion of ownership and corporate performance for a long run in accordance with impulse response function. Overall, our results suggest that corporate governance in China is more market oriented.

The Dynamic Effects of Globalization on the Firm Performance: A Study on Korea Maritime and Fishery Companies

  • Donghyun Lee;Heedae Park;Joongsan Ko
    • Journal of Korea Trade
    • /
    • 제26권7호
    • /
    • pp.127-144
    • /
    • 2022
  • Purpose - This study aimed to analyze the dynamic effects of progress in globalization on firm performance by employing individual companies' financial statement datasets. Design/methodology - The analysis leveraged the variables of operating revenue (OPRE) and pre-tax profit and loss (PLBT) as measurement variables for firm performance over 2011-2019. As a proxy variable for globalization, the trade index, a subordinate indicator of the KOF Globalization Index, was used. Through panel regression analysis, the relationship among those variables was ascertained, and the local projection (LP) method was subsequently utilized to identify dynamic effects. A subsample analysis was further performed by classifying companies based on their sizes and industries to determine the differential effects of globalization on each group. Findings - The panel regression analysis derived positive effects of an increasing degree of globalization on OPRE of Korea maritime and fishery firms. However, the impulse response functions, obtained from the LP, showed that in the short run, globalization affects PLBT negatively but in the long run, it gradually converted into a positive effect. In addition, according to the subsample analysis based on company size, the effects of globalization on OPRE became greater as each company became larger. Moreover, the industry-based analysis showed heterogeneous effects, depending on the industries in which the maritime and fishery companies operated. Originality/value - The analysis of the dynamic effects of globalization on firm performance, which revealed that the effects vary depending on the time points, is the important contribution of this study. The results also suggest that the effects of globalization vary depending on the company size and industry.

패널 VAR 모형을 이용한 지역별 양식넙치 산지가격의 동태적 인과관계 분석 (A Dynamic Causality Analysis of Oliver Flounder Producer Price by Region using the Panel VAR Model)

  • 전용한;남종오
    • 수산경영론집
    • /
    • 제52권1호
    • /
    • pp.47-63
    • /
    • 2021
  • The purpose of this study is to identify the leading price between Jeju and Wando's oliver flounder producer price and to analyze the dynamic effect of the regional producer price using the panel VAR model. In the process of analysis, it was confirmed that there are unit roots in the monthly data of Jeju and Wando's oliver flounder producer price. So, in order to avoid spurious regression, the rate change of producer price which carries out log difference was used in the analysis. As a result of the analysis, first, the panel Granger causality test showed that the influence of the change rate of producer price in oliver flounder in Jeju was slightly larger than that in Wando, but it was found that each region all leads the change rate of the producer price in oliver flounder. Second, the panel VAR estimation showed that the rate change of producer price in Jeju and Wando a month ago had a statistically significant effect on the change rate of producer price of each region. Third, the impulse response analysis indicated that other regions are affected a little more than the same region in case of the occurrence of the impact on the error terms of the change rate of produce price in Jeju and Wando oliver flounder. Fourth, the variance decomposition analysis showed that the change rate of producer price in the two regions was higher explained by Jeju compared to Wando. In conclusion, it is expected that the above results can not only be useful as basic data for the stabilization of oliver flounder producer price and the establishment of policies for easing volatility but can also help the oliver flounder industry operate its business.

Capital Structure and Trade-Off Theory: Evidence from Vietnam

  • KHOA, Bui Thanh;THAI, Duy Tung
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
    • /
    • 제8권1호
    • /
    • pp.45-52
    • /
    • 2021
  • The capital structure is one of the hot financial topics among researchers and scholars. Its importance comes from the fact that capital structure is closely related to companies' ability to meet different stakeholders' needs. A suitable capital structure will boost the business and create a competitive advantage in the context of fierce competition. Many companies choose an optimal debt level based on the trade-off between interest and debt costs. This study aimed to test the existence of trade-off theory in capital structure, the case of Vietnam's real estate companies, which are growing very fast recently. Instead of considering constant optimal leverage to test the trade-off model, we take advantage of the dynamic capital structure determined by growth opportunities, profitability, tax incentives, tangibility, liquidity, and firm size. The dynamic panel data regression was estimated by the system Generalized Method of Moment (Sys-GMM). The empirical evidence showed that real estate companies listed in the Vietnamese stock market might change their leverage toward a target capital structure determined by influential factors in a long-term perspective. In particular, the debt-to-asset ratio will change by approximately 14 percent, positively, in response to the difference between the current debt-to-asset ratio and the dynamic target debt-to-asset ratio.

The Nexus between Capital Structure and Firm Value by Profitability Moderation: Evidence from Saudi Arabia

  • FATIMA, Nadeem;SHAIK, Abdul Rahman
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
    • /
    • 제9권9호
    • /
    • pp.181-189
    • /
    • 2022
  • The current study examines the nexus between the capital structure (debt-equity) and firm value (Tobin's Q) by including profitability (alternatively Return on Assets (ROA) and Return on Equity (ROE)) as a moderator in the companies of Saudi Arabia. The study sample consists of 102 companies listed on Tadawul (the Saudi Arabian stock exchange) from different sectors of Saudi Arabia during the period 2013 to 2020. The study estimates pooled regression, panel regression with fixed and random effects, and dynamic panel regression models to report the results. The study results report that there is a negative and significant association between capital structure and firm value in model 1, while in models 2 and 3 there is a more negative and significant impact between the two study variables compared to model 1 after the inclusion of interaction variable, i.e. profitability in terms of ROA and ROE. The comparative result shows that the companies of Saudi Arabia hold more debt in their capital structure mix, hence evidencing a decrease in the firm value. The reported results also show that models 2 and 3 are better in explaining the impact of capital structure on firm value due to the interaction of profitability compared to model 1.

Determinants of Economic Growth in Indonesia: A Dynamic Panel Model

  • BASUKI, Agus Tri;PURWANINGSIH, Yunastiti;SOESILO, Albertus Maqnus;MULYANTO, Mulyanto
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
    • /
    • 제7권11호
    • /
    • pp.147-156
    • /
    • 2020
  • This study aims to analyze the effect of public spending, macroeconomic variables, and BPK opinion on economic growth. This study is motivated by the inequality of fiscal policy effectiveness between regions in Indonesia in influencing the economic growth of different regions, the ability of local governments to attract foreign investors, and the transparency of regional financial management in designing development programs to encourage regional economic growth. The analytical tool in this study is a dynamic panel regression model with data from 2008 to 2017. The results of this study show that, in the short term, the population affects regional economic growth, while in the long term, the economic growth is affected by the number of people, the poor, General Allocation Fund, health budget, foreign investment and BPK opinion. The findings of this study are that in the long term the General Allocation Fund becomes an obstacle to economic growth, this is because the general allocation funds is widely used to cover the lack of funds for routine regional activities, thereby reducing activities for development programs. Another research finding is that fiscal policies carried out by local governments make a small and ineffective contribution to promoting economic growth.

지역 간 인구이동, 경지면적, 외국인 근로자의 관계 분석 (Interrelationship Between Regional Population Migration, Crop Area, and Foreign Workers)

  • 조서진;윤희연
    • 지역연구
    • /
    • 제40권2호
    • /
    • pp.21-38
    • /
    • 2024
  • 지역 인구와 경지면적 간의 상호작용을 이해하는 것은 지역 경제 활성화와 농업의 지속가능성 향상을 위해 중요하다. 기존의 연구들은 지역의 인구이동이나 경지면적 변화 각각의 주제에 중점을 두었으며, 이들의 상호작용에 관한 연구는 미흡했다. 또한, 새로운 노동 공급원인 외국인 근로자의 증가를 대상으로 한 지역 단위의 정량적 연구도 부족했다. 이에 본 연구에서는 지역의 인구 변화, 경지면적, 그리고 외국인 근로자 수 변화의 상호작용을 패널 자기 상관 모형(Panel Vector Auto Regression Model)을 활용하여 분석하였다. 분석 결과, 지역의 인구유입률과 경지면적은 서로에게 부정적인 영향을 발생시키지만, 농업부문의 외국인 근로자 증가는 경지면적을 증가시키는 것으로 나타났다. 또한, 밭 면적의 증가는 외국인 근로자를 증가시키는 것으로 나타났다. 이러한 결과는 지역의 인구감소와 경지면적 감소 현상이 상호영향을 미치고 있으며 외국인 근로자의 유입이 농촌지역의 구조적 문제해결에 긍정적인 영향을 미칠 가능성이 있음을 시사한다.

한국청소년패널조사(KYPS) 가중치 부여 방법 연구: 중학교 2학년 패널의 경우 (A Study on the Construction of Weights for KYPS)

  • 박민규;이경상;박현수;강현철
    • 한국조사연구학회지:조사연구
    • /
    • 제12권3호
    • /
    • pp.173-186
    • /
    • 2011
  • 본 연구에서는 2003년 시작된 한국청소년패널조사 중학교 2학년 패널자료 분석을 위해 필수적인 각 연도별 횡단면, 종단면 가중치 산출방안을 소개하고 있다. 패널 모집 당시 추출된 표본이 대표하는 모집단의 종단면적 변화 분석을 위한 종단면 가중치는 로지스틱 회귀분석을 이용한 무응답 보정과 사후 층화를 통해 산출되었으며, 조사 연도의 표본 대응 모집단 분석을 위해 필수적인 횡단면 가중치는 전년도 대비 응답률과 사후 층화를 통해 산출되었다.

  • PDF

Do Firm Characteristics and Industry Matter in Determining Corporate Cash Holdings? Evidence from Hospitality Firms

  • KWAN, Jing-Hui;LAU, Wee-Yeap
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
    • /
    • 제7권2호
    • /
    • pp.9-20
    • /
    • 2020
  • The study investigates a recent surge of cash literature by using a sample of hospitality firms to gain a new understanding of corporate cash holdings. Past literature states that there is a substantial variation of liquidity across industry groups. Existing literature predominantly refers to US-listed firms and focus on either hotels or restaurants and not the hospitality industry as a whole. Therefore, we provide a comparative study of cash holdings behaviour between hospitality and non-hospitality firms from an emerging market context. Using a sample of public listed hospitality firms from 2002 to 2013, dynamic panel regression techniques are used to study the relationships between firm characteristics and cash levels. Also, the non-parametric Wilcoxon-Mann-Whitney test was carried out to examine the time and sectoral differences in cash holdings. In addition, the panel regression techniques are used to investigate the relationships between firm characteristics and level of corporate cash holdings. The results reveal that firm characteristics do matter in hospitality firms. We find that firm size, capital expenditures, and liquid assets substitutes are negatively related to cash level. The results support trade-off theory and the pecking order theory. This study incrementally explains the cash holdings behaviour of hospitality firms in emerging market.

Relationship Between Stock Price Indices of Abu Dhabi, Jordan, and USA - Evidence from the Panel Threshold Regression Model

  • Ho, Liang-Chun
    • 산경연구논집
    • /
    • 제4권2호
    • /
    • pp.13-19
    • /
    • 2013
  • Purpose - The paper tested the relationship between the stock markets of the Middle East and the USA with the oil price and US dollar index as threshold variables. Research design, data, and methodology - The stock price indices of the USA, the Middle East (Abu Dhabi, Jordan), WTI spot crude oil price, and US dollar index were daily returns in the research period from May 21, 2001 to August 9, 2012. Following Hansen (1999), the panel threshold regression model was used. Results - With the US dollar index as the threshold variable, a negative relationship existed between the stock price indices of Jordan and the USA but no significant result was found between the stock price indices of Abu Dhabi and the USA. Conclusions - The USA is an economic power today:even if it has a closer relationship with the US stock market, the dynamic US economy can learn about subsequent developments and plan in advance. Conversely, if it has an estranged relationship with the US stock market, thinking in a different direction and different investment strategies will achieve good results.